78 Comments

1. 

   Stormin' Norman

   July 1, 2013 at 8:31 am

   I’m loving it. Surprised to see Upton and Castro still so high after the last two months they’ve put up. At least Castro is sort of showing signs of turning it around.

   I’d watch out for Franco; even though Parks isn’t convinced, he’s putting up numbers comparable to Sano and if he can keep it up for another half season, it’ll look like much less of a fluke.

   All in all, great list and now it’s time to exploit it as much as possible in my league.

   • 

     Craig Goldstein

     July 1, 2013 at 9:43 am

     Has Parks been down on Franco? I recall him thinking he was a breakout candidate, which he’s certainly been. Not being Sano isn’t a knock on someone.

     • 

       Steve White

       July 1, 2013 at 11:03 am

       Parks recently mentioned on twitter that he really doesn’t like Franco’s setup or “load” before his swing and that it leaves him a bit off balance. Also doesn’t help that he has 20-grade speed.

     • 

       Craig Goldstein

       July 1, 2013 at 11:10 am

       From the offseason write up:

       “Fantasy Future: Has the potential to be an impact bat at the highest level, with plus power potential and a hit tool that should play. Lacks speed and isn’t a great defensive third baseman, but has a chance to stay at the position if the body stays under control.

       The Year Ahead: If Franco brings his swing from last August to the Florida State League in 2013, his prospect status will explode and he could be sitting atop this list in short order. He can generate excellent bat speed and leverage, but he doesn’t always show the best bat control, and better pitchers with better stuff can exploit that kind of a weakness. Franco has an impact bat, but he’s still raw and needs to let the game come to him. He can play fast and loose, and while that might work in the lower minors, a more advanced level will require a more advanced overall approach. This kid could be very good.”

       He was ranked #2 in the Phillies system. I hear what you’re saying but he definitely hasn’t been down on the kid.

     • 

       Stormin' Norman

       July 1, 2013 at 12:59 pm

       I didn’t say he was down on him, just not convinced. He even posted a tweet the other day about the swing.

     • 

       Craig Goldstein

       July 1, 2013 at 1:04 pm

       My mistake. Sorry for misconstruing!

2. 

   Mark

   July 1, 2013 at 9:14 am

   Only a small jump for Jason Kipnis? Was figuring it would be bigger with the season he is having combined with his age and shallow position. Also, how soon do you see Profar fulfilling his top 40 potential, and where does he play long term with Texas? Thanks for the hard work, it is such a valuable resource to those of us who love this game.

   • 

     The Dynasty Guru

     July 1, 2013 at 9:43 am

     Kipnis is on the rise, but I want to see this for a whole season before giving him a big spike. He had similar fantasy numbers through July 1 last year and then fell apart:

     Apr-Jun 2012: .275 w/ 11 HR & 19 SB
     Apr-Jun 2013: .299 w/ 12 HR & 19 SB

     As far as Profar, I think the performance will come as soon as he’s playing everyday. He’s been impressive thus far without the benefit of consistent playing time.

     • 

       Bryan

       August 4, 2013 at 5:29 pm

       Pedroia is 18th on this list, and Kipnis is 73rd. Given the long-term durability concerns regarding second basemen as they enter their 30s, I could easily argue I’d take the three years of youth Kipnis has on his side over the older Pedroia…especially since Kipnis is outproducing Pedroia this season. The gap between the two last year wasn’t significant, even on a per game basis. Either Pedroia should slide down or Kipnis move up (I think the latter).

       Appreciate the rankings, though…especially the depth of them.

3. 

   Tony

   July 1, 2013 at 9:55 am

   Solid list, Wacha took a large jump but I guess that is not very unexpected. Just curious, for two guys that did not make the list, who would you rank higher, Alex Colome or Jose Alvarez (detroit).

   • 

     The Dynasty Guru

     July 1, 2013 at 9:57 am

     I’d take Colome. Still think he’s a reliever, but he has more upside.

4. 

