Daniel Johnson

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 1000+ Hitters Under 30 by Peak Projected Dynasty Performance
Note: data update 3/8/2021. Peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score are unchanged. Other metrics updated, but they remain consistent with peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score. See ‘Table note’ for more detail.

The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, September 2019
Earlier this month at The Dynasty Guru, I examined infield and outfield prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. Unfortunately, I was unable to complete the pitching prospect update this month. However, these rankings will indicate movement among pitching prospects. With both the minor and major league regular seasons in

Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, August 2019
This past week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, we shall revisit the Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, published as a subset of the Top 600 Dynasty League Players in July.

Monthly Prospect Update: Outfielders, July 2019
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide an outfield prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure.

Scouting the Stat Line – Midseason Top 50 Stats-Only Offensive Prospects
Background The Dynasty Guru updates its peak performance leaderboards weekly. View the latest update here (updated through June 13th). The leaderboards present peak MLB wOBA for all players, minor and major leaguers. Peak MLB wOBA takes 2019 minor league wOBA and adjusts it downward to an MLB baseline (for example, a .400

Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, June 2019
The MLB Draft is in the books! During the draft, I noted my pick-by-pick observations and the fantasy potential of each pick. Following the draft, I examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. With the draft complete, it is time to revisit the 2019 Top 200 Fantasy Prospects,

Dynasty’s Child Episode 80: Maine Has The Best Beer
Click Here To Listen Patrick, Keaton and Shelly are here to review the week that was in the MLB, talk hot or not, prospect stock exchange and of course the Top Podspect Topics Include: Promotions and Demotions: Andrew Knizner (8:15) Nate Lowe (10:10) Injuries: Luke Weaver (11:50) Forrest Whitely (12:20)