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The Dynasty Guru’s Top 200 Starting Pitchers, #150-200

Despite a scorching hot stove (I can’t believe the player you’re thinking of did or did not sign with the team you thought they would!), January and February can be some of the darkest months of the year (figuratively and literally). But fear not, restless readers. The Dynasty Guru is here to the rescue.

While you were celebrating the holidays and ushering in the New Year, our brave group of writers has been ranking, debating, re-ranking, re-debating, and re-re-ranking over 600 players for dynasty leagues. The fruits of our efforts will be filling January and February with the deepest, most thoroughly and painstakingly selected dynasty baseball rankings on the internet. We have top-50s, top-125s, top-200s, top-500s (of course!), and even ultra-deep prospect rankings. PLUS, this season we’re including a “Where They’d Rank” section, that outlines where we would put multi-positional guys if we ranked them at their secondary positions.

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Without further ado, it’s time to continue our 2019 consensus rankings by looking at our 121-150 dynasty starting pitchers.

150. Lance Lynn, Texas Rangers (Age: 31, Previous Rank: 95 )

What team does Lance Lynn play for now?  If you are into very deep dynasty leagues, this question and discussion topic might pique your interest down at the local watering hole, but probably shouldn’t. The Texas Rangers is the correct answer. After having a solid four-year Pre-Tommy John run with the Cardinals, Lynn has had a mediocre post-Tommy John career.   Initially relegated to be the Damn Yankees long reliever, they couldn’t stomach sending Sonny Gray out to the bump every five days, and alas Lynn was allowed to start again.

Lynn’s real problems over the last several years are related to two things: control and a less effective fastball.

2011-2015 (Pre-TJ) 2017-2018 (Post TJ)
Walk Rate / 9 innings 3.23 4.07
HR rate / 9 innings .69 1.05
Strike out / 9 innings 8.99 8.32

Especially concerning is the increase in batting average against his fastball, which he likes to use between 40-50% of the time, (.256 in 2018, up from .203 in 2017, and .207 in 2015). His 2.17 FIP with the Yankees suggests he is worth monitoring to start 2019, but most projections aren’t forecasting a rebound. (Leo Brothers, Sox fanboy)

151. Jeff Samardzija, San Francisco Giants (Age: 34, Previous Rank: 60)

Enigmatic Shark—Doo Do Doo Do Do Do Doo, Enigmatic Shark— Doo Do Doo Do Do Do Doo, shout out new moms and dads.

One of the more difficult SPs to project year in and year out, he seems to always show up on sleeper or bounce-back lists. 2018 was a wash due to injury and I honestly have no idea what to expect out of Jeff Samardzija this year. I think you will find the talking heads make strong arguments for both sides. “he’s done, he’s back, he’s washed up, he’s going to return to form.”  For the sake of argument, I will say Samardzija significantly outperforms his 151 SP ranking on this list. He is ranked so low, and rightfully so, because he is 34 years old and coming off an injury-riddled season in which his body failed him.  Buyers beware, and do not reach too high (I’m thinking last pick type value), but I believe in Samardzija’s body and athleticism to turn in a serviceable performance in 2019.  This is all assuming his shoulder doesn’t fall off during spring training. Call it a gut feeling. (Leo Brothers)

152. Mike Fiers, Oakland A’s (Age: 33, Previous Rank: 191 )

For those of you who play in leagues where streaming SPs is popular, Mike Fiers has been a household name over the years.  He’s always on the waiver wire and never on the waiver wire.

Although his strikeout rate declined last year, he has had some decent K/9 rates (9.0 +) for several seasons.  Fiers is someone who probably won’t be rostered in standard leagues, but I would closely monitor his K rate at the beginning of the year, and if it looks promising, I would take a flier on Fiers [“…”- Ed].  He could be a great sleeper option this year mainly because of ballpark factors.  Fiers is a fly ball pitcher (4th in MLB in fly ball outs in 2018), now pitching in one of the friendliest flyball parks in the country (the great Oakland coliseum–#27, #29, #11, #28 out of 30 in HR rates over the last 4 seasons).  Having the speedy and electric Ramon Laureano patrol center will help his cause tremendously.  If you can’t stomach rostering Fiers, he will likely be a great streaming option again in 2019, especially in his home starts at the Coliseum. (Leo Brothers)

153. Brandon Woodruff, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 26, Previous Rank: 153)

Brandon Woodruff is an interesting player. A former top prospect within the Brewers system, coming off a very solid 2018 campaign who is still young and coming into his prime years.  Checks a lot of boxes for me.  Anyone with a pulse could tell by watching the 2018 playoffs that Woodruff has talent, and in my opinion untapped potential. He had a strong strikeout per 9 (9.99), and his 3.61 ERA was even possibly a bit high, supported by his 3.30 FIP and 3.36 xFIP. Checks more boxes.

