Note: data update 3/8/2021. Peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score are unchanged. Other metrics updated, but they remain consistent with peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score. See ‘Table note’ for more detail.
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure.
With many future first base prospects currently playing at other positions, first base is shallower than expected. Due to the high hitting bar for first base prospects, they have a high failure rate. Nevertheless, first base prospects almost universally can hit for power, and occasionally develop into fantasy studs. The
Here we go again, I dug through another twelve players. Analyzing the depths of the Arizona Fall League. Scouring the depths of minor league systems for prospects that may help you out. That’s right, some of us are such baseball masochists that we actually put ourselves in leagues where the
Last week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. In addition, we examined where MLB Draft prospects fell within the Top 200. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, and given the influx of talent from the MLB Draft, we shall revisit the
Over the past week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, we shall revisit the 2018 Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, published in March. Fantasy value is ever-changing. Like the stock market, there are stable assets and
The Dynasty Guru recently released the annual, consensus rankings of the top 50 fantasy first basemen in dynasty leagues (#1-20 and #21-50), detailing several first base prospects. The following rankings focus upon, and dive deeper into, fantasy first base prospects. With so many future first base prospects currently playing at