Matt Davidson

The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

TDG Weekly Report, May 26-June 1, 2018
This year, The Dynasty Guru will provide a weekly report every Saturday. The weekly report will link to TDG articles for the past week, touch upon notable player developments, and preview upcoming TDG articles for the next week.

TDG Weekly Report, March 24-30, 2018
This year, The Dynasty Guru will provide a weekly report every Saturday. The weekly report will link to TDG articles for the past week, touch upon notable player developments, and preview upcoming TDG articles for the next week.

TDG Podcast, Episode 28: Predictions and Ratings!
The Boys are back! This week, our Hot Take Artist, Patrick Magnus, was called away so we have Hipster Take Artist, Tyler Baber, filling in for him. The guys break down the usual stuff and also get into some fun predictions, a round of Overrated/Underrated/Properly Rated, and much more! Suggested
The Dynasty Guru’s Top 50 Dynasty League Third Basemen, #21-50
It’s been a slow off-season. Like, a really slow off-season. With the hot stove frigid, fantasy baseball players haven’t had many ways to quench their thirst, unless they’ve thrown themselves head-first into football, basketball, or hockey. January and February can be some of the darkest months of the year (figuratively

2018 Top 34 Fantasy First Base Prospects
The Dynasty Guru recently released the annual, consensus rankings of the top 50 fantasy first basemen in dynasty leagues (#1-20 and #21-50), detailing several first base prospects. The following rankings focus upon, and dive deeper into, fantasy first base prospects. With so many future first base prospects currently playing at
Stock Watch: Bounceback Prospect Candidates
One of the hardest things to do (at least for me) in a dynasty league is to be patient, especially with struggling prospects. When a shiny new breakout prospect comes along, it’s easier in many cases to cut bait with a prospect who’s having a ‘down’ year to make room for the
What To Do With: Stagnant Hitting Prospects
Patience, as it relates to dynasty leagues is often times a curse rather than a blessing. If you’re stuck holding onto a failed prospect when you had an opportunity to get value in a trade, or missed an opportunity to add a better option for free because you just couldn’t let go of