Will Craig

The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

Episode 87: Getting Wally Pipp’ed
Transactions Andrew Cashner (7:40) Homer Bailey (8:35) Nick Solak (8:50) Drew Smyly (9:50) Nick Pivetta (10:20) Martin Maldonado (10:50) Ender Inciarte (11:25) Padres Call ups (13:30) Conor Menez (14:45) Chris Taylor (17:10) Batting Order: Chris Sale (17:45) Ketel Marte (22:00) Nathan Eovaldi (23:55) Tyler O’Neil (25:25) AJ Pollack (26:40) Bryce

Monthly Prospect Update: Infielders, June 2019
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure.

Monthly Prospect Update: Infielders, May 2019
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of May, TDG reviewed April performances for infielders,

Monthly Prospect Update: Infielders, April 2019
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of April, TDG reviewed early assignments, injuries, and

2019 Top 30 Fantasy First Base Prospects
With many future first base prospects currently playing at other positions, first base is shallower than expected. Due to the high hitting bar for first base prospects, they have a high failure rate. Nevertheless, first base prospects almost universally can hit for power, and occasionally develop into fantasy studs. The

2018 Top 34 Fantasy First Base Prospects
The Dynasty Guru recently released the annual, consensus rankings of the top 50 fantasy first basemen in dynasty leagues (#1-20 and #21-50), detailing several first base prospects. The following rankings focus upon, and dive deeper into, fantasy first base prospects. With so many future first base prospects currently playing at