2024 Dynasty Baseball RankingsDynasty Baseball

THE DYNASTY GURU’S 2024 PLAYERS TO AVOID: OUTFIELDERS

This is a companion piece to our 2024 Dynasty League Rankings. The opinions below are my own and do not reflect the TDG consensus.

KYLE SCHWARBER, PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (AGE: 30, RANK: 21)

We know the good; the last two seasons Schwarber has averaged 46 homers, 104 Runs and 99 RBI with a 15% walk rate. The bad is hurting most teams though; a .218 batting average in 2022 followed by a worse .197 batting average last season. If he hits .150 with only 30 homers, do the Phillies still play him? Well, they probably do as he’s paid near $20mil per through 2025, but that’s only the end of next season.

As a Cubs fan, the legend of Kyle Schwarber, the catcher who was ready to play left field only to hurt himself, be out almost the whole season, and return triumphantly to be a part of the first Cubs World Series winner in more than 100 years, will only grow over the years. Right now, though, for Dynasty baseball purposes? There’s not much time left to get early-round value from Schwarber.

Many of my fellow TDG writers agree with me, as during our inaugural TDG Dynasty League we are currently drafting, Schwarber fell to my team at pick 118. Compare that to NFBC leagues, where he has an ADP of 87 and even higher on Fantrax at 32; and at those ADPs, the chance he provides a positive return, compared to other players being drafted around him, is low. I drafted him in the TDG Dynasty League because it is a five-outfielder league and taking him so late presents the opportunity for surplus value, so never say never on a guy, but this season, Schwarber is a big avoid for me (unless he falls far).

RILEY GREENE, DETROIT TIGERS (AGE: 23, RANK: 27)

The Tigers seems to be a popular sleeper pick, especially the hope that their young hitters take the leap together into relevancy, heck I even wrote up Parker Meadows as a target this year in the Outfield.  Greene has the better pedigree and the better tools, so why is he an avoid, you might ask? For me, its steals and homers. He doesn’t steal enough bases or hit enough homers to move the needle for me and look at him as a top-50 Dynasty player. Lo and behold, Greene went 50th overall in our TDG Dynasty League draft (currently still ongoing). With batting average his calling card last season (.288, supported by a .384 BABIP), Greene was mildly productive, though only 11 homers and seven steals in 416 plate appearances is super-bleh.

Our own Keaton O. DeRocher warned us way, way back in February of 2021 to avoid Greene; he’s a fortune teller, dontcha know?

If the Detroit offense sputters again, we could see Green put up less than 100 Runs + RBI, as he did in 2022 and 2023. Coming off Tommy John surgery, and while we know that’s easier on a hitter, is another bugaboo for me. This is strictly a Dynasty call; his current NFBC ADP of 172 could provide a great return in an annual league. So, while his Dynasty value is still high, it couldn’t hurt to put him on the block and see what comes.

The Author

Phil Barrington

Phil Barrington

Fantasy player since 1999, specializing in OPS leagues. Accountant by day, fantasy writer by night. Spreadsheets are life.

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