2022 Dynasty Baseball RankingsDynasty Baseball

THE DYNASTY GURU’S 2022 TOP 50 DYNASTY LEAGUE THIRD BASEMEN, #11-30

Continuing with our highlights of the league’s top Third Basemen, as judged by our collection of industry experts, below are the 11th through the 30th ranked players in the league.

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11. Matt Chapman, Oakland Athletics (Age: 28, Previous Rank: 8)

Matt Chapman’s 2020 season ended early due to a hip injury that required surgery and a lengthy rehab process that took up most of his offseason. It feels that the lack of a normal off-season was the reason for Chapman’s down year. His K% was close to a career-low at 32.5%, his BABIP was 22 points lower than his career average, his .311 wOBA was a career-low and his max exit velocity was the lowest it’s been since his rookie year. However, there are some signs Chapman will turn it around in 2022. Even with the down year, he hit 27 home runs, walked at a career-best rate of 12.9%, and his .321 xwOBA was above league average. Matt Chapman feels like a safe bet to bounce back to his career numbers with a normal off-season routine. (Colin Coulahan)

12. Josh Jung, Texas Rangers (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 21)

Josh Jung absolutely destroyed baseballs this past season. Between both Double-A and Triple-A, he hit 19 home runs with a .326/.398/.592 slash line. What’s even more impressive is that after a great 43 games in Double-A, he got even better when moved up to Triple-A. His OPS went from .910 to 1.088, his slugging percentage rose over 100 points, and his wOBA also increased about 50 points. The 22% K% and 9% BB% are both solid, and he doesn’t swing and miss much. A hitter with this approach and easy plus power is a future star. Even though Texas probably won’t be in contention in 2022, Jung should be up with the big league club early in 2022. (Colin Coulahan)

13. Jordan Walker, St. Louis Cardinals (Age: 19, Previous Rank: 45)

What a year for Jordan Walker. The hulking 6’5″ 220-pound beast showed off his plus plus power in a big way, hitting balls as hard as 116 mph in his first pro season. At Low-A, he hit six home runs, 11 doubles, close a to .400 average, and a 1.162 OPS. The approach was also great, only striking out 17% of the time and walking at an almost 15% rate. After only 27 games, the Cardinals promoted Walker to High-A, and there was some regression for the teenager. The BB% dropped to 6%, the K% rose to 27%, his OPS dipped 300 points, and the swinging strike rate rose from a near-elite 11% to 17.7%. Even with the drop in plate discipline, Walker hit eight home runs and 14 doubles – the power was still there. The step back in plate skills should not alarm anyone. It just shows that there is some more work for Walker to do. This is a potential future star and should be at Double-A at some point next year, as a 19-year-old. (Colin Coulahan)

14. Alec Bohm, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 25, Previous Rank: 9)

Say it with me – prospect growth is never linear. Alec Bohm burst onto the scene in 2020, debuting with a .338/.400/.481 line in the MLB, with four home runs. That was on the heels of a power breakout in the upper minors, hitting 15 home runs. Unfortunately, Bohm could not repeat his 2020 numbers. His batting average fell to .247, the OPS dopped from .881 to .647, and he could only muster seven home runs in 115 games. Despite the poor results, there are some positive takeaways from his 2021 campaign. His 92 mph average exit velocity was in the 89th percentile. His 111.6 max exit velocity was in the 80th percentile. The hard-hit rate was also in the 90th percentile. Clearly, Bohm still has the power he showed off in his 2020 season. You can look to his poor 5.6-degree launch angle for sapping his power. Baseball is a game of adjustments, and it’s a safe bet that Bohm has been working all off-season to raise his launch angle. (Colin Coulahan)

15. Ryan McMahon, Colorado Rockies (Age: 27, Previous Rank: 22 at 2B)

Another solid season for Ryan McMahon, but with some small improvements. He was able to bring his K% down from 34.2% to a respectable 24.7%. The launch angle from raised from 9.2 degrees to 14.3, and his contact rate was a career-high, at 73.1%. McMahon did all this while keeping a solid 90 mph average exit velocity. Basically, McMahon continued to hit the ball hard, but now he’s hitting it more overall. Now a third basemen who can hit for a solid average, strong plate skills, and a mid-20’s home run power is great. But with the gains that McMahon has made in the contact and launch angle department, his power could tick up next year. (Colin Coulahan)

