2018 Dynasty Baseball RankingsDynasty Baseball

The Dynasty Guru’s Top 125 Outfielders, #91-125

It’s been a slow off-season. Like, a really slow off-season. With the hot stove frigid, fantasy baseball players haven’t had many ways to quench their thirst, unless they’ve thrown themselves head-first into football, basketball, or hockey. January and February can be some of the darkest months of the year (figuratively and literally), but fear not, restless readers. The Dynasty Guru is here to the rescue.

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Without further ado, it’s time to continue our 2018 consensus rankings by looking at the league’s 91-125 outfielders in dynasty leagues, kicking it off with a solid bounceback candidate.

  1.  David Peralta, Arizona Diamondbacks (Age:30, Previous Rank:57)

Peralta’s 2017 was a bit of a disappointment, after many were expecting him to bounce back from his wrist injury in 2016. Although mildly disappointing, he still managed near 20 home runs with a strong slashline. The 30-year-old outfielder is still under control for the next two years by the Diamondbacks, and I would expect him to continue to receive close to 600 plate appearances for those two years. He reduced his K% last year, and being another year removed from the wrist injury may lead to a slight uptick in his power. To me, this is another bat that provides sneaky value late in the draft. Peralta is all floor though: he’s not a player you’d want to take if you’re seeking upside. (Patrick Magnus)

  1. Jose Pirela, San Diego Padres (Age:28, Previous Rank: NA)

Wait, Jose who? Pirela’s play in San Diego may have gone unnoticed by many, but he performed well in 83 games, providing an .837 OPS, 10 home runs, and 4 stolen bases. Despite batting from the right side of the plate, Pierla managed to bat .283 against RHP. His home run to fly ball rate was 10.3%, but so was his infield flyball rate against RHP, which is a bit concerning at the sustainability of his success against righties. Currently Pirela is slated to start for the Padres, and in deep leagues there’s little reason not to take a flier on a late breakout from the 28 year old. (Patrick Magnus)

  1. Kyle Lewis, Seattle Mariners (Age:23, Previous Rank:70)

Kyle Lewis is a mystery. He has been unable to spend enough time on the field in professional ball to give us any real indicators as to what kind of player he may be. Drafted as a right handed-power bat with a unorthodox swing, Lewis was supposed to be on the fast track to majors. That swing of his has shown up in his brief at-bats as a minor leaguer, posting a rather ugly strikeout rate in his 2017 campaign (30.4% in Rookie ball and 22.8% in High-A). However, he is demonstrating some knowledge of the strike zone, as he’s been walking at a decent clip at each stop thus far. A power-bat that walks and whiffs is a very acceptable skill set these days. Health, and the fact that he’s in the Seattle system, both put dents in Lewis’ value. Keep a close eye on his progression in 2018. (Patrick Magnus)

  1. Kole Calhoun, Los Angeles Angels (Age:30, Previous Rank:40)

Kole Calhoun gets no respect. My assumption is because he doesn’t do any one thing particularly well. He has a respectable approach at the plate, provides around 20 home runs, and a handful of steals. Truly he’s about as bland a player that you could imagine. A popular saying these days for describing players applies to Calhoun: “he’s less than the sum of his parts.” His average appears to be the greatest fluctuation in his game, as he’s gone from batting .270 to .245 twice in his four years in the majors. I’d expect him to continue his blandness of around 20 homers and a .260 average for years to come. That’s certainly useful in deeper leagues, and his value gets a slight bump for those of you that play in OBP leagues. (Patrick Magnus)

  1. Brett Phillips, Milwaukee Brewers (Age:24, Previous Rank:71)  

While plenty of people are excited about the Brewers outfield (myself included), my guess is that Phillips may not be as pleased. Phillips got a decent cup of coffee last year for the Brew Crew, and performed reasonably well. Slashing .276/.351/.448, one might say that his trip to the majors went swimmingly. When you dig a little deeper though, you can see that Phillips has a flawed approach at the plate. He struck out a gross 34.7%, and sported a .408 BABIP.  So, those ratios are unlikely to be sustainable. Phillips does carry a plus glove, and plus power though. If the 23 year-old could find consistent playing time, he could develop into a useful power bat whose AVG/OBP are as inconsistent as his playing time now. (Patrick Magnus)

