THE DYNASTY GURU’S 2025 TOP 125 DYNASTY LEAGUE OUTFIELDERS, #21- 60
The calendar has turned, the baseball equinox has passed, and the Dynasty Gurus have emerged from their caves to present you with our annual positional rankings. Fortunately for all of us, the caves have internet access so we’ve been able to research, analyze, and debate these players to develop a set of composite rankings that will help you win your dynasty leagues one player at a time.
This year a team of ten gurus each submitted our rankings and we are proud to publish the composite results here and in our Discord channel. Over the next several weeks we’ll be publishing these lists by position, with separate prospect lists as well, broken down in easily digestible bites with summaries for each group of ten. And finally, be sure to listen to the weekly review of each position’s rankings on the Join the Ranks Podcast.
As a reminder, we rank for On Base Percentage (OBP) leagues and we are projecting the three-year impact each player will have on your dynasty roster.
Today we move on to outfielders #21 – 60.
#21 – #30
| Rank | Player | Avg |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jasson Dominguez | 27.8 |
| 22 | Seiya Suzuki | 27.8 |
| 23 | Bryan Reynolds | 27.9 |
| 24 | Anthony Santander | 28 |
| 25 | Roman Anthony | 28 |
| 26 | Walker Jenkins | 31.2 |
| 27 | Teoscar Hernández | 31.3 |
| 28 | Colton Cowser | 33.2 |
| 29 | Ian Happ | 33.9 |
| 30 | Kerry Carpenter | 33.9 |
This tier is easy to split into three groups. There are five proven veterans, three prospects with superstar potential, and two in between. I think the middle pair is the weakest of the bunch. Cowser and Carpenter are both ranked near the bottom of this group and were outside the top 30 on my personal list.
Kerry Carpenter’s career .276/.338/.512 slash line is certainly worthy of a top-30 ranking, and his Statcast data largely backs it up. He’s improved every year and is just entering his prime at 27. However, he’s done most of his damage against righties, with just a .588 OPS facing southpaws. He also doesn’t bring much value with the glove and took the outfield in just 48 of his 87 appearances last season. Roster Resource currently lists him as a platoon DH starter for the Tigers. Throw in a history of back problems and it’s fair to wonder how many plate appearances to expect. If Carpenter earns a true everyday role, he could be a consistent 30 HR, 100 RBI threat. A more likely scenario is a platoon masher in the Joc Pederson mold. That wouldn’t be a bad outcome, but it probably wouldn’t be a top-30 dynasty outfielder.
Colton Cowser had a 30.7% K-rate last season, which bothers me perhaps more than it should. Thirty percent is the arbitrary line in my head for K% — below it is tolerable, above is unacceptable. That’s silly, but the effect on the brain is real. It’s why stores charge $19.99 for stuff instead of $20. Anyway, Cowser strikes out a little too much, but he has the tools to overcome it. He had 24 homers and nine steals last season at age 24. His 9.3% walk rate was solid, and he was always in double digits in the minors. He’s a very good defender, which will keep him in the lineup through any struggles at the plate. It would be nice if he could cut the strikeouts a little, but he’s an exciting young player either way.
Even more exciting is the trio of Roman Anthony, Jasson Domínguez, and Walker Jenkins. All three are at least in the discussion for top prospect in baseball, and if I had one on my roster, I’m not sure the veterans in this tier would be enough to tempt me into trading them. So who’s best? My personal favorite is Jenkins. I’m a sucker for great plate discipline, and he’s walked more than he’s struck out so far in the minors. He hasn’t hit for much power yet, but he’s only 19. At 6’3 and 210 pounds, I expect the home runs will show up in due time.
There are reasons that Domínguez and Anthony are higher in these rankings, however. They’re further along in their development and will be playing for big-market teams in hitter-friendly parks. Dominguez has already debuted and has some very impressive physical tools, and Anthony’s numbers throughout the minors have been ridiculous. However, I’m a little skeptical of Anthony’s walk rates based on something I read in his Fangraphs scouting report. He apparently has a very low swing rate at pitches right down the middle, which implies he’s taking pitches on purpose rather than actually being selective. This is often something MLB pitchers can exploit. It’s kind of a nitpick and I still think he’ll be a stud, but when ranking him against other high-end prospects it’s something I consider.
