2024 Dynasty Baseball RankingsDynasty Baseball

THE DYNASTY GURU’S 2024 TOP 50 CONSENSUS THIRD BASEMEN: #11-#30

Here are our 2024 consensus #11-#30 Third Basemen!!

#11-#20

RankPlayerAvg. Rank
11Nolan Arenado12.5
12Christian Encarnacion-Strand13.6
13Ha-Seong Kim18.5
14Coby Mayo15.5
15Spencer Steer15.8
16Colt Keith16.6
17Noelvi Marte18
18Isaac Paredes19.2
19Alec Bohm20.2
20Max Muncy20.9

Before I start analyzing this very intriguing tier, allow me to set the scene.  One of the things that holds me back just a bit as a fantasy player is that I like rostering players I just plain like watching. I don’t necessarily mean players from my favorite team, lots of fantasy managers do that, but I’m talking about guys like Alec Bohm. My fascination started as he was coming up as a prospect and had a great year in 2019, with a slugging percentage over .500 across three levels.  That was before I knew the Phillies have a very hitter-friendly Double-A park.  Then, he said “it.”  (IYKYK)  And then the next day, he received a standing ovation, and I don’t think that’s because he apologized, I think the Phillies fans loved that he said it. He hustles, he’s a cheerleader in the dugout and he has the world’s ugliest headband. (I’m not a Philadelphia fan, but if someone was new to the country and asked me what teams they should become a fan of, I’m pretty sure I’d say Philadelphia teams, they look like they’re having a lot of fun even when they’re miserable).

Tl;dr: sometimes I rank players I like watching a little higher than I objectively should.

Enter Alec Bohm, ranked at 19.  My first thought was that this is way too low, but then I took a harder look at everyone in this tier.

There are a couple of veterans in here, both of which belong in this tier but depending on what you’re looking for might be ranked differently.  Nolan Arenado is entering his age-33 year, which is not too old to roster, but his numbers are decreasing and in 2023 he had career-high in ground balls, career low in fly balls, and pulled the ball more than ever. It could be that he’s pressing, but 26 home runs and 93 runs batted in are more than respectable, and I don’t think Saggese or anyone else in the Cardinals farm system is going to push Arenado off third base any time soon.  Actually, the 33-year-old that you want from this group is Max Muncy, who just had the quietest 36 home run/105 RBI season possible, He’s had over 550 plate appearances each of the past three years, so he’s been healthy, and he’s in a lineup that will score plenty of runs.  His cold streaks are frustrating but the hot streaks are worth it.

The two enigmas here are Ha-Seong Kim and Noelve Marte.  Kim is one of the few players in this group who will steal some bases, and his OBP is acceptable, but he doesn’t provide the power you are looking for from the third base position.  He’s much more valuable as a second basemen or middle infielder, but if I’m evaluating him only as a third baseman for fantasy, he’s not an attractive option.  Noelvi Marte is an on-base machine, is getting the “Cincinnati hype” right now, and his next 20 home run season will be his first. I project he’ll be the odd man out in Cincinnati and find himself in the minors or traded.

The other two Reds in this tier both provide good value.  Christian Encarnacion-Strand hit over 30 home runs each of the past two years, and hit over .300 throughout the minors. If he can hit near that in the majors, he’ll be a very valuable fantasy asset.  Be careful with your roster construction, it looks like CES will be spending more time at first and may lose third-base eligibility within a year or two.  Spencer Steer doesn’t provide as much power, but has a higher average and on-base percentage.  Again, there’s no way to say for sure where the positions will play out on that team, but they move Steer around a lot so he is more likely than Encarnacion-Strand to keep third-base eligibility.

The other two young guns in this tier are Colt Keith and Coby Mayo. Keith had a power surge this past year, changing his swing to create more fly balls and pulling the ball more.  There isn’t anyone blocking his path to the Detroit lineup so we should see what he can do this year.  Mayo is a power hitter who does not have a clear path to the majors. The Orioles are like the manager in your league who stockpiles prospects just to hold them and won’t even talk about trade offers. Everyone has an opinion on who the Orioles should be trading, but unless they can find a way to move Henderson to shortstop, Mayo may be the one who has to be moved or relegated to DH.

Raise your hand if you thought Isaac Paredes was a part-time player. You’ll notice I’m typing slowly because I have one hand raised.  Now raise your hand if you knew that in 2023 he had 571 plate appearances, hit 31 home runs, 98 runs batted in and a .352 on-base percentage.  If your hand is raised for that, I’m guessing you had him on a roster. For a manager looking at a dynasty roster with a three-year window (our parameters for these rankings), I think Paredes is the choice in this tier.  Tampa does funky things with their lineups, but they make sure the hot bats get their playing time, I’m not worried about that.

