Dynasty Prospect Rankings

Top 50 2022 FYPD Rankings V1

As the MLB offseason starts gaining momentum, I’m excited to share the first draft of my first-year player draft rankings! Well, not exactly the first draft, I’ve spent a significant amount of time reviewing, adjusting, reverting back, and wondering what I was thinking yesterday to get to this point. The reality is this is how I would draft the top 50 picks at this moment, and I haven’t made any significant changes after sleeping on it a few times, so I think it’s a great time to get out there to share the list with you.

For my opinions on this draft class as a group, please keep reading past the list and let me know what you think in the comments or on Twitter!

RankProspectTeamPosSchool
1Henry DavisPITCLouisville (KY)
2Jordan LawlarARISSJesuit College Prep (TX)
3Marcelo MayerBOSSSEastlake HS (CA)
4Jack LeiterTEXPVanderbilt (TN)
5Brady HouseWASSSWinder Barrow HS (GA)
6Kahlil WatsonMIASSWake Forest HS (NC)
7Matt McLainCINSSUCLA (CA)
8Trey SweeneyNYYOFEastern Illinois (IL)
9Jay AllenCINOFJohn Carroll HS (FL)
10Harry FordSEACNorth Cobb HS (GA)
11Sal FrelickMILOFBoston College (MA)
12Colton CowserBALOFSam Houston (TX)
13Gavin WilliamsCLEPEast Carolina (NC)
14Will BednarSFPMississippi State (MS)
15James TriantosCHC3BJames Madison HS (VA)
16Jackson JobeDETPHeritage Hall School (OK)
17Connor NorbyBAL2BEast Carolina (NC)
18James WoodSDOFIMG Academy (FL)
19Joshua BaezSTLOFDexter School (MA)
20Lonnie WhitePITOFMalvern Prep School (PA)
21Gunnar HoglundTORPOle Miss (MS)
22Benny MontgomeryCOLOFRed Land HS (PA)
23Andrew PainterPHIPCalvary Christian Academy (FL)
24Colson MontgomeryCWS3BSouthridge HS (IN)
25Ty MaddenDETPTexas (TX)
26Jordan WicksCHCPKansas State (KS)
27Ryan CusickATLPWake Forest (NC)
28Bubba ChandlerPITPNorth Oconee HS (GA)
29Sam BachmanLAAPMiami University (OH)
30Wes KathCWS3BDesert Mountain HS (AZ)
31Max MuncyOAKSSThousand Oaks HS (CA)
32Ben KudrnaKCPBlue Valley Southwest HS (KS)
33Frank MozzicatoKCPEast Catholic HS (CT)
34Chase PettyMINPMainland Regional HS (NJ)
35Ethan WilsonPHIOFUniversity of South Alabama (AL)
36Jackson MerrillSDSSSeverna Park HS (MD)
37Anthony SolometoPITPBishop Eustace Prep School (NJ)
38Joe MackMIACWilliamsville East HS (NY)
39Jose TorresCINSSNC State (NC)
40Daylen LileWASOFTrinity HS (KY)
41Michael McGreevySTLPUC Santa Barbara (CA)
42Carson WilliamsTBSSTorrey Pines HS (CA)
43Izaac PachecoDETSSFriendswood HS (TX)
44Aaron ZavalaTEXOFOregon (OR)
45Zack GelofOAK3BVirginia (VA)
46Cody MorissetteMIASSBoston College (MA)
47Christian FranklinCHCOFArkansas (AR)
48Alex BinelasMIL3BLouisville (KY)
49Kyle ManzardoTB1BWashington State (WA)
50Cooper KinneyTB2BThe Baylor Schools (TN)

Heading into upcoming dynasty supplemental drafts, fantasy players might get a feeling “the honeymoon is over” after the quality of the last two first-year player drafts. While true, I don’t necessarily feel the current draft class is as weak as it’s being labeled at times by the fantasy industry, and the return value for high picks I’m seeing in some of my own dynasty leagues. It’s true last year’s draft, headlined by Spencer Torkelson, Austin Martin, Max Meyer, and Robert Hassell, was far deeper, but it was thought to be one of the deepest draft classes in recent memory which is turning out to be true. The 2019 draft class had a much bigger star appeal with Adley Rutschman, Bobby Witt, Andrew Vaughn, Riley Greene, C.J. Abrams, and Jasson Dominguez. But after that initial group of big names, you could have started to think of selecting some of this year’s top names if the classes had been combined.

The point I’m trying to make is even though this year’s draft class may not be as deep, or appear to have as big of stars on the surface, fantasy owners don’t have to go try to trade their draft capital for pennies on the dollar. There is talent in this draft class, there are upside and loud tools in certain players, and there are guys with high floors who should become major league regulars. If we look back to the 2018 class, with the exception of Jarred Kelenic and potentially Grayson Rodriguez, there were no real dynasty cornerstone players to select. The 2017 class is similar, with many players who garnered big dynasty appeal as they climbed through the minors, but coming up on five years in the pros, the class as a group has yet to put up influential stats in the big leagues.

So while this 2021 class is not the best we’ve seen, it’s also not hopeless. I believe we’ve gotten a bit spoiled with the group of draft classes we’ve seen recently. It reminds me of how we saw Juan Soto, Ronald Acuna Jr., and Fernando Tatis get big-league promotions around the same time, then become the three most sought-after players in dynasty almost overnight. Not all prospects will be generational talents, and not all draft classes will be the deepest in recent memory or packed with some of the absolute best prospects in the game. I like this draft class just fine and I am eager to see what professional coaches can do with a wide range of talent. So my advice? Take a deep breath, open a beverage of choice, and enjoy the offseason capped off with a fine dynasty supplemental draft when it’s time.

The Author

Ken Balderston

Ken Balderston

20+ years of fantasy baseball experience & currently only playing in dynasty leagues. Christian, proud father of 3, husband to the strongest woman in the world, accountant, golfer, cook.

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