He also hit a 407-foot missile in Game 1 of the NLCS off the weak-kneed, vomit on his sweater already, nervous wreck playoff form of Clayton Kershaw. My man crush was solidified. What’s holding him back you might ask? Usage.  It’s difficult to predict how Craig Counsell and the Brewers will use Woodruff.  If he earns a consistent spot in the rotation, I’m buying and believe he will outperform his rank on this list by a lot.  If he is continued to be used as an opener, and middle innings guy, he is not worth rostering. ( Leo Brothers) 

154. Logan Allen, San Diego Padres (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

Logan Allen has proven himself at each stop along the way in the minors.  He has pitched his way into the conversation of top pitching prospects and could compete for a rotation spot this year. These are the type of guys I love to follow closely.  With a career minor league strike out per nine rate above 9, he has proven yearly he can miss bats.  His control could come back to haunt him as he does sport a high walk rate and has likely gotten away with that in the minors.  The high walk rate and low BABIP explain his FIP of 5.16 in Triple-A last year, even though he carded a 1.63 ERA.   It was a short stint so I would not read much into that.  If he can keep his walk rate in the 2s per 9, I would take a flier on him. (Leo Brothers)

155. Domingo German, New York Yankees (Age: 26, Previous Rank: NR)

Domingo German had a decent year in his rookie season with the Yankees.  Not great, but not as bad as his counting stats would have you think.  His FIP was more than a run lower than his ERA, and he has a great K rate, which has been consistent throughout his minor league career as well.  However, for me he screams bullpen transition, because of his glaring pitch mix issues.  Both his fastball and curveball are very good, but his inability to throw a changeup effectively allows hitters to cheat, which supports the reason his HR rate skyrocketed in the big leagues. His change-up sits only around 8 MPH lower than his fastball, and at the end of last year was only 5-7 MPH slower. The differential really needs to be in the 10-15 MPH range to have an effect. This is less than ideal for a pitch he’s throwing 20% of the time.  I’m selling Domingo German as a starting pitcher unless he can develop a reliable 3rd pitch. (Leo Brothers)

156. Lucas Giolito, Chicago White Sox (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 62)

Honestly it’s a miracle Giolito made it an entire year at the MLB level last year.  He had a case of the Knoblauch Yips (very bad for pitchers), but because the White Sox haven’t played meaningful games for a decade, they kept handing him the ball, hoping the experience would help him for their competitive window (soon!).  There is one reason to blame for Giolito’s ineffectiveness: command. The great strikeout-to-walk ratios seen in the minors as a top prospect vanished. Additionally, his inability to start games efficiently (9+ ERA, .919 OPS against in 1st two innings of games, but .684 OPS in innings 3-6), leads me to believe his problem is between the ears, not a mechanical one.

He committed himself to fix the problem over the offseason, by taking part in 20 “neurofeedback” sessions.  He claims to now draw more confidence by focusing on his breath (lots of scientific evidence about benefits of controlling your breathing). The tools are there, and I would not give up yet. Monitor the early innings and walk rates to begin the season. If Giolito can figure it out between the ears, he could become Dave Duncan’s new pet project. (Leo Brothers)

157. Chase Anderson, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 31, Previous Rank: 82)

Chase Anderson has had one pretty good year in his career, 2017. The success can be attributed to a career-high K rate, career best HR rate, and very close to career-best walk rate.  Digging into 2017 shows career highs in fastball velocity, but interestingly below career average usage of his fastball.  He mixed his cutter in a lot more in 2017 than in 2018. 2018 was a disappointing year for Chase, who was a popular breakout player pick in fantasy leagues.  Although his ERA only ballooned to 3.93 in 2018, his FIP and xFIP indicate worse performance than that, both hovering around 5.00.  Craig Counsell wasn’t fooled by his ERA, as Anderson didn’t even make an appearance in the Brewers’ deep playoff run.  I’m not convinced he’s worth holding onto in league, but I would monitor his velocity and walk rates to start the season. If they look promising, maybe he could return to 2017 form? (Leo Brothers)

158. Daniel Norris, Detroit Tigers (Age 25, Previous Rank: 92)

Daniel Norris has had a tough go of things over the last 5-6 years.  The prized prospect return from the Blue Jays for the David Price trade several years ago has underwhelmed to date, having been bitten by the injury bug seemingly every year. He lives in a van for the offseason (his choice), beat cancer in 2015 (f*** cancer), and has battled lingering groin issues.  All of that sucks, but what hurts the most is giving up a 46% hard-hit rate (>95 MPH+) in 2018. His velocity was way down in 2018, and his hard hit rate ranked him 541st out of 558 in all eligible MLB pitchers last year. That is not a typo. He is still competing for a rotation spot in lowly Detroit this year, and did go through a rigorous martial arts training regiment in the offseason to hopefully regain some velocity and strengthen his core, but I’m still skeptical. (Leo Brothers)