  1. Teoscar Hernandez, Toronto Blue Jays (Age:25, Previous Rank:NA)

Another one of my fantasy crushes. I spent some time drooling over Teoscar slapping dongs on Baseball Savant for a chunk of time this off-season. Like this one. So, I’ve ended up with a few shares because I am very interested to see  the Teoscar power/speed combo in Toronto. I thought I was clever, ahead of the curve! Then, of course, the Blue Jays traded for Randal Grichuk, another player who can slap some dongs. Thus, the path for playing time I saw for the young outfielder is no longer there. Teoscar has displayed a rather inconsistent approach in the minors, with high K rates throughout each level. Still, the Speed/Power combo and home park still keeps this writer intrigued. I’ll be holding my shares and adding him to watch lists, I’d suggest you do the same. (Patrick Magnus)

  1. Randal Grichuk, Toronto Blue Jays (Age:26, Previous Rank:55)

Did you see that homerun?! Grichuk destroys baseballs. Not convinced? Here’s another one. Coincidentally enough, both of the Blue Jays’ recent OF acquisitions (Toescar and Grichuk) rank back-to-back here, and also on Baseball Savant’s Statcast Leaderboard  for Barrels/PA.  Both outfielders seem like the Blue Jays making small moves, looking to replace Bautista’s power in their lineup. Similar to Hernandez though, Grichuk’s plate approach is flawed. He too is posting a K% in the thirties.

The Cardinals were unable to use their devil magic to improve his batting eye, but maybe the change of scenery helps?  As mentioned before, the contact Grichuk does make is destructive, but he carries an “all or nothing” approach to the plate which has plagued him since he first arrived in 2014. Grichuk is worth a flier in most leagues, but don’t be sold on the power profile of the young outfielder for more than that. There’s far too much risk in Grichuk’s game to acquire him for more than a late-round pick. If he gets another 500+ ABs, maybe he’s .240 with 30+ home runs? (Patrick Magnus)

  1. Scott Schebler, Cincinnati Reds (Age:27, Previous Rank:115)

Moving on, we come across perhaps the most unnoticed .240ish, 30 homer outfielder from last year. The 27-year-old had a breakout of sorts in 2017. Selected in the 26th round of the 2010 draft, one might say that the expectations for Schebler weren’t all that high. Despite the low expectations, Schebler performed last year. I had assumed that Schebler’s power benefited from the band-box of a a stadium the Reds call home, but he actually hit more than half of his home runs on the road (17).

Schebler also appears to have been a bit unlucky in his home ballpark, as his overall numbers on the road were significantly better. He batted .263/.315/.570 on the road, while putting up an ugly slashline of .198/.298/.387 at home. There might be something to Schebler’s approach, and he may see continued success in 2018. While he may lack the pedigree and ceiling of some of those directly above him in this list, he could be a safer bet to put up another solid season. (Patrick Magnus)

  1.  Jorge Soler, Kansas City Royals (Age:25, Previous Rank:48)

Once a Cubs prospect that was supposed to be a centerpiece of their drive to a World Championship, Soler has fallen to playing behind Paulo Orlando in KC. Soler was scouted as a toolsy player who would contribute in both power and speed. Unfortunately his hitting tool just never really developed. Soler has failed to develop the offensive side of his game, and has been quite terrible defensively as well. Thus, even when playing on the lackluster roster of the Royals, Soler still finds himself without a starting job. Statcast suggests that there are still tools to dream on. In 2017 Soler carried an above average launch angle, home run distance, generated velocity, and exit velocity. He still whiffed too much in the 35 games he played, but managed to walk at a 10.9% clip. Those in OBP leagues should see if he plays himself into a starting job this spring. (Patrick Magnus)