16. Jordan Groshans, Toronto Blue Jays (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 15)

This is going to start weird but stick with me. Have you ever had really good vanilla ice cream? Not the generic, big brand name, but the hand-churned, really good vanilla ice cream. It’s not going to beat Ben and Jerry’s, but it’s still really good. That’s what Jordan Groshans is. He hasn’t put up the big numbers you would expect from a first-round draft pick. The plate skills were elite with a 19% K% and 10.8% BB%. The .291/.367/.450 slash line is solid, and the .817 OPS is good. Clearly, there is a feel to hit here, but having only hit 14 home runs in 146 minor league games, across 3 years, he has trouble tapping into his game power. It could be the injuries that have limited his total amount of games that have suppressed the power. Or he could just be a hit over power bat. Even if that’s the case, league average power with solid plate skills makes a solid player, like really good vanilla ice cream. (Colin Coulahan)

17. Josh Donaldson, Minnesota Twins (Age: 36, Previous Rank: 13)

Josh Donaldson did not have his best season in 2021. A .247/.325/.475 line is a step back from his previous 3 years (.252/.372/.499), but it is still a solid season. His .387 xwOBA was the highest it’s been in 5 years. The approach remained elite, his 13.6 BB% was in the top 6% of the league. The 21% K% was about league average. Above all of this, Donaldson continued to hit the ball hard. His barrel rate and hard-hit rate were in the top 5% of the league. An average exit velocity of 94.1 mph was in the top 1% of the league, and both his 114.7 mph max exit velocity and .541 xSLG were near the top in the league. Donaldson has missed some time the past few seasons with some injuries, and he is getting on in years. So I don’t see a return to his MVP form coming, but there is still a great fantasy player here. (Colin Coulahan)

18. Brett Baty, New York Mets (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 25)

Strikeouts are what really hurt Brett Baty in 2019, finishing his year with a 28% K% rate between 3 levels. The power and approach were still present as he also hit for a .821 OPS, but there really was dome doubt thrown on him after the season. Fortunately, he was able to show some small improvements in 2021. Baty lowered his strikeout rate to a more respectable 25%, his contact rate improved to 70%, and his power output increased, hitting 12 home runs in 91 games. There will probably always be some swing and miss to his game, and the high ground ball rate is troublesome. But he hits the ball with such force he should be able to hit for in-game power with a lower launch angle. (Colin Coulahan)

19. Jose Miranda, Minnesota Twins (Age: 23, Previous Rank: N/A)

Jose Miranda had always been a contact first bat. He had a history of low strikeout rates and hadn’t hit double-digit home runs since 2018. Then I guess he decided the long ball was more fun and went off and hit 30 home runs. Looking at Miranda’s history, you can see some signs of untapped power. But he was able to unlock it in-game by being more selective early in the count. There are no red flags that make you think this was a fluke season. The average exit velocity is good, at 90 mph, and the max exit velocity is great at 113. It remains to be seen if he can repeat this at the MLB level, but he’s likely to be a solid everyday player with this mix of contact and power. (Colin Coulahan)

20. Cavan Biggio, Toronto Blue Jays (Age: 26, Previous Rank: 5 at 2B)

Injuries really killed Cavan Biggio’s 2021 season, limiting him to 79 games and a lackluster 84 wRC+. Almost everything trended down. The K% was almost up at 27%; his BB% rate fell to a career-low. His .224 batting average and .322 batting average were also career lows. The good news is that he reached a career-high 109.6 max exit velocity and matched his rookie season 88.9 average exit velocity. His 28.3 feet per second sprint speed also matched his career-best. If Biggio can remain healthy, there is some upside here. The batting average will likely always below (career .243 xBA). But his walk rate should return to career norms, and there could be some added pop in his bat. (Colin Coulahan)

21. Mark Vientos, New York Mets (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 40)

Youth and power; those who’ve held shares of Vientos over the past couple of years were happy to see him take a significant step forward in his development during the 2021 season finding success in Double-A and Triple-A ball. Tapping into his extra-base hitting potential, he put up a .300 isolated slugging percentage over 310 at bats which ranked 2nd among 21-and-under players with 300 or more at bats. Expect Triple-A pitchers to test him with more advanced breaking pitches in 2022, however, if he picks up where he left off an MLB debut is certainly on the table for the Mets to consider. (Andrew Jurewicz)

22. Jeimer Candelario , Detroit Tigers (Age: 28, Previous Rank: 18 at 1B)

Candelario quietly put up a nice season for the Tigers last year with a .271/.351/.443 line and tied for the league lead in doubles with 42. He’s expected to hit in the middle of what should be an improved/ improving Tigers lineup with the addition of Javier Báez plus Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene not to far off. If you invested in other areas outside of third base early on target Canderlario as a nice mid-tier option for your team. (Andrew Jurewicz)

