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Without further ado, it’s time to continue our 2020 consensus rankings by looking at the 31-60 best starting pitchers in dynasty leagues.

31) Matt Manning, Detroit Tigers (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 92)

Matt Manning may not be flashy, but he makes up for it with rock-solid consistent year-over-year improvement. He has lowered his walk rate to 7.2%. With three plus pitches, he is poised to make a big impact once he arrives. The only issue is when that will be. Detroit is in full rebuild mode and has no incentive to rush the process. Management has slow-rolled prospects for the last few years. Manning has the size at 6’6″ to be a workhorse. He has avoided injury, and after mastering Double-A in 2019 with 133.2 innings pitched, 148 Strikeouts, 2.56 ERA and 0.98 WHIP, he is ready for the next step. Three plus pitches combine with an excellent command to give him ace upside. Do not expect a call up before late summer, and you should not be disappointed. (Ray Wright)

32) Max Fried, Atlanta Braves (Age: 26, Previous Rank: 111)

Maybe not the Max you were targeting for this year, but it could be the Max you need. Max Fried had a repertoire change in 2019. He shelved his changeup for a slider. The slider had a .234 XWOBA and combined with his excellent curve and serviceable fastball to fuel his breakout. The 6.7% walk rate percentage was the secret to his success. He will need to hold the control gains to continue this ascent. He also has seen small upticks in his four-seam fastball velocity going from 92.6 in 2017 up to 93.8 in 2019. The fastball has shown improved metrics although the samples from previous years were small. Fried is surrounded by one of the best teams in baseball and backed by a solid bullpen. Expect similar win totals and an uptick in production from the increase in workload. (Ray Wright)

33) Zac Gallen, Arizona Diamondbacks (Age: 24, Previously Unranked)

Zac Gallen seemingly arrived out of nowhere last year. A pop-up player that was somewhat left for dead after spending parts of 2 seasons at Triple-A and appearing very hittable in 2018. That script was flipped during last season. The third time was the charm at Triple-A. With 91 innings pitched and a 33.6% strikeout rate combined with a 5.1% walk rate, Gallen parlayed this into a promotion to the majors. Once promoted, he could not hold the walk rate, but he did show poise with his four-pitch mix to battle and keep opponents off balance. Gallen has good home run suppression. A midsummer trade sent him to Arizona where an improved team context should help his counting statistics. There may be no other pitcher that has moved higher up the ranks than him this season, so be prepared to pay up for his services on draft day. (Ray Wright)

34) James Paxton, New York Yankees (Age 31, Previous Rank: 23)

James Paxton’s 2019 appeared to be a disappointment. Upon closer examination, his season was in line with his previous performance. Nearly eighty percent of his repertoire consists solely of his four-seamer at 59.9% and his cutter at 20.0%. His four-seamer sits at 95 miles per hour and with average spin lacks the upside to be leaned on this much. He has just been announced as needing a lower back surgery. Initial reports are a recovery time of three to four months. Projections need to be lowered a minimum of a third, and this ranking reflects a full season and was completed just before the announcement of the injury. Paxton is still expected to return an ERA in the mid 3s when healthy. He has an above-average if not elite strikeout rate at 29.4% in 2019. Pitching half his games at Yankee stadiums combined with yet another injury should temper these expectations. (Ray Wright)

35) Yu Darvish, Chicago Cubs (Age: 33, Previous Rank: 49)

Let’s cherry-pick some statistics to prove a point. From June 1st through the end of the season, Yu Darvish had a 3.42 ERA with an even better 2.83 xFIP, 34.1% strikeout rate, and a 3.3% walk rate. He was elite. It would appear that he is finally fully healed from his Tommy John surgery. This was driven by a severe pitch mix change seeing him lean on his cutter 36.5% of the time. It replaced his far less effective four-seamer as his most used pitch. Darvish has become a pitcher in every sense of the word. Do not be fooled by advanced metrics showing a below-average fastball velocity. He is throwing his cutter 10% more often than his 4-seamer.  A great pitcher leaning on his best pitch to keep hitters guessing. Expect more of the same for Darvish in 2020 as long as the health holds up. (Ray Wright)

36) Charlie Morton (Age: 35, Previous Rank: 54)

