Terrin Vavra

Scout the Stat Line: Projected Top 1,000 Prospects, End of May Update
This prospect rankings article updates my offseason prospect projections piece, making use of my research on aging and the minor leagues featured at ‘Scout the Stat Line,’ a website Ross Jensen and I co-publish.

Scouting the Statline – The Top 300 Projected Hitters
Scouting the Statline focuses on using aging curves and major league equivalencies to generate peak projections. Peak projections put all minor and major leaguers on equal footing for comparative purposes, allowing us to easily build data-based rankings and leaderboards.

Scouting the Stat Line: Projected Peak Dynasty Performance for the Top 1,000 Prospects
This article continues an annual series providing peak projections for prospects. The projections are derived from peak major league equivalencies that use my (Jordan’s) aging curves and league translations to convert every player’s statistics to the same peak MLB (American League) baseline, making it easier to compare players at different

Scouting the Stat Line: Peak Projections for Top Prospects After One Month of MILB Games
Vidal Brujan (Photograph: Twitter, @vidalbrujan) This article provides peak MLB projections for prospects incorporating their MILB statistics through the games of June 7th.

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 1000+ Hitters Under 30 by Peak Projected Dynasty Performance
Note: data update 3/8/2021. Peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score are unchanged. Other metrics updated, but they remain consistent with peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score. See ‘Table note’ for more detail.

THE DYNASTY GURU’S 2021 TOP 30 SECOND BASE PROSPECTS, #1-15
Welcome back, friends! This round of prospect rankings kicks off our top 30 second basemen. The second base group is typically made up of bat-first middle infielders who don’t have the athleticism or defensive chops for the left side of the infield or more speed-oriented guys with similar defensive profiles.

The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

Monthly Prospect Update: Infielders, August 2019
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure.