Alcides Escobar

The Bastard Son of xwOBA: xwOBA-lite for Minor Leaguers
How to best make sense of the recent proliferation of information on minor league hitters, specifically power metrics? This is a question I’ve been struggling with in the last few weeks/months (does anyone keep track of time anymore?) regarding minor league fly ball distance, exit velocity, and exit velocity on

Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Expected Power Leaderboards for Minor Leaguers
Last week, I generated an expected home runs per fly ball measure (xHR/FB) for minor leaguers based on their average fly ball distance and average exit velocity. The logic is this: a minor leaguer can be expected to hit a certain number of home runs per fly ball given their

Scouting the Stat Line: Top 3030 Hitting Prospects by Peak MLB wOBA Projection
Wander Franco (Left photograph: Rob Tringali / MLB Photos via Getty Images); Julio Rodriguez (Right photograph: wv_power, The Official Instagram for the West Virginia Power) Over the past year, I’ve developed translations that convert minor league statistics to their equivalent MLB statistics. I’ve also built aging curves to project when

MONITORING HOT AND COLD STARTS: A YEAR LONG EXERCISE (JUNE)
It’s the end of the month, which means it’s time to check in on our streaky stars. Last month’s article is here if you wish to compare. Stats current as of July 2 COLD STARTERS Ian Desmond, 1B/OF, COL Season Line: .216/.294/.443, 17 HR, 44 R, 47 RBI, 7 SB Month

Attacking Murky Depth Chart Waters
Imagine for a moment that you’re Domingo Santana. Congratulations, you’re a professional baseball player! Not only that, but you’re coming off of a breakout campaign where you hit 30 home runs in a full-time role for a team that finished the season on the brink of the playoffs. Life is
The Dynasty Guru’s Top 50 Dynasty Shortstops, Nos. 1-20
Congratulations on surviving another off-season. Now that the new year is upon us, it’s time to spend the next month traveling across the positional landscape, labeling players with numbers that correspond to their value. It’s the very definition of freedom. A ton of hard work was put into these rankings,
To Catch an Undervalued Thief: Stolen Base Efficiency and Upside
We’re still a few weeks away from the dawn of rankings season and the cold winter winds do whip and howl, quelling once more the flames of baseball and leaving us with nothing more than the occasional Gammons #burn from which to draw warmth until spring rekindles our souls once
TDGX Hits: Kluber, Escobar, Span, Morton, Mesoraco
As the fantasy season winds down so too does the inaugural season of our Dynasty Guru Experts League. We’ve written pretty extensively about the comings and goings on in the league on these pages. It has certainly been a fun exercise for us as managers to be able to so
Team Karaman TDGX Analysis: The Keys to the Game
Now that the draft is finally, mercifully over after some three weeks and 800 picks it’s time to actually play the games. Well, close enough anyway. As I’ve touched on a bit in earlier draft updates, I’m fairly pleased with how my draft unfolded. My third- and fourth- round picks
#TDGX Recap – Team Karaman Lurches On Towards Draft’s End
In the 3rd installment of my series on the draft we meander into the waning rounds of the draft’s second half. We’re in our third week of drafting at this point, and as you can imagine we’re down to the longest of shots and fringiest of regular and semi-regular Major