159. Mike Leake, Seattle Mariners (Age: 31, Previous Rank: 118)

By this point I think it’s safe to assume we know what we are going to get with Mike Leake. He’s a journeyman, veteran arm who knows how to pitch because he’s never been able to overpower guys.  The kind of guy who is more valuable in real baseball because he can eat innings and keep your team in a game. This feels like a fair ranking for Mike Leake.  I would expect more of the same, around a 4-4.25 ERA, 1.25-1.3 WHIP, and 100-125 Ks on the year. (Leo Brothers)

160. Jake Odorizzi, Minnesota Twins(Age: 28, Previous Rank: 134)

A popular sleeper pick last year who never really lived up to the sleeper hype, whatever that means.  Jake Odorizzi is a solid pitcher, who has always had a strong K rate, and put together a couple of solid years with the Rays with mid 3 ERAs and mid-teen WHIPs.  His last two seasons he has had a 3.8 walks per nine, which is up significantly from his previous marks in the mid 2s. He probably will start the season on the waiver wire in most leagues, but monitor his walk rate, and if he gets down under that 3 per 9 inning rate, I think he will definitely outperform his ranking here, and will be worth a flier/streaming for starts. (Leo Brothers)

161. Cal Quantrill, San Diego Padres (Age 24, Previous Rank 82)

Cal Quantrill was a 1st round pick 2016, and because of that has moved quickly, but I’m not convinced he is a prospect worth investing in. He doesn’t do anything spectacular, has seemingly average stuff with average command.  He’s the kind of guy that could become much more valuable to a team in real baseball rather than fantasy baseball. He could become a back end rotation guy who will keep your real MLB team in games, but never really dominate or rack up high K totals, thus limiting his fantasy value. (Leo Brothers)

162. Taylor Widener, Arizona Diamondbacks (Age: 24, Previous Rank: NR)

Similar to Logan Allen, Widener is a guy who is pitching his way onto top prospect lists and high rankings.  He was drafted in the 12th round in 2016, and has torn up all levels of the minors so far.  He has a phenomenal strikeout rate and does a good job of limiting his walks.  His FIP and xFIP are consistent with his great ERA numbers as well. I like guys like this who prove themselves and earn their promotions by dominating the competition.  Most scouting reports I’ve seen agree he has an above average future grade on all four of his pitches.  That fact alone, in combination with a low walk rate, is a great mix for success.  If he pitches well in Triple-A, he could be a quick mover and make his MLB debut this year. I like what I see so far. (Leo Brothers)

163. Mike Minor, Texas Rangers (Age: 31, Previous Rank: NR)

If you are quickly glancing at stats and not paying close attention, you would think Mike Minor had a stellar 2017 season.  Looking at his counting stats and strike our rate would certainly indicate so, but understanding context is critical here.  Mike Minor was in the bullpen all year for the Royals that year, and was pumping cheddar! His velocity was way up with the shortened relief pitcher outings.  Fast forward to present day, and the Rangers have just named him their opening day starter. WTF. As an aside, the Rangers rotation consists of Mike Minor, Lance Lynn, Drew Smyly, Edinson Volquez, Jason Hammel, and Shelby Miller. Double WTF.  I don’t think Mike Minor is terrible, but see Mike Leake blurb and projected stat line, with maybe slightly higher K totals.  He did display some enticing spin rates and strikeout rates on his changeup in the second half of 2018, but I’m not ready to buy yet. (Leo Brothers)

164. Enyel De Los Santos, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

I see serious bullpen risk with Enyel De Los Santos’ profile.  At the moment he seems to trust two of his pitches, fastball and changeup.  Although the sample size was very small in his 19 innings pitched last year, by the end he was throwing fastball / changeup 90% of the time.  He must develop a reliable breaking ball in order to become a Starting pitcher in the big leagues. Big leaguers hit .400 off his curveball last year, so it’s clear that pitch will require some work. (Leo Brothers)

165. Fernando Romero, Minnesota Twins (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 88)

Fernando Romero was a former top pitching prospect with the Twins who throws gas. With a current 70-grade fastball and plus slider, Romero made his debut last season and his results were a bit underwhelming. Lacking a reliable 3rd pitch, we see this time and time again with big league hitters. His changeup got hammered last year, and because hitters were able to zone in on fastball or slider, he didn’t have the results you would expect from a 70-grade fastball. Because of this, the Twins have just announced he was relegated to the bullpen this season.  It’s an interesting move and his usage in the pen is definitely worth monitoring.  Initially, if the Twins give him the ball in high leverage hold situations, he could be one his way to becoming their next LaTroy Hawkins, Glenn Perkins, or maybe even Joe Nathan. (Leo Brothers)