The two Cubs outfielders on this list are extremely similar. Both Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki are patient hitters who will give you a good OBP, 20-plus homers and 10-plus steals. They’re also almost exactly the same age. Both were born in August 1994, Happ six days earlier. Happ has been in MLB a lot longer and it just feels like the age gap is bigger. Suzuki is the more exciting player of the two – he hits the ball a little harder, runs a little faster, and is coming off a better season. He may have been a little lucky last year, however, making up for a career-worst 27.4% K-rate with a suspicious .370 BABIP. He also missed time due to an oblique injury for the second straight season and is likely moving to a full-time DH role with the Cubs’ acquisition of Kyle Tucker. When I’m looking at 30-year-old OF2 types, I prioritize reliability. Happ has played at least 148 games each of the past four seasons, which gives him a very slight edge in my book.
It’s possible Suzuki will be able to maintain the ridiculously high BABIP to offset all the strikeouts. It’s worked for Teoscar Hernández. He’s had a BABIP of at least .335 for five straight seasons, making up for a 29.6% career K-rate (remember, anything under 30% is totally fine). Hernández is 32, and profiles like this don’t always age well, but his three-year deal with the Dodgers means he’ll spend his remaining useful fantasy years batting after Ohtani, Betts, and Freeman. Expect a lot of RBIs even if his skills start to slip.
Anthony Santander’s 2024 stat line looks amazing at first glance. A whopping 44 home runs with a K-rate under 20%? Imagine how good he’ll be when that .225 BABIP regresses! Unfortunately, that BABIP was the product of an extreme pulled flyball approach and a league-leading 36 foul outs, and his career mark is only .263. Luck was actually on his side in the long ball department, with his expected home run total from Statcast just 36.6. I say “just” like that’s bad – he may have been lucky to get to 44, but fantasy managers would probably take 36. You’d think MLB general managers would too, but as I’m writing, Santander remains unsigned. Hopefully, he finds a new team soon.
Bryan Reynolds will not be finding a new team soon, as the Pirates have him locked up through 2030. I suppose it’s good for baseball when Pittsburgh actually spends money, but it’s not great for Reynolds’ fantasy outlook. His career road OPS of .839 is better than his .804 home mark, but that’s not the biggest problem. Last year he batted 2nd all season, made 692 plate appearances with a .344 OBP, and scored 73 runs. Someone drive this man in! Reynolds’ impressive consistency gives him the highest floor in this group, but his ceiling is capped by the talent around him.
(Ben Sanders)
#31 – #40
| Rank | Player | Avg |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Christian Yelich | 35 |
| 32 | Mike Trout | 29.7 |
| 33 | Brenton Doyle | 35.7 |
| 34 | Dylan Crews | 35.8 |
| 35 | Steven Kwan | 36.4 |
| 36 | Cody Bellinger | 37.2 |
| 37 | Spencer Steer | 37.6 |
| 38 | Emmanuel Rodriguez | 40.2 |
| 39 | Lazaro Montes | 50.6 |
| 40 | Tyler O'Neill | 42 |
If I were in a startup dynasty league, this group of 10 outfielders would be a prime focus for me to try and get a second or even third player at the position. You’ve got four solid older veterans, which surprisingly come with some big upside. Then there are a few guys in their prime that will be above-average stat stuffers, with longevity on their side. Lastly, my personal favorite, the stud prospects about to make their mark on the major leagues in a very big way.
Let’s start with the upside veterans because they are packed with value even as their ceilings have been clouded by Father Time and injury concerns. Finding potential studs this far down in the rankings could be pivotal in your dynasty leagues. The first potential of these players is Mike Trout, the future Hall-of-Famer. Yeah, it feels criminal to even rank him this low, but that is what happens when you only play 266 out of the possible 648 games over the past four seasons. In 2024, he had career lows in games played and batting average, 29 and .220 respectively. It was an extremely small sample size, but he was on pace to hit 55 home runs and steal 33 bases, all while having top-tier statcast metrics. If he can stay healthy, he could produce big numbers again, or he could spend all year on the injured reserve. The real question is, are you a gambling man?
Our second outfielder here in the upside veteran category is Christian Yelich. Much like Trout, Yelich has dealt with injuries over the years, which have resulted in him missing large chunks of time. 2024 was no exception, as he only played in 73 games. In the small sample of at-bats, he put up some really good stats, with a slash line of .315/.406/.504. He even added more power than in recent years by hitting 11 home runs, 12 doubles, and stealing 21 bases. His big production on the field was undoubtedly fueled by his career-low 18.4% strikeout rate. His 2024 season may not be sustainable over the course of an entire year, but even a regressed statistical profile is worth more than his value down here at 31. The question again becomes, will he stay healthy enough to give you higher value, or will he miss games and not be a reliable producer? Dealer’s choice at this point.