  1. Kevin Pillar, Toronto Blue Jays (Age:29, Previous Rank:86)

If defense was a part of our game, then Pillar might be a first round pick. Pillar is an absolute joy to watch in the outfield, but he is a tragedy at the plate.  He has provided Toronto with double digit negative war in the past two seasons. Speed, if you haven’t heard, is a bit hard to come by these days in baseball. Hence, Pillar might be useful for you in a traditional 5×5 league. He’ll most likely bat somewhere between .260-.270 and steal double digit bases, and maybe even provide 10-15 home runs as well. He’ll never be helpful in the RBI department, and his inability to get on base may also limit his run potential. The outfield in Toronto is becoming increasingly crowded as well, and Pillar will be getting a raise soon. Thus he may be on the move out of the Rogers Center, which would decrease his value. I wouldn’t be surprised if we no longer have Pillar ranked in our 100 or 125 OFs in 2019. (Patrick Magnus)

101) Franchy Cordero, San Diego Padres (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

I’ve been following Franchy since he was a shortstop prospect going oppo ya-ya with ease in Rookie ball. Now he’s an outfielder and has a speed/power combo thing going for him. Some people may be scared off by that little 44.4% strikeout rate last year, and by some I mean all. He’s got some work to do whittling it back down to his 25-30% rate from the minors, but definitely has 15/20 potential. (Jim Melichar)

102 Albert Almora Jr., Chicago Cubs (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 91)

The former 1st round pick has shown excellent bat control in his first 180 games with the Cubs. He has enough power to be a doubles threat, but not enough game power to even flirt with 15 HRs. If he can continue to spray line drives around, improve his walk rate and limit the ground balls, Almora may lock down the centerfield job with the Cubs for the foreseeable future. (Jim Melichar)

103) Blake Rutherford, Chicago White Sox (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 67)

Rutherford, the former Yankees prospect now with the White Sox, has grades as high as 60 on both his hit and power tools. This makes him an exciting dynasty prospect to own. Thus far he hasn’t shown the ability to drive the ball for power, but his walk and strikeout rates have been adequate throughout his development in Rookie and Low-A. (Jim Melichar)

104) Akil Baddoo, Minnesota Twins (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR) 

Baddoo is an organizational top-25 prospect for the Twins. In his second season at rookie ball he showed the ability to double, triple and homer enough to run his ISO up to the mid 100s as well as swipe bases with his 60 speed. Has shown the ability to walk as much as he whiffs and could be a multi-category contributor with an ETA no earlier than 2022. (Jim Melichar)

105) Magneuris Sierra, Miami Marlins (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Sierra, 21, is a left-handed hitting speedster for the Marlins with a limited hit tool and even more limited power. If he can hit enough to get on base, he could someday be a threat to steal 30+ bases. He came over from the Cardinals in the Ozuna deal and will likely start the year in AA. (Jim Melichar)

106) Matt Kemp, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 33, Previous Rank: 42)

Kemp still has game power in spades, but the contact skills that made him a .290+ hitter earlier in his career have faded. His balky knees have completely eliminated his ability to steal bases as well. At age 33 he’s now stuck competing for a starting job and this will be the norm for the rest of his career. (Jim Melichar)

107) Yasmany Tomas, Arizona Diamondbacks (Age: 27, Previous Rank: 59)

Yasmany Tomas is yet another victim of the Cuban Grounder Crisis. When he’s not striking out, which is a quarter of the time, he’s killing every worm that he can find at Chase Field. Despite owning some of the best exit velocity in the game on flyballs to all fields this approach will continue to limit his output if the injuries don’t do it first. If he ever makes a batted ball profile change he’ll be a very valuable asset. (Jim Melichar)

108) Cameron Maybin, Free Agent (Age: 30, Previous Rank: 89)

Raise your hand if you haven’t owned Cameron Maybin throughout parts of the last few seasons. He does things like steal 8 bases in a week, but you’ll never get those steals into your lineup because he was on the DL two days before and you had no idea he was going to rip off five bags in one game. He’s 30 and still an asset; you just never know when he’s going to be healthy. (Jim Melichar)

