Drew Waters

New Dynasty League Draft Part VII: Slow Drafting during a Pandemic-Rounds 10-13
Been away for a couple weeks but I am back breaking down a new, head-to-head, 16 team, Dynasty league draft that I joined at the end of March. The season still has not started as of today, so that just allows more time to breakdown this draft. Find Part I

TDG’s Top 150 Prospects May 2020
As an extension of the Top 500 Overall Players from March, The following is the consensus top 150 prospects from Keaton DeRocher, Shelly Verougstraete, and Jordan Rosenblum.

The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

TDG’s Top 500 Dynasty Rankings March 2020
The 2020 season is just about upon us, and TDG ranking SZN is almost concluded. So far the incredible rankings team of 26 writers has ranked and written up more than 600 players. Now that all the positional rankings have been completed and released, that just leaves one left: The

The Dynasty Guru’s 2020 Top 125 Dynasty League Outfielders, #26-50
WELCOME! Our brave group of writers has been ranking, debating, re-ranking, re-debating, and re-re-ranking over 600 players for dynasty leagues. The fruits of our efforts will be filling January and February with the deepest, most thoroughly and painstakingly selected dynasty baseball rankings on the internet. We have top-40s, top-50s, top-125s,

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

Scouting the Stat Line: 2019 Top 50 Stats-Only Offensive Prospects
Our ranks are based on peak MLB wOBA translations for minor leaguers. Peak MLB wOBA is 2019 minor league wOBA adjusted for aging and league difficulty. For example, say a 20-year-old posts a .400 wOBA in the Triple-A International League in 2019. Adjusted for league difficulty, this performance is equivalent

Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, September 2019
Earlier this month at The Dynasty Guru, I examined infield and outfield prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. Unfortunately, I was unable to complete the pitching prospect update this month. However, these rankings will indicate movement among pitching prospects. With both the minor and major league regular seasons in

Scouting the Stat Line – The Best Minor League Hitters of the Past Decade
The Dynasty Guru updates its peak performance leaderboards weekly. View the latest update here, updated as of 8/23/2019. As a reminder, the wOBA metric is designed to be a single variable that can inform how good a player’s overall hitting/plate approach quality is. Our wOBA calculations are meant to help