Tristen Lutz

TDG’S TRIPLE PLAY: MILWAUKEE BREWERS!
The Triple Play is back for a third season! This regular feature is broken down by staff writers Bob Osgood and Paul Monte and a rotating panel of third writers. If you’re new to the Triple Play, this series breaks down an arm, a bat, and a prospect within each

The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

2019 Top 500 Fantasy Prospects
‘Tis the season of prospect rankings! With many sites publishing real-life top 100 prospects lists, it is about time for a fantasy top . . . 500 prospects list! The 2019 Top 500 Fantasy Prospects represents the culmination of nearly three months of positional prospect rankings (links below). To see

2019 Top 140 Fantasy Outfield Prospects, Part 2
Happy New Year’s Eve! What better way to ring in the new year than with nearly 6,500 words about outfield prospects?! Like shortstop, outfield is a deep position in baseball, attracting both speedy, elite defensive players and plodding sluggers. A step above the defensive spectrum from first base and often

Monthly Prospect Update: Outfielders, July 2018
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update that includes notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of July, TDG reviewed

Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, May 2018
Over the past week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, we shall revisit the 2018 Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, published in March. Fantasy value is ever-changing. Like the stock market, there are stable assets and

2018 Top 200 Fantasy Prospects
The 2018 Top 200 Fantasy Prospects represents the culmination of over 40 days of prospect positional rankings. These rankings will ultimately detail 500 total prospects, including 40 catchers, 34 first basemen, 32 second basemen, 36 third basemen, 58 shortstops (part 1 and part 2), 120 outfielders (part 1, part 2, and part

2018 Top 120 Fantasy Outfield Prospects, Part 2
The Dynasty Guru recently released the annual, consensus rankings of the top 125 fantasy outfielders in dynasty leagues (#1-20, #21-40, #41-70, #71-90, and #91-125), detailing several outfield prospects. The following rankings focus upon, and dive deeper into, fantasy outfield prospects. Like shortstop, outfield is a deep position in baseball, attracting both