Dynasty BaseballTriple Play

TDG’S Triple Play: Cleveland Guardians!

The Triple Play is back for a fifth season! This regular feature is broken down by senior writer Phil Barrington and he is joined by a rotating panel of some of the best Dynasty Baseball writers in the business. If you’re new to the Triple Play, this series breaks down an arm, a bat, and a prospect within each organization for your reading pleasure!

Follow Phil (@barrington_phil), Andrew Jurewicz (@a_money2727), and Sam Wirsching (@SamFBB1) on Twitter and read their analysis here at the site!


Andrés Giménez, Age: 23, Position: 2B/SS

Analysis by: Phil Barrington

Usually, I try to pick a guy who is less than 100% rostered, but Cleveland does not have many of those guys in its all or nothing lineup (except maybe Oscar Gonzalez, but he’s a pass for me long term), so, based on the recommendation of fellow writer Andrew Jurewicz, I am going to look at Andrés Giménez, who will be 24 years old in two weeks (on September 4th).

Atari Lynx

Since he doesn’t have a nickname (And-Gim is one that popped up when I searched, but that one is stupid), and since he shares a first name with former big leaguer Big Cat Andrés Galarraga, I’m calling him the Lynx. It’s quick, has some power, and can get after its prey, just like Giménez is doing with baseballs this season.

Andrés Giménez is having one heck of a 2022 season. Duh, those of you that roster him already know that. But maybe those of you that don’t (hand raised) were not aware how good of a season. Giménez made his first All-Star team on the back of 14 homers, 15 steals, 106 Runs + RBI, and a slash line of .309/.374/.494, that’s an .868 OPS for those not quick with the math. That’s good for 36th overall on the Razzball player rater, not bad for a guy drafted 266th overall in NFBC leagues. For reference, Nicky Lopez, Jonathan Villar, and Josh Rojas, were all taken before him.

Fair Trade?

The trade that brought the Lynx to Cleveland was back in January 2021, and it was a big one: the (then) Indians received Giménez, Amed Rosario along with minor leaguers Isaiah Greene and Josh Wolf for big time names Carlos Carrasco and the huge name in the deal, Frankie Lindor. Both sides seemed to have done well in this deal (its too bad about Carrasco’s health recently), and that is good for baseball. Thinking about the recent Juan Soto deal; I hope a couple of those guys really work out well for Washington, and that Soto continues his awesome career in a Padres uniform for a long time.

It’s the same with fantasy trades. Its probably very “old man yelling at clouds” of me (it is) but why managers have to ask, “who wins this trade?” all the time is beyond me. Is it fair? Does it make each of your teams better? Those are the better questions, because fairer trades make a better league, and a better league is one we all want to be a part of. Alright, rant over.

Hello, Mister Anderson

Well, let’s look at a comp, White Sox shortstop Tim Anderson. Anderson has been good for a near 20/20 season most of his big-league career (although, he only has one season as such to his credit), doesn’t walk a lot (3.6% walk rate over his big league career), strikes out a bit better than league average (23.2% so far in his career) is good for a near .290 average. Giménez doesn’t walk a lot (5.4% career walk rate), strikes out a bit better than league average (22.7% so far in his career) and should have near a .290 average. Funny thing is, both these guys rely on high BABIPs (Anderson career: .352, Giménez .332). Giménez is four years younger, but still, Anderson’s last four may quite well mimic Giménez’s next four.

Buy, Sell or Hold?

Here’s the million-dollar (or five dollar, or no dollar, since you, dear reader, are paying zero dollars to read this) question for those Dynasty league managers that are rostering Giménez. Do you sell or hold?

Giménez is a second baseman, that is his present, and most likely his future. He hasn’t played shortstop since July 12th, and only 18 times this season (most of those before June 1st) so counting on him to keep SS eligibility beyond 2023 is iffy…but, at second base, there aren’t many guys ahead of him. He’s a rock at second base for the foreseeable future, and will have SS eligibility at least through next season.

Our own recent Dynasty top 500 lists for Average has him rated as the 144th overall player, and if I can acquire him for any of the twenty to thirty guys ahead of him, I am doing it. On our OBP rankings he is a bit higher, at 114. If I can get him for any of the guys in front of him, say DJ LaMathieu, Taylor Ward, Matt Chapman, Robert Hassell III, Jordan Lawler, to name a few, I am making that deal immediately.  

The best thing that could happen if you want to acquire him for your Dynasty team is if he does not get to 20/20; if he does, expect him to go in the top three rounds of re-draft leagues next year, and your league mates asking the world for him. Still though, sending out feelers now plants some seeds that may come to fruition this off-season.