166. Jordan Montgomery, New York Yankees (Age: 26, Previous Rank: 75)

Jordan Montgomery had a solid debut in 2017 with the Yankees, starting 29 games, throwing 150+ innings, striking out almost a batter per inning, and turning in an ERA under four with a FIP to support. Unfortunately, his luck ran out in 2018 as he went under the knife in early June.  This puts him out until likely July, assuming no setbacks, and I’m not sure the Yankees will need or want to bring him up. I would expect them to be in a pennant race and adding depth through trades if they are searching for missing pieces. I don’t see any reason to roster Jordan Montgomery until he shows he can pitch well again, which could be 2020. (Leo Brothers)

167. Daniel Poncedeleon, St. Louis Cardinals (Age: 27, Previous Rank: NR)

I’m going to tell you something about Daniel Poncedeleon that might win you big money in a potential backroom baseball trivia night, but someone fact check me please!  He is the only player to my knowledge drafted four separate times. [Matt Harrison was drafted every year from 2000-2005- Ed.] Drafted in 2010, 2012, 2013, and 2014, he finally signed with the St Louis Cardinals after stops at four separate universities.   Talk about facing some adversity and continuing to pursue your dreams.  The dude also got nailed with a line drive in the head in 2017, which resulted in a fight for his life and emergency surgery, not to mention a lost season. He performed well at each stop during the minors and got a call up to the show last year. He pitched pretty well, even if his FIP and xFIP suggest not as quite as well as his sparkling 2.73 ERA.  His FIP and xFIP are significantly higher than ERA in most of his previous seasons, so maybe they aren’t as reliable in evaluating his performance. He needs to develop another pitch, and unfortunately his usage is a complete unknown.  If he makes some starts, I think he’s worth a look, especially as a streaming option. (Leo Brothers)

168. Yonny Chirinos, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 25, Previous Rank: NR)

My man Yonnny came out of the gates hot last year, surprising most everyone by not only making the squad, but also pitching his way into the rotation and pitching quite well.  Things came to a halt in June.  He’s an interesting arm, and one I think has potential, but I’m not buying Yonny for two reasons: 1) his usage is an unknown at this point, and 2) he’s a sinkerball pitcher (greater than 50% usage) with MLB hitters batting .319 off his sinker in 2018. Maybe it’s an anomaly, but intuitively a sinker ball pitcher making the majority of his starts on astroturf (rays and blue jays) doesn’t sound like a smart buy either. (Leo Brothers)

169. Anibal Sanchez, Washington Nationals (Age: 35, Previous Rank: NR)

Anibal had a resurgent 2018 after an abysmal three year run between 2015-2017. He had the second highest K% of his career and second lowest ERA (2013 being the career year). His success stemmed from a vastly improved cutter that helped his changeup play up even more. He was rewarded with a two-year contract from the Nationals, and seems like a good bet for 125-150 innings with a mid 3.00’s ERA and good all around statistics. If you’re competing he’s a great guy to fill the back end of your roster with as he should come cheaply. Don’t sleep on him. (Kyler Jesanis)

170. Ryan Borucki, Toronto Blue Jays (Age 25, Previous Rank: NR)

Borucki is probably underrated here for deep leagues. He was about as successful in his 2018 major league debut as you could ask a back-end starter to be with a 3.87 ERA (3.80 FIP) in 97 innings. The changeup-focused, groundball pitcher went deep into games for most of his time. He doesn’t get a lot of strikeouts, but otherwise should be a reliable fantasy contributor for the next few years. If available, grab him while you can. – EJ Fagan

171. Dennis Santana, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age 23, Previous Rank: NR)

I think Santana is a pretty good major league pitcher. A shoulder injury stole most of his 2018 season, but he put up a 2.54 ERA with 12 K/9 in the 49 high-minors innings he managed to pitch. He also has a plus fastball/slider/changeup combination. At the same time, Santana is behind Ross Stripling and Julio Urias on the Triple-A depth chart, let alone the major league rotation. While he might get some playing when the Dodgers cycle him up, fantasy owners might prefer he retain his rookie eligibility rather than provide a few innings here and there throughout the season. He should be owned, but Santana might never earn enough playing time to justify a long term dynasty roster spot. – EJ Fagan

172. Tony Santillan, Cincinnati Reds (Age 22, Previous Rank: NR)

Unlike a lot of other players at the bottom end of this list, Santillan is a conventional prospect. He’s a 70 fastball righty with good enough control and some success in the upper minor leagues. He should be on any dynasty owner’s radar. His 3.61 ERA in 60 innings after a mid-season promotion to Double-A certainly put him on the Reds’ radar for their 2019 rotation. If he starts the season off strong, Santillan’s big fastball could contribute to fantasy teams in late-2019. – EJ Fagan

