2024 Dynasty Baseball RankingsProspect Talk


The prospect mavens have been working hard over the past few months here at the TDG offices to bring you some of the best consensuses at least in our opinion rankings of the top and not-so-top prospects in the game that will hopefully give you a leg up on your competition that just looks at the MLB.com rankings (with all due respect of course.) If you`ve been with us for a while you will generally see the same rollout as past years, one week will focus on outfielders, next on shortstops, and so forth.

This year however we decided to break down our rankings into tiers and provide commentary for each tier as a whole with multiple Guru`s chiming in where they see fit. This will provide more than just a single voice to the readers while letting the authors offer their opinions on players they deem worthy enough to write about. Hopefully, it will be a fun, informative read and you will come away with an idea of how a certain player is looked at by the industry.

As always, our rankings are geared towards a 15-team OBP roto league with a three to five-year view on our team.

This week we`ll be looking at the first base base position.

Tier 1

1Coby Mayo
2Samuel Basallo
3Kyle Manzardo
4Heston Kjerstad

The Baltimore Orioles Tier of first baseman. Not exactly, but for the most part that is what we have here. Coby Mayo, Samuel Basallo, and Heston Kjerstad are Orioles first base prospects. While none of the three play predominantly at first base at this time, they all played at least 28 games there in 2023. The player I am targeting the most in dynasty leagues is Basallo. His slash line across three levels in 2023 was .313/.402/.551, to go with 20 home runs. He has good plate discipline as a 19-year-old, massive power, excellent on-base skills, and high exit velocities. Pretty much everything needed to be a super-star prospect. If he continues his meteoric success in Double-A this season, he could even see a possible major league debut at the end of the year for the Orioles. This is a must-get prospect before the cost gets too out of hand in the near future (Daniel Labude).

This top tier of first base prospects is loaded with premier talent, of which, 75% happen to be on the same team, the Baltimore Orioles. Mayo and Kjerstad are major league-ready and will need to start hot and stay hot, to break into that team’s major league lineup. Both are avoids entirely for me with the log jam there. I’ll be looking to target the likes of Basallo and Manzardo. Manzardo could break camp with the Cleveland Guardians and has a clear path to everyday at-bats, whenever he does get to the big leagues. His batting average was terrible at Triple-A in 2023, but his OBP and SLG were pretty good. His power is legit and his off-field distractions and change of scenery with being traded from Tampa Bay to Cleveland could explain his decreased batting average. I like him to bounce back and in a big way for the 2024 season. Basallo is the future and one of the hottest prospects this offseason, if he continues his stellar play to begin this season, he could be a top-25 prospect by the midseason update (Brian Labude).

There`s really not much to add here except what the heck Baltimore? (Ryan)

Tier 2

5Xavier Isaac
6Abimelec Ortiz
7Nolan Schanuel
8Tyler Soderstrom
9Hunter Goodman

This is the value tier for first base prospects, in my opinion.  Abimelec Ortiz burst on the scene with a show of power in the lower levels of the Texas organization and looks to move up the ranks quickly.  On our last podcast, I mentioned he’d be a must-have in deeper formats, and my co-host Chris Knock corrected me and said Ortiz would be a top-100 prospect and should be rostered as such.  My other go-to in this tier is Nolan Schanuel, who almost seems to be getting downgraded for being called up so quickly.  Managers who think Schanuel did poorly because he only had one home run, against major league pitching while less than a year removed from college, should look at his batting average (.275) and on base percentage (.402). There’s nothing standing

between him and playing time, roster him and watch him grow. (Drew Klein)

This is my favorite tier and contains three first basemen that should be sure-fire targets this offseason. Xavier Isaac, Abimelec Ortiz, and Hunter Goodman. Isaac is a prototypical first baseman with big size, and enormous power, but top-tier plate discipline. As a 19-year-old, strikeouts were not an issue, and he was patient enough to take a walk as well. This should help his monster power continue to produce eye-popping numbers in the years ahead. Ortiz went through some struggles to begin his career, but offseason changes led to him almost leading the minors in OPS in 2023, along with launching 33 home runs. He started hitting the ball with much higher exit velocities, which resulted in a large boost in his power numbers. Repeating his success this coming season could see him jump into being a top-25 prospect. Goodman has flown under the radar for the most part, in the last two seasons. 2024 should see his power bat get extended time in the lineup for the Rockies. If he can reach 500 plate appearances, he could be a breakout hitter in Colorado and push 20-30 home runs (Daniel Labude).

This tier has a ton of value in my opinion and probably offers the better return on investment. Isaac begins the 2024 season with a similar helium to Basallo. He has big power, hitting 19 home runs between Low-A and High-A in 2023, and could continue his massive breakout into this season. Ortiz put up some of the best power numbers among first base prospects, despite his slightly elevated strikeout rate. He was able to show good contact and on-base skills with a triple slash line of .294/.371/.619. Soderstrom saw his value drop last year, after a poor debut in the major leagues. He is still very young and someone I like to bounce back, due to his ability to hit the ball hard and often. He had a 95th percentile exit velocity of 108.5 mph in Triple-A and a hard hit rate of 47.1%. Don’t count him out just yet (Brian Labude).

Xavier Isaac is who I`m most interested in, in this tier. There is some swing and miss in the profile with a 70% zone contact rate but he can get to his power relatively easily. The 12 stolen bases were just icing on the cake last year and really came out of nowhere. Look for Isaac to start the year in High-A, and I`ll be paying close attention to that zone contact rate, but he looks a star so far.

I have faith in Nolan Schanuel, ok…he wasn`t used to wooden bats after being drafted. Yet he still was spraying the ball all over the field and being productive, even with that subpar exit velo…an 85mph average exit velocity is kind of unbelievable. He has reportedly been working on his swing speed and adjusting to wooden bats all offseason, if he can even have average power numbers he can be something useful in the Major Leagues, I mean hey, even Eric Hosmer was roster-worthy for a spell (Ryan).

The Author

Ryan Epperson

Ryan Epperson

Lead prospect analyst and managing editor for The Dynasty Guru.

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Prospect Spotlight: Abimelec Ortiz