Prospect Smackdown: Brian Goodwin vs. Jake Marisnick

In last week’s prospect smackdown, I took a look at the two best uninjured third base prospects in the game in Garin Cecchini and Maikel Franco. I’d love to tell you who won that battle, but I can’t, because I forgot to add a poll until Saturday afternoon. That means we only have five votes, whereas said polls generally get between 150-200. Sadz.

This week, I’m going to cover two of my personal favorite outfield prospects who’ve seen their stocks decline slightly over the past year. And this week, I’m going to include a poll at the bottom, because I learn quickly.

Prospect Smackdown No. 10: Brian Goodwin vs. Jake Marisnick

The Case for Goodwin

Goodwin is a very well-rounded prospect from a fantasy tools perspective, earning 5+ potential power and speed tools and a potential 6 hit tool grade from Jason Parks before the season began. The outfielder has also posted strong walk rates throughout the minors and profiles as a major leaguer who should be able to reach base with frequency. Goodwin is now in Triple-A, meaning he’s on the cusp of a MLB call-up, and it’s pretty exciting to think about his upside if allowed to bat near the top of the Nationals’ potent lineup. Goodwin should be especially valuable in OBP leagues, but even in leagues with standard category setups, a player who can hit .280 with 15 homers, 15 steals and a ton of runs is worthy of monitoring.   Continue reading

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Team TDG Overlord, Rounds 11-40 of #TDGX

Last week, I went through the first ten picks of my TDGX draft. This week, I’ll talk about the rest. I’m still amazed how quickly we finished this draft–it was finished in under three weeks, which worked out to over two rounds per day! So rather than spread this out over a longer period of time, let’s take a look at the finished product.

After the first ten rounds unfolded the way they did, my plan was to wait a bit on prospects and focus on getting some steals in the short-term–and that’s exactly what I did. Picks 11-18 were all major leaguers to fill out my starting lineup, and by the time that stretch was complete, I only had a catcher, middle infield, outfield and utility spot to fill.

Pick 11.211 – Norichika Aoki, OF, Kansas City Royals (Rank: 217)
Pick 12.230 – Michael Bourn, OF, Cleveland Indians (Rank: 291)

These were my speed plays. I had Aoki ranked towards the top of my available players anyway, but they should both combine for around 50 steals in 2014, which should go a long way towards a run at contention. Hitting at the top of their respective lineups doesn’t hurt either, as they could both challenge for 90 runs, given a full season of health. As of right now, I just to hope Bourn doesn’t miss much time to start the year as depth is very hard to come by in a league this size.

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Legends of the Arizona Fall League: Mesa Edition

I jumped at the chance to highlight the stars of the Mesa Solar Sox in TDG’s latest series covering the Arizona Fall League, because — if you didn’t know — I kind of, sort of like the Cubs. I was sad to see shortstop Javier Baez taken off Mesa’s roster when the Cubs decided it was in everybody’s best interest to give the 20-year-old a break after a ho-hum year of 37 home runs and 111 RBIs in 130 games between Class-A Daytona and Double-A Tennessee.

Sans Baez, there’s no shortage of talent on the Mesa squad, which — in addition to the Cubs — is made up of players from the minor league affiliates of the Angels, Athletics, Nationals and Tigers. This series will highlight the stars and an additional three players whose prospect star could be on the rise with a strong showing in the AFL.

Author’s note: This is my first “totally prospect” post at TDG, so feel free to lambast me in the comments below. Thanks!

Commence drooling in three, two, one…

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Rebuilding a Dynasty League Roster: One Year Later

A lot can happen in a year.

June 3rd, 2012 was the day I took over the roster which became the focus of my Rebuilding a Dynasty League Roster series, and now that June 3rd is upon us again, it seemed like a natural time to take a look at how the team is doing. As you may remember, the time horizon for my team is 2014, and I was pretty active in setting up my roster to look like a team I would actually own. In fact, of the 50 players (25 majors, 25 minors) on the team when I took it over, only 14 remain today. And that’s pretty extensive turnover for an owner like myself who tends to shy away enormo-trades and tries to stick with his guys, rather than go after each new flavor of the week.