173. Daniel Mengden, Oakland Athletics (Age: 26, Previous Rank: NR)

Mengden is one of those sneaky WHIP specialists. He’s a contact-oriented, fly ball pitcher with great control. That combination leads to a lot of runs (4.64 career ERA, although it’s more like 4.00 in the last two years) and not a lot of innings, but it did allow him to post an impressive 1.115 WHIP in 2018. He’s not good enough in the other categories to be worth a roster spot in most formats, but if 160 innings with a strong WHIP and okay ERA are okay with you, Mengden is probably available. -EJ Fagan

174. Trevor Richards, Miami Marlins (Age: 26, Previous Rank: NR)

Sometimes, dynasty players will come late to prospects with unconventional pedigrees. Richards has an unconventional pedigree. Richards played for Drury University, an otherwise-unheralded D2 baseball program. After graduation, he played for a season-and-half for the Gateway Grizzlies in the Frontier League. The Marlins liked what they saw, and signed the 23 year-old right-handed starter in mid-2016. His 91 mph fastball didn’t turn many heads, but a plus changeup and great control did. He rocketed through the minors, earning an early promotion to the minors in 2018. Richards put up a 4.42 ERA (4.05 FIP) in 126 innings and 25 starts. With secure playing time and lots of room to grow, Richards could be an under-the-radar stand out in 2019. – EJ Fagan

175. Austin Gomber, St. Louis Cardinals (Age: 25, Previous Rank: NR)

If you could guarantee Austin Gomber a path to 30 starts in the major leagues, he might be worth owning in deep leagues. The 6’5” lefty starter has a minor league history similar to the Yankees’ Jordan Montgomery. He steadily rose through the minors, and had a solid 4.44 ERA (4.03 FIP) in his major league debut. The problem is that he is at least 6th on the Cardinals starting depth chart at the moment. While he will probably see consistent action at some point this season, you can’t bet on it. However, he has also exhausted his rookie eligibility in most leagues, so you can’t stash him in the minors. If you have a roster spot, he’s an interesting pick in any league where a low-4s ERA innings eater is valuable. – EJ Fagan

176. Jake Faria, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 25, Previous Rank: 80)

Faria’s stock is falling fast. A year ago, he was an interesting prospect who popped out of the Rays system to post a 3.43 ERA (4.10 FIP) in half a season. A year and a 5.40 ERA later, he’s probably not worth owning. There were always questions about if Faria had the talent to be a productive major league player, and they seem to have been answered. To make matters worse, even a moderately-productive version of Faria is likely to lose wins and quality starts to Rays openers. He’s worth owning if you have a roster spot and absolutely nothing better to use it on, but other than that pass on Faria and seek more upside. – EJ Fagan

177. Cionel Perez, Houston Astros (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

Perez started 11 games in the minors last year, so we have him listed under starting pitchers. However, he’s probably a major league middle relief pitcher for the foreseeable future. He’s a 5’11” left-handed pitcher with a 95 mph fastball and strong slider/changeup combination. His control evaded him in his brief major league debut (5.56 BB/9), but he has posted better walk rates in the past. He might be valuable in a holds league, but don’t expect starts or saves out of Perez any time soon. – EJ Fagan

178. Michael Pineda, Minnesota Twins (Age: 30, Previous Rank: 117)

We normally think about toolsy but flawed prospects when we talk about lottery ticket players in fantasy baseball. We rarely think about players like Michael Pineda. The big right-handed pitcher hasn’t played since 2017, when he went down with an injury. For the previous three years, he had been a bit of a FIP/ERA anomaly, with a 4.10 ERA and a 3.42 FIP. Pineda had good stuff and great control, but had a home run problem. After Tommy John surgery and 18 months off, he will get another chance with the Twins. Pineda will probably be terrible, but there’s a reasonable chance that he’ll actually be a mid-3s ERA guy with a sneaky-good WHIP. For this price, he’s a potential difference-maker for a team. If he’s on waivers, play the lottery. – EJ Fagan

179. Jaime Barria, Los Angeles Angels (Age: 22, Previous Rank: NR)

Did you know that Jaime Barria had a 3.41 ERA in 129 major league innings as a 21 year-old? I didn’t. That alone should get Barria noticed. Unfortunately, he also had a 4.58 FIP, and is primarily a low-strikeout fly-ball pitcher. While Los Angeles is one of the better places to be a fly ball pitcher, Barria is probably due for some hard regression on batted balls. That said, he has a strong minor league track record, and his skills should improve as he ages. Barria is another interesting lottery ticket to pick up, especially for a non-contending team who could benefit from a Barria breakout for the next decade. – EJ Fagan

180) Anthony DeSclafani, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 28, Previous Rank: 154)