23. Eugenio Suárez, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 30, Previous Rank: 10)

If you’re looking for home runs, Suárez is your guy as there is no doubt he brings 30+ home run power to the table. The bad is that you’re also getting an ugly average and a ton of strikeouts. You’d hope he makes some adjustments so he’s not selling out for the home run so much but I’m not optimistic that he’ll do so and continue on his current trend. (Andrew Jurewicz)

24. Justin Turner, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 37, Previous Rank: 24)

Turner holds the the 24th spot in our rankings for the second year in a row. Put him into the lineup and you know productive at-bats are going to come of it. The lingering question is for how much longer at age 37 and entering the last year of his contract with the Dodgers though there have a 2023 club option. He’s beloved in Los Angeles and if the designated hitter comes to the national league he’d be a prime candidate for those at-bats; possibly getting extended for another year or two! (Andrew Jurewicz)

25. Miguel Vargas, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 47)

The possible future third baseman for the Dodgers has a career .316 minor league average; word on the street is that Vargas simply knows how to hit! Already gifted with a plus hit tool Vargas started to to unlock more power smacking 16 home runs throughout his Double-A campaign of 83 games over 327 at-bats. Additionally, he does a great job at limiting his strikeouts and taking walks making him a target up and comer for OBP leagues or those that aren’t strikeout friendly for hitters. 2022 MLB debut for the Dodgers is not out of the question. (Andrew Jurewicz)

26. Brady House, Washington Nationals (Age: 18, Previous Rank: N/A)

Oh my! Brady House is one of my favorite prospects from the 2021 draft and the Washington Nationals found themselves a steal at the 11th pick. With great power and potential for a solid hit tool, House was a well known commodity heading into the draft and immediately cruised through rookie ball with a .322/.394/.576 line including 4 home runs with over 16 games. The next test for him is going to be low-A ball and I’d bet he’ll be climbing future rankings very quickly. Reasonably grab him where you can! (Andrew Jurewicz)

27. Coby Mayo, Baltimore Orioles (Age: 20, Previous Rank: N/A)

Another worthy third base investment and favorite prospect of mine is Coby Mayo. Getting a late start to the 2021 season he proved as rookie ball was no match being promoted after 3 games to A ball where he kept up the intensity. Mayo has the ability to hit for both power and average as he develops with a chance to stick at third base long term as he can make the throw across the diamond with ease. The Orioles knew what they were doing when they drafted him in the 4th round pick and signed for a million over slot value to change his mind on playing college ball at the University of Florida. He’s another prospect I would expect to continue to climb rankings and recommend getting some shares where you can as soon as possible. (Andrew Jurewicz)

28. Nolan Jones, Cleveland Guardians (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 16)

Entering the 2021 season Jones was more highly rated than he is now, however, he’s still someone to keep your eye on at age 23. Patience and power have been his part of his offensive profile through the lower levels of the minors but after spending the entire season at Triple-A we saw a jump in strikeout rate along with a decreased walk rate; never a good combo. It’s certainly possible he makes the adjustments back in Triple-A next year to lay off of more challenging offspeed pitching getting back in tune with being a patient hitter and tapping for more extra base power. (Andrew Jurewicz)

29. Carter Kieboom, Washington Nationals (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 17)

As it presently stands Kieboom is a career .197/.304/.285 hitter for the Nationals with 355 at-bats over 3 seasons. At age 24 the youth is there hoping he can turn things around and that’s what is keeping him in our top 30 rankings. He’ll need more playing time and at-bats in order to do so but it’s tough to say he deserves it with what we’ve seen so far. Tack on the Nationals know they need to get better bats around Soto the opportunities are still looking limited for him here. (Andrew Jurewicz)

30. J.D. Davis, New York Mets (Age: 28, Previous Rank: 14)

Davis is intriguing here at the 30th spot of our third baseman dynasty rankings. At age 28, he’s in the prime of his career and is a solid bat option for many teams. Battling a hand injury over the 2021 season he still put up a productive line .285/.384/.436 over 73 games and getting over said injury should help improve power numbers heading into next season. Not particularly know for his defense, he could also benefit from a trade to an American League team with the designated hitter or if the designated hitter comes to the national league. However, if he stayed with the Mets it seems likely he would be competing for those at-bats with Dominic Smith if the second scenario unfolded. (Andrew Jurewicz)

The Author

Colin Coulahan

Colin Coulahan

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