2024 Dynasty Baseball RankingsProspect Talk


The prospect mavens have been working hard over the past few months here at the TDG offices to bring you some of the best consensuses at least in our opinion rankings of the top and not-so-top prospects in the game that will hopefully give you a leg up on your competition that just looks at the MLB.com rankings (with all due respect of course.) If you`ve been with us for a while you will generally see the same rollout as past years, one week will focus on outfielders, next on shortstops, and so forth.

This year however we decided to break down our rankings into tiers and provide commentary for each tier as a whole with multiple Guru`s chiming in where they see fit. This will provide more than just a single voice to the readers while letting the authors offer their opinions on players they deem worthy enough to write about. Hopefully, it will be a fun, informative read and you will come away with an idea of how a certain player is looked at by the industry.

As always, our rankings are geared towards a 15-team OBP roto league with a three to five-year view on our team.

This week we`ll be looking at the second base base position.

Tier 1

1Colt Keith
2Adael Amador
3Matt Shaw
4Ronny Mauricio

There is so much to like in this tier, the challenge may be predicting which ones will stay at second base, a position where we need more fantasy studs.  The Tigers will likely start this year with Keith at second but when Jung comes up, one of them will move to third; Matt Shaw reported in January that he’s taking most of his off-season reps at third base; Mauricio was preparing to play third before he got hurt last year; and Amador’s a natural shortstop but with Tovar there, it looks like Amador is the one most likely from this tier to end up at second base.

Colt Keith is going to be a great source of power and there’s a reason the Tigers locked him up through his arbitration years. If there’s a drawback for fantasy, it’s that he won’t provide many stolen bases playing a position where we often look for steals. Amador is currently my favorite prospect and I can’t wait to see him hitting in Coors.   When I look at Matt Shaw, I’m trying not to get too hyped over a small sample size, but there’s a lot to like, with a slugging percentage over .500 and 13 stolen bases. (Drew Klein)

It is really difficult to predict who will stick at second base in the big leagues. This is predominantly due to prospects constantly shifting around to find a defensive home that provides the most value to their team. Mauricio looked slated for a move to third base this spring for the Mets, Amador and Shaw will eventually come up to a loaded infield in Colorado and Chicago respectively. Out of the players in this first tier, the best bet to stick at second base has to be Keith. He just signed an extension with the Tigers that bought out his arbitration years and their GM has stated their plan for at least the foreseeable future is to play him at second base. The power/speed combo Mauricio can provide once he returns from his ACL injury is very tantalizing at the bottom of this tier (Brian Labude).

If I am taking a shot on this first tier, I might just go for Matt Shaw. Is it conventional, maybe not, but hear me out. Colt Keith has playing time opportunities in Detroit, but that field is just a drain on offensive numbers. Amador might be the best hitter of the group, but is he going to hit for enough power or steal meaningful bases in Colorado? Ronny Mauricio is out all year and then will need to come back healthy from an ACL injury. That leaves Matt Shaw, who might have the power of Keith, the hitting ability of Amador, and speed similar to Mauricio. Sign me up to take a chance with Shaw (Daniel Labude).

Tier 2

5Carlos Jorge
6Termarr Johnson
7Orelvis Martinez
8Thomas Saggese
9Connor Norby
10Jace Jung

Almost any of these players could make an argument to be included in Tier 1.  Take a minute and go look at Termarr Johnson’s home run total (18), BB% (22%) and OBP across two levels last year (.420+).  You’re welcome, now go make an offer to whichever manager in your leagues has him rostered. Jace Jung brings his 28 home runs and double digit walk rate to the party, which will be valuable even if he’s the Tiger who moves to third base. Thomas Saggese’s 26 home runs come with 12 stolen bases, an attractive combination of power and speed.  And if you’re looking for stolen bases from the position, Carlos Jorge will be happy to provide those (32 across two levels in 2023).  Personally, I’m not buying Orelvis Martinez’s second half last season, nor his ability to play second base long term, let’s see what this year brings. (Drew Klein)

I’m fading a couple of the guys in this tier, Carlos Jorge and Termarr Johnson. Jorge has very little extra base hit power, he is mostly singles, good average, and some speed. I think he projects as a utility bat, especially if he stays in the Reds organization. Johnson I think is on a similar path, a utility bat once he gets to the big leagues. Johnson just doesn’t hit enough when he swings the bat. Despite a better than 20% walk rate in 2023, he hit below .250. He is still young and can improve the hitting, but until he does, it is hard to imagine anything other than a utility role for him. I like both Orelvis Martinez and Jace Jung in this tier, their power can be of enormous value if they can stick at second base (Brian Labude).

A player to watch in this tier is Jace Jung. He should have good enough bat skills and plate discipline to let his power shine. The only downside is that Detroit Tigers stadium. If he comes out hot in 2024, watch for him to move into the major league lineup quicker than expected (Daniel Labude).

Tier 3

11Nick Yorke
12Michael Busch
13Joey Loperfido
14Juan Brito
15Davis Schneider
16Ryan Bliss
17Echedry Vargas
18Luisangel Acuna

This is just about what one would expect from a third tier.  As hitters, I like Busch and Loperfido, but I’m not sure we’ll see either maintain second base eligibility. Loperfido’s future in Houston looks to be outfield or DH, and right now Busch could be the Cubs first baseman, unless they sign Bellinger.  I know a fantasy manager and podcaster who starts almost every conversation expressing his love for the speed guys, and I know he’s shopping in this tier, specifically Bliss and Vargas. Yorke and Acuna are interesting names and personally I had Acuna rated higher than this, but I think Bliss and Vargas are the two from this tier we’ll be considering for Tier 1 a year from now. (Drew Klein)

This is the undervalued tier. Most of the guys you find here are being undervalued for their production and skills. Busch is older, but has big power and great on-base skills. Loperfido is a triple threat with his power, speed, and on-base abilities. Bliss may be small, standing at 5’6”, but he most assuredly packs a punch. He had a 31% hard hit rate at Triple-A after being traded from Arizona to Seattle at the trade deadline. I expect that number to increase this season as he has adjusted to the pitching at the advanced levels rather well. In the month of September, he had a triple slash line of .329/.456/.659, to go along with seven home runs and 11 doubles (Brian Labude).

The player here who could have the most impact in 2024 fantasy wise, should be Davis Schneider. Debuting last year as mostly a second baseman, he smashed his way into the big leagues, starting out with a historic slash line of .350/.500/.815. This resulted in the best OPS ever in a player’s first 25 games, a whopping 1.315. Schneider was launching home runs and doubles left and right during this stretch, totaling 10 doubles and eight home runs. He even had an 18.6% walk rate while striking out less than 30% of the time. What goes up must come down though and boy did the air ever pop out of his sky high balloon. In his final 10 games, he would hit .057/.154/.114. He had an OPS of .269 and only hit two doubles. To the shock of many, he didn’t hit a home run either in that stretch. His strikeout rate reached 36% and the walk rate plummeted to 5%. It was a tale of two Schneiders, the spectacular and the ugly. The real Schneider is somewhere in-between and he will have a chance to get at-bats in 2024 as the short side platoon in the outfield and maybe more time at second base for the Blue Jays. One can dream of the highs and run from the lows at the same time (Daniel Labude).

The Author

Ryan Epperson

Ryan Epperson

Lead prospect analyst and managing editor for The Dynasty Guru.

No Comment

Leave a reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Previous post


Next post

Prospect Spotlight: Jace Jung