On the surface, DeSclafani’s return from a 2017 UCL injury was not a success, featuring a 4.93 ERA, and a 1.9 HR/9 which was a huge spike from his three prior major league seasons. However, his xFIP of 3.86 last season was 51st of 140 pitchers who threw 100 or more innings, showing that he ran into some bad luck. The WHIP of 1.29 wasn’t terrible, his fastball (94.1 mph on average) and K-rate of 22% were both the best of his career. It may just have been a matter of the command not being back yet after the time off. Our low ranking reflects the leftover risk of a UCL injury that was not repaired with Tommy John surgery. Nonetheless, DeSclafani should be a good bounce-back candidate on an improved Reds team to target late in 2019 drafts. (Bob Osgood)

181) Nick Kingham, Pittsburgh Pirates (Age: 27, Previous Rank: NR)

Kingham made his first major league appearance on April 29, which happened to be his finest outing of the season, allowing one hit and striking out nine, over seven innings. It also seemed to set false expectations for those who rushed to pick him up on waivers, when in fact Kingham was not considered much of a prospect in recent years. He bounced between AAA and Pittsburgh a few times throughout the season. Kingham’s 3.61 ERA over 62 innings at AAA numbers seemed deserving of a call-up, but a 5.21 ERA and 18 HRs allowed in 76 innings with Pittsburgh, thanks in part to an unlucky 18.9 HR/FB rate, will not guarantee him a rotation spot to start the season. Kingham is being drafted outside of the top 500, and is not worth chasing in drafts this year, but could be a free agent streamer throughout the season in the right matchup, with a reasonable 8+ K/9. (Bob Osgood)

182) Danny Salazar, Cleveland Indians (Age: 29, Previous Rank: 69)

Forearm tightness, elbow inflammation, shoulder surgery, other combinations involving these words. This has, unfortunately, become the story of Salazar’s once-promising career. His K-rate has always been elite, with the last season on the mound featuring a 12.7% K/9 in 103 IP in 2017. Shoulder surgery caused Salazar to miss the 2018 season and he will not be ready for opening day, dropping him from down 114 spots from last year. Now 29 years old, I would expect Cleveland to deploy him as a multi-inning reliever in the bullpen, with a couple of days of rest in between appearances. There is some value in that role considering Salazar’s strikeout rate, provided that you can stash him in a DL spot to start the season. (Bob Osgood)

183) Beau Burrows, Detroit Tigers (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 177)

Burrows is a 6’2″, 200 lb RHP who spent the entire season at AA in 2018 at only 21 years old. While his numbers have not been dominant, Burrows has held his own at each level in his four minor league seasons. In 41 starts at AA over two seasons, his 8.7 K/9 has been solid enough, but will need to improve upon a 3.8 BB/9. Burrows has thrown over 130 innings each of the last two years, with a solid baseline to push that to 150 this season. With a fastball that touches 95 mph, to go along with a curve, slider, and change, Burrows seems to project as a safe back-end starter in the rotation that could reach the big leagues as early as 2019. (Bob Osgood)

184) Drew Pomeranz, San Francisco Giants (Age: 30, Previous Rank: 65)

I will try not to focus too much on Pomeranz’s 2018, but it is hard not to. In 74 major league innings, he was 2-6 with a 6.08 ERA. He even managed to give up 8 home runs in 25 minor league innings on rehab appearances. From September 1st on, when Pomeranz was clearly fighting for a spot on the playoff roster, he appeared in seven games in relief, retiring only 22 of the 41 batters he faced, with an 11.05 ERA, and 2.32 WHIP. After being left off the ALDS and ALCS rosters, he was inexplicably rostered for the World Series where he promptly threw zero innings and was not even deployed in an 18 inning game 3, in which Nathan Eovaldi threw 6+ innings in relief despite having also pitched in games 1 and 2. Drew Pomeranz: 2018 World Series Champion.

The main issue seemed to be the two MPH loss in velocity, down to 89 MPH, and way too close in velocity to his cutter and change up. I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention that Pomeranz was 28-18, with a 3.32 ERA in his previous two seasons, with a 9.4 K/9. The Giants felt that track record was worth a one-year deal, where he will likely be their 5th starter. If he’s back throwing in the 91-92 range in spring training, feel free to throw a dollar on him in an NL-only league. I, personally, will not. (Bob Osgood)

185) Joey Wentz, Atlanta Braves (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 168)

Wentz is one of many intriguing pitching prospects in the Braves system, but a 2018 season that included a couple of undisclosed injuries has pushed him down many prospect lists heading into 2019. The left-hander only totaled 67 innings in his first season at high-A and his strikeout rate was only 20%, but a 2.28 ERA and only 3 home runs surrendered were still solid results. After some questionable early season outings, Wentz came on in his last 8 appearances (36 innings) going 2-2, with a 1.00 ERA and did not allow a home run. Wentz can touch the mid-90s with his fastball, along with a curve ball, but his best pitch is considered the change-up, which is ranked as a 60-grade pitch on FanGraphs. There may be some buy-low opportunity here, but Wentz will need to build his innings back up over the next couple of years to crack what may be a loaded Braves rotation in a couple of years. (Bob Osgood)