   Sull

   July 1, 2013 at 10:22 am

   Guru, it still shows that Myers is with KC

5. 

   Darren

   July 1, 2013 at 10:46 am

   Haven’t gone through the entire list, but what jumped out at me is Cargo well behind Justin Upton. I have both in a dynasty league and value Cargo higher in the long term. Even if he changes teams.

   • 

     The Dynasty Guru

     July 1, 2013 at 10:52 am

     Don’t get too hung up on the difference. The dozen or so guys behind Stanton are all very close in value. Valuing CarGo ahead of Upton is perfectly reasonable – I just happen to prefer Upton.

6. 

   Steve White

   July 1, 2013 at 10:56 am

   Witht he current state of the SS position, and how SS are in general, I’m surprised Brad Miller is so low. Although I’m assuming with some steady play he could jump quickly, no?

   • 

     The Dynasty Guru

     July 1, 2013 at 5:17 pm

     I just don’t think his fantasy upside is all that special. Sure, he could hit for average, but I don’t see many HR/SB in his future.

     • 

       Tony

       July 2, 2013 at 7:25 am

       While I agree with this, I am not sure I would rank him below Gregorius. Gregorius has him on defense, but in offensive categories I feel Miller has the upside which typically is more important in fantasy.

       • 

         The Dynasty Guru

         July 2, 2013 at 10:09 am

         The risk is that Miller becomes a utility guy. Gregorius’ defense will likely keep him in a starting role unless he completely falls on his face offensively. Miller is pretty good on defense, but he’s no Didi.

     • 

       Tony

       July 2, 2013 at 10:43 am

       Good point, that is one thing that is increasing value in guys like Arenado is that they are not liabilities but actually becoming assets defensively, which keeps them in the lineup.

     • 

       Tony

       July 19, 2013 at 11:31 pm

       I have a feeling Brad Miller is going to outrank Franklin at this point next year.

7. 

   Steve White

   July 1, 2013 at 10:59 am

   So you’re still “buying” Jesus Montero for the long haul?

   • 

     The Dynasty Guru

     July 1, 2013 at 5:17 pm

     Yep. Still think he hits – and enough to balance out the fact that he’ll be 1B-only in 2015.

8. 

   Will Moller

   July 1, 2013 at 5:14 pm

   No Cheslor Cuthbert? Interesting. I’d echo the lack of Colome on here, reliever or no. Olt also seems very low — he’s back to himself post-eye issue: An 88 spot drop based on what appears to have been a momentary issue that is now solved strikes me as draconian.

   • 

     The Dynasty Guru

     July 1, 2013 at 5:25 pm

     I like Cuthbert, but he’ll need to at least look the part in Double-A for me to start moving him back up. He doesn’t have superstar upside. Colome would have made the next 25 or so, but I don’t think he’s a starter or closer, and there are very few of those guys on the list. He’s more valuable in deeper formats. Then there’s Olt. I guess I didn’t get the memo that he was fixed. The strikeouts, the low average are indicators that he still may not adjust well at the major league level. I still think he’ll be a solid major leaguer, but if his upside is Todd Frazier-esque, how high should be really be, given that level of risk? He’s been passed in the prospect world and he’s not getting any younger. In fact, he’ll be 25 in August. He’s older than Mike Moustakas.

9. 

   Stephen

   July 1, 2013 at 5:22 pm

   This is a fantastic list. I am sure it was a ton of work. I had a couple questions though. I am a little surprised Puig is so high because his BABIP is .500 and he was not top 10 prospect going into June. Did you end up marking him that high because you feel like his tools really might project to top 10 levels long term?

   I also was wondering about the Omission of Geraldo Parra. I know he probably would not go super high but he seems like a fairly skilled young regular. Does he only jump into this list in OBP leagues?

10. 

