2024 Dynasty Baseball RankingsProspect Talk


The prospect mavens have been working hard over the past few months here at the TDG offices to bring you some of the best consensuses at least in our opinion rankings of the top and not-so-top prospects in the game that will hopefully give you a leg up on your competition that just looks at the MLB.com rankings (with all due respect of course.) If you`ve been with us for a while you will generally see the same rollout as past years, one week will focus on outfielders, next on shortstops, and so forth.

This year however we decided to break down our rankings into tiers and provide commentary for each tier as a whole with multiple Guru`s chiming in where they see fit. This will provide more than just a single voice to the readers while letting the authors offer their opinions on players they deem worthy enough to write about. Hopefully, it will be a fun, informative read and you will come away with an idea of how a certain player is looked at by the industry.

As always, our rankings are geared towards a 15-team OBP roto league with a three to five-year view on our team.

This week we`ll be looking at the pitching prospects.

Tier 7

101Adam Mazur
102Joe Whitman
103Parker Messick
104Maddux Bruns
105Hunter Barco
106Shane Drohan
107River Ryan
108Adam Serwinowski
109Michael McGreevy
110Adam Kloffenstein
111Brant Hurter
112Justin Wrobleski
113Ricardo Yan
114Jose Acuna
115Luis Morales
116Hyun-Seok Jang
117Jordy Vargas
118Clayton Beeter
119Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz
120Noah Cameron
121Darius Vines
122Zander Mueth
123Chad Dallas
124Orion Kerkering
125Ben Kudrna
126Dylan Dodd
127Will Klein
128Zack Showalter
129Aidan Curry
130Landen Maroudis
131Darren Bowen
132Fernando Perez
133Jose Montero
134Yordany Monegro
135Kendry Rojas
136Spencer Schwellenbach
137Angel Chivilli
138Colton Gordon
139Dax Fulton
140Mason Albright
141Davis Sharpe
142Hayden Birdsong
143Cole Henry
144Slade Cecconi
145Sem Robberse
146JR Ritchie
147Patrick Monteverde
148Jedixson Paez
149Charlee Soto

I must play in too many deep leagues, because there are a LOT of names I like down in this tier. If you didn’t catch it, River Ryan was just pegged a top 100 prospect by Fangraphs. I’m not as in, partially because of how loaded that org is, but there’s no denying he’s got a starter’s arsenal if he can start throwing more strikes. Luis Morales is probably my favorite arm down here though. The 21 year old Cuban was dominated his way through 4 levels in his first taste of American pro baseball. He has a plus fastball that has reportedly hit 100 and another 3 secondaries that are all flashing above average. He’s got a long frame, and plenty of time to add some good muscle to help him keep throwing gas for a starters workload. The long arm action seems to lead to inconsistency in his delivery and command, but dang it there’s plenty of time for that to get ironed out. Jump on this train now. (Chris Knock)

 Hunter Barco and Darren Bowen are both names to know in this tier. Barco was coming off Tommy John surgery last season and only pitched in 18.1 innings. He managed to whiff 28 batters and only walk 6. He isn’t a fireballer, but he has a deep array of pitches to rack up the strikeouts. 2024 could be a big year for him, if he gets a full go at it while being healthy. Bowen is a pretty deep sleeper here. Look for the Twins to tweak some things and let him loose this year. He only had 55 innings pitched in 2023 and could be in store for a breakout, if he can throw deeper into games. He reminds me a lot of Ryan Bergert, but with a more athletic frame and delivery. If he can consistently increase the velocity of his already plus fastball, he could start dominating hitters even more (Daniel Labude).

This deep in our pitching ranks, I like to focus on tools. In this tier, the loudest tools in my opinion belong to Adam Serwinowski and I have been targeting him in all of my deep leagues (700 or more prospects rostered). He has a fastball that topped out at 99 mph while at Rookie-Ball in 2023. He ended the year throwing 27.1 innings, having a 3.62 ERA, an elite 40.2% strikeout rate, and a 15% walk rate. To top all of those numbers, his ground ball rate was 60.5%. He has a good secondary pitch, a power curve, which Baseball America ranked as the best curveball in the Reds organization. The tools are there for a big breakout year in 2024 and an increase in dynasty value (Brian Labude).

Tier 8

150Yilber Diaz
151Josh Stephan
152Marcus Johnson
153Anthony Molina
154Landon Sims
155Simeon Woods Richardson
156Frank Mozzicato
157Walter Ford
158Brandon Walter
159Carson Palmquist
160Michael Arias
161Jackson Wolf
162Royber Salinas
163Jake Bennett
164Griff McGarry
165Jacob Lopez
166Michael Kennedy
167Luis Perales
168Logan Henderson
169Justin Jarvis
170Julian Aguiar
171Cole Wilcox
172Jose Fleury
173Franklin Gomez
174Keaton Winn
175Sean Sullivan
176Drew Rom
177Shawn Dubin
178Allan Winans
179Brock Selvidge
180Tanner Burns
181Ben Casparius
182Juan Carela
183Luke Little
184Brent Headrick
185Jose Corniell
186Bowden Francis
187Emiliano Teodo

The bottom most tier are many names that may not ever pitch in a rotation, but there’s definitely some diamonds in the rough down here. Michael Arias is a converted infielder in the Cubs system. He’s got a whip for an arm and his right handed, low ¾’s arm angle results in a double plus fastball. It’s complemented with a solid slider and inconsistent change. While he is still  learning how to pitch (versus how to throw), watch for him to get a cup of coffee by the end of ‘24. Likely in the bullpen to start, but that if that arsenal develops and his stamina grows, he could be a heck of a rotation piece still.

I also like Jake Bennett, Luis Perales, and Logan Henderson in this tier. All three of them have strike out pitches but various question marks on throwing strikes consistently or durability. If you have a moderately deep MiLB rosters in your league, now could be the time to pounce on any of these names . Especially Henderson, who’s started lighting up spring training twitter feeds. (Chris Knock)

 Landon Sims is a name to have on your radar down in these depths. He had ace level stuff in college and Tommy John surgery seems to have sapped it from him. I still think it is there, but we may need to wait a little longer for the velocity and crispness of his pitches to come back. 2024 might be just what he needs to get back on track (Daniel Labude).

Carson Palmquist and Logan Henderson headline this tier and are both potentially big risers by season’s end. Palmquist sits in the low-90s, but has an awkward delivery that allows it to appear much faster to hitters. Between High-A and Double-A, he threw 92.1 innings, had a 3.90 ERA, to go along with a 34.3% strikeout rate, and a good 9.5% walk rate. He should be in the Colorado Rockies rotation by the end of the year, or early in 2025. He already appeared in his first spring training game of 2024, striking out four in two innings of work. He really can’t be worse than what they already have. Henderson should not be down in this bottom tier. At Low-A in 2023, he threw 78.2 innings, with a 2.75 ERA, a 35.2% strikeout rate, and a 8.6% walk rate. He is my pick for one of the biggest risers by the end of the season. If you are in a league that rosters more than 200 prospects, he should be on your radar now. In much deeper leagues, grab him, his value might be scorching by mid-season (Brian Labude).

The Author

Ryan Epperson

Ryan Epperson

Lead prospect analyst and managing editor for The Dynasty Guru.

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