Like a fine wine, Charlie Morton just keeps improving with time. Career bests in innings pitched and games started in 2019. This is supposed to be his final year before retirement. If he continues with his current production, he could sign another 2-year contract with a competitor. You should just enjoy the ride no matter how long it lasts. Morton’s fastball lost a tick and half year over year, so we may be seeing the beginning of the end. At 36 years of age, Morton will pitch as much as he is able. Morton is an advanced metric darling sporting 87th percentile strikeout rate at 30.4%, 81st percentile hard-hit percentage at 32.4%, and an 86th percentile xwOBA at .275. Savvy win-now mode owners should be targeting him where available. (Ray Wright)

37) Forrest Whitley, Houston Astros (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 24 )

There is not much to say about Forrest Whitley’s 2019. Anything that could go wrong did for him. He missed time due to shoulder injury and ultimately reworked his mechanics. The results were terrible. A shrinking strikeout rate and a ballooning walk rate, so high they might as well be thrown away if you believe in his pedigree. There is a ton of risk in the profile. Broken mechanics leading to shoulder fatigue followed by corrected mechanics that led to terrible results. Whitley has ace level offerings though and a frame that envisions a 200 inning pitched workhorse in his prime. Pitcher development is rarely linear and he did look better in the Arizona Fall League where he had a 2.88 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 32 strikeouts, and 9 walks across 25 innings. (Ray Wright)

38) Nate Pearson, Toronto Blue Jays (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 103)

Nate Pearson sports a three-pitch mix, highlighted by a fastball that tops out in triple digits. He compliments this with a mid-90’s slider. He will ultimately need to develop a third pitch. He used a 12-to-6 curveball in the AFL that showed promise last fall as well as a show-me change. Pearson has ace upside and the chance to be a top 20 overall pitcher as soon as this year. Toronto has started the clock on most of their first-team prospects. There is little reason to hold him down any longer. Pearson should get the call early in the first half.  Pearson only had 42 innings pitched prior to his successful 2019. Last season was still only 100 innings, so exercise caution on your projections. This may be the last chance to acquire him at anything resembling a decent price. (Ray Wright)

39) Eduardo Rodriguez, Boston Red Sox (Age: 27, Previous Rank: 40)

Eduardo Rodriguez eclipsed 200 innings pitched for the first time in his career in 2019. There was not much change to his performance besides the increase in workload. His main skill appears to be an ability to limit hard-hit percentage where he has been top five percent in two out of the last four years and never had a hard hit percentage above 33% in his career. The issue is this ability to limit hard hits seems to come at a cost of extended at-bats and inability to get strikeouts. Rodriguez could be the one pitcher in our top 40 ranked starting pitchers that would stand the most to gain from developing a true strikeout pitch. All of his pitches fall between a 5 mile per hour banding that is not differentiated enough to keep hitters guessing. I would expect more of the same production in 2020 with a regression on the wins to the mid-teens. (Ray Wright)

40) Zack Wheeler, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 30, Previous Rank: 39)

Zack Wheeler was one of the big winners of this offseason. He signed with the Phillies for $118 million over five years. He will slot into the number two position behind Nola for the 2020 season. Wheeler has a devastating four-seamer and sinker combo that he throws in the mid to high 90’s and can touch 100 plus when needed. A five-pitch mix with no pitch being thrown less than ten percent of the time allows him to limit hard contact and three different speed bands where his slider and change come in at 91 mph and 89 mph respectively and a curve that drops all the way down to the low 80’s. Wheeler may be a victim of his own success on some level as his four-seamer utilization is now down to 30%. He has an improved defense behind him countered by a more hitter-friendly park for 2020. The upside for 2020 is your staff ace. (Ray Wright)

41) Frankie Montas, Oakland A’s (Age: 27, Previous Rank: NR)

Frankie Montas was barely on anyone’s draft radar a year ago and did not appear in our Top 200 Starting Pitchers of 2019, though the underlying skills were there. Volatile strikeout and walk rates defined Montas’s early career, flashing a 5.6/10.1 BB/K per 9 in 2017, followed by a 2.9/6.0 in 2018. Two entirely different pitchers thus far, he entered 2019 with 113 hits allowed and only 77 K’s in 97 career innings.