    Kevin

    July 1, 2013 at 5:26 pm

    I’m having a dilemma with Carlos Correa, since he’s only 19 and likely won’t reach the majors until late 2015 or early 2016. My team has a shot at the title this year and I was considering dropping or trading him to use his spot to help with production this year. However, the 130 ranking has me thinking long and hard about it. Even though he’s younger than Addison Russell and Francisco Lindor, is his ceiling so high that it warrants the 130 spot? It’s really a time value question. 130 just seems so high considering the uncertainty of prospects panning out and having to wait a few years on top of it. But if he ends up being a top 25 player in his prime, then I suppose it’s worth it.

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      July 1, 2013 at 7:25 pm

      Yes. His ceiling is lofty. It’s an aggressive ranking, but he’s got a ton of talent.

11. 

    Matt

    July 1, 2013 at 5:50 pm

    Big jump for Gregory Polanco, is that just based on a re-evaluation of his upside?

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      July 1, 2013 at 7:27 pm

      It’s a combination of his ceiling increasing a bit, his timetable advancing and his floor rapidly rising. He’s always had this ability, but lots of guys break out in Low-A and don’t follow it up strongly. Polanco is proving he’s not just a pop up guy, but someone with legit holding power.

12. 

    jonny

    July 1, 2013 at 6:48 pm

    great list, thanks again guys. My one question is where is iglesies? im not a huge believer in him at all but hes hitting over .400 through 125 ABs. I know he doesnt have a ton of steals or homers in him and that he will cut that average down alot but he rarely strikes out and at a weak SS position i feel like he could be an average offensive ss which you dont seem to think considering you have roughly 35-40 other shortstops on here

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      July 1, 2013 at 7:29 pm

      I don’t think he ever becomes an average SS outside of another completely fluky BABIP-fueled stretch. I am not a believer in his bat.

13. 

    Scott

    July 1, 2013 at 9:26 pm

    I noticed no Adam Lind. Obviously I don’t think anyone believes he’s actually this good again but I was somewhat surprised to not see him toward the back 50-100. He’s still only 29. Is that position based or a lack of belief this resurgence is for real?

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      July 2, 2013 at 10:06 am

      That is a mistake on my part – Lind should be on the list. I’d have him just ahead of Chris Carter among 1B. These are the minor perils of not having an editor.

      • 

        Matt

        July 2, 2013 at 4:57 pm

        No Smoak either, has that train left the station (I really need to unfollow Geoff Baker)?

        • 

          The Dynasty Guru

          July 2, 2013 at 8:15 pm

          For me, yea. I’m not particularly optimistic he’ll ever be fantasy relevant outside of very deep formats.

14. 

    low slider

    July 2, 2013 at 1:34 am

    Dynasty format. H2h 5×5. U keep 25 out of 36 players on ur roster. I was offered cano for my Puig & eovaldi. Is this an obvious sell high or will Puig b a monster that a dynasty leaguer should not give up?

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      July 2, 2013 at 10:07 am

      Puig might be a fantasy monster you’d regret trading away, but Cano is kinda that guy now, right? I’d make that deal if you need help at the keystone.

      • 

        low slider

        July 2, 2013 at 4:02 pm

        Well I start rendon and carpenter @ 2b & mi and Brad miller ss. Does that constitute needing help in your opinion? I’m guessing so lol

15. 

    Alex

    July 2, 2013 at 2:25 am

    Love the re-ranks! Thanks for doing this.
    I was curious how Rymer Liriano jumped 36 spots despite being out for the season.

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      July 2, 2013 at 10:08 am

      It’s a reexamination of my ranking last time. Looking back on it, I didn’t like how much I dropped him due to an injury that should not affect him long-term. So it was a market correction for that.

16. 

    Clifford

    July 2, 2013 at 9:09 am

    Sorry, but a couple of these rankings just make little to no sense to me. Goldschmidt behind Castro? Really? I know SS is a thin position, but 1B isn’t what it used to be, and Goldy has a chance at being a 35-40 HR/15-20 SB type that hits close to .300. Castro will be lucky to hit .280 with double-digit HR. Also, Adam Jones has been an absolute monster, and he gets moved down a spot? Yet, HanRam has barely played at all and gets moved up 6 spots? I know these are all nit-picking type things, and when you do a list of this magnitude and size, you’re essentially opening yourself up to idiots like myself. Im just curious as to your logic of the Castro ranking(especially in relation to players such as Goldy and Chris Davis) and the Adam Jones ranking. The list, as a whole, is very good though.

