You Must Trade For Robbie Ray Immediately

I am spending my offseason trying to buy Robbie Ray in as many leagues as I can. He is the most intriguing starting pitcher in baseball heading into the 2017 season in my opinion. I know he had an 8-15 record last year with a 4.90 ERA. He also has a 14-31 career record and 4.65 career ERA in 330 innings. Despite his poor track record I think he is a tremendous trade target in dynasty leagues right now. Let’s find out why… Continue reading

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How Long Does A Dynasty Last?

The goal of most owners in a dynasty league is to build, well, a dynasty. What is more fun than building a dominant roster and watching it roll through the league year after year. I’m no different, in a recent post I laid out my three-year long rebuilding results, and I am thoroughly enjoying my first foray into the money in several years. But how persistent is it reasonable to expect my creation to be? Will my studs still be studs in five years? Since I focused on young players, I feel optimistic, but I took a look at what my roster might have looked like had I started to rebuild in 2008.

Below is a table that shows the top players at each position, for fantasy purposes, from 2008 through 2015. As you can see, that’s a lot of turnover in the top spot at each position. Only a few players were able to repeat as the best player at their position more than twice over the eight year span. It’s not likely that Robinson Cano, Buster Posey, Hanley Ramirez, Miguel Cabrera, or Mike Trout were available during their peak years.

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Dynasty Building Blocks, Bargain Spotlight: Randall Delgado

For those of you that have been following along with the Bargain Spotlight series, you have already read about Hector Santiago, Matt Adams, and Mike Moustakas. For those of you that haven’t, we’ll all wait while you catch up to the class….

….Ok so now that we are all on the same page, this will be the last Bargain Spotlight post of this season. I will be starting a Sell High series next week. I’d like to provide one disclaimer before we get started breaking down Randall Delgado. I went into this article with a completely different view on him, and i was quite surprised and somewhat perplexed by the stats and trends that i was noticing. So the following article was written off the cuff based entirely by my surprise. Enjoy!

Bargain Spotlight

Randall Delgado    Team: ARI    Pos: RHP    Age: 23

Randall Delgado was signed out of Panama in 2006 by the Atlanta Braves. He made his first appearance on Baseball America’s Top 100 after the 2010 season with a #35 ranking. His arsenal includes a 91-94 mph fastball that can touch 96, as well as a two-seam fastball with similar velocity. He also has control over a plus curveball that sits in the high 70’s and a usable change-up that lives in the low 80’s. Most fans of Delgado’s expected him to break onto the major league scene in 2011 but that was not to be the case. He has had some control issues in the high minors and that has led to some of his luster wearing off, a perfect storm for dynasty league managers. So far in his professional career he has pitched 871.2 innings spread across all levels. The reason I bring that up is because those innings are split across low minors (A+ or lower), high minors (AA-AAA) and MLB just enough to remove sample size concerns.

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Shuffling The Deck: Kyle Seager

Dustin Ackley. Jesus Montero. Justin Smoak. Michael Saunders.

This was supposed to be the nucleus of The Next Great Mariners Team. Ackley was a safe pick as a plus-bat second baseman out of college. Montero was the M’s’ No. 4 hitter of the future. Smoak would give them some much-need power, and Saunders would roam the outfield while providing some up-the-order pop.

Yet as the saying goes, even the best laid plans are summarily ruined by the seeming inability of the Mariners organization to develop good young hitters.

It’s easy to pile on the Mariners for the relative failures of these four players, and perhaps there really is something about their player development plan or major league coaching that prevents promising offensive prospects from turning into viable major leaguers.

Lost in this list of broken dreams, though, is one man who has come seemingly out of nowhere to become a cornerstone player for the team in the Northwest. This man never made a Top 100 prospect list, was never considered a premium prospect and still doesn’t get the attention he deserves.