Then in 2019, Montas added a splitter that he threw 18.3% of the time. It became an elite pitch in that it allowed a .160 Opponent’s BA and an Exit Velocity of 80.2 mph. His sinker usage reduced from 55% to 38%, replaced by this splitter, and it led to a 9-2 record with a 2.63 ERA in 2019 over 16 starts with a 1.12 WHIP and 103 K in 96 innings. Overall, his hard contact reduced from 46% to 38%, per Fangraphs. Montas was an ace in fantasy until he was popped with an 80 game PED suspension after his June 20th start. Montas threw 95 MPH in prior seasons, and with the addition of the splitter should still be a reliable pitcher post-suspension. He is available as a #3 starter this year and should be drafted as such with the hope for much more. (Bob Osgood)

42) Hyun-Jin Ryu, Toronto Blue Jays (Age: 33, Previous Rank: 70)

Over the last two years, Hyun-Jin Ryu is on a 44-start run of greatness which can currently be found at an NFBC Average Draft Position of 133 in redraft leagues. Ryu followed up a 2018 of 7-3, 1.97 ERA, 1.01 WHIP over 82 1/3 innings, with a 2019 of 14-5, 2.32 ERA, 1.01 WHIP over 182 2/3 innings. The injuries are a concern, as well as moving over to the American League signing with Toronto this offseason. However, these are certainly baked into the ADP, and when on the mound he has been hard to top. The Cy Young runner up in ’19, Ryu’s fastball only clocks in at 90.7 MPH, but his command and off-speed stuff makes up for it. Ryu’s exit velocity of 85.3 is top-4% in the league, and his 3.3 BB% is in the top-1%. And as the ball has juiced, Ryu’s HR-rate has decreased from 1.6 to 1.0 to 0.8 per 9 over the last three years. Provided that your first two pitchers have a safe high-innings and strikeouts floor, Ryu is a perfect complement. (Bob Osgood)

43) Kyle Hendricks, Chicago Cubs (Age: 30, Previous Rank: 43)

Kyle Hendricks, like Ryu above, is another great example of a pitcher whom you can pair with high strikeout pitchers who may have ratio concerns. His ERA, WHIP, and Innings Pitched have been reliable since entering the league, with a career 3.14 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over six seasons. Hendricks has thrown 177 innings or more in four of his last five seasons. His Baseball Reference page is the mark of consistency  In fact, he’s so consistent that we ranked him 43rd last year as well. Hendricks is a rare pitcher whose underlying metrics (SIERA and xFIP) are almost always 0.5 to 1.5 runs above where his ERA lands year after year. Last year, Hendricks’s 5.4% Barrel Rate was in the top 40 in the league, and had an excellent Exit Velocity allowed of 85.2 MPH, 7th in all of baseball. In his age-30 season, continue to draft Hendricks and know almost exactly what you will get. (Bob Osgood)

44) A.J. Puk, Oakland A’s (Age: 25, Previous Rank: 38)

Those who have owned A.J. Puk in dynasty leagues and waiting to see him as a starting pitcher in the big leagues will hopefully get their wish in 2020. The 6th pick in 2016 out of the University of Florida, Puk was on a fast track to the Bigs after leading all of Minor League Baseball in 2017 with 13.2 Ks/9, while only allowing 3 HRs in 125 innings. Puk looked great in spring training of 2018, before requiring Tommy John surgery which took a year-and-a-half to recover from, before throwing 11 innings from late-August on in 2019. At 6’7″, by all accounts Puk’s size contributes to command issues as his BB/9 has sat between 3.5 and 4.0 at each level. A range of outcomes seems wide for Puk, but with a mid-to-upper 90’s fastball, along with a slider, curve, and change-up that are considered average-to-above-average, Puk has top of the rotation potential if he harnesses his control. (Bob Osgood)

45) Brendan McKay, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 120)