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      July 2, 2013 at 10:14 am

      I’m not bailing on Castro’s upside just because he’s having a rough season. I still believe in him long-term as a guy who can hit for high average with power and steals. I like Goldy a lot, but even with 1B being slightly down as a position, there’s still a lot of fantasy talent there. And Castro, despite Gavin been around longer, is still 2 1-2 years younger than Goldy.

      As far as Hanley, with him healthy, he moves right back up to where he was in the preseason. I’m a big Hanley supporter and think he has a monster second half.

17. 

    Tony

    July 2, 2013 at 10:32 am

    Keeper league, would you trade Pedro Alvarez for P. Corbin straight up?

    • 

      Kevin

      July 2, 2013 at 1:56 pm

      I’d rather have Alvarez. Although it depends on your format – if you get penalized for his strikeouts or average, or if you don’t have a corner infielder spot. Even if he hits .240 over the next 5 years, he’s 26 and he can put up 35-45 HR seasons and there aren’t many players like that. You know what you’re getting with Alvarez. He just went nuts for a month. He could go on a cold spell for the next few weeks, but you know he has another mean streak or two in him this season. At the end of the day, he’ll get his numbers. I like Corbin a lot, but I’d aim higher for someone like Mike Minor or Archie Bradley.

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      July 2, 2013 at 8:14 pm

      Not knowing needs or format, probably not. I like Corbin a lot, but power at 3B is rarer than we thought coming into the year.

18. 

    Chris Crater

    July 2, 2013 at 4:16 pm

    Any reason for Rhymer Liriano’s jump up? Just wondering cause I’m looking for a pickup in my dynasty league and he’s looking like the top available. (I was previously debating between Robert Stephenson and hometown fave Maikel Franco.

19. 

    Darren24

    July 2, 2013 at 9:09 pm

    How far is Sonny Gray from cracking your top 500?

    Great list, thanks!

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      July 2, 2013 at 9:20 pm

      Thanks! Very, very close. In fact, he was one of the last few names cut from the list. He’s had a very nice bounce back season this year.

      • 

        Darren24

        July 3, 2013 at 9:32 am

        Thanks. Waiting for yahoo to add him to the database then probably going to put a claim on him in my dynasty league. At the risk of sounding greedy, a top 600 would satisfy those of us in 20 team leagues with ~30 man rosters ;).

      • 

        Darren24

        July 3, 2013 at 9:32 am

        But yes I’m also well aware of the slippery slope you can venture down in that regard!

20. 

    jonny

    July 3, 2013 at 10:19 pm

    Why still such a believer in heyward?

    • 

      Mike A

      July 5, 2013 at 4:23 pm

      I’m not sure of others opinions, but he’s still only 23. And he has a track record of some success at the MLB level already. So, I think it’s reasonable to still believe in his abilities. He was a slow starter last season as well. Perhaps that’s just who he is (?).

21. 

    Gabriel

    July 3, 2013 at 11:32 pm

    Would you trade Lawrie straight up for Wheeler if your third baseman was Machado? Or should I wait for Lawrie to come back and raise his value?

    • 

      Mark

      July 4, 2013 at 11:49 pm

      Do it now!

22. 

    Carl

    July 5, 2013 at 10:29 am

    If this is a Dynasty list of players projected value for the next several years, why is Mo Rivera ranked at all? He will be retired by year end. Speaking of Yankees, why the big jump for Gary Sanchez?

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      July 5, 2013 at 10:39 am

      Because Rivera is still very valuable this year, and closers are so fungible from season to season anyway. Sanchez keeps rising due to very positive reports both on his bat and his ability to stay behind the plate. He’s turning into a very exciting prospect for fantasy purposes.

23. 