Cody Bellinger in my opinion, is going to be waving goodbye to this section of the rankings, as he quickly rises up to the more elite sections. Last year saw Jazz Chisholm have a monster second half of the season after he was traded to the Yankees. It could have been the short porch in right field, the massive protection in the Yankees lineup, or a fresh start on a playoff and potential World Series contending team. Now it’s Bellinger’s turn after a trade in the offseason sent him to New York and the bright lights. His power dipped in 2024, as he only produced 18 home runs, but much like Trout and Yelich, he did so in only 130 games. In fact, he has missed at least a month of games in three of the last four seasons. The boost in his ceiling will in fact come from his power, with the Yankees stadium being the third most favorable for home runs by left-handed hitters. Whereas, the Cubs stadium was the 23rd most favorable. The question for you again comes down to, are you feeling lucky?
The last of the veteran upside players in this group is Tyler O’Neill. He smashed a whopping 31 home runs while hitting .241/.336/.511. I would normally say he is due for a big regression, but shockingly, those numbers were put up in only 113 games. In fact, that’s the caveat with him, in seven seasons he has only played in over 100 games just three times. The 33.6% strikeout rate he had in 2024 is also pretty shocking given his level of production. Being with Baltimore now and in the middle of a much better lineup, he could produce at higher rates, but he also could be on the injured reserve a lot. Whether he is in the lineup or injured, might be left up to the Baseball Gods at this point.
Our next category of players in this section is the stat stuffing players in their prime, Brenton Doyle, Steven Kwan, and Spencer Steer. Doyle produced big numbers across the board, hitting .260/.317/.446 and adding 23 home runs, 30 stolen bases, 82 runs, and 72 RBI. His underlying statcast numbers looked pretty good as well. He was in the 72nd percentile of barrel rate and the 81st percentile of launch angle sweet-spot rate. Look for his third season to produce similar stats as his previous one. Kwan broke through in a big way in 2024. His previous career high in home runs was six, but last season he hit 14 home runs in only 122 games. His strikeout and walk rates remained the same, 9.4% and 9.8% respectively. So how did he do it, he wasn’t swinging for the fences, or sacrificing his plate discipline at all. What he did was manage to increase his average launch angle to 14.9 degrees from 10.7 degrees and increase his launch angle sweet-spot and barrel rates by over 1% each. Maybe Eloy Jimenez should have signed with Cleveland instead of Tampa Bay to get those types of gains. Kwan is going to have sneaky good value if he can keep those improvements headed into 2025. As for Spencer Steer, he has produced similar stats in his first two full seasons, averaging 74 runs, 36 doubles, 22 home runs, 89 RBI, and 20 stolen bases. He is a very consistent stat producer and hasn’t had the questionable injury as some of the other players in this section.
Now to my favorite topic, prospects. The ones ranked at this level are some of the best, if not the crown jewels of the prospect world, Lazaro Montes, Dylan Crews, and Emmanuel Rodriguez. Montes is probably the best bat/power profile in the minor leagues right now. He torched Single-A pitching for a slash line of .309/.411/.527, while adding 13 home runs and 13 doubles in just 65 games. He was then promoted to High-A and proceeded to struggle mightily for about a month. His slash line over that time was .127/.241/.141. After some adjustments, he had one of the best months in the minor leagues last season, slashing .411/.500/.753, while hitting 7 home runs in just 20 games. He has been a highly debated prospect among The Dynasty Guru writers and is surely going to continue to be debated for years to come. Dylan Crews has conquered the minor leagues and is ready to take on major league pitching for the Washington Nationals. He looks to be capable of producing 10 to 15 home runs per season after hitting 13 over 100 games between Double-and Triple-A in 2024. He brings some really good speed with him, stealing 25 bases in the minors last season and adding another 12 over 31 games in his cup of coffee in Washington. Look for him to be more of a table-setter type, hitting near the top of the Nationals lineup. Emmanuel Rodriguez had himself a crazy good season at Double-A despite only playing 37 games due to injury. He slashed .298/.479/.621, hitting eight home runs and stealing nine bases, with pretty good plate discipline. If he starts the same in 2025 and can stay healthy, he will also be pushing for a call-up to the major leagues by mid-summer.
