Ryan Noda

TDG’s Top 500 Dynasty OBP Rankings – August 2023 Update
Welcome everyone to the August 2023 update to TDG’s Top 500 List for OBP Dynasty Leagues. This list assumes a 15-team, 5×5 Roto league with OBP for our batters and QS and SVH for pitchers. The list also assumes that rosters are the ‘keep forever’ dynasty format with one starting

PROSPECT SPOTLIGHT: RYAN NODA, FIRST BASE, OAKLAND ATHLETICS
Buoyed by his selection in the Rule 5 Draft, selectivity at the plate, and ability to hit the ball out of all parts of the park, Ryan Noda has risen to number eight on our first base prospect list. A true three-outcome player, he’ll get plenty of opportunities to show

THE DYNASTY GURU’S 2023 TOP 20 1B PROSPECTS, #1-10
Welcome back to our top 1B prospects, with the top half of an exciting group. There was a clear tier of three players at the top of the group, with discussion moving them in a different order but deciding to stick with the results of the rankings. There is lots

Scout the Stat Line: Projected Top 1,000 Prospects, End of May Update
This prospect rankings article updates my offseason prospect projections piece, making use of my research on aging and the minor leagues featured at ‘Scout the Stat Line,’ a website Ross Jensen and I co-publish.

Scouting the Stat Line: Projected Peak Dynasty Performance for the Top 1,000 Prospects
This article continues an annual series providing peak projections for prospects. The projections are derived from peak major league equivalencies that use my (Jordan’s) aging curves and league translations to convert every player’s statistics to the same peak MLB (American League) baseline, making it easier to compare players at different

Scouting the Stat Line: Peak Projections for Top Prospects After One Month of MILB Games
Vidal Brujan (Photograph: Twitter, @vidalbrujan) This article provides peak MLB projections for prospects incorporating their MILB statistics through the games of June 7th.

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 1000+ Hitters Under 30 by Peak Projected Dynasty Performance
Note: data update 3/8/2021. Peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score are unchanged. Other metrics updated, but they remain consistent with peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score. See ‘Table note’ for more detail.

The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when