Jonathan Ornelas
The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on
Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when
Monthly Prospect Update: Infielders, July 2019
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure.
Scouting the Stat Line — Guessing the Mid-Season Market Value of Some of 2019’s Fast-Starting Prospects
The Dynasty Guru updates its peak performance leaderboards weekly. View the latest update here (updated through last week’s games). The leaderboards present peak MLB wOBA for all players, minor and major leaguers. Peak MLB wOBA captures league difficulty, adjusting minor league performance from each league to the same major league baseline.
Most Promising Minor League Performances – First Update
Last Week, we began updating leaderboards that document the top minor league performances throughout the course of the year. Minor league performances are translated to projected offensive peaks of the players, based on data we have researched on aging curves and minor league level to MLB translations. We will update
Monthly Prospect Update: Infielders, April 2019
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of April, TDG reviewed early assignments, injuries, and
2019 First Year Player Draft Rankings
As the calendar approaches March, many dynasty leagues are preparing for first year player drafts. While the recently released 2019 Top 500 Fantasy Prospects includes the vast majority of first year player draft prospects, it may be difficult to separate such players from the pack. As such, these rankings specifically focus on
2019 Top 40 Fantasy Third Base Prospects
Strong arms and big power predominate at third base. Lacking enough range for shortstop, third base prospects linger on the edge of the defensive spectrum. One false step and a third base prospect moves to first base or a corner outfield position. Nonetheless, third base prospects are often extremely valuable