The 4th overall pick out of Louisville, two-way player Brendan McKay took his lumps in his rookie 2019 season. However, domination from the start should not be expected with young pitcher, and it seems as though prospects who have not thrown any innings in the majors are garnering more interest heading into 2020, rather than looking at the positives of McKay’s debut. Although he gave up 9.7 H/9 and 1.5 HR/9 contributing to a 5.14 ERA and 1.41 WHIP, McKay struck out 56 batters in 49 innings. McKay’s high home-run rate does not fit with his minor league performances, where he never had more than a 0.43 HR/9 at any level, including a 0.84 ERA in seven triple-A appearances before getting called up. His fastball averaged 93.7 MPH, along with a cutter, change, and curve. McKay threw 122 innings in 2019, and with a 20% increase should be capped around 150 this year. The one drawback is whether McKay will have a rotation spot from the start with Snell, Morton, Glasnow, Chirinos, and Yarbrough in the mix, but I would expect him to have one. A worthwhile risk in redrafts, McKay is a good target in dynasty if his owner wasn’t impressed by the MLB debut. (Bob Osgood)

46) Sonny Gray, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 30, Previous Rank: 128)

For those who like to identify regression candidates as the season goes on, look no further than Sonny Gray. On June 26th, with a 4.03 ERA to go with a 3.58 FIP and 3.62 xFIP, Gray had thrown fewer innings pitched than team games played despite not having missed a single turn in the rotation. 4 out of 15 quality starts to start the season after an abysmal end to his tenure in New York made Gray’s Cy Young season of 2015 seem like a distant memory. After that date, Gray went 8-3, with a 1.99 ERA and 120 K’s in 99 innings, with 13 of 16 being Quality Starts. What a turnaround. From ’18 to ’19, Gray increased his slider usage from 14.7% to 20.4 (.117 opponent’s BA), while decreasing the sinker from 30.5% to 18.9% usage. His overall .193 BA against was partially aided by a .255 BABIP. With his curve and slider producing great pitch values, hopefully Gray has found a comfortable ballpark and pitch mix on an improving Reds team. (Bob Osgood)

47) Michael Kopech, Chicago White Sox (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 34)

Michael Kopech is another name returning from Tommy John surgery who makes the pitching landscape that much more exciting in 2020. Kopech will be 18-months removed from the surgery at the start of the season, and early reports are that he won’t have much of an innings restriction. Making the rotation out of spring training will be the key for Kopech, and he is likely to shoot up draft boards if he looks healthy and throwing hard in March. Last time we saw Kopech in ’18, he had terrible control in the first half, but followed it up with an excellent second half that earned an August call-up. Walks have always been a concern so the WHIP may not be a plus, but Kopech had at least 11.5 K/9 in each minors level and the chance for wins on an improved White Sox team should all work in Kopech’s favor in the next few years. Dynasty owners have waited a long time since he was drafted in the first round by the Red Sox in 2014, and 2020 should finally be the year to return value. (Bob Osgood)

48) Dustin May, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 109)

Drafted out of high school in 2016, Dustin May had a quick ascension through the minor leagues and was called up at 21 years old by the Dodgers in August of 2019. While he only had four starts before approaching his innings limit, May looked impressive allowing only seven earned runs in those starts before moving to the bullpen for his final nine appearances. In his time in the majors, May featured a 96 MPH fastball, a 91 MPH cutter that he threw 31% of the time for a .162 Opponent BA, along with an occasional curve that had limited success.

Between three levels last year, May totaled 131 innings and with a standard 20% increase, he should be near 160. The hope would be that May is the fifth starter, but with Alex Wood, Ross Stripling, and others in the mix, he is not guaranteed anything. The Dodgers do a great job maneuvering their pitchers’ innings, causing great pain to fantasy owners, and may once again have a large enough lead in September to do so despite the increase from the 10 to 15-day IL for pitchers. May is going in the mid-to-late rounds of redraft formats and could be a steal. In dynasty, he deserves to be in our top 50. (Bob Osgood)

49) Julio Urias, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 74)

