Kevin Smith
Weekly Dynasty Roundup
As always, if there is any news that you think should be included, please add it in the comments! Tyler Glasnow Throwing Off Mound (Link) Given his injury history, dynasty managers were likely concerned that Glasnow’s spring injury would cause him to miss significant time. If Glasnow ends up back
Scout the Stat Line: Projected Top 1,000 Prospects, End of May Update
This prospect rankings article updates my offseason prospect projections piece, making use of my research on aging and the minor leagues featured at ‘Scout the Stat Line,’ a website Ross Jensen and I co-publish.
Scouting the Statline – The Top 300 Projected Hitters
Scouting the Statline focuses on using aging curves and major league equivalencies to generate peak projections. Peak projections put all minor and major leaguers on equal footing for comparative purposes, allowing us to easily build data-based rankings and leaderboards.
Join The Ranks Episode 27: 2022 Shortstop Dyno Ranks
Taylor (@TCasesLoaded) and Joe (@joegarino) invite the incomparable Shelly Verougstraete (@ShellyV_643) and Keaton DeRocher (@TheSpokenKeats) onto the pod to discuss TDG’s consensus shortstop rankings heading into 2022. As usual, the vets talk takeaways from the consensus rankings, any hot takes that showed up in the individual rankings, and risky
Scouting the Stat Line: Projected Peak Dynasty Performance for the Top 1,000 Prospects
This article continues an annual series providing peak projections for prospects. The projections are derived from peak major league equivalencies that use my (Jordan’s) aging curves and league translations to convert every player’s statistics to the same peak MLB (American League) baseline, making it easier to compare players at different
Scouting the Stat Line: Top 1000+ Hitters Under 30 by Peak Projected Dynasty Performance
Note: data update 3/8/2021. Peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score are unchanged. Other metrics updated, but they remain consistent with peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score. See ‘Table note’ for more detail.
The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on
Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their
Scouting the Stat Line: Top 75 Stats-Only Starting Pitching Prospects for 2020 and Beyond
This article features a list of the top 75 starting pitching prospects by peak true-talent ERA (an average of xFIP and kwERA). It leverages Clay Davenport’s excellent minor-league translations work; translations can be found for every minor leaguer at claydavenport.com. Seriously, if you don’t have it bookmarked, please stop what
Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when