Starling Heredia
The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on
Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their
Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when
Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, May 2018
Over the past week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, we shall revisit the 2018 Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, published in March. Fantasy value is ever-changing. Like the stock market, there are stable assets and
Monthly Prospect Update: Outfielders, April 2018
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update that includes notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. April saw the beginning of the 2018
2018 Top 200 Fantasy Prospects
The 2018 Top 200 Fantasy Prospects represents the culmination of over 40 days of prospect positional rankings. These rankings will ultimately detail 500 total prospects, including 40 catchers, 34 first basemen, 32 second basemen, 36 third basemen, 58 shortstops (part 1 and part 2), 120 outfielders (part 1, part 2, and part
2018 Top 120 Fantasy Outfield Prospects, Part 2
The Dynasty Guru recently released the annual, consensus rankings of the top 125 fantasy outfielders in dynasty leagues (#1-20, #21-40, #41-70, #71-90, and #91-125), detailing several outfield prospects. The following rankings focus upon, and dive deeper into, fantasy outfield prospects. Like shortstop, outfield is a deep position in baseball, attracting both