Brett Phillips
The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on
Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their
Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when
Way Too Deep League FAAB: Weeks 19-20
For an explanation of league rules, see the introductory post. There was a decent amount of activity in the Way Too Deep League in the final two FAAB periods before September call-ups. With just one week of regular season play remaining, owners have different priorities. Some are making small moves
TDGX2 Rebuild: An Erstwhile Marlin and a Trout to Start the Rebuild
A dynasty baseball rebuild is never easy, but can be one of the most gratifying rebuilds in all of fantasy sports. I was able to do a rebuild in my first dynasty league a few years ago and things went extremely quickly and well. It did help to nab both
Top 240 Fantasy Prospects, August 2018
This past week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. In addition, TDG updated the Top 500 Dynasty League Players, including 145 prospects, in mid-July. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, we shall revisit the Top 240 Fantasy Prospects, published in
Monthly Prospect Update: Outfielders, July 2018
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update that includes notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of July, TDG reviewed
Top 240 Fantasy Prospects, June 2018
Last week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. In addition, we examined where MLB Draft prospects fell within the Top 200. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, and given the influx of talent from the MLB Draft, we shall revisit the
Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, May 2018
Over the past week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, we shall revisit the 2018 Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, published in March. Fantasy value is ever-changing. Like the stock market, there are stable assets and
Monthly Prospect Update, March 2018
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update that includes notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. March saw the final days of Spring