Debuting at the age of 19, Julio Urias seems like he’s been around forever, but is only 23. His elite numbers throughout the minors, including a 1.40 ERA at Triple-A, led to his age-19 debut throwing 77 major league innings in his rookie year and then pitching key playoff innings including the win in game five of the NLDS in 2016. Tommy John surgery put things on hold, but Urias has worked his way up to 79 2/3 great innings in 2019 over 37 appearances (eight starts). He sported a 2.49 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and a 9.6 K/9, while allowing the #1 lowest exit velocity in all of baseball (83.2 MPH), and a .263 wOBA (Top-20 in the league). Urias features a 95 MPH fastball, to go with a very good slider, and also shows a change, and curve. With Andrew Friedman expecting Urias to be in the rotation from the start, I believe this is the year that he breaks out, and we look at Urias as a top-20 dynasty pitcher a year from now. (Bob Osgood)

50) Robbie Ray, Arizona Diamondbacks (Age: 28, Previous Rank: 42)

Before understanding Robbie Ray’s appeal, it should be noted that his career numbers are: 47-46 with a 4.11 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9, and 1.5 HR/9. Mediocre is the word that comes to mind. However, a career 11.1 K/9 rate, which jumps to 12.1 per 9 over the past three seasons is the appeal. Robbie Ray strikes a lot of batters out just about every time he’s on the mound. These guaranteed 210-240 K’s are available around Pick 150 in redraft formats. In the same way that you need to plan ahead and protect average before drafting a Joey Gallo or Miguel Sano type for power categories, it’s best to pair Ray with one or two low ratios pitchers (Mike Soroka and Kyle Hendricks come to mind) who may not help as much in strikeouts. (Bob Osgood)

51) German Marquez, Colorado Rockies (Age: 25, Previous Rank: 16)

102, 16, 51. Those are the rankings the last three seasons for the 25-year-old righthander. 51 may be right where Marquez belongs. Let’s get the obvious out of the way, half of his games will be pitched 5,200 feet above sea levels. It’s tough to pitch in Coors, and having to make a start/sit decision on a top 50ish pitcher is not a good thing. 2019 saw a regression in almost every key statistic for Marquez, as his Four-Seamer continued to get hit hard. The usage of the pitch is trending the right way, he threw the fastball just 35.4% of the time in 2019, down over 10% from 2018. The slider replaced most of that 10% and unfortunately, it was hit just as hard. There is still reason to hope, the walk rate was excellent at 4.9% and he will provide you 200 strikeouts per year. Let’s hope your leagues are daily lineups. (Paul Monte)

52) Madison Bumgarner, Arizona Diamondbacks (Age: 30, Previous Rank: 25)

After 11 years and 1,846 innings with the Giants, MadBum will be wearing a different uniform in 2020. Gone are the days of the high two or low three ERA, it has been replaced by an ERA a full run higher. Moving to Arizona won’t help that get any better as he enters his age-30 season. The one thing that returned in 2019 after two injury filled seasons were the innings, once a guarantee to throw over 200 innings, he tossed 207.2 in 2019. The K rate stayed just under nine per inning at 8.8 and the walk percentage was in line with his career numbers. When you get into this range, you start to sacrifice something, and ERA will be the issue here. (Paul Monte)

53) Luis Patino, San Diego Padres, (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 136)

Patino finished the season as a 19-year-old in Double-A. The youngest pitcher in the league earned the promotion by breezing through the competition in Single-A. 113 strikeouts in just 87 IP, and another 10 in his short stint in Double-A have him primed to reach the 100 inning mark in 2020. The recent pattern for the Padres with their young prospects is to move them up to the big leagues in a reliever capacity to gain some experience. Patino is just 6 feet tall so proving that he can handle to rigors of a full season (his 2019 was cut short due to a blister) will be key to the progression of one of the game’s top pitching prospects. (Paul Monte)

54) Sixto Sanchez, Miami Marlins (Age: 21, Previous Rank: 33)

One year older than Patino, Sanchez was able to finally crack the 100 inning mark in 2019. The strikeout rate is not what you would expect from the 6-foot-tall righty who can reach back and hit triple digits, coming in at 23.6%. The strikeouts would be the only stat that you could knock Sanchez for as all of his other numbers are sparkling. The biggest concern is the elbow which caused him to miss a chunk of his 2018 season and delay the start of his 2019. Sanchez should start the season in Triple-A and depending on how Derek Jeter and company want to handle his service time, we could see him in the starting rotation in 2020. (Paul Monte)

55) Luke Weaver, Arizona Diamondbacks (Age: 26, Previous Rank: 87)

