Posts Tagged

Kevin Smith

2021 Dynasty Baseball RankingsDynasty Prospect RankingsScouting the Statline

This article continues an annual series providing peak projections for prospects. The projections are derived from peak major league equivalencies that use my (Jordan’s) aging curves and league translations to convert every player’s statistics to the same peak MLB (American League) baseline, making it easier to compare players at different

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2020 Dynasty Baseball RankingsDynasty BaseballDynasty Prospect RankingsScouting the Statline

Note: data update 3/8/2021. Peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score are unchanged. Other metrics updated, but they remain consistent with peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score. See ‘Table note’ for more detail.

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2020 Dynasty Baseball RankingsDynasty Prospect Rankings

How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

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Dynasty BaseballProspect Talk

Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

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Dynasty Prospect RankingsScouting the Statline

This article features a list of the top 75 starting pitching prospects by peak true-talent ERA (an average of xFIP and kwERA). It leverages Clay Davenport’s excellent minor-league translations work; translations can be found for every minor leaguer at claydavenport.com. Seriously, if you don’t have it bookmarked, please stop what

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Dynasty Prospect RankingsScouting the Statline

Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

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Dynasty BaseballDynasty Baseball RankingsDynasty Prospect RankingsProspect Talk

Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure.

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Austin Riley
Dynasty BaseballDynasty Baseball RankingsDynasty Prospect RankingsProspect Talk

Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of May, TDG reviewed April performances for infielders,

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Chris Paddack
Dynasty BaseballDynasty Baseball RankingsDynasty Prospect Rankings

This past week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, we shall revisit the 2019 Top 500 Fantasy Prospects, published in January. Fantasy value is ever-changing. Like the stock market, there are stable

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Fernando Tatis Jr.
Dynasty BaseballDynasty Prospect RankingsProspect Talk

Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of April, TDG reviewed early assignments, injuries, and

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