#41 – #50
| Rank | Player | Avg |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Jordan Walker | 42.6 |
| 42 | Heliot Ramos | 43.1 |
| 43 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 46.6 |
| 44 | Adolis García | 43.8 |
| 45 | Randy Arozarena | 46 |
| 46 | Josh Lowe | 46.9 |
| 47 | Evan Carter | 48.1 |
| 48 | Parker Meadows | 48.7 |
| 49 | Brandon Nimmo | 53.3 |
| 50 | Max Clark | 55.4 |
Let’s talk about some of these ten who find themselves before the early 50’s (51+) in the internal rankings for TDG.
The first in this section is Jordan Walker at 41. This is a player that I would only seek out in a buy-low opportunity, if you can even buy him low. He played in 51 games at the major league level last season and struggled. He didn’t struggle because he was recovering from an injury. He was demoted and then promoted to finish the year, and struggled mightily in that promotion.
Now let’s talk about Heliot Ramos. Once a highly touted prospect upon signing a minor league deal, Ramos lost some steam with many managers as he made his stops, but Ramos earned an everyday spot with the Giants in 2024. When Ramos gets a hold of a pitch, watch out, he does damage! His barrel percentage, xSLG, bat speed, and hard hit percentage are all among the top 15% league-wide. Ramos needs to step up his approach to improve in 2025. If he can cut down his swing and miss, and not chase as much out of the zone, then Ramos could be climbing up the rankings this coming year.
Another young guy I will be looking at in dynasty is Pete Crow-Armstrong. There is still plenty of room to grow at the plate, but Pete is going to give you solid pop, tremendous defense, and plenty of stolen bases. These will give him a consistent gig with the Mets in 2025. Given that, I’m excited for Pete going into the 2025 season. His biggest weakness in metrics was chasing pitches out of the zone, where he was in the bottom two percent league-wide. Get him on your team if it makes sense.
Adolis García took a step back in 2024 in many areas. As someone who has struggled with striking out and overall plate discipline, Adolís was worse in these areas in 2024, compared to previous seasons. He was dealing with an injury late in the season, and honestly, he may not have been 100% in the first place.
I wrote about Randy Arozarena in another piece here on TDG recently, and I’m begging you to avoid him in dynasty drafts. In a nutshell, all I will say is that Randy struggled to hit the fastball in 2024. When you aren’t able to hit the fastball, you aren’t starting off well. I am avoiding.
Josh Lowe is another tale about the need to exhibit good plate discipline. He has many metrics in the red (which is good), such as barrel percentage, average exit velocity, hard hit percentage, and sweet spot percentage. On the other hand, Lowe struggles with chasing, whiffing, and striking out. In many of those metrics he is among the bottom ten percent around the league. It would be great to see some progression in these areas, but with Lowe, what you see is more than likely what you get. I will not be going out of my way to acquire Lowe, but he is valuable at this point in drafts.
Last year there were huge expectations for Evan Carter. Sadly, those expectations were not met, as Carter was out most of last season with a significant injury. Carter can play though! If he can stay healthy this season – watch out!
Another player who had an inconsistent year in 2024 is Parker Meadows. Meadows has good value and I would take him over many in this section if I am looking to win now because he is an immediate contributor.
I am sure you have watched Finding Nemo, but have you heard about Brandon Nimmo finding the stolen bases last season? Nimmo averages three stolen bases a year. Last year he racked up 15 and arguably had his career-best season at the plate. If you are looking to win now, this is someone you can count on. Will the stolen base production repeat? Probably not, but if he can repeat some of that kind of production you are getting a solid all-around player.
And rounding out this section is none other than Max Clark. I am all aboard the Clark hype train. He could bypass Triple-A altogether, although my gut says that this year he begins at High-A where he left off in 2024 and then will earn a promotion to Double-A, where he will finish the season. Stay patient, Clark managers. His time is coming!
(Brett Cook)
#51 – #60
| Rank | Player | Avg |
|---|---|---|
| 51 | Byron Buxton | 56.2 |
| 52 | Taylor Ward | 57.6 |
| 53 | Lane Thomas | 60.2 |
| 54 | Jurickson Profar | 61.6 |
| 55 | Alec Burleson | 62.1 |
| 56 | Cedric Mullins | 65.3 |
| 57 | Ceddanne Rafaela | 67 |
| 58 | Charlie Condon | 67.7 |
| 59 | Lars Nootbaar | 67.8 |
| 60 | Josue de Paula | 68.3 |
This grouping of players has something for everyone. Established veterans, younger major leaguers, and top prospects are all represented, but as we’re entering the back half of the top 100 dynasty outfielders, most in this group come with some question marks.
