Miguel Amaya

Scout the Stat Line: Projected Top 1,000 Prospects, End of May Update
This prospect rankings article updates my offseason prospect projections piece, making use of my research on aging and the minor leagues featured at ‘Scout the Stat Line,’ a website Ross Jensen and I co-publish.

Scouting the Stat Line: Projected Peak Dynasty Performance for the Top 1,000 Prospects
This article continues an annual series providing peak projections for prospects. The projections are derived from peak major league equivalencies that use my (Jordan’s) aging curves and league translations to convert every player’s statistics to the same peak MLB (American League) baseline, making it easier to compare players at different
THE DYNASTY GURU’S 2021 TOP 20 CATCHER PROSPECTS, #11-20
Hello friends and welcome back to the second half of our 2021 catcher prospect rankings. This time around, the list is headlined by a slugger who’s already made his MLB debut. Half the list is made up of players working their way through the mid-minors, only a season or so

THE DYNASTY GURU’S 2021 TOP 40 DYNASTY LEAGUE CATCHERS, #21-40
WELCOME BACK!!! Despite a scorching hot stove (I can’t believe the player you’re thinking of did or did not sign with the team you thought they would!), these long winter months can be some of the darkest of the year (figuratively and literally). But fear not, restless readers. The Dynasty

The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

THE DYNASTY GURU’S 2020 TOP 50 DYNASTY LEAGUE CATCHERS, #21-40
WELCOME BACK!!! Despite a scorching hot stove (I can’t believe the player you’re thinking of did or did not sign with the team you thought they would!), January and February can be some of the darkest months of the year (figuratively and literally). But fear not, restless readers. The Dynasty

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

Monthly Prospect Update: Infielders, July 2019
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure.

Scouting the Stat Line – Accounting for BABIP Luck
This is the latest article in our Scouting the Stat Line series, following last week’s update on boom-bust prospects. Click here for our updated leaderboard of peak MLB wOBA equivalency for 2019 minor league performance (updated August 3rd). These leaderboards “translate” 2019 minor league statistics to peak MLB statistics.