Right now, the team is sitting at 3-6 through nine weeks, so it’s pretty clear that my horizon is not moving up. Hopefully with some of the reinforcements I’ll get during the second half, it will keep me on schedule for next year. For a refresher on the league settings, check out the first of my RDLR (no, that doesn’t stand for Rubby De La Rosa here) posts back from August 2012. The important information is that it’s a 16-team H2H points league. But now, I’m just going to run through the team and see how things have changed (hopefully for the better):

Starting Lineup – Hitters

6/3/12 6/3/13
C Matt Wieters Matt Wieters
1B Albert Pujols Albert Pujols
2B Chase Utley Chase Utley
SS Yunel Escobar Starlin Castro
3B Chris Davis Jedd Gyorko
OF Alex Rios Alex Rios
OF Jayson Werth Jayson Werth
OF Yonder Alonso Yasiel Puig
Util Aubrey Huff Yonder Alonso
Util Eric Young Jr Matt Joyce

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A Podcast For Your Eyes: The 2014 Top 10 Fantasy Prospects Edition

As I hinted at in yesterday’s post on projecting the Top 10 fantasy prospects at this time next year, Ben, Craig and I tried something interesting on Wednesday night as we sat down on gchat and conversed for almost an hour and a half about the topic at hand. The following conversation has not been edited, abridged or otherwise touched (besides cleaning up our names so that it’s easier to read).

Without any further introduction, I present to you the Episode 1 of A Podcast For Your Eyes. If you like it, tell us and we’ll do them more often. If you don’t, tell us and we’ll forget this whole thing ever happened. And we’re off..

Bret:  whats going on guys?

Craig:  watching O’s/Rays over here

Ben:  watching NYY/BOS

Craig:  also eating a peanut butter and jam sandwich, because I’m 12

Bret:  i’m watching the mets start their WS run

Ben:  sooo playing MLB the show?

Craig:  I was going to say…can we have a moment of silence for Bret’s sanity?

Bret:  my sanity has been missing for a long time

Craig:  touche

Bret:  alright, so you guys have the consensus list, right?

Craig:  yes but I just dripped jelly on my shirt so I’m in crisis here

Bret:  save that gold for when we’re “recording”

Craig:  hahaha. ok problem solved, but you feel free to include it

Bret:  fair enough, i’m going to do an introduction, and then we’re just going to jump right in and ben and i can fawn over xander bogaerts

Ben:  im super good at fawning over bogaerts

Bret:  ha, i’m sure you are. alright, let’s do this

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Putting My Money Where My Mouth Is

We’ve been over this before – I play in WAY too many leagues. In fact, this year, that number is officially 14. And they run the gamut in terms of formats. There are seven dynasty leagues, three pure redraft leagues, six head-to-head leagues, and two points leagues. I have leagues on four different host sites – though half of them are run through Yahoo! I have OBP leagues, I have 6×6 leagues and even one 7×7 format.

But through it all, I have a good number of overlapping players. Of course, that’s a given when you own 288 different players across 14 teams – but what I’m going to go through today are the players that I own in more than three leagues to show you how much I actually believe the advice that I’m doling out. More than half of these leagues are either for jellybeans or they are expert formats, so no messing around. Not surprisingly, these names should not shock you if you’re pretty familiar with my writing.

So here they are, the players I own most in 2013, kicked off by the only player who I own on more than half of my teams:

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Ten Prospects I Like More Than You Like

One of the main reasons I’m so excited to be joining the crew here at TDG is the debates I’ll get to have with other writers on the site over our prospect projections and analysis. When you know your assertions about a player are going to be scrutinized and picked apart, it makes you work harder to make sure those opinions are valid and grounded in legitimate observation.

Don’t like a batter because you’re worried about the hit tool? Tell me why you’re worried. Is it his swing path? Does he use an arm bar? Is it a pitch recognition problem? I want to know.

Down on a starting pitcher because of “command issues?” Tell me where those command issues come from. Does his front half open up too early? Can he not control the movement on one of his pitches? Is he not athletic enough to repeat his delivery? Let’s get specific.

These are all hugely important details that should better inform you about what to expect from a player moving forward, and those observations – combined with a heavy dose of statistic analysis – are what I’m aiming to provide here.

With that being said, let’s start off my time here at TDG with 10 players who I like more than do many other prospect analysts on the Interwebs. Next to each player, you’ll find Bret’s (TDG’s) 2013 Top 150 rank first, then my personal Top 150 rank second, followed by a brief explanation of why I feel the way I do.

Thanks for welcoming me on board. Let’s get after it.

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