Dynasty Baseball

Companion Article Series – Toronto Blue Jays

Hello Dynasty Baseball fans, and welcome to our poorly-named-yet-well-written, Companion Article Series! We will be publishing these the day after each team’s Top 10 Prospect Lists are shared. And while we will focus on the same organization, our companion pieces will not always be prospect-centric. Every author will choose to share their thoughts on whatever aspect of the team they are writing about. And if you want more than our Top 10 Lists and Companion Articles, donate $15 now to get over 20 prospects ranked per team plus access to our full rankings (pre-season, mid-year, FYPD, Org prospects). Or a $20 donation for the full rankings sheet and our Discord Channel. The link to our donation page can be found here.

 

The Godzilla of Pitching Prospects- Daniel Guerra

 

The Toronto Blue Jays farm system has been a rapidly changing group of names over the last few seasons, especially around the major league baseball trade deadline. Players have left the organization, some of which have had very high expectations like Khal Stephen, Kendry Rojas, and Arjun Nimmala. Other players have entered the system with equally high expectations coming from the draft, as seen with JoJo Parker, Cole Carlon, and of course Trey Yesavage. Even others have come into the Blue Jays minor leagues from trades, with Dasan Hill being the biggest name from this year’s trade deadline. With all of these moving parts at the top end of the farm system, the biggest thing the Toronto Blue Jays have done to jump start their minor league overhaul, is to take lesser known players and make them into household names in the prospect world. Gage Stanifer, Nolan Perry, Sean Keys, and Yohendrick Pinango to name a few over the last couple of seasons. The most talented of the group of risers just might be the most unknown to everyday fans. It is time to get to know Daniel Guerra, because he could be on the fast track to the major leagues soon.

Guerra was signed as an international free agent as an 18-year-old by the Toronto Blue Jays in June of 2022 and pitched in six games in the Dominican Summer League (DSL) that year. He did well down on the island, coming out of his 21.1 innings with an ERA of 0.84. He also had a 20.9% strikeout rate and a 17.6% walk rate in the small sample size. The next season, he moved stateside to the Florida Complex League. He threw more innings, ending up at 34.1 for the season. His ERA jumped to 5.19, but that came with a 3.81 FIP, a 22.2% strikeout rate, and a 6.3% walk rate. 2024 would see him split time between the Complex League again and then moving up to Single-A Dunedin. His innings doubled overall, up to 68, while his strikeout, walk, and FIP numbers remained consistent at both levels. As a 21-year-old, he repeated Single-A in 2025 and pushed his innings up again, this go around notching 82 of them. Like before the strikeout and walk numbers hovered around 24% and 11% respectively. His ERA was lower at 3.40 and his FIP came in at 4.57. Nothing remarkable, but you could see the potential. He was tall at 6-foot-6, had a well built frame, but could add velocity, and already showed good extension at 6.7 feet.

Over the 2025 season, Guerra averaged just shy of 94 MPH on his four-seam fastball, but was also sporting an iVB of close to 19”. He had a deep pitch mix, with six pitches, the most used ones being his four-seam fastball, a slider that had more vertical drop, a cutter which was faster and more horizontal, and a splitter/changeup.

Then came this year, a whole new Guerra was born. His strikeout rate made a noticeable jump in his 59 High-A innings, to the tune of 31.3%. This came with a similar walk rate at 11.6%, an ERA of 3.20, and a FIP at 3.50. Early in the season he was using a much improved fastball and working in his slider and cutter beautifully, along with a splitter/changeup that has become a weapon against hitters. He had three double digit strikeout games at High-A before an injury to his arm/elbow ate into his season. After a month off, he came back, completed his rehab, and has since moved on up to Double-A, where he is pitching out of the bullpen in an effort to watch his innings and potentially push for a major league debut to help the Toronto Blue Jays. He would add velocity to a bullpen that can definitely use a boost at times. When he was at Single-A this year, we got a look at how some of his pitches have made significant strides in development.

Daniel Guerra’s profile from The Stat Ranch

Guerra is now firing a four-seam fastball that averages close to 96 MPH and can touch 99 MPH, as he did in one of his Double-A games recently. His iVB is up to an elite 20” and his extension even increased to 6.8 feet. After the injury he has been mostly a three-pitch pitcher and those pitches can all be elite whiff inducing headaches for batters. That is where he has made the biggest strides this season, missing bats. He went from a 12.1% swinging strike rate in 2025, up to a star fueled 18.5% this season across five levels. He is also about to reach his third main level, moving up to Triple-A.

Guerra is a fiery competitor on the mound and a rising starting pitcher in the rankings for the Toronto Blue Jays. It is almost like the Blue Jays signed Godzilla and put a baseball jersey on him. It is such a joy to watch him pitch and compete. There are a lot of talented pitchers in the Blue Jays farm system and Guerra might be the best one. He has something most of the other pitchers don’t have: size, velocity coupled with elite iVB and extension, a Godzilla like presence on the mound, potentially great secondary pitches, and an ability to miss a lot of bats. He is commanding his pitches, maybe not to the upper echelon of some pitchers, but he combines the top end bat-missing stuff with the ability to throw strikes as needed. He is still improving and maybe we haven’t even seen the final über Godzilla form of Daniel Guerra yet. For a player only rostered in just 1% of leagues on Fantrax, he is a must add in my opinion in leagues of all sizes. The cost should be almost nothing and he could be a free add in most leagues. If he is still a prospect at this time next season, he has the potential to be a universally ranked top 100 prospect. In my opinion, this fireball throwing Godzilla already is.

The Author

Daniel Labude

Daniel Labude

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