Gilberto Celestino

The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

Monthly Prospect Update: Outfielders, August 2019
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure.

Monthly Prospect Update: Outfielders, July 2019
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide an outfield prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure.

Dynasty’s Child Episode 76: Chang Ups Are Sexy
Click Here To Listen Keaton, Shelly, and Adam are in the house to talk about the news and notes from around the league, injuries/call ups and the week that was in the MiLB and of course the Top Podspect. Topics Include: Signings/Call ups/Demotions Tyler O’Neil (5:35) Tyler Beebe (6:30) Nick

2019 Top 140 Fantasy Outfield Prospects, Part 2
Happy New Year’s Eve! What better way to ring in the new year than with nearly 6,500 words about outfield prospects?! Like shortstop, outfield is a deep position in baseball, attracting both speedy, elite defensive players and plodding sluggers. A step above the defensive spectrum from first base and often

Monthly Prospect Update: Outfielders, July 2018
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update that includes notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of July, TDG reviewed

Notable Short Season Prospects
June marks an exciting time for those who follow prospects! While the MLB Draft draws a lot of attention, short season leagues are just getting underway. As such, although the minor league season passed its halfway point, it is just starting for numerous intriguing prospects.

2018 Top 120 Fantasy Outfield Prospects, Part 3
The Dynasty Guru recently released the annual, consensus rankings of the top 125 fantasy outfielders in dynasty leagues (#1-20, #21-40, #41-70, #71-90, and #91-125), detailing several outfield prospects. The following rankings focus upon, and dive deeper into, fantasy outfield prospects. Like shortstop, outfield is a deep position in baseball, attracting both