The two players with the fewest question marks are Taylor Ward and Cedric Mullins. Ward broke out as a 28 year old in 2022 and was having a nice 2023 before a facial fracture caused by a 92 mile per hour sinker from Blue Jays right hander Alek Manoah ended his season prematurely (don’t look up the video if you’re squeamish… trust me). Ward put together a strong 2024 season and has shown to be a reliable source of 20-25 homer power.
Cedric Mullins, also 31 years old, has entrenched himself in a premium defensive position and great young lineup, and his above average defense in center field gives him plenty of leash to stay in the lineup every day. Don’t expect him to replicate the 30-30 season he had in 2021, but he has notched at least 30 steals in three of the past four seasons and has consistently been between 15 and 18 homers. The biggest threat to Cedric Mullins in Baltimore is defensive wizard Enrique Bradfield Jr., who could push for a roster spot as soon as mid-late 2025. If that happens, Mullins, who will be a free agent after this season, may be mentioned in trade talks near the deadline.
The other veterans in this group each come with their own question marks, headlined by the top player in this group, Byron Buxton. Fantasy managers have been dreaming of Byron Buxton’s full-season potential for a decade now, and the good news is that he played more than 100 games in 2024 for the first time since 2017. The bad news, however, is he barely crested the century mark, playing in just 102 games, and there isn’t much reason to project a higher total for 2025.
Lars Nootbaar’s first three full seasons in the majors have seen the Cardinals outfielder sprinkle in productive stretches in the big leagues with stints on the injured list. When on the field, Nootbaar is everything a dynasty manager could ask for, with consistently high On Base Percentage numbers, a strikeout rate under 20%, and a mix of power and speed that could make him a 20-20 threat over a full season. Just 27 years old, Nootbaar could present a buy-low opportunity for dynasty managers who are willing to bet that he’ll be able to get the injury bug under control going forward.
Lane Thomas is another established veteran who has given managers something to think about after his 2024 season. Thomas enjoyed his best season as a pro in 2023 with the Washington Nationals and was on his way to another solid campaign in 2024 before Washington sent him to Cleveland at the trade deadline. The season became a tale of two cities for the 29 year old center fielder as Thomas struggled mightily in 53 games with the Guardians, hitting just .209 with a strikeout rate that ballooned to 34.8%. Thomas is entering his final year before free agency, and may present a buy low opportunity for optimistic managers who believe Thomas will find himself again in 2025.
Free agent outfielder Jurickson Profar rounds out the veterans in this section. Profar had a career year in his age 31 season and his continued status as a free agent may point to broader concerns about his ability to replicate those results.
The Red Sox’s Ceddanne Rafaela and the Cardinals’ Alec Burleson represent younger players with long-term playing time questions. Rafaela did an admirable job filling in at shortstop for the Red Sox in 2024 after Trevor Story was injured, but Story is back for 2024, and the pipeline of shortstops in the Boston system has matured considerably, pushing Rafaela to the outfield for 2025. The problem is that the outfield is also pretty crowded in Boston. Wilyer Abreu and Jaren Duran are locked into two outfield spots, and top prospect Roman Anthony is expected to compete for an opening day roster spot. This pretty clearly pushes Rafaela into a potential super-utility role with a limited playing-time ceiling.
The story is much simpler with Burleson; while he did play 80 games in the corner outfield spots in 2024, he rated as one of the worst defensive outfielders in all of baseball. With that in mind, fantasy managers can hope that Burleson continues to see enough time in the outfield to maintain position eligibility, however, he’s tracking quickly toward becoming a full-time DH.
And that leaves the two prospects in this group, Charlie Condon and Josue De Paula. Going 3rd overall to the Rockies in the 2024 MLB draft, Condon and Colorado were a match made in heaven for fantasy managers who immediately saw 40+ homer potential from the University of Georgia standout. Despite the gaudy numbers he put up for the Bulldogs in 2024 (we’re talking about a SLUGGING percentage north of 1.000), Condon struggled in his first taste of pro ball at high-A Spokane, hitting just .180, with 1 home run, 34 strikeouts, and 4 walks over 109 plate appearances. Condon’s 40+ homer ceiling is still there, and if the small sample size doesn’t scare you, Condon is a great prospect to dream on.
And I’ve probably saved the best for last here with Josue De Paula rounding out our top 60. It’s generally good practice to keep tabs on teenage prospects with loud tools in the Dodgers system, and the 19 year old De Paula is another exciting one. He split the 2024 season between single-A and high-A and proved to be more than capable at both stops, walking more than he struck out while at high-A, and finishing the full minor league season with 10 home runs to go along with 27 steals. If you can still acquire De Paula in your league, this may be your last chance.