2024 Dynasty Baseball RankingsDynasty Baseball

THE DYNASTY GURU’S 2024 TOP 125 DYNASTY LEAGUE OUTFIELDERS, #61-125

WELCOME BACK DYNASTOPIANS!!! The Gurus have been working hard on rankings for the last month or so and we’re ready to help you on your way to victory in 2024!

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Without further ado, it’s time to begin our 2024 consensus rankings!

#61-#70

RankPlayerAvg. Rank
61Tyler O'Neill66.5
62Colton Cowser66.8
63Jung Hoo Lee66.9
64Daulton Varsho67.4
65Heston Kjerstad67.5
66Max Kepler68.9
67Tommy Edman69.3
68Christopher Morel70
69Chase DeLauter73.9
70Will Benson74.4

Power, speed and strikeouts. You can find them all in abundance in this tier, particularly from O’Neill, Varsho, Morel and Benson. But I’ll start with a guy who will give you none of those things – Jung-hoo Lee. The Giants’ new center fielder has been posting microscopic K-rates in Korea for years, but his career high in steals is 13, and he’s had just two seasons with double-digit home runs. The obvious comparison is Jeff McNeil – both even have a weird outlier season with 23 homers. Lee is interesting, but when you consider his lower ceiling and the likelihood that he’ll need some time to adjust to a new league and country, he’s not my favorite of this group.

Varsho had an ugly .285 OBP last season. You can blame his .256 BABIP, but it’s not all bad luck. He was second among qualified hitters in infield flyball rate at 19% last season, and those popouts are dragging down his average and OBP. Despite that, he would still be my first choice from this tier to roster for 2024. He has some advantages over the other power/speed guys. He has the lowest K-rate of the bunch, and his elite defense in the outfield keeps him in the lineup every day. He’s played over 150 games each of the last two seasons. You can’t count on that from O’Neill, who has battled chronic injury issues; Morel, who hasn’t been able to settle into a position; or Benson, a lefty with severe platoon splits on a team stocked with good righty bats.

Kepler and Edman are also among my top choices for this season. Kepler was a big beneficiary of the shift ban last season, producing a career-high .288 BABIP. His 21.6% K-rate was also a career high, but it was also a sign that he was getting back to what he does best – pulling the ball for power – and not trying to hit around the shift. He should be a safe bet for 20-plus homers this year, but entering his age 31 season the ceiling just isn’t real exciting.

Edman is a switch hitter, but made 61 plate appearances batting righty against righties last season. Unfortunately, the results weren’t any better than he gets hitting lefty, and that means his platoon issue is likely to continue. He has a career .803 OPS against lefties and often bats leadoff against them, but most of his fantasy value comes from stolen bases, and it’s harder to run on LHP. Against righties, he’s relegated to the bottom of the order and gets fewer opportunities to steal and score runs. He’s still a safe bet for 25-30 SB, but that doesn’t go as far as it used to with the new rules.

If you’re looking to the future, Morel would be my pick. He doesn’t turn 25 until June – he’s younger than Kjerstad and less than a year older than Cowser, who also has whiff issues but without the same loud tools. Morel hit 26 homers and drove in 72 runs despite spending the first month of the season at AAA (where he clubbed another 11 dingers). There’s upside for 30-plus HR, 10-15 steals, lots of R and RBI in a strong lineup, and maybe even a passable OBP if he can cut the strikeouts a little. What the Cubs do in the offseason could affect his playing time, but so far they’ve largely stood pat.

Honorable mention for the future goes to DeLauter. I’m a stats-first guy and there’s just not much of a sample there yet, but his tools are intriguing.

(Ben Sanders)

#71-#80

RankPlayerAvg. Rank
71Sal Frelick74.7
72Ceddanne Rafaela76
73MJ Melendez76.6
74Leody Taveras77.1
75Jose Siri78.9
76Starling Marte79.7
77Owen Caissie81.2
78Taylor Ward82
79Brent Rooker82.1
80Jake Fraley82.4

Let’s just start by saying, Starling Marte. Talk about falling off the map. Last year we had him ranked at 35. Now he finds himself 41 spots down the list at the ripe old age of 35. It was his worst career year by far. But he was battling injury. I would honestly take the risk with Marte if it makes sense. I am not telling you to go out of your way and sell the farm for him but if the price is right pull the trigger.

