2020 Dynasty Baseball RankingsDynasty Baseball

The Dynasty Guru’s 2020 Top 125 Dynasty League Outfielders, #26-50

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Without further ado, it’s time to continue our 2020 consensus rankings by looking at the 26-50 best outfielders in dynasty leagues.

26) Charlie Blackmon, Colorado Rockies, (Age: 33, Previous Rank: 11)

Chuck Natzy fell from seventh in the 2018 TDG rankings to eleventh last year after a down year from his MVP 2017, then his bat improved in 2019 and he tumbled even further down to twenty-sixth. The extra year of age in a player’s thirties might be the most correlated statistic to negative rankings for dynasty leagues. Despite the fall in ranks, the bat is almost as good as ever. He set career highs at 88.5 mph Exit Velocity, 14.5 degree Launch Angle, and 40.1% Hard Hit rate but all three categories are still about 50th percentile (average). The only thing Charlie Blackmon and this writer have in common is that at 33 years old we are both as slow as ever! From a career-high 28.2 feet per second Sprint Speed to a career-worst 26.7, he is now in the 48th percentile of runners and will likely never be effective in the stolen base category again. Even without the speed the extra pop from this year and hitting first in Coors should continue to buoy his counting stats and will make him a valuable contributor until his untradeable contract expires after 2023. (Britt Engelbrecht)

27) Dylan Carlson, St. Louis Cardinals, (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

Carlson broke out a bit in 2019, combining his above-average hit tool with his above-average power and speed to sneak in a 33 home run and 25 stolen base 162-pace across Double-A and Triple-A. Reports indicate this switch-hitter is improving his bat from the left side which could help him make an early splash in the majors this year. The Randy Arozarena trade might open up an outfield spot for him sooner rather than later, but the Cardinals will have to write off Dexter Fowlers two years and $33 million left to find full-time at-bats for Carlson. (Britt Engelbrecht)

28) Ramon Laureano, Oakland Athletics, (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 33)

Laureano continued what he started in his rookie year and his first 590 at-bats make him look like a potential fantasy monster ready to break out. His 106 runs, 29 home runs, 86 RBI, 20 stolen bases, .288 average, and .840 OPS so far in his career has him looking like a poor man’s mix of Bryce Harper and Jose Ramirez.

Unfortunately, he is probably only moderately fast (90th home to first, 104th Sprint Speed) and Oakland was 28th in all of baseball last year at stolen base attempts so stealing 20 bases in a season might not be a fair expectation. If he only hits 25 home runs and steals 10 bags, he’ll still be a valuable contributor and will outperform this ranking, likely to move up the ranks next year. (Britt Engelbrecht)

29) Jarred Kelenic, Seattle Mariners, (Age: 20, Previous Rank: 69)

Surprise! Mets made a bad trade! After being traded for Edwin Diaz and the money left on Robinson Cano’s contract, Kelenic put a slow start to his career behind him and flourished in the Seattle farm system. He jumped three levels all the way to Double-A hitting 23 home runs, stealing 20 bags, and hitting .291 over 117 games over the three stops. Nearly a 30/30 162 game pace for a 19-year-old getting a look at Double-A is a great sign. Most offseason prospect lists have him around the top ten and he is only two levels away from the majors. Kelenic will continue to shoot up the rankings if he makes the majors by the second half, and Mariners fans need something to look forward to. (Britt Engelbrecht)

30) Eddie Rosario, Minnesota Twins,  (Age: 28, Previous Rank: 25)

Rosario is another solid contributor that doesn’t have the upside to win you any leagues, but a team full of Eddies might. He probably needs to build on his power (51st percentile Exit Velocity and 34th in Hard Hit rate) to continue hitting around 30 home runs. In a Twins lineup featuring Donaldson, Cruz, Sano, Kepler etc. his 2020 value could swing either way depending on if he hits at the top or the bottom of the lineup. (Britt Engelbrecht)

31) Nick Castellanos, Cincinnati Reds, (Age: 28, Previous Rank: 29)

Nick Castellanos joins the Reds after years of solid offensive production in Detroit, and a really great second half in Chicago last season. Cincy knows what they’ll be getting with him: a great bat, and worse defense. Apprehensions surrounding his defense, while valid, don’t mean that Castellanos won’t be a major contributor moving forward. He has averaged 87 R, 25 HR, 88 RBI with a .354 wOBA since 2017, after all. And those numbers came mostly in a terrible park for hitters. His new digs should boost his power considerably. Nick will provide nice returns for fantasy players during his time in the Queen City. (Jonathan Merkel)

32) Max Kepler, Minnesota Twins, (Age: 26, Previous Rank: 57)