109) Melky Cabrera, Free Agent (Age: 33, Previous Rank: 77)

Melky never strikes out. He also rarely walks. They are his most redeeming qualities. While the speed is gone from earlier in his career, Cabrera is great in leagues where you need someone to run up counting stats in total bases, runs and RBIs while chipping in 10-15 HRs. Even at 33, his ability to make contact hasn’t wavered. (Jim Melichar)

110) Josh Reddick, Houston Astros (Age: 31, Previous Rank: 64)

You probably think Reddick is 36 years old because it seems like he’s been around forever. At the tender age of 30 Reddick has refined his plate discipline and become a .350 OBP guy with enough speed and power to be a great moderate-to-deep league play. He’ll be in the Astros lineup through 2020 when he becomes a free agent. He’s the better, younger version of Melky Cabrera with a one slot TDG discount. (Jim Melichar)

111) Nicky Delmonico, Chicago White Sox (Age: 27, Previous Rank: NR)

Delmonico is an overlooked player for the Chicago White Sox who has enjoyed a minor breakout in walk rate, to go along with a successful reduction in K% last year (17% at Triple-A and 19% in the majors). He has enough pull field power to pop 20 homers and has a similar batted ball profile to Josh Reddick in a small sample size of major league at-bats. There could be a Tommy Pham-eque season in here. (Jim Melichar)

112) Mark Trumbo, Baltimore Orioles (Age: 32, Previous Rank: 32)

Trumbo’s exit velocity on fly balls dropped to all fields in 2017, seemingly out of nowhere. While he was previously hitting balls at 100mph to the pull side and 97 to center and 92 to the opposite field, these numbers collapsed to 96/92/90 last year. There’s likely a bounceback in the power department for Trumbo after a down season. However, at 32 we’ll have to monitor to see if this was the beginning of the end. (Jim Melichar)

113) Brian Goodwin, Washington Nationals (Age: 27, Previous Rank: NR)

Goodwin made strides last season and showed off his game power in the process. Goodwin has easy 20-25 home run power with the ability to go deep to all fields. One of the many speed/power combo players without a place to play Goodwin could take off if he was able to find a starting role somewhere outside Washington. He’s a less strikeout prone, slightly less powerful Keon Broxton. (Jim Melichar)

114) Mickey Moniak, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 19, Previous Rank: 73)

Moniak has a special bat, but he’s young. ETA in the 2022 range if he makes it. He’s a lefty, so along with learning how to hit, he’ll also have to learn to hit lefties in the process in order to make it all the way to the Phillies starting lineup. He has speed to go along with the special threat so he’s a high risk, high reward player. (Jim Melichar)

115) Carlos Gomez, Free Agent (Age: 32, Previous Rank: 52)

Gomez’ strikeout rate ballooned after the 2015 season, cratering most of his value in shallower leagues. He rebounded with Texas last year, regaining some of the power he showed with Milwaukee earlier in the decade and tossed in double-digit steals. Gomez still has the speed to run higher than average BABIPs, but with only a 7% walk rate his OBP is going to be tied to his speed from here on out. Gomez still has pull-field power to homer but even his 20/20 days are long gone. (Jim Melichar)

116) Mallex Smith, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 110)

Oddly, Smith still hasn’t been given much of a chance at the major league level despite showing plus speed and some on-base skills. He’s posted a walk rate above 8% and a K-rate around 22% and his minor league numbers show he has room for growth. If he could ever lock down a full-time job he’d be a 30+ SB fantasy asset. (Jim Melichar)

117) Keon Broxton, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 27, Previous Rank: 65)

Keon showed the ability to be a 20/20 player, albeit one with considerable warts. His sky-high strikeout rate kept him from posting a non-Alcides Escobar wOBA last year (.308). Broxton does have tremendous power to all fields, but with the additions of Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich he will need a trade out of Milwaukee to recover any of his value. (Jim Melichar)