“Siri, can you help with advice on a Tampa Bay Rays player whose name happens to be Jose Siri?” Side note, she will not help you. She only pulls up the Rays roster. Speaking of Siri and technology… did you know that people are asking for betting advice from AI bots on Snapchat? Crazy, huh? Here is some more free advice. Avoid Jose Siri. I don’t believe he will succeed at the major league level long term. Maybe one or two more mediocre years at that.

Let’s talk about someone I am more excited about than maybe I should be: MJ Melendez. This is a great buy-low candidate. He is only 25 years old. When you deep dive into his metrics, you can see that he is in the top 5% of average exit velo and improved from the previous season. He also improved in barrel percentage and hard hit percentage. Take a risk on Melendez if you are in a deeper league of 16 or more teams.

Leody Taveras is another solid buy-low option that you should target in leagues that have 16 or more teams. Leody finally gave us a glimpse into the talent that many prospect researching sites hoped for. I would not be surprised if his stock continues to rise and this time next year one of the staffers at TDG is writing about him as a top 60 outfielder. Sometimes the difference maker in a league comes at the price of taking in bullish advice. Consider this mine. Lastly, Leody may be my favorite in this section and that isn’t all because I am a Rangers fan in real life!

I am also excited about Owen Caissie. Last year, Caissie hit 22 bombs at the Double-A level, the most for him in a minor league season. This was no surprise. Especially since he has a future grade of 65 power. There is much to be excited about in Owen but he will not come cheap. Roster him everywhere.

(Brett Cook)

#81-#90

RankPlayerAvg. Rank
81Giancarlo Stanton84.1
82Jesús Sánchez84.5
83Kris Bryant85
84Alex Kirilloff85.8
85Luis Matos86.2
86Austin Hays86.8
87Jonatan Clase88.1
88Brandon Marsh89.4
89Nelson Velázquez93
90Michael Conforto93.1

When I first saw the names in this tier, they did not immediately spark joy.  There are aging sluggers well into their decline phase, young players that haven’t had a breakout yet, and a few names that are just guys.  That’s not saying there isn’t value here or that they present no fantasy value.  We just need to be aware of the issues and risks in this tier.

The name I am into the most in this group is Luis Matos.  The former top prospect made his MLB debut in 2023 and didn’t quite burst onto the scene.  In 76 games, Matos only hit two home runs with a .661 OPS and a .308 xwOBA.  While some may call this a disappointment, I want to focus more on the positives.  Throughout his entire MilB career, Matos has put up elite contact rates.  At Double-A and Triple-A, Matos only struck out 8% of the time, and that skill transferred to the MLB with a 13% K%.  His approach was also great, with an 8% walk rate.

Matos doesn’t have substantial raw power, but his 87 mph exit velocity isn’t terrible.  I would expect that power to rise because he’s only 21 and showed such good contact skills.  The speed is barely above average but he’s always been an efficient base stealer in the minors (68 SB with an 80% success rate).  This is a player who’s going to be a solid everyday player and contribute in all categories.  He’ll have to fight for playing time this year, but with such reliable tools, it’s only a matter of time.

Michael Conforto is one of those players standing in the way of Matos’ playing time.  Last season wasn’t Conforto’s best year – his .718 OPS was a career-worst, and he ended the year on the wrong note, only posting an 89 wRC+ in the second half.  You could say the poor performance was from him missing a whole season in 2022, or this is another step in his decline. His numbers have been on a downward trend since 2020, and while it’s possible that after a year back and a typical offseason, we could see some resurgence.  But even with the DH spot wide open, San Francisco has a lot of bodies that need at-bats.  Conforto is going to have to scratch and claw to get playing time.

Kris Bryant and Giancarlo Stanton share a similar profile – former studs that have slid down rankings due to age and injuries.  Neither player has come close to playing an entire season since 2021.  Stanton has been kept off the field with quadricep, calf, and Achilles injuries, while Bryant suffered from plantar fasciitis, a bruised heel, and a broken finger.  I wish that, at least when healthy, these sluggers were performing well, but Bryant only had a 73 wRC+ last season.  His underlying numbers support the poor showing at the plate.  His 85 mph exit velocity was towards the bottom of the league, and his .323 xwOBA was just below average.  His .270 BABIP was well below his career average of .335, so these injuries may have contributed to some bad luck.  It wouldn’t be a shock to see him rebound to become at least a league-average hitter.

Good luck might benefit Stanton as well.  He’s hit over 25 home runs the past two seasons, and both his average and max exit velocities are in the top 1% of the league, but his 30% strikeout rate and .219 BABIP the past two seasons have tanked his batting average.  I’m hesitant to say that after two years of injuries, Stanton is due for a healthy year because all of his injuries in 2023 were lower body issues, and we may be looking at a chronic problem.  But Stanton is a 30-home-run bat when healthy.  It’s hard not to take a shot at him.

