I’m not going to lie to you fine people — the last year has tossed my life around like Derwin James body-slamming Travis Kelce, but recent developments have allotted me the time to write more, and this stuff is very fun for me, so I’m back. I make no promises about longevity, but I promise that my advice will be good. Let’s get to it!

TRADE TARGETS FOR COMPETING TEAMS

The big one:  Leonard Fournette, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This is a chalky take around the dynasty industry, but it’s true. Fournette is the ultimate this-year guy; he’s basically been circumstantially created in a lab to be “the big one” going into Week 3. No touchdowns despite elite usage, coming off a bad game, for a team that’s suddenly having trouble passing. I have way more confidence in Fournette to be elite through the season than I do, say, Cordarrelle Patterson, who I love but probably cannot sustain anything for 17 games.

The surprising one: A.J. Green, WR, Arizona Cardinals

I haven’t written this column for about 10 months, so I pulled up an early 2021 version to just check the formatting, and in that one A.J. Green was “The big one.” That was probably wrong, but after Sunday’s insane win over the Raiders, Green is a great target for the next month. Kyler Murray constantly looked for him, including on the game-tying 2-point conversion, and if defenses are going to try to stop Marquise Brown from getting beat deep Green will be open underneath. Shouldn’t cost very much, which is key.

The long-term play: Kadarius Toney, WR, New York Giants

I still believe in Toney, and I think the kinks will be ironed out by midseason in his relationships with Brian Daboll and Daniel Jones. I don’t see his price getting any lower than it is right now. If I’m wrong I’m wrong but the upside is still incredible.

TRADE TARGETS FOR REBUILDING TEAMS

The big one: Trey Lance, QB, San Francisco 49ers

Duh. Even if the future is far more murky than it ever has been for Lance, he’s worth the flyer if you can afford it. If it seems risky, well, that’s the point.

The surprising one: Isaiah Spiller, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

This could go nowhere: Spiller is buried on the Chargers’ depth chart and seems to have found himself in NFL purgatory, but given his college production he’s worth acquiring at whatever price he’s available. Don’t ask me who I traded for him before the draft. I don’t wanna talk about it.

The long-term play: Desmond Ridder, QB, Atlanta Falcons

Every good game by Marcus Mariota pushes Ridder’s debut a few more weeks into the future, but Ridder will get a shot eventually. Probably. He’s worth a buy-low if you can get him.

WAIVER WIRE/FREE AGENT TARGET OF THE WEEK

Daniel Bellinger, TE, New York Giants

There’s a decent change Bellinger is still unclaimed in your league. If he is, go get him. The Giants refuse to pass it to their good players, so why not their rookie tight end? Short and long-term, there’s value here.