Aramis Ademan

The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

Scouting the Stat Line – Midseason Top 50 Stats-Only Offensive Prospects
Background The Dynasty Guru updates its peak performance leaderboards weekly. View the latest update here (updated through June 13th). The leaderboards present peak MLB wOBA for all players, minor and major leaguers. Peak MLB wOBA takes 2019 minor league wOBA and adjusts it downward to an MLB baseline (for example, a .400

Scouting the Stat Line — Guessing the Mid-Season Market Value of Some of 2019’s Fast-Starting Prospects
The Dynasty Guru updates its peak performance leaderboards weekly. View the latest update here (updated through last week’s games). The leaderboards present peak MLB wOBA for all players, minor and major leaguers. Peak MLB wOBA captures league difficulty, adjusting minor league performance from each league to the same major league baseline.

Most Promising Minor League Performances – First Update
Last Week, we began updating leaderboards that document the top minor league performances throughout the course of the year. Minor league performances are translated to projected offensive peaks of the players, based on data we have researched on aging curves and minor league level to MLB translations. We will update

Monthly Prospect Update: Infielders, April 2019
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of April, TDG reviewed early assignments, injuries, and

2019 Top 70 Fantasy Shortstop Prospects, Part 2
Shortstop is arguably the most important and valuable defensive position in baseball. As such, major league organizations often attempt to develop as many shortstop prospects as possible. Consequently, the list of shortstop prospects is expansive; so expansive it warrants two separate articles. Part 1 explores the cream of the crop,

Monthly Prospect Update: Infielders, May 2018
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update that includes notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of May, TDG reviewed

Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, May 2018
Over the past week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, we shall revisit the 2018 Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, published in March. Fantasy value is ever-changing. Like the stock market, there are stable assets and