Nelson Velásquez, Jesús Sánchez, and Brandon Marsh are three outfielders set up to take the next step forward in 2024.  There’s power in this group; all three have average exit velocities of 90 mph or more, but some flaws are keeping them down.  Marsh and Sánchez are likely starting the year in platoons.  Marsh has shown the ability to make good contact and doesn’t chase much but doesn’t make much contact (31% strikeout rate).  His plus defense will keep him in the lineup.  Sánchez makes even better contact than Marsh but with worse plate discipline.  Velásquez is the only one of the three who is projected to play full-time and has the best raw power of the group (111 mph max exit velocity).  But the hit tool risk is also here with his 27% Whiff rate and 30% K%.  If these hitters begin to make more contact, they could have great years.

I’ll close out this tier with Jonatan Clase.  Clase has an exciting power/speed combo, but like the names mentioned, he has some hit tool risk.  It’s hard to be disappointed with a 13-home run and 62 stolen-base stint in Double-A, but the .222 average and 28% strikeout rate are an issue.  It was his first time in the upper minors, and he is almost three years younger than the rest of the league, so I find it encouraging.  Clase should be able to get the swing and miss back to a reasonable level, and the average should come up, but maybe not to the level where we hoped.  He’ll be a valuable fantasy player with his skills, but the hit tool issues will keep him from reaching his full potential.

(Colin Coulahan)

#91-#100

RankPlayerAvg. Rank
91Matt Wallner95.1
92Alex Verdugo96.2
93Spencer Jones96.7
94Druw Jones97.3
95Josue De Paula97.6
96Victor Scott II98.5
97Alek Thomas98.6
98Garrett Mitchell98.8
99Samuel Zavala98.9
100Joc Pederson99.2

The epitome of a three-true outcomes player, Wallner displays top-end power with a 116 mph maxEV paired with a good sense of the strike zone with an above-average chase rate of 26%. The unfortunate part of this package is a 36% whiff rate along with a basement-dwelling 68% contact rate. Like I said, the epitome of a three-true outcome player. You’ll get plenty of strikeouts with Wallner, but he is going to hit quite a few home runs, Steamer is currently projecting him to hit 18 in just over 400 plate appearances, but I think he can get closer to the 25 mark with a bit more playing time.

I will touch briefly on Verdugo and Joc…there, that ought to do it.

Garrett Mitchell will be playing in his age-25 season this year and has yet to eclipse the 400-plate appearance mark in any season of his life (okay, I don’t have any data on his travel league and high school at-bats, but I’m guessing no.) This could very well mean nothing, and he could get to 600 plate appearances this year with health in an up-and-coming Milwaukee lineup. He has shown flashes in the past two seasons of a good power/speed mix. He doesn`t expand the zone much but has thus far shown below-average zone contact rates. I am personally out on Mitchell, it’s a fun profile but I am unsure of how he will handle pitchers adjusting to him, and along with the injury risk and a high-30 whiff percentage the risk is too great for the potential reward.

Out of all the prospects in this group, I prefer Scott II. If you remember, Scott II was the player who stole 95 bases last year between High-A and Double-A. I believe he will be able to hit about league average with a little power and the ability to take a walk. Combine that with his Gold Glove-worthy defense in center field and other-worldly speed you have the makings of an all-star. Some will point to the lack of power in his profile, but his maxEV sits around 108mph which will play. He is the Cardinals center fielder of the future, and as soon as this year Scott II will crack the lineup. If Scott II can hit .250ish with an ocategory winning stat he shouldn’t be a detriment to any other category except home runs. Seriously, run out and get this guy before it`s too late.

Spencer Jones also plays elite defense in centerfield and shows great speed on the basepaths, stealing 43 bases last year between High-A and Double-A. I’m kind of burying the lede here, Jones is a hulking size of a man standing 6′-7″ with light-tower power. With that length comes the requisite hole in his swing due to a long lever action. His strikeout percentage hovered right below 30% last season and it’s probably a fair assessment that it will stabilize north of 25%. He`s posted good exit velocities but only had 16 home runs to show for it last year. The main culprit a groundball rate that flirts with 50%.

De Paula and Zavala are peas in a pod, well one pea is a year further in their development than the other. Okay, maybe that phrase doesn’t work for them but it’s close enough. Both have a good feel to hit, both may grow into some power and they`re both too far out to say with any confidence what they are at the moment. Both are exciting and can improve their stock significantly in `24.

