Luis Alexander Basabe
Scout the Stat Line: Projected Top 1,000 Prospects, End of May Update
This prospect rankings article updates my offseason prospect projections piece, making use of my research on aging and the minor leagues featured at ‘Scout the Stat Line,’ a website Ross Jensen and I co-publish.
Scouting the Stat Line: Projected Peak Dynasty Performance for the Top 1,000 Prospects
This article continues an annual series providing peak projections for prospects. The projections are derived from peak major league equivalencies that use my (Jordan’s) aging curves and league translations to convert every player’s statistics to the same peak MLB (American League) baseline, making it easier to compare players at different
The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on
Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their
Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when
Top 50 Stats-Only Offensive Prospects using The Dynasty Guru’s New Sortable MLB Equivalency Leaderboards
In early April, The Dynasty Guru released a tool for translating minor league statistics to MLB equivalent statistics, also demonstrating their predictive validity for projecting 2019 performance. In March, we released a four–part aging curves series leveraging a new twist on the delta method. Now, we’ve combined those two projects to
2019 Top 140 Fantasy Outfield Prospects, Part 2
Happy New Year’s Eve! What better way to ring in the new year than with nearly 6,500 words about outfield prospects?! Like shortstop, outfield is a deep position in baseball, attracting both speedy, elite defensive players and plodding sluggers. A step above the defensive spectrum from first base and often
Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, May 2018
Over the past week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, we shall revisit the 2018 Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, published in March. Fantasy value is ever-changing. Like the stock market, there are stable assets and
Monthly Prospect Update: Outfielders, April 2018
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update that includes notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. April saw the beginning of the 2018