Yes, out of the ashes of so many failed hitting prospects in Seattle, Kyle Seager has emerged as a damn fine baseballer. Continue reading

Dynasty Building Blocks, Bargain Spotlight: Mike Moustakas

Bargain Spotlight

Mike Moustakas Team: KC Pos: 3B Age: 24

Before we can figure out where Mike Moustakas could be headed as a fantasy third basemen, we need to revisit where he has been and figure out what has been working and what hasn’t been. Moustakas was drafted by the Kansas City Royals in the 1st round of the 2007 amateur draft. He proceeded to be ranked as high as #9 overall by Baseball America after the 2010 season. He earned a promotion to the majors in June of 2011 and has been up with the big club ever since. Here is a quick look at his numbers during his minor league career.

Level

PA

K%

BB%

AVG

OBP

SLG

ISO

A

549

15.6%

7.8%

.272

.337

.468

.196

A+

530

17.0%

6.0%

.250

.297

.421

.171

AA

298

14.1%

8.7%

.347

.413

.687

.340

AAA

486

14.2%

5.6%

.290

.331

.531

.241

MiLB

1910

15.4%

6.9%

.282

.337

.503

.221

What we can take away from this is that Moustakas doesn’t strike out at an alarming rate but also could benefit from better pitch recognition and plate discipline, which would bump his average walk rate up a bit. He’s always been considered a good contact hitter that can use his short quick stroke to provide power to all fields. Going into the 2012 season, after his rookie campaign, his stock couldn’t be any higher. However, now over half way through the 2013 season, he is owned in barely 25% of ESPN leagues and even though he’s owned in about 50% of CBS leagues, he’s only being started in 33% of them. So the real question is, what has happened since the beginning of the 2012 season to make his value drop that much?

Let’s see if we can try to pinpoint a reason…

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Dynasty Building Blocks, Bargain Spotlight: Matt Adams

For those that read my inaugural post on TDG, link. You might recall that I said that I’d be highlighting one player from each of the 6 MLB divisions in the Bargain Spotlight series. Well, after careful consideration, I’ve decided to not limit myself or your reading enjoyment. I will still post about a half dozen Bargain Spotlight players, but they just won’t be limited to specific divisions. I will however make sure to do an even amount of AL and NL players, for those of you in AL/NL only leagues. Ok, now to the meat and potatoes.

Bargain Spotlight

Matt Adams    Team: STL    Pos: 1B   Age: 24

When looking over the rankings for 1B, you don’t see Matt Adams at the top of the list, or even near the top 20. The reason is two-fold; first, Carlos Beltran and second, LHP platoon split. This is more than likely the reason that Adams is available in 97.6% of ESPN leagues and 75% of CBS leagues. So, I know what you’re asking yourself, why should I invest in a part time platoon hitter? The answer to this is two-fold as well and directly correlates with the reasons listed above.

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Dynasty Building Blocks, Bargain Spotlight: Hector Santiago

I’d like to start my very first post with The Dynasty Guru by telling everyone a little about myself. I’ve been playing this great game of fantasy baseball for a little over a decade, mainly focusing on 16-20 team dynasty leagues. All of them with a wide range of settings, from head-to-head categories and points leagues, to salary cap and contract leagues, to anywhere from 15-25 keepers, and each of these leagues has had a range of 15-40 minor league players per team. Besides fantasy baseball, one of my other main hobbies is scouting minor league players, I don’t do it professionally but i enjoy doing it nonetheless. So my hope is that my experience and outlook on fantasy baseball and player values can help other owners with their leagues. Now enough about me, let’s get right to the good stuff.

I will be working on a series here for TDG called Dynasty Building Blocks. The first part of this series will be 6 sections called Bargain Spotlight. l will be highlighting one player from each MLB division that is currently owned in less than 20% of ESPN leagues and that is, in my opinion, undervalued in dynasty formats. This can be for a variety of reasons, those of which I will cover in my posts.

AL Central Bargain Spotlight

Hector Santiago Team: CHW Pos: LHP Age: 25

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