If I needed help this season in the outfield, I would seriously consider Victor Scott II. As I said, I believe he will be up by the middle of the year, and you could reasonably expect immediate stolen base contributions from him. IF you needed an outfielder immediately and couldn’t wait on Scott`s arrival, I would turn my attention to Matt Wallner, especially in OBP leagues.

Three years down the road? I’m still sticking with Scott easily, he should be in the prime of his career and will have maybe won a Gold Glove by then along with stealing a billion bases.

(Ryan Epperson)

#101-#110

RankPlayerAvg. Rank
101Bryan De La Cruz101.3
102Everson Pereira101.6
103Drew Gilbert103.6
104Adam Duvall103.7
105Marcell Ozuna104
106Gabriel Gonzalez105.4
107Yanquiel Fernandez107.6
108Hunter Renfroe107.7
109Kevin Alcantara108.6
110Ryan Clifford108.8

What do you get when you rank the 110th-120th outfielders? Not much that you really want! The good news is that you are here reading so let’s work with these ten guys!

Before the 2022 season, Bryan De La Cruz was ranked at 116 on our internal rankings. Prior to last season, De La Cruz was ranked as the 75th-best outfielder. Now here he is in the same section he found himself in two years ago. And to be honest, it is totally warranted. Bryan struggled in 2023. His metrics over the last two years are polar opposites. One is full of blue (bad) and the other is full of red (good). If I had Bryan De La Cruz in any leagues, I would hope he starts off hot and look to sell him high. 

Ozuna tore the cover off the ball last season. His age-32 season was the second-best year of his career to date. His 2017 season in Miami was only slightly better. Ozuna wasn’t dominant in 21’ or 22’ which probably accounts for a big reason why he is lower in ranking with many of the writers’ rankings. I personally have him in the 25-35 range because of the dominance he showed last season. I wouldn’t be surprised if this time next year he jumps 50 spots.

There is much to be excited about in Drew Gilbert who was traded from the Astros to the Mets this past season. Gilbert put up solid numbers at the plate in High-A and Double-A this past season. I look for him to be in Triple-A by the end of the 2024 season. With Gilbert already being close to the middle of many top 100 lists, his stock has the potential to rise dramatically. He has shown the ability to get on base at a high clip, so just because you see him this low doesn’t mean you should throw in the towel.

If you were ever on the Hunter Renfroe hype train, I believe it is in your best interest to get off quickly. The only dynasty leagues that guys like Duvall and Renfroe need to be rostered in are leagues with 24 or more owners and even in those leagues, I would avoid them.

(Brett Cook)

#111-#120

RankPlayerAvg. Rank
111Joey Wiemer108.8
112Mark Canha109.4
113Wilyer Abreu109.8
114Edward Olivares109.8
115Willi Castro111.7
116Andrew Benintendi111.9
117Tommy Pham112.2
118Luke Raley113.2
119Trent Grisham114.4
120Justyn-Henry Malloy114.4

In this tier, the goal should be to find help in one or two categories without getting hurt too bad in others.

For the fantasy managers looking for some cheap power, Justyn-Henry Malloy, Wilyer Abreu, and Luke Raley are the options here. Justyn Henry Malloy put up an impressive .277/.417/.474 slash line in Triple-A last year, with 23 home runs.  That bat should play in Detroit, but the question is where? With Colt Keith and Jace Jung poised to take over second and third base in Detroit, the place for Malloy may be in the corner outfield/DH rotation. Wilyer Abreu has been a source of OBP due to double-digit walk rates at every level he’s played.  In the small sample of 85 major league plate appearances, there’s a lot of swing and miss in his game and he’ll either have to adjust or pitchers will continue to take advantage of that. He had 22 home runs in Triple-A before his promotion and if that breakout is real, he could be a surprising source of power. Luke Raley could be the steal in this tier. Until last year, he hit much better in the minors than in the big leagues, but last year found his groove with Tampa. He strikes out a lot, but when he hits the ball, he hits it hard as exhibited by a 45% hard hit rate last year. Twenty home runs and double-digit steals are a real possibility for him in Seattle.

The two players here who can provide support to your OBP are Andrew Benintendi and Mark Canha. Canha will be 35 years old this season which makes him difficult to rank much higher in a dynasty 3-year projection, but in the near future, he will provide OBP support.  He won’t contribute much else in that ballpark or lineup. If he bats high in the order could produce some runs, but I haven’t seen any projected lineups that place him there due to his lack of speed. Benintendi will be a decent contributor to OBP and will likely have double-digit steals. If that lineup produces closer to their potential. If Benintendi stays at leadoff, the runs will be there as well. He’s a very good ballplayer, but doesn’t translate into much of a fantasy asset.

