Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure.

This past week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, we shall revisit the 2019 Top 500 Fantasy Prospects, published in January. Fantasy value is ever-changing. Like the stock market, there are stable

Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of April, TDG reviewed early assignments, injuries, and

In early April, The Dynasty Guru released a tool for translating minor league statistics to MLB equivalent statistics, also demonstrating their predictive validity for projecting 2019 performance. In March, we released a four–part aging curves series leveraging a new twist on the delta method. Now, we’ve combined those two projects to

‘Tis the season of prospect rankings! With many sites publishing real-life top 100 prospects lists, it is about time for a fantasy top . . . 500 prospects list! The 2019 Top 500 Fantasy Prospects represents the culmination of nearly three months of positional prospect rankings (links below). To see

The prospect positional rankings series is complete! The schedule (located at the bottom) contains links to each article in the series. Since the rankings process began in November, fall/winter league performance and further research have forced reassessment of grades. As such, the following prospects experienced notable grade changes, positive and

Strong arms and big power predominate at third base. Lacking enough range for shortstop, third base prospects linger on the edge of the defensive spectrum. One false step and a third base prospect moves to first base or a corner outfield position. Nonetheless, third base prospects are often extremely valuable

Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update that includes notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of August, TDG reviewed