Anderson Tejeda

The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

Monthly Prospect Update: Infielders, May 2019
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update, including notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of May, TDG reviewed April performances for infielders,

Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, May 2019
This past week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infield, outfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, we shall revisit the 2019 Top 500 Fantasy Prospects, published in January. Fantasy value is ever-changing. Like the stock market, there are stable

The Most Promising Minor League Performances So Far
MLB Equivalency and Aging Curves On Monday, the Dynasty Guru debuted The Dynasty Guru’s Sortable MLB Equivalency Leaderboard, which projects 2019 MLB performance using Jordan Rosenblum’s MLB Equivalency Calculator and his research on typical MLB aging curves. In his article, Jordan shares a list of the top 50 projected offensive

Top 50 Stats-Only Offensive Prospects using The Dynasty Guru’s New Sortable MLB Equivalency Leaderboards
In early April, The Dynasty Guru released a tool for translating minor league statistics to MLB equivalent statistics, also demonstrating their predictive validity for projecting 2019 performance. In March, we released a four–part aging curves series leveraging a new twist on the delta method. Now, we’ve combined those two projects to

2019 Top 500 Fantasy Prospects
‘Tis the season of prospect rankings! With many sites publishing real-life top 100 prospects lists, it is about time for a fantasy top . . . 500 prospects list! The 2019 Top 500 Fantasy Prospects represents the culmination of nearly three months of positional prospect rankings (links below). To see

Monthly Prospect Update: Infielders, June 2018
Each month, The Dynasty Guru will provide a prospect update that includes notable performances (good and bad), assignments, promotions, trades, injuries, and suspensions. Most importantly, the monthly update will examine prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value, from the elite to the obscure. At the beginning of June, TDG reviewed

2018 Top 58 Fantasy Shortstop Prospects, Part 2
The Dynasty Guru recently released the annual, consensus rankings of the top 50 fantasy shortstops in dynasty leagues (#1-20 and #21-50), detailing several shortstop prospects. The following rankings focus upon, and dive deeper into, fantasy shortstop prospects. Shortstop is arguably the most important and valuable defensive position in baseball. As