 


Emmanuel Clase, Age: 24, Position: RP

Analysis by: Andrew Jurewicz

An organization that has a knack for developing pitching, Cleveland gives us some solid options to choose from for this week. I felt that it was time to do some homework on a rising star for the Guardians, closer Emmanuel Clase. 

Late for Clase?

In a fantasy baseball scene that’s short on established closers, Clase began his presentation as an elite option at the position during the 2021 campaign finding 24 saves with a 1.28 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Having the attention of the fantasy baseball community we saw his ADP skyrocket and was being drafted as a top five option for relief pitchers in National Fantasy Championship leagues at 64.09 ADP, good for 60th overall. The top closers going off the board at the time were: 

  • #29 Josh Hader / 32.93 ADP 
  • #31 Liam Hendricks / 33.61 ADP
  • #51 Raisel Iglesias / 52.73 ADP
  • #60 Emmanuel Clase / 64.09 ADP
  • #63 Edwin Diaz / 68.10 ADP

Those holding Hader and Inglesias have taken a hit, especially in the past several weeks. Diaz has planted himself as the top closer in the game but those who drafted Clase are happy with their selection too; both of them have returned value ahead of other relievers gone earlier. Through August 21st Clase has 28 saves and a 1.22 ERA / 0.66 WHIP as well as a glowing red statcast that will make you think that you were a genius on draft day. 

Clase Dismissed

Heading into 2023 I’m valuing Clase as the #2 ranked reliever and he isn’t going to come cheap if you want him on your squad. Sadly I don’t have him in any of my leagues so I am already on the wrong side of the conversation here. From my experience I have checked in with some managers around my leagues who were holding our guy. However, the conversations have been quite short, often with a “not available” or a “need monstrous overpay” reply, even on dynasty squads that were rebuilding. To be fair at age 24 he profiles well with a team that might be needing to wait another year or two to compete again.


Jhonkensy Noel, Age: 21, Position: CI/OF, Level:AA

Analysis by: Sam Wirsching

One of the best ways for a professional baseball player to have offensive value is to have in-game power. The thinking is that the harder you hit the ball, the better chance you have of getting a hit. While this is rudimentary to most who follow the game, it gives us a chance to keep an eye on certain players to see if their other tools develop with their power. Power loves being paired up with a good approach at the plate. This is what gave me a lot of interest at the beginning of the season with a minor leaguer in the Guardian’s system, Jhonkensy Noel. A corner infielder/outfielder who shows promise. How did we get here, how has 2022 treated him, and what do we expect going forward?

Gotta start somewhere

Signed at age 16 out of the Dominican Republic in 2017, Jhonkensy spent 2018 playing in rookie ball in the Dominican Summer League and 2019 in the Arizona Development League. While his numbers weren’t great he was a couple years younger than the competition and hit 16 total home runs those years. Then 2020 happened and no one knew what to expect from prospects after a “lost” season. After six forgettable games in rookie ball Noel spent the rest of the season in Low-A and High-A mashing. His year statline was .340/.390/.615 with 19 home runs in 265 at bats. And he did this against older competition. I was super excited for 2022 and I planted a preseason flag on him in dynasty leagues. 

Tale of Two Cities

This season has been Best of times/Worst of times for Jhonkensy Noel. The best? His home run rate stayed great hitting one every 13.5 at bats up from every 14 at bats the previous season.  It is legit 40 homer upside and he is showing it. Also his walk rate went up! Not much but up from 6% to 8%. The Worst? His K Rate. In 2021 it was a very respectable 23.4%. In 2022 it has ballooned to 33.4%. If this continues there is good reason to think we won’t see him in the majors anytime soon. 

Looking Ahead

Noel is an adequate fielder with a strong arm. He is a right-handed free swinger with light tower power. He plays up for his age and his power is not because he sells out for power. He has a very smooth stroke and is showing growth in his approach to taking pitches. I think this season has provided his first real challenge and he is grinding. Also, in spite of his struggles the Guardians have promoted him this year to Double-A. They know they have something, and I am excited to see what becomes of him. I think we see a long term 1B/OF/DH that hits .250-.260 with 35+ home runs, maybe as early as 2025 but that is only if he gets his K rate back down. Since I trust the Guardians’ development, go get him before he does just that.

The Author

Phil Barrington

Phil Barrington

Fantasy player since 1999, specializing in OPS leagues. Accountant by day, fantasy writer by night. Spreadsheets are life. Currently traveling throughout Europe. Follow my travels at https://waypastcool.org/

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