Scott Schebler

The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

Rebuilding the Topeka Tornadoes: Strategies for Dynasty League Heroes
For all of the thousands of dynasty owners who put in work endlessly searching for competitive edges on the competition, there are an equal number players who decide to join a dynasty league for about 12 minutes, only to abandon their brand new team. This is a pickle for invested
TDG Weekly Report, April 7-13, 2018
This year, The Dynasty Guru will provide a weekly report every Saturday. The weekly report will link to TDG articles for the past week, touch upon notable player developments, and preview upcoming TDG articles for the next week.

Attacking Murky Depth Chart Waters
Imagine for a moment that you’re Domingo Santana. Congratulations, you’re a professional baseball player! Not only that, but you’re coming off of a breakout campaign where you hit 30 home runs in a full-time role for a team that finished the season on the brink of the playoffs. Life is
The Dynasty Guru’s Top 125 Outfielders, #91-125
It’s been a slow off-season. Like, a really slow off-season. With the hot stove frigid, fantasy baseball players haven’t had many ways to quench their thirst, unless they’ve thrown themselves head-first into football, basketball, or hockey. January and February can be some of the darkest months of the year (figuratively
The Dynasty Guru Podcast Episode 12: It’s 2017 and We’re Talking About Yonder Alonso Edition
Ben Diamond, Nick Doran and Tyler Baber respond to listener questions from the Facebook group, talk about the players outperforming expections, and then Tom Trudeau shows up for a special bonus Luis Perdumo statcast segment TDG Facebook Group Questions: Springer and Archer or Kemp/Bregman/Quintana, Julio Urias or Shohei Otani, Ian
Deep(ish) League Early Off-Season Targets Part One
I doubt the title left much to the imagination. The good news: I don’t have to write anything here. If your league allows trading this late into the season, read the title as”Deep(ish) Late Season Targets for 2017″. Jorge Polanco, SS, MIN – Polanco has been on the radar for a while
Stocking Your Scout Team: Outfield
Shortstop might be the most coveted position among prospectors but outfield is a close second, with plenty of youngsters at the lower levels flashing tools that make dynasty leaguers salivate. I’m up to my neck in drafts and hope you are too, so let’s get right to it. Here are