118) Adam Haseley, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Haseley was a first round pick, #8 overall, last year to the Phillies. Nothing else is known about this man who is shrouded in mystery. It’s said that he runs a food truck filled with delicious Guatamalean fare when he’s not hitting in the cage or playing in games for Lakewood. The aspiring chef makes 80-grade chiles rellenos. (Jim Melichar)

119) Jose Martinez, St. Louis Cardinals (Age: 29, Previous Rank: NR)

Jose Martinez will win teams fantasy leagues in 2018, and despite already being 29 years old, will be criminally undervalued and underranked this auction and draft season. He should be able to run a slash line somewhere in the neighborhood of .290/.350/.490 with relative ease over the next few seasons. The OBP and AVG will be directly tied to his line drive rate, but the power will be there as he has plus exit velocity to all fields. (Jim Melichar)

120) Lazaro Armenteros, Oakland Athletics (Age: 18, Previous Rank: NR)

Lazaro, not to be confused with the Jack White Album Lazretto, which you should also own… in fact, stop what you’re doing and grab that album right now. Throw on Alone In My Home while we finish Armenteros’ write-up. This kid is 18 and a lottery ticket and like most of the Cuban players before him I’ll bet dollars to doughnuts that he’ll run too high of a GB% to be approachable in most league formats. (Jim Melichar)

121 Jose Siri, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 22, Previous Rank: NR)

Please don’t miss out on the Siri hype train. We’re talking mid-200s ISOs in rookie ball and Low-A. He should be the Reds #1 or #2 prospect within a year after we graduate Senzel, Mahle and Winker in the coming year. He’s got a little Vlad Sr. in him and you should be willing to accept the high risk/reward profile pretty easily. Buy! (Jim Melichar)

122) Christin Stewart, Detroit Tigers (Age: 24, Previous Rank: NR)

Stewart is a nearly fully baked prospect for the Tigers that should easily get a shot in Detroit in the near future. He triple-slashed .256/.335/.501 in a full year of AA and carries a high FB (43%) and LD (21%) batted ball mix. Stewart is an extreme pull-side hitter right now and compares to Marcell Ozuna in that respect as he was coming up. Like Ozuna, to be successful in the major leagues he’ll need to spread the ball around a little more as he develops. (Jim Melichar)

123) Jahmai Jones, Los Angeles Angels (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Jones is yet another prospect with a speed and limited power profile where the ISO will likely be driven by his ability to double and triple while he swipes 20+ bags. Jones maintained a ~18% strikeout rate in the low minors showing off his hit tool in the process. That number jumped to 23% in Class A Advanced, so he’ll need to continue the minor league adjustment game while he moves up the ladder for the Angels. (Jim Melichar)

124) Ben Gamel, Seattle Mariners (Age: 25, Previous Rank: NR)

The small, left-handed, slappy, kind-of-fast Mariners outfielder doesn’t have a ton of upside left at age 25. He is what he is, which is a moderately okay hitter who walks a fair amount. He’ll hit at the bottom of the Mariners lineup while he has a job in their outfield. He’d need to carry a Freddie Freeman-esque line drive rate to enjoy an elite level AVG, OBP and SLG. (Jim Melichar)

125) Jason Heyward, Chicago Cubs (Age: 28, Previous Rank: 44)

80-grade rain delay speeches. That’s all you need to know about this former top prospect who’s star has quickly faded. The exit velocity is gone, he doesn’t hit enough line drives to support your batting average category, and he won’t BABIP or walk enough to give you the .350 OBPs from days gone by. Heyward will need a crazy turnaround to not be out of baseball by the time his contract with the Cubs runs its course. (Jim Melichar)

The Author

Ian Hudson

Ian Hudson

Ian is an editor for The Dynasty Guru and a bowtie enthusiast. If you guessed one of those things about him you could probably guess the other.

He's also an attorney in Tampa, Florida.

Go Rays.

1 Comment

  1. […] 2018 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: TheDynastyGuru.com completes their rankings of the top 125 outfielders for keeper/dynasty leagues with #91-125. […]

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