Freudis Nova

The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, September 2019
Earlier this month at The Dynasty Guru, I examined infield and outfield prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. Unfortunately, I was unable to complete the pitching prospect update this month. However, these rankings will indicate movement among pitching prospects. With both the minor and major league regular seasons in

Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, August 2019
This past week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, we shall revisit the Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, published as a subset of the Top 600 Dynasty League Players in July.

Monthly Prospect Update: Infielders, May 2019
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of May, TDG reviewed April performances for infielders,

Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, May 2019
This past week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, we shall revisit the 2019 Top 500 Fantasy Prospects, published in January. Fantasy value is ever-changing. Like the stock market, there are stable

The Next Big Thing: One Man’s Tenets for Fantasy Success
I have been playing fantasy baseball for approximately 15 years. Since the beginning, I have been a prospect and MLB youth hunter, always keeping an eye peeled for the next big thing. You’re not likely to see me fawn much over scout ratings/grades, launch angles, or exit velocities. Some may

2019 Top 500 Fantasy Prospects
‘Tis the season of prospect rankings! With many sites publishing real-life top 100 prospects lists, it is about time for a fantasy top . . . 500 prospects list! The 2019 Top 500 Fantasy Prospects represents the culmination of nearly three months of positional prospect rankings (links below). To see

2019 Top 70 Fantasy Shortstop Prospects, Part 2
Shortstop is arguably the most important and valuable defensive position in baseball. As such, major league organizations often attempt to develop as many shortstop prospects as possible. Consequently, the list of shortstop prospects is expansive; so expansive it warrants two separate articles. Part 1 explores the cream of the crop,