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The Dynasty Guru Prospect Rankings – First Base 12 – 30

We all love the long balls! Whether you are at a game or checking in on your dynasty leagues, the flashy home runs are all that seems to matter. Dive into the back part of The Dynasty Guru’s first base prospects and see who could be the stars of the future and provide the long balls for you. Comments and thoughts from Brian and Daniel Labude.

Tier 3 #12 – 21

RankPlayerAvgMinMax
12Jonathon Long14.29523
13Abimelec Ortiz16.71724
14Ethan Conrad13.43823
15Kazuma Okamoto14.86330
16Esmerlyn Valdez21.711233
17Deniel Ortiz18.861226
18Eric Bitonti17.571129
19Blake Burke19.571130
20Luke Adams20.001330
21Parks Harber21.291130

This third tier is stacked with under-the-radar first baseman and some happen to be ones that could soar to the top of the first base rankings mid-season. The highest potential mover in my opinion is Deniel Ortiz. He has a nice blend of big power and some speed to go along with it. Check out my prospect spotlight from earlier this offseason to learn more about his journey from community college to the minor leagues. Parks Harber is still being slept on by the industry, entirely due to his age. It’s a make or break season for him and I’ve got my fingers crossed he’s not fool’s gold. Blake Burke is another first baseman that I think gets knocked more because of his age than his performance. In 2025, he slashed .292/.379/.453, hit 16 home runs (93rd percentile), racked up 27 doubles (95th percentile), all while only striking out 23.8% of the time. He’s one of my bets to make it to the top of the second tier or even into the top tier of first baseman by mid-season. (Brian Labude)

Abimelec Ortiz and Kazuma Okamoto are the big time value players in this tier. Ortiz made it up to Triple-A Round Rock in 2025 and hit .283/.388/.565, with nine home runs, and a wRC+ of 134 over 41 games. He will not have the boost of the Pacific Coast League behind his stats now, after being traded to the Washington Nationals. If he can continue to show strikeout rates around 20% and 30+ home run power at the start of 2026, he could get an easier chance with the Nationals at the big league level. Big power at first base in 2026 is definitely possible and a sneaky value this low. Okamoto might be my favorite first base prospect to have this year. He comes to the Toronto Blue Jays from Japan where he hit 15 home runs in 77 games and slashed .322/.411/.581. He walked as much as he struck out, 34 times to 36. Going to the Blue Jays, who are a team that has mastered low strikeouts, high batting average, and power production, should be a boon to his value. He fits right in with the team and could have a big year in 2026. He is older at 29-years-old, but significant production this far down the list is a steal in my opinion. (Daniel Labude)

 

Tier 4 #22 – 30

RankPlayerAvgMinMax
22Blaze Jordan22.571925
23Victor Figueroa23.431830
24Tre' Morgan24.711830
25Tony Blanco Jr.24.861232
26Rafael Flores25.291031
27Victor Bericoto25.292229
28Yohandy Morales25.431732
29Deyvison De Los Santos26.001631
30Ryan Ward26.001234

Tony Blanco Jr., he’s the steal of the first base rankings in my opinion. No one in the minor leagues hits the ball as hard as him, his swing and miss issues are at the crux of his slide down to the fourth tier. Check out my prospect spotlight on him coming out later this afternoon to learn why I think he can be the one to buck the trends of time and become a Titan of power hitting in the major leagues. The rest of this tier is composed of older prospects with a ton of power, but hit tools that make them too much of a liability in the big leagues. Rafael Flores, Victor Bericoto, Yohandy Morales, Deyvison De Los Santos, and Ryan Ward all fit this bill. Victor Figueroa might be the next best prospect this far down in the rankings just because of his age, 21-years-old in 2025. He played at three levels on his way to ending at High-A Frederick after his trade to Baltimore from San Diego. He slashed .284/.398/.503, hit 12 home runs, tallied 27 doubles, and had a great eye at the plate with a walk rate of 15.7%. He really struggled in his small sample at High-A, hitting .183 with zero home runs. Look for him to start back there and maybe push for a call-up to Double-A mid-season, if so, he could be moving up a few tiers in our rankings as well.

I’m throwing out a name that didn’t make our top four tiers, Randy Guzman. He could have a massive rise up rankings if he can have a healthy season in 2026. Last year between Rookie-ball and Single-A, St. Lucie, he hit .302/.375/.524, 10 home runs, 22 doubles, and had a solid 91.3 mph average exit velocity. His average launch angle was 14.3°, his hard hit rate was 51.3%, and his barrel rate was a strong 13.2%. Follow him closely and grab him quickly if he starts out hot, because he could rise fast in rankings and you won’t be able to get him for such a low cost again. (Brian Labude)

Victor Figueroa is a fun name down in tier four. He burst onto the scene in 2025 taking down Rookie-ball quickly. He hit .605 with five home runs in just 11 games. He was almost equally impressive at Single-A Lake Elsinore, smashing seven home runs and hitting .262/.375/.456, with a wRC+ of 129. He got into a bit of a rough patch at High-A Frederick over 25 games, but still managed a walk rate on the year of 15.7% and a strikeout rate of 22.1%. He is a big bodied first baseman and power shouldn’t be an issue as he gets older. A good 2026 could move him up these rankings and quickly through the Orioles farm system. (Daniel Labude)

 

 

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Brian Labude

Brian Labude

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