Forearm tightness essentially ended what was an excellent start to 2019. Weaver has been up and down in the dynasty rankings for the last several years and came at a reduced price in 2019 because of a very pedestrian 2018 in St. Louis. The price should again be reduced in 2020 because of the looming injury risk. One other interesting note is that as good as Weaver’s numbers were on paper, Statcast rated him in the bottom 20^th percentile in both Exit Velocity and Hard Hit % with most other rankings hovering around average. There is some risk involved and it may be foolish to expect to see a repeat of his 2019 season in 2020. We are likely looking at an average of his last two seasons. (Paul Monte)

56) Carlos Carrasco, Cleveland Indians (Age: 33, Previous Rank: 15)

There is not much to say about the statistical output of 2019 for Carrasco. May was a difficult month for him on the baseball field, but a bigger challenge awaited him in June. Carrasco received a life changing diagnosis of Leukemia. The fact that he was diagnosed in June and returned to the mound just three months later in a relief role to close out the season tells you everything you need to know about his grit and determination. In the end, we play a game, and we have to make choices. His price will be low, he’s a 33-year-old pitcher coming off of a cancer diagnosis. Just two years removed from an excellent 2018, I’m comfortable buying in at his current price. (Paul Monte)

57) Dylan Cease, Chicago White Sox (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 59)

Once a top prospect in the White Sox system, the 24-year-old broke into the majors in 2019 to mixed reviews. The rookie posted a 5.79 ERA, a 1.55 WHIP and gave up a whopping 15 home runs in 73 innings pitched. The result? He moved up in our rankings. The stuff is that good and his 10.0 K/9 proves it. If you are betting that Cease will learn how to harness that fastball and command it, the ranking makes sense. On the other hand, he posted a 10.7% walk rate, which is what he has posted over the last few seasons. There is a definite upside, it’s a matter of how much it will cost to gamble on it. (Paul Monte)

58) Lance Lynn, Texas Rangers (Age: 32, Previous Rank: 150)

Many were quick to write Lynn off after his 2018, the TDG rankers included as he dropped to 150^th overall. He was entering his age-32 season in 2019 and had just posted a career-worst 4.77 ERA with the Twins and Yankees. Toss in that he had signed with Texas, a notoriously tough place to pitch, and you get the ranking. He made us look bad. In 2019 he posted a career high in innings, strikeouts (by 48) and WHIP. Not only did he raise his K%, but he also lowered his BB% by over 4% as well, down to 6.7%. Projections from multiple sources have Lynn taking a step back in 2020, which is fair when considering how good his 2019 was. Lynn has the build to pitch for at least another 5 years if he can stay healthy. (Paul Monte)

59) Dinelson Lamet, San Diego Padres (Age: 27, Previous Rank: 143)

Every year the fantasy baseball community has a handful of players that everyone loves. Usually, it’s a sleeper pick to start the draft season in November and by the time March rolls around the value is gone as he gets picked earlier and earlier. Lamet is that guy. After missing 2018 while he recovered from Tommy John surgery, he returned in 2019 and threw 73 innings. In those innings, he struck out 105 batters (12.9 K/9), good for a 33.6% strikeout rate. Every Statcast metric is red, all 9 of 9. If you are trying to poke holes in the hype, you can look to his walk rate, which was 9.6%. Yes, command is usually the last skill to return after Tommy John surgery, but his 2017 BB% was 11.1. Save a spot for me on the Lamet bandwagon. (Paul Monte)

60) Lance McCullers Jr., Houston Astros (Age: 26, Previous Rank: 46)

McCullers will be the opposite of Lamet as far as 2020 outlooks. Most analysis is dominated by the redraft leagues and in those, the 26-year-old who hasn’t pitched since 2018 is being over-drafted. Fortunately, we care about dynasty here and that changes the outlook for McCullers. You aren’t getting much from him this year as he will be on an innings limit and will be working himself back into game shape. McCullers’s profile is starting to look a lot like Rich Hill. They both possess a curve ball capable of making batters look ridiculous, a K/9 north of 10 and the inability to pitch more than 135 innings in a season. McCullers is young enough where you can still dream that those innings will come, it just won’t be in 2020. (Paul Monte)