186) Jose Urena, Miami Marlins (Age: 27, Previous Rank: 188)

Moving up from 188 to 186 on The Dynasty Guru’s starting pitcher list sums up Urena’s existence in fantasy circles. Few players are added and dropped throughout the season more than him. In the last two years, Urena has thrown 170+ innings each season, starting a total of 59 games, with a 23-19 record, 3.90 ERA, and 1.23 WHIP over that span. Not terrible! He’s also hit the most batters in the NL over that span, 26. Maybe that pitch to Acuna did just get away. After that incident, Urena went 6-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his final seven starts. Perhaps he found something in this stretch, or perhaps an unheard of 100% left-on-base percentage over the last five starts was the key. Either way, Urena will likely start on opening day for Miami and get plenty of innings with limited wins in 2019. “Jose Urena: Not terrible.” (Bob Osgood)

187) Shelby Miller, Texas Rangers (Age: 28, Previous Rank: NR)

Miller has not had an effective season since 2015, and has since endured a long road back from Tommy John surgery in 2017. His comeback in June of 2018 was short-lived, cut short by elbow inflammation that ended his season outside of one late-season appearance. It’s important to note that the second year removed from Tommy John surgery is when pitchers tend to get their command back, and that Miller is only 28 years old. Upon arriving to spring training, Miller said his expectations are, “Hopefully an All-Star year,” confident after his arm felt good at the very end of 2018. Miller is basically going for free in drafts of all sizes, and will have plenty of opportunities to throw innings in a poor rotation on paper. (Bob Osgood)

188) Matt Shoemaker, Toronto Blue Jays (Age: 32, Previous Rank: 170)

Keeping the theme of oft-injured pitchers alive, Matt Shoemaker has only thrown 109 innings over the last two seasons with the Angels, due to forearm injuries. He signed as a free agent with the Blue Jays going into 2019 and is currently going outside of the top 400 in redraft leagues. When healthy throughout the years, Shoemaker can ride his very good split-finger on a run of 5 or 6 solid starts in a row and can be valuable if you can pick him up at the start of that stretch. Bank on one or two DL trips, but if Shoemaker can throw 100 innings he’ll provide value with where he’s going, providing a solid K-rate that has been over 8 K/9 over the past few seasons. (Bob Osgood)

189) Shane Baz, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

A first-round pick by Pittsburgh in 2017, Baz was sent to Tampa last summer in the Chris Archer deal. Having only pitched in rookie ball so far, Baz’s stuff appears to trend towards a future starter with two plus pitches, fastball and slider, while also throwing a curveball, and a changeup that will hopefully improve over time to feature a third good pitch. In 52 innings in 2018, Baz struck out 59, but allowed 33 on base by walk or HBP, while also throwing 12 wild pitches. Baz will need to harness these early control issues, but at 19 years old has plenty of time to do so. (Bob Osgood)

190) Albert Abreu, New York Yankees (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 152)

Albert Abreu has long been a darling of scouts. He has good size and multiple plus pitches that scream projection and development. That said, neither the results nor health have been there for Abreu, and he seems more likely to be turned into a reliever. Some scouts think he can be an absolutely dominant one, so it’s not an awful fallback for his fantasy value. The Yankees have been excellent at developing pitchers. If you’re looking for a high upside dart throw who is deceptively close to the Show, Abreu is a good one. (Kyler Jesanis)

191) Deivi Garcia, New York Yankees (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Deivi is a really fascinating prospect. He has absolutely dominated every level he has been at, has an elite fastball and curveball combo. He made it all the way to AA last year (albeit for one nominal start) as a 19 year old. The main knock on him is his small stature, as he is only 5’10” and is maybe 170 pounds soaking wet. Most scouts do not think he will be a starter who will get to 170-200 innings a year, often comparing him to Rich Hill and Lance McCullers Jr. The McCullers comparison is especially apt given size and repertoire. If you like projecting on minor league stats and betting against limits scouts place on payers for their size, Deivi is a great target. (Kyler Jesanis)

192) Matt Strahm, San Diego Padres (Age: 27, Previous Rank: NR)

Strahm was absolutley dominant as a reliever in 2018 after coming back from injuries in 2017. He ended up finishing the year in the rotation, but was more a nominal starter as he only got through 13 innings in his 5 starts. That said he is getting a chance in a currently thin Padres MLB rotation (that farm is coming though), and has a very fantasy friendly game with the potential to be a quality starter for fantasy teams. He’s a great dart throw for his high upside, and even if he doesn’t make it as a starter he’s good enough as a reliever to contribute to your team. (Kyler Jesanis)

193) Tyson Ross, Detroit Tigers (Age: 32, Previous Rank: NR)