    Evan

    July 5, 2013 at 3:04 pm

    Great work with the rankings and with the site–an indispensable reference. I’m in a newly formed 13-team 6×6 league (OBP instead of AVG, add SLG; K/9 instead of Ks, add INN) with 50 roster spots and 30 keepers per year.

    I’m wondering about your #301 ranking of Lucas Sims. Most of what I’ve read projects him to have 3rd starter upside, and he’s still years away from the majors. Your ranking is much higher than anything else I’ve seen. He’s a free agent in my league–worth a pick-up immediately? What’s influencing your ranking most?

    (To give a sense of what the FA pool looks like: Story, Ramirez, Berrios, and Owens are also available.)

    Thanks!

24. 

    Mike A

    July 5, 2013 at 4:16 pm

    Ouch. Traded Ryan Howard for Cozart in my Deep league (20 x 25) about a month ago because my Jeter was not returning as quickly as I initially anticipated. I was playing the likes of Nick Punto on my roster. That’s quite a drop for Cozart. Especially at the SS position (a hard position to fill IMHO). This is who he has always projected to be, I think (about 75-15-75 hitting between .250 and .275). He’s close to that mark. Why the drop now?

    • 

      Scott

      July 6, 2013 at 11:09 am

      His .270 OBP probably has a lot to do with this. The guy isn’t going to hit for a high average and doesn’t walk at all.

25. 

    Chris

    July 7, 2013 at 3:06 pm

    I love the list. Great work. So my pitching is really strong but I could really use another OF in one of my keeper leagues. I was offered Kevin Gausman and Oswaldo Arcia for Shelby Miller. Thoughts? What is Arcia’s upside?

    Any feedback would be greatly appreciated. Thanks!

26. 

    Matt Perkinssando

    July 7, 2013 at 4:47 pm

    I’m shocked to see Plouffe unranked yet Sandoval top 50. Plouffe and Sandoval’s average and OBP are similar but Plouffe has a higher SLG in 50 less at bats. And atm Plouffe has more home runs than Sandoval. Plouffe and Sandoval are also about the same age. Plouffe just turned 27 while Sandoval turns 27 next month. So I can’t see the logic behind ranking Sandoval top 50 yet not ranking Plouffe at all.

27. 

    jeff

    July 7, 2013 at 11:01 pm

    Shocked to see Mike Leake unranked given his age and what #’s hes been able to put through so far this year considering hes only 25.

28. 

    Adam

    July 26, 2013 at 2:12 pm

    How could taijuan walker possibly move down on this list after his performance this year?

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      July 26, 2013 at 7:58 pm

      He’s still pretty high, but despite the performance being impressive, he hasn’t developed his secondary stuff as well as some would like to see at this point. Especially the change. I believe he’ll get there, but if he doesn’t make improvements there, he’s probably either a disappointing starter or a great reliever long-term. We’re a long way off from that bring his destiny though.

29. 

    Jason

    August 1, 2013 at 12:32 am

    Hey! What are your thoughts on potential trade? I”m in a 12 H2H Dynasty league 15 keepers, 20 major league spots, 30 minor leaguers. Currently in first place but looking to bolster up my pitching staff which has been weaker part of my team. I have Harvey, Zimmerman, Shields, G. Gonzalez, Miller, Dickey, Hector Santiago, Kluber, Stults, S. Miller, Leake, Bumgarner. Would it be worth it for me to trade Hector Santiago (10 year contract) and Carlos Martinez (no contract since I haven’t promoted him) for Mat Latos (7 years left)? If I get him, Id probably use a keeper on him, thoughts?

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      August 1, 2013 at 9:36 am

      Yes I’d do that, but it sounds like pitching isn’t a weakness for you. And is Hector Santiago really on a 10-year deal? Wow.

      • 

        Jason

        September 7, 2013 at 10:42 am

        Haha, it could potentially go up to 10 years, but I just picked him up off waivers, so it was sweet :D. Thanks for taking the time to reply! 😀 Also, wondering what your thoughts are on Miguel Almonte and Ceiling/Risk?

