TDG Roundtable: Awards Predictions
Every week, our writers here at The Dynasty Guru will be bringing you some quick-hit musings about a particular topic so you, the reader, can get a blast of info from a bunch of different writers with some passionate opinions. This week, our staff members lay out their predictions for the 2022 awards.
AL MVP: Mike Trout
- When healthy he’s the best player in the game. I think the perception of Trout being an injury risk is often overblown as he had more than 600 PA in both 2018 and 2019 before the shortened 2020 season. I think he’s the safest bet to be in the conversation.
NL MVP: Trea Turner
- In his half-season with the Dodgers, Turner slashed .338/.385/.565 finishing with a higher fWAR than every NL position player. Despite a 5th place MVP finish, there’s an argument he should have won the award.
AL Cy Young: Shane Bieber
- I assume most people will be choosing between Bieber and Cole in this spot as they are in a league of their own when it comes to AL Starters. I went with Bieber as I think his injury last year could play well for his longevity as he should be fresher than Cole who threw almost 100 more innings last year.
NL Cy Young: Logan Webb
- Webb was spectacular for the Giants down the stretch and in the NLDS. He looked like a true ace on the mound posting a 2.63 ERA in his 99.1 innings from July 1st through the end of the season. He had the 2nd lowest FIP among qualified starters over that stretch only behind Corbin Burnes.
AL RoY: Bobby Witt Jr.
- Went with the safe and boring choice here as I feel the top of this field is pretty even. Witt is going to get every opportunity to succeed for this Royals team that isn’t going anywhere. I think his leash will be longer than Julio Rodriguez simply because the Mariners want to win now versus the Royals still in a developmental year.
NL RoY: Seiya Suzuki
- This was the easiest choice for me out of all of these awards. Steamer is projecting Suzuki to post a .287/.387/.534 line with 29 HR in just 545 PA. Those are absurd numbers for any rookie and would almost certainly win him the award.
AL MVP: José Ramírez
- He’s good at baseball.
NL MVP: Bryce Harper
- He, too, is also good at hitting the baseballs.
AL Cy Young: Sonny Gray
- This is a simple change-of-scenery pick. His new Minnesota home should help deflate his homer-to-flyball rate this season, and I’m hoping his ERA can creep back towards 2020 levels.
NL Cy Young: Joe Musgrove
- You know me, I want quality innings, and Musgrove should provide the Friars with plenty of those.
AL RoY: Julio Rodríguez
- I’m so stoked for Julio Rodríguez and all Mariners with this one. Expect a period where has to adjust, and then watch him shine.
NL RoY: CJ Abrams
My Pick: Vladamir Guerrero Jr. – Vlady wins the first Triple Crown since 2012 and is a unanimous MVP selection. Enough said.
Alternate Pick: Byron Buxton – Buxton stays healthy and delivers the season that fantasy players have been dreaming of for years. If he can play around 140 games I can easily see 40+ HR and 25 SB. Buxton should learn from Bryce Harper and make the decision to play in a way that preserves health.
Dark Horse: Luis Robert – Robert goes 30/30 and pulls off the most Trout-ian season we have seen in years.
My pick: Trea Turner – Turner leads the NL in batting average, steals, and runs scored as he becomes the new face of the absolutely stacked Dodgers.
Alternate Pick: Juan Soto – Soto’s greatness becomes even more evident as he is surrounded by a truly mediocre lineup, but it doesn’t hamper his overall stat line as some think it could.
Dark Horse: Corbin Burnes – None of the top hitters in the NL separate themselves as the best and Corbin Burnes doubles up on major awards in 2022.
AL Cy Young
My Pick: Gerrit Cole – Cole is angry and motivated after getting roughed up by the Red Sox in the Wild Card game last year. He is ready to prove he is the best pitcher in the league in 2022.
Alternate Pick: Jose Berrios – Berrios experiences some of that Toronto magic and finally takes that big step forward and puts together an elite season.
Dark Horse: Shane McClanahan – McClanahan delivers 150 absolutely dominant innings assuming the SP1 of the best rotation in the game
NL Cy Young
My Pick: Corbin Burnes – Mr. Burnes successfully defends his 2021 Cy Young Award by somehow having an even better year and completing the first (full season) pitching Triple Crown since 2011.
Alternate Pick: Brandon Woodruff – Woodruff is my second-ranked pitcher in the NL, so I think if anyone can somehow wrestle the award away from Burnes it would be his own teammate.
Dark Horse: Do I dare put three Brewers on this list? There are actually multiple NL pitchers I like as candidates here including Freddy Peralta, Sandy Alcantara, and Max Fried.
My Pick: Julio Rodriguez – It’s time for the J-Rod show! He is the number one prospect in baseball and he is ready to show it off on the biggest stage.
Alternate Pick: Spencer Torkelson – Torkelson blasts 30 HRs and helps push a revamped Tigers lineup into Wild Card contention.
Dark Horse: Josh Lowe – The newest Lowe in Tampa goes 20/20 and has a season very similar to last year’s AL ROY, Randy Arozarena.
My Pick: Oneil Cruz – The Pirates can’t seem to get with 2022 and are choosing to play the service time manipulation with Cruz. He finds an early season spot at either shortstop or in the outfield and hits the most home runs of any NL rookie while chipping in double-digit steals.
Alternate Pick: CJ Abrams – Abrams is the spark at the top of the Padres lineup that keeps them afloat while they wait for Tatis Jr. to return from injury. He proves to be an efficient and speedy leadoff hitter that boosts San Diego’s offense to a new level.
Dark Horse: MacKenzie Gore – Gore reminds everyone that he was the top pitching prospect in the game before the 2021 season. He takes over a rotation spot early and is a force to be reckoned with his pitch mix of four plus pitches.
AL MVP: Eloy Jiménez
NL MVP: Manny Machado
AL Cy Young: Gerrit Cole
NL Cy Young: Joe Musgrove
NL RoY: ONeil Cruz
AL RoY: Cristian Pache
Eloy is ready for a 40+ HR. 130+RBI season leading the Sox to the league’s best record. Manny is going to do the same. Cole just does ace things, and Musgrove I stole from Taylor Case above but I agree he’s ready to breakthrough to the top tier of starters.
Even though Pirates did not allow him to start in the bigs, it will not be long until Cruz is hitting bombs in Pittsburgh. Pache is a true darkhorse, but with his gold glove caliber defense, it will not take much hitting to win the RoY.