Ross only being 32 actually surprised me, as it feels he’s been around forever. He was a valuable back end starter in 2018 for fantasy squads before he was traded to the Cardinals and relegated to the bullpen. He’s in a similar spot this year for the Tigers and might be traded to a poor spot again, but he’s reliable when he does take the mound. Pitching in Detroit should help, as well as the AL Central. If you’re competing and need to round out your rotation cheaply, Ross is a solid target. (Kyler Jesanis)

194) Cole Winn, Texas Rangers (Age: 19, Previous Rank: NR)

Cole Winn was the safest, and arguably the best,  high school pitcher in the 2018 MLB draft. He has the stuff to be a real life and fantasy #3 or #4 starter, and could move quicker than you’d expect from a high school pitcher given he’s nearly maxed out physically and has good command at the moment. He’s under the radar at the moment, but a good pro debut could have him leaping up 60-70 spots on our list this time next year. (Kyler Jesanis)

195) Marco Estrada, Oakland Athletics (Age: 35, Previous Rank: 103)

Estrada received the biggest gift to his fantasy value by being plucked by the A’s to fill one of the spots in the rotation (can someone please sign Big Game James soon for the love of God). Estrada has been bad for 2 years in a row, but he landed in arguably the best park for him. Estrada induces more pop ups than most, and more fly balls than most, so playing in the spacious colliseum could work out swimmingly. He’s not quite my next Clayton Richard, but I do think think there is some bounce back potential here. The A’s have worked wonders before, and Estrada was really good for fantasy owners in 2015 and 2016. He’s more a waiver wire monitor for the moment, but he is a nice dart throw if you’re competing. (Kyler Jesanis)

196) Rogelio Armenteros, Houston Astros (Age: 24, Previous Rank: NR)

Armenteros has long been the darling of stat-line scouters and projection systems. The ZiPS system in particular loves Armenteros for 2019.  The numbers he has put up in the minor leagues have been impressive, and he is knocking on the door of the big leagues and there is some opportunity in the Astro’s starting pitching depth chart. Armenteros has a unique funky delivery filled with deception. He has three pitches, and might settle in as a Josh Collmenter type of swingman who gets by on guile and swag. If you like projecting from stats, Armenteros is a good watch list guy in a 16 team league. (Kyler Jesanis)

197) Tyler Anderson, Colorado Rockies (Age: 29, Previous Rank: 162)

Jonathan Merkel and I love us some Tyler Anderson. He isn’t great, and pitching in Coors always sucks. Anderson induces more swings and misses than you’d expect (11.9%, top 20 among qualified starters) and he can very easily increase his k/9 to over 9.00. He seems a few tweaks/adjustments away from turning into a good mid-rotation real life and fantasy starter, but for now he’s a solid back end starter who helps in ks more than the average back end guy. FWIW, he is the odd Coors character that actually pitches better at home than on the road (another oddity that increases my love more). (Kyler Jesanis)

198) Alec Hansen, Chicago White Sox (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 72)

Boy oh boy 2018 was an absolute disaster. Hansen struggled with injuries and performance. He couldn’t find the plate, walking more than a batter and an inning. Hansen still has elite pedigree and fantastic physical stuff and size, so he’s still a high upside target. But…that 2018 was so so so so bad….help yourself out and look at scouting reports before the 2018 season, give him a mulligan for injuries, and cross your fingers. He could leap up to top 50 on this list a year from now if it all clicks in 2019, just don’t get your hopes too high. (Kyler Jesanis)

199) Ryan Helsley, St. Louis Cardinals (Age: 24, Previous Rank: NR)

Helsley has an elite fastball, and was a fixture on the Fringe Five for a while as he always performed better than expected in the minors. He does have more than just his fastball, and has the repertoire to be a starter before the Cardinal Devil Magic sets in. The team is just so deep it’s just difficult seeing Helsley getting an extended look in their rotation. If you’re in a buy talent not role type of situation, Helsley’s a decent guy for the back end of your team. (Kyler Jesanis)

200) Hans Crouse, Texas Rangers (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Crouse has big time stuff and has a successful but brief 2018 season. The Rangers are bringing him along slowly as Crouse is a lanky mammoth who is still physically developing. Msot scouts predict he’ll move to the bullpen because of his awkward size, the limited depth of his repertoire, and limited command projection. But if you like betting on pure upside, Crouse is one of the best bets in A ball. (Kyler Jesanis)

The Author

Kyler Jesanis

Kyler Jesanis

Kyler is a college admission counselor, currently residing in Rhode Island. An avid fantasy baseball player, Kyler has experience in deep leagues. The smallest league he currently plays in rosters 900 players. He has played in traditional 10/12/14 man leagues, both head-to-head and roto. With a wide array of interests, Kyler plans to dive in deep to a variety of topics, but primarily focusing on vouching for unheralded players.

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