Two of these players could be a good source of steals, Willi Castro and Edward Olivares. Castro will provide late-round/cheap trade stolen bases as exhibited by his 33 steals last year. His OBP has gone from abysmal to fair, and even though he’s a switch hitter, he’s at risk of being the weak side platoon. Olivares is slightly more intriguing. His great contact rates will keep his average high, but we rank for OBP and his low walk rate hurts his contribution in that category.  He had a jump in home run production last year, but there’s not a lot in his profile to indicate he’ll hit over 15 on a regular basis. He took advantage of the new rules to increase his stolen bases which is where you could expect any contribution in fantasy. Playing time will be an issue if he finds himself on the weak side platoon.

Tommy Pham is an enigma. Hs is currently unsigned, and entering his age 36 season, he will be ranked lower in dynasty than he would be in redraft leagues.   He is still capable of 15 to 20 home runs, and given the opportunity he’ll steal double-digit bases. His aggressive approach at the plate will hurt his OBP, but he will accumulate counting stats. He is among the streakiest hitters in the league which can be frustrating, but when he’s hot you’ll want him in your lineup.

The two players to avoid in this bunch are Joey Weimer and Trent Grisham.  They are both young and it may be early to put the avoid label on them, but there’s not much in either profile that indicates a reverse of fortunes is imminent.  Weimer is slated for the weak side platoon and his stats have regressed since 2021 as he’s moved up in the Brewers system. His OBP has suffered as a result of declining walk rates and poor contact.  Grisham has a passive approach at the plate, which makes for a good BB%, but below-average contact rates and swing percentages suppress his batting average, and therefore his OBP. He could be a source of double-digit home runs and steals, but it’s difficult to project enough playing time on the Yankees for that to happen.

For a fantasy team chasing a championship in 2024, I’m taking Tommy Pham out of this group, working the matchups, and hoping to time his hot streaks right.

For a team looking to contend in 2026, Luke Raley is my pick from this group. The situation in Seattle could play well to his strengths and I can see him playing his way out of any potential platoon.

(Drew Klein)

#121-#125

RankPlayerAvg. Rank
121Whit Merrifield114.4
122Mickey Moniak114.5
123Johan Rojas114.5
124Oscar Colas116.5
125Andy Pages117.8

Welp. You’ve made it to Outfielders 121-125. Congratulations, you did it. You big reader, you.

The sad part is that there’s not a ton of dynasty upside this far down the rabbit hole. In fact, we’ve completely lost track of the rabbits too. Just the worms and the dust and a few old copies of Catcher’s Digest…

Keaton must’ve been down here at some point. Everyone be alert.

I guess I shouldn’t be so hard on this group. It’s not their fault they’re here. And Merrifield did in fact turn into a bit of a rabbit in 2023, breaking off 26 steals and popping 11 dingers – albeit with an overall .700 OPS. I’m not sure he’s an average hitter at this point in his career but hey, you could do worse in bigger leagues. Mickey Moniak? No thank you. You can’t fool me, Mr. Mickey Moniak. Johan Rojas could be a “guy” – 1 stolen bag per every 12-ish plate appearances is awesome, but can he get on base at the same clip (.342) next season? My gut says no. Oscar Colás? Oscar No-más. I think he could have a nice major-league career, but I’m likely not going to wait for him to do it on any of my teams. Feel free to roast me if that backfires. 

However,  Andy Pages is interesting to me. He’s someone I mentioned in the Discord as a late-round stash for dynasty startup leagues last offseason, and I still believe those words to be true. Not just to confirm my bias either! Pages was on fire before he had surgery on his torn left labrum last season, posting a very fun slashline of .284/.430/.495 complete with 3 dingers and 7 thefts across 142 plate appearances. Even without the usually prolific round-trippers, that’s really great! Word is he should be okay for spring training, and while I don’t think he’ll be a prominent part of the bajillion-dollar Dodgers starting lineup for most of the year, who knows, he’s interesting, and that goes a long way when you’re this far underground.

(Taylor Case)

The Author

Taylor Case

Taylor Case

Taylor Case can't get enough baseball. A lifetime Padres fan, he's a big believer in beating the shift and letting the kids play. But if the strike zone turns into a robot, well, he might not play anymore.

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