To bring all full circle, where does Bohm fit in this group?  For dynasty, I’d take him before Arenado, Marte, and strictly for third base, Kim, but that’s about it. I tip my hat to all our rankers, after further review, we got that one right.

For a team looking to win in 2023, I’m taking Max Muncy from this group.

For a team looking to compete in 2025, I’m taking Colt Keith, but I won’t argue with someone taking Encarnacion-Strand.

(Drew Klein)

#21-#30

RankPlayerAvg. Rank
21Ke'Bryan Hayes21.8
22Jake Burger22.1
23Matt Chapman24
24Curtis Mead26.7
25Brady House27
26Tyler Black28.5
27Maikel Garcia28.7
28Brett Baty29.5
29Orelvis Martinez30.4
30Ryan McMahon31

If you were building a real-life MLB team and looking at this group, you’d be excited about all the strong defensive options. Ke’Bryan Hayes, Matt Chapman, Ryan McMahon, and Maikel Garcia are all pretty slick with the glove. Unfortunately, that doesn’t count for much in most fantasy leagues, besides keeping their mediocre bats in the lineup on a regular basis.

Hayes entered last season just a swing change away from being an exciting power/speed threat. He made that swing change, raising his average launch angle to 13.2 degrees and posting a .182 ISO and 15 HR, both career highs. The bad news is he also made a speed change. His Statcast sprint speed dropped into the 43rd percentile, and he was just 10 for 16 on stolen bases. There’s still potentially an exciting fantasy player here, but we’ve been saying that for years and now he’s 27.

If you want to turn back the clock on Hayes, you could try Garcia, who stole 23 bases as a 23-year-old last season. He never showed much in the way of power in the minors, but he did have a 91.8 average and 110 maximum exit velocity last season, so maybe there’s some pop there. Of course, he’ll have to hit the ball in the air more to tap into it.

McMahon has a career .683 OPS against LHP (.573 last season) and a career .661 mark away from Coors Field. His 2B/3B eligibility and the predictability of his good days make him a nice part-time option in daily leagues, but using him every day is not very appealing.

Chapman’s exit velocities were strong as ever, but he slumped to just 17 HR last season. If you look at his xHR by ballpark, the range is all over the place – he would’ve hit 35 HR if he played every game in Cincinnati, but just 11 in Kansas City. The teams that have shown the most interest in his free agency are on the lower end of that spectrum, so there’s not much reason to get excited.

Burger’s xHR distribution was much more balanced. He would have hit at least 28 HR last season no matter where he played. Miami isn’t the ideal spot for him, but when you can hit a ball 118.2 MPH, even LoanDepot Park can’t contain your power.

If I had to make a player from this bunch my 2024 starter at 3B, it’d be Hayes or Burger, depending on team needs. The prospects here, however, are much more interesting, and it’s possible that one of them will overtake the vets as soon as this year.

Tyler Black would be at the top of that list. He had an OBP over .400 and a SLG over .500 at two different levels last season, with 47 steals at Double-A and more walks than strikeouts at Triple-A. He’s a highly polished prospect who could have an immediate multi-category impact.

Curtis Mead also has a very polished bat. I’m not sure if he’ll be able to find an everyday role on the platoon-happy Rays, or if he’ll bring enough power and speed to make a huge fantasy impact, but at the very least he should provide a helpful OBP.

Brett Baty struggled last season in the majors but has a lot of things I look for in a post-hype target. He still crushed AAA with a 1.013 OPS. He struck out too much with the Mets, but hit the ball hard when he did make contact, and his .379 xSLG compared to his .323 SLG suggests some bad luck. A good spring likely puts him in line for another shot to start at 3B.

Orelvis Martinez may also be ready to contribute at the MLB level after improving his approach last season. From May 10 on, he slashed .276/.374/.545 and wasn’t fazed by a move to Triple-A. If Chapman doesn’t return to the Blue Jays, he could have a shot to start at 3B this season. Either way, he’s a potential impact power bat down the road.

Brady House has struggled with injuries and strikeouts but still had a .862 OPS as a 20-year-old between High-A and Double-A last season. He may be charting a similar path to Orelvis – quick promotion to the upper levels, stalled progress against advanced pitching, and then a breakthrough while he’s still fairly young. He also has significant power upside, so it’s worth keeping an eye on him even if he starts to slide under your rivals’ radars.

(Ben Sanders)

The Author

Drew Klein

Drew Klein

Lover of all things baseball and determined to keep the fan in fantasy.

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