30. 

    Matt

    August 1, 2013 at 1:24 pm

    So I have Buxton. In first this year, need a SP and maybe a bat.

    What you think of these trades.

    Buxton or Myers for Sale

    Buxton and Starlin for Tulo

    Thank you

31. 

    Zack

    August 2, 2013 at 3:31 pm

    In a 12-team H2H point league that doesn’t count Ks for hitters, with a custom salary structure (but draft not auction)… I am tied for 1st with a fairly inferior team to the team I’m tied with. We keep 5 players with salary constraints, and one rookie who can be set to a low salary the following season. I have Puig and Archer as rookies already, also have Arenado and Sano. We can make trades in the offseason, but Archer and Puig are also low salary, so could be kept as normal players instead of rookies. Current 3Bs are Ryan Zimmmerman and Kyle Seager (also manning 2B ahead of Utley currently). We don’t start CI, just a normal lineup + 1 UTIL spot.

    Question is this: If you needed to drop one of Arenado and Sano, with 50% focus on winning this year and 50% focus on having trade chips in the offseason/building for the future, Which do you drop? What is the difference in ceiling between Sano and Arenado? I don’t see either of these guys contributing meaningfully this year. Is Arenado a top-15 3B in 2014, and is Sano in the big leagues in 2014?

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      August 4, 2013 at 7:52 pm

      In a 12-tm, Arenado is much more replaceable than Sano, who has elite upside.

32. 

    Will

    August 5, 2013 at 7:03 pm

    I got offered Ryu, Skaggs, Pedro Alvarez, Buxton for Derek Holland and Chris Sale in a 10 team dynasty roto… accept?

33. 

    Gene Morrison

    August 14, 2013 at 5:04 pm

    First year of a dynasty league my keepers are currently David Wright, Chris Davis, Adam Jones, Jose Reyes, Yasiel Puig, and Jose Fernandez. What I can’t decide is whether to keep Upton instead of Wright(we can keep 1 player from rounds 1-3 and Reyes was dropped!). Why is Upton so high? Thanks

34. 

    Gene Morrison

    August 14, 2013 at 5:07 pm

    Also, why so low on Julio Teheran? I personally see him as a perennial 15/3.25/200 guy.

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      August 21, 2013 at 7:07 pm

      That seems pretty bold for right now. He’s promising, but that would make him a borderline fantasy ace and I don’t see that in his future.

35. 

    Darren24

    August 21, 2013 at 7:00 pm

    So when’s that mid August list coming out?

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      August 21, 2013 at 7:06 pm

      January. Had the option to half-ass it and speed through a ranking last week and decided against it. I don’t half ass things, I whole ass things. Patience will be rewarded in the off-season.

36. 

    Frank Tank

    August 22, 2013 at 3:25 pm

    My biggest problem with rankings that mix minor and major league players is it needs to be based on what you think these players will be in the primes and say target out 3-5 years. I’d honestly consider Buxton a top 10 player NOW in a dynasty league as far as how much value I think he should have since I think he is a lock to be a 30/30 type player in the majors in his prime. However a player like Profar I do not see as much more than an everyday solid SS/2B but with some limited fantasy baseball upside. Certainly not more fantasy upside that players like Harvey, Price, Craig, Scherzer, etc. However if you think Baez could be a 30 HR SS, then he may deserve to be in the top 50. When you weigh these factors you need to weigh their potential projected tools and not where they rank within Baseball America’s prospect rankings. Their rankings are based on much more than just offense, hence why Profar was the #1 prospect.

    Josh Johnson at 110? Why is Rivera even on a Dynasty league ranking? A-Rod/Halladay, etc. ahead of youngster stars like Andrelton Simmons is laughable. It would be easier to just unrank anyone over 35 years of old unless they are producing at such a high rate and have years left on their current deal.

    • 

      The Dynasty Guru

      August 22, 2013 at 7:34 pm

      This might be my favorite comment ever.