Many have been waiting to see Kepler break out due to his special blend of patience and power, but what he did in 2019 surely exceeded even the most optimistic of projections: 98 R, 36 HR, 90 RBI, and a .355 wOBA. He even compiled 4.4 WAR for good measure. Production like that is no joke, and made Kepler a great draft day steal. This year Max enters the season priced as a proven asset. Can the good times continue? I’m not expecting a repeat performance because every stat I just mentioned represents Kepler’s career high by a significant margin. However, the underlying talent remains. This should keep Kepler an average to above second outfielder for many years to come, even if he doesn’t always live at last year’s highs. (Jonathan Merkel)

33) Tommy Pham, San Diego Padres, (Age: 31, Previous Rank: 33)

Pham got shipped to San Diego for Hunter Renfroe and “slapdick prospect” Xavier Edwards this winter. How will he do in his new home? The projection systems like Pham to maintain his valuable 25/25 potential with a solid AVG and high OBP. There are few players who fit this bill, making Pham a valuable contributor and worth targeting in dynasty leagues even if he’s a seasoned 31 years old. This is especially true in roto leagues where stolen bases are at a premium. It seems fair to expect that his new home park will detract a bit from Pham’s power, but the well-rounded skills he possesses should keep him contributing in a big way for dynasty owners betting on this vet. (Jonathan Merkel)

34) Kristian Robinson, Arizona Diamondbacks, (Age: 19, Previous Rank: 80)

Almost no prospect from the lower minors had a name hotter than Kristian Robinson entering 2019. He did not disappoint. Robinson handled himself well in his first taste of Single-A and displayed enough power and patience to give even the most risk-averse prospect hound hope. This is a player who has all the physical makeup to become a powerful outfielder at peak with speed to boot. And if his star isn’t bright enough right now, one has to assume that a solid showing at Double-A in 2020 will really rocket Robinson to the elitist tier of prospects. He is a player to acquire, as his future is as bright as anyone’s. (Jonathan Merkel)

35) Marcell Ozuna, Atlanta Braves, (Age: 29, Previous Rank: 17)

Marcell Ozuna has been one of my favorite undervalued outfielders this summer. That may change now that he has signed with Atlanta. His bat is as reliable as they get. He’s a great bet to be one of the more valuable OF2 in fantasy. Who doesn’t need an 85/28/85-type hitter? Like Castellanos, this is a player with a solid offensive resume with some defensive question marks. And, like Castellanos, in the end, his good should outweigh the bad. Don’t be afraid to draft this new Brave; he’s as solid as they come. (Jonathan Merkel)

36) Jeff McNeil, New York Mets, (Age: 27, Previous Rank: 20 at 2B)

Jeff McNeil had an amazing season for a guy everyone was thinking would be a utility player at this time last year. He overcame the Robinson Cano threat to his playing time and found himself an everyday player. The opportunity was not wasted. McNeil smacked 23 homers while batting .318 and posting a .384 wOBA. No doubt he was always going to be a high-contact, high-average motor in the Mets’ lineup, but no one saw this much power coming. It’s easy to expect the Met to continue providing value with a high average and solid counting stats, but it’s probably best to expect a dip in homers. Although, we’ve been wrong about his potential before. McNeil is a great ball player, even if he’s a bit unconventional. (Jonathan Merkel)

37) Jasson Dominguez, New York Yankees, (Age: 16, Previous Rank: N/A)

Jasson Dominguez quickly became one of the hottest names in dynasty circles after the 16-year-old center fielder was signed by the Yankees this July. Mike Trout’s name is already being included when describing the youngster’s future’s peak, and it’s damn near impossible to find a scouting report on him not soaked in drool. The ceiling is apparently limitless for young Dominguez. And while his debut is years away, the Yank will cost owners a significant amount to acquire. But if you pay up to draft him, you could be acquiring one of the great players of baseball’s next generation. (Jonathan Merkel)

38) David Dahl, Colorado Rockies, (Age: 26, Previous Rank: 26)

David Dahl has some fervent supporters. And why not? When looking for reasons to be excited, one sees a clear path to playing time, a powerful bat enhanced by the Coors Effect, a high batting average, and some sneaky speed. That’s all really good. But outside of the stat line, Dahl has been held back by significant injuries each year. He also benefited from crazy good batted ball luck. I was also discouraged to see that Dahl’s ISO, K, and BB% all line up almost identically with the disappointing Rowdy Tellez. If things break well for Dahl, he could be a savior for your team. But if anything breaks the other way, he could sink your season. Proceed with caution. (Jonathan Merkel)

39) Alex Kirilloff, Minnesota Twins, (Age: 22, Previous Rank: 32)

Alex Kirilloff drops seven spots after a so-so year at Double-A. Even with the dip, the hit-first prospect remains a solid dynasty option due to his perceived offensive polish but he has a make-or-break feel to him right now. Because what Kirilloff accomplished this year wasn’t exactly jaw dropping. In fact, his numbers look somewhat pedestrian for a top prospect: a 0.38 BB/K ratio, .131 ISO, and a .347 wOBA. Nothing here jumps off the page, and neither do his counting stats. One can chalk this up to it being his first time facing Double-A pitching and because he missed time twice with wrist issues. We’ll learn a lot early on in 2020. Can he dominate in Double-A? Can he stay healthy? Does he stay in the outfield or move to first base? Whatever happens, it’s likely that he’ll find himself much higher or much lower on our list at this time next season. (Jonathan Merkel)

40) Yasiel Puig, Free Agent, (Age: 29, Previous Rank: 22)

Yasiel Puig joins Marcell Ozuna and Nick Castellanos as a free agent looking for a home. For fantasy purposes, Puig still appears to be a solid second or third outfielder. He has hit over 20 HR and stolen 15 or more bases the last three seasons. That’ll play. I’d expect more of the same assuming he lands in an everyday role. And while Puig hasn’t ever fulfilled some of the immense potential many once saw in him, he is still a very gifted player who should provide a nice floor for dynasty owners looking for a bargain on draft day. (Jonathan Merkel)

41) Nick Senzel, Cincinnati Reds, (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 13 3B)

The 2019 season was a bit of an oddity for Senzel. The final line isn’t all that bad with double digit contributions in both homers and steals, along with a serviceable .256 AVG. That’s an encouraging line for a rookie. However health continued to be an issue for Senzel, as he was demoted early in the season, then promptly injured his ankle, and then he had season-ending torn shoulder labrum. Combine this with his early battles with vertigo, and I wouldn’t blame you for having injury fatigue when thinking of Senzel. At this point we need to see a full healthy season from the Reds’ outfielder. There’s still offensive promise here, with 20/20 production knocking on the door, a decent average, and strong counting stats from a decent line up in a good ballpark. (Patrick Magnus)

42) Kyle Schwarber, Chicago Cubs, (Age: 26, Previous Rank: 31)

This beefy outfielder crushed the ball in 2020, as he just missed the 40 home run mark. Schwarber straight-up punishes the ball when he gets ahold of it. Batting average may not be as much as a liability as some may think either, as the 26 year old made some gains in this area in 2019, and even under performed a .267 xBA. There’s already been a fair bit of noise generated around the potential for Schwarber in 2020, and if  you head over to Schwarber’s Savant page, you can see why many in the industry are hyped. Everything’s in place for this slugger to continue to smash. As long as he gets playing time he’ll continue to provide strong power and counting stats, and at 26 years-old there’s plenty to love here. (Patrick Magnus)

43) Trey Mancini, Baltimore Orioles, (Age: 28, Previous Rank: 27 1B)

The doubters of Mancini were very much put in their place in 2019, by a performance that legitimized the Orioles’ outfielders potential. He did just about everything you could ask for a hitter: lowered his strikeout rate, increased his walks, hit the ball harder, and made more contact.While he may have over performed in 2019, it certainly doesn’t look to be by much. Mancini out performed his XWOBA and XBA by ten points each, but even if he hit the marks of .364 and .283 that still puts him in good company. He adopted a dominating approach which should continue to produce all sorts of fantasy goodness in a great hitter’s ballpark.  Think mid 20’s to 30 bombs with a promising average for the foreseeable future. Sign us up! (Patrick Magnus)

44) Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Toronto Blue Jays, (Age:26, Previous Rank 25 2B)

The dream of Gurriel being a middle infielder is most likely dead, as he’s a pretty poor defender. Thus robbing dynasty players of yet another decent bat at second base. Gurriel Jr.’s profile is decent, and he offers potential for growth if he alters his approach at the plate, but he is significantly less valuable in the outfield than he was as an infielder. Still he may be a bit too overshadowed by his peers in Toronto. Yes, he strikes out more than you’d want (25%), and he certainly walks less than desirable as well. Yet, he put up an impressive barrel rate of 11.2% last year. If I squint I can see a potential 30 home run hitter with a .270 average, and maybe even double digit steals (strong maybe). And if he ever becomes a bit more selective? Watch out. (Patrick Magnus)

45) Byron Buxton, Minnesota Twins, (Age:26 Previous Rank: 51)

The frustration continues for Buxton believers. The dude has all the tools, and even showed some promising improvements in his approach in 2019 (significant drop in K%, and uptick in Barrel% and EV). Yet health, once again, limited his playing time and thus his production. Here’s a list of injuries: 

  • wrist injury
  • concussion
  • sore back
  • sore knee
  • torn labrum

That’s just 2019 for Buxton! So, while we might look at Buxton’s Steamer projection and get excited, don’t forget to look at that projected 542 PA. He needs to be on the field to realize his potential, and until he proves he can do that, he’ll hover down here near OF 50, rather than near the top of this list where a skillset such as his deserves to be. (Patrick Magnus)

46) Oscar Mercado, Cleveland Indians (Age:25, Previous Rank: NR)

Mercado was impressive in his first taste of the majors. A bit of pop, and a sizable amount of speed for the current state of baseball. Between Triple-A and the Majors he managed 19 homers and 29 steals. I’m more inclined to buy his speed potential than the power, as he had never shown any signs of being a power threat prior to 2019. If you need further reason for skepticism, he only managed a 4.1% barrel rate. However, Mercado makes plenty of contact and has blazing speed, and so he should beat out plenty of ground balls. His defensive chops are strong in center, and so he should have a clear path to playing time in Cleveland. Take the steals, and don’t look back. (Patrick Magnus)

47) Franmil Reyes, Cleveland Indians, (Age:24 Previous Rank: 49)

Hey! Another Cleveland “outfielder.” There are few in baseball who can crush a baseball with the might of Reyes. Last year he posted a destructive 93.3 MPH average exit velocity. Good for barreling almost 15% of his pitches. As to be expected, when you swing that hard you’re going to swing and miss a lot (28.5%). Another thing worth mentioning is although Reyes is technically an outfielder, the “Franimal” belongs at DH. His days of being OF eligible are likely numbered. Still a 24 year old who will challenge for 40 homers annually is an asset worth owning in most any dynasty format. (Patrick Magnus)

48) Drew Waters, Atlanta Braves, (Age:21 Previous Rank: NR)

Waters broke out in a big way in 2019, posting a .309/.360/.459 slash line across double-A and triple-A. The slash line itself is impressive, but doing so at his age is even more promising. The K’s went way up once he reached triple-A (36.1), and with a tendency to swing-and-miss already established this is a bit concerning. However, he was the youngest player in the league, and raw players aren’t incapable of making adjustments. Look for him to alter that approach in 2020. The signing of Ozuna might limit the possibility we see him in the majors next year, which is probably best for his development. Once he arrives though there’s 20-20 potential here. (Patrick Magnus)

49) Michael Brantley, Houston Astros, (Age: 32, Previous Rank: 45)

A 4.2 WAR season at 31 reminded dynasty players that this “old man” is still really good. Brantley is an outstanding hitter who will continue to hover around a .300 average, with double digit pop. Everything surrounding the Astros’ outfielder indicates that performance was legit. The primary factors keeping Brantley from ranking higher are his age, and really there’s not much more room for growth here. He very much is who he is at this point, and the health issues that once plagued him are less of a concern than they once were. The approach is fantastic, but there isn’t more power or speed coming. Still 20 homers, a handful of stolen bases, and a .300 average need to be owned. (Patrick Magnus)

50) Bryan Reynolds, Pittsburgh Pirates, (Age: 24 Previous Rank: NR)

I think there might be a decent case to be made for swapping the rankings of Reynolds and Brantley here. The skillset here is surprisingly similar, with both players proving a strong average but not enough speed or power to put them in the upper echelon of our rankings. However Reynolds is a good 8 years younger than Brantley. The track record is of course in Brantley’s favor, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see this ranking reversed if Reynolds has himself a strong sophomore campaign in 2020. Most of the above caveats apply here to Reynolds, limited ceiling, but will provide plenty of help in average with a bit of pop, and a bit of speed. (Patrick Magnus)

The Author

Ian Hudson

Ian Hudson

Ian is an editor for The Dynasty Guru and a bowtie enthusiast. If you guessed one of those things about him you could probably guess the other.

He's also an attorney in Tampa, Florida.

Go Rays.

2 Comments

  1. Goldirocks
    January 30, 2020 at 9:26 am

    Based on his young age and what he showed last year in the majors (and minors before that) with his advanced bat, Willie Calhoun probably deserves to be in the top 50 somewhere for fantasy purposes over at least a few of these guys in dynasty? …. Unless you don’t think he’s an OFer?

  2. Marshall Echols
    January 30, 2020 at 2:05 pm

    Where does Whit Merrifield land on the outfielder list? He spent almost as much time in the outfield as he did in the infield.

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