Canaan Smith

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 1000+ Hitters Under 30 by Peak Projected Dynasty Performance
Note: data update 3/8/2021. Peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score are unchanged. Other metrics updated, but they remain consistent with peak wRC+ and dynasty z-score. See ‘Table note’ for more detail.

The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

Scouting the Stat Line: 2019 Top 50 Stats-Only Offensive Prospects
Our ranks are based on peak MLB wOBA translations for minor leaguers. Peak MLB wOBA is 2019 minor league wOBA adjusted for aging and league difficulty. For example, say a 20-year-old posts a .400 wOBA in the Triple-A International League in 2019. Adjusted for league difficulty, this performance is equivalent

Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, September 2019
Earlier this month at The Dynasty Guru, I examined infield and outfield prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. Unfortunately, I was unable to complete the pitching prospect update this month. However, these rankings will indicate movement among pitching prospects. With both the minor and major league regular seasons in

Scouting the Stat Line – The Best Minor League Hitters of the Past Decade
The Dynasty Guru updates its peak performance leaderboards weekly. View the latest update here, updated as of 8/23/2019. As a reminder, the wOBA metric is designed to be a single variable that can inform how good a player’s overall hitting/plate approach quality is. Our wOBA calculations are meant to help

Monthly Prospect Update: Outfielders, July 2019
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide an outfield prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure.

Scouting the Stat Line – Midseason Top 50 Stats-Only Offensive Prospects
Background The Dynasty Guru updates its peak performance leaderboards weekly. View the latest update here (updated through June 13th). The leaderboards present peak MLB wOBA for all players, minor and major leaguers. Peak MLB wOBA takes 2019 minor league wOBA and adjusts it downward to an MLB baseline (for example, a .400

Monthly Prospect Update: Outfielders, May 2019
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of May, TDG reviewed April performances for infielders,