Scouting the Statline focuses on using aging curves and major league equivalencies to generate peak projections. Peak projections put all minor and major leaguers on equal footing for comparative purposes, allowing us to easily build data-based rankings and leaderboards.
Continuing with TDG’s consensus rankings with Third Basemen ranked #31 through #50. Read on! 31. Luis Arráez, Minnesota Twins (Age: 25, Previous Rank: 20 at 2B) I’ve never really been sure what to do with Luis Arráez during drafting. Do I pass him by due to his low homer
Vidal Brujan (Photograph: Twitter, @vidalbrujan) This article provides peak MLB projections for prospects incorporating their MILB statistics through the games of June 7th.
Note: data update 3/8/2021. Peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score are unchanged. Other metrics updated, but they remain consistent with peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score. See ‘Table note’ for more detail.
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when
Our ranks are based on peak MLB wOBA translations for minor leaguers. Peak MLB wOBA is 2019 minor league wOBA adjusted for aging and league difficulty. For example, say a 20-year-old posts a .400 wOBA in the Triple-A International League in 2019. Adjusted for league difficulty, this performance is equivalent
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure.