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The Dynasty Guru’s Top 125 Outfielders, #76-100

Despite a scorching hot stove (I can’t believe the player you’re thinking of did or did not sign with the team you thought they would!), January and February can be some of the darkest months of the year (figuratively and literally). But fear not, restless readers. The Dynasty Guru is here to the rescue.

While you were celebrating the holidays and ushering in the New Year, our brave group of writers has been ranking, debating, re-ranking, re-debating, and re-re-ranking over 600 players for dynasty leagues. The fruits of our efforts will be filling January and February with the deepest, most thoroughly and painstakingly selected dynasty baseball rankings on the internet. We have top-50s, top-125s, top-200s, top-500s (of course!), and even ultra-deep prospect rankings. PLUS, this season we’re including a “Where They’d Rank” section, that outlines where we would put multi-positional guys if we ranked them at their secondary positions.

The Dynasty Guru’s hard-working staff has spent countless hours crafting these rankings, and we hope you enjoy and continue to support our efforts.

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Without further ado, it’s time to continue our 2019 consensus rankings by looking at our 76-100 dynasty outfielders.

76) Jackie Bradley, Jr., Boston Red Sox (Age: 28, Previous Rank: 78)

If only defense was able to get you points in fantasy baseball… Well, it does in some leagues, but for the most part, good defense just keeps you on the field to get more chances to hit. Jackie Bradley, Jr. is about as elite as they come defensively and should carve out another everyday role in the Red Sox loaded outfield. JBJ does not usually hit in prime spots in the lineup, but he does play in one of the best lineups in all of baseball. There will be opportunities for him. Bradley has hit north of .250 only once ( .267 in 2016), so do not expect a ton for him for average, but he will get you a handful of home runs and stolen bases. He should get you 15/15 this season and might have a shot at 20/20. Those kind of guys do not really grow on trees. (Nic Yonter)

77) Christin Stewart, Detroit Tigers (Age: 25, Previous Rank: 122)

Listening to individuals that are veterans and have been doing what you are planning on doing is always a good idea. That is exactly what Christin Stewart has done and what he recognitions as the key to his growth. Stewart got a cup of coffee last year and we were able to gather one main ability of his: hitting the ball hard. Smashing 93 home runs in his four-year minor league career shows 25-30 home run power is not out of the question. Stewart is slated to be on the Opening Day lineup card for the rebuilding Tigers and should get a very long look to see if he is a corner outfielder to start piecing together a squad around. (Nic Yonter)

78) Yusniel Diaz, Baltimore Orioles (Age: 22, Previous Rank: NR)

Spring Training is always such a glorious time of mixing the present-day roster with your future roster. Yusniel Diaz will get that fine opportunity to join the Orioles this spring. The reason he is over in Oriole orange is because of a guy named Manny Machado. You have probably heard of him before, but the Orioles did a decent job of getting back some almost-major-league talent for a rental. Diaz most likely will start the season off in Double-A, but could see some major league action as soon as this season, and should be a fixture in 2020. He is still figuring out how to harness his power, but the hitting tool is alive and well for this youngster. (Nic Yonter)

79) Raimel Tapia, Colorado Rockies (Age: 25, Previous Rank: 80) 

When the Rockies made a big offseason splash to acquire Daniel Murphy, the person affected the most was probably Raimel Tapia. Not a lot of people are talking about how good of a signing Murphy was for Colorado. If he stays healthy, that could add another potent figure to their lineup. Murphy’s signing allows Ian Desmond to move back out to the outfield, and should be joined by Charlie Blackmon and David Dahl. Unfortunately, that leaves Tapia as the odd man out. An impressive minor league career with 50 home runs, 47 triples, and 153 stolen bases, shows that he might have the goods, he just has to wait for an opening. (Nic Yonter)

80) Kristian Robinson, Arizona Diamondbacks (Age: 18, Previous Rank: NR)

If this is the first you are hearing of Kristian Robinson, you better listen up before it is too late! Robinson is one of those power/speed combinations that could be flat-out nasty in a couple of years. That is the catch for this young outfielder from The Bahamas. Patience. If you are in a position where you can wait on a young prospect for a number of years, this is the guy to take a chance on. The Diamondbacks organization loves him already and he could be a 35-40 home run guy with 20-25 stolen bases. There is a great deal of risk associated with this one, but the juice might be worth the squeeze on Robinson. (Nic Yonter)

81) Franchy Cordero, San Diego Padres (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 101)

Though 80 players rank above him, Franchy Cordero is one of the toolsiest players on this list, and his upside is immense. He flashed serious power and speed potential in 2018 at 23 years young, with an isolated power above .200 and seven stolen bases in only 154 plate appearances. He hits the ball extremely hard, finishing 20th overall in average exit velocity on line drives and fly balls (minimum 80 batted ball events). He’s also quite fast, ranking 20th overall in sprint speed in 2018. Now for the negatives: he struck out ~36 percent of the time and posted horrible defensive numbers in the outfield despite his elite speed. The Padres outfield is crowded, and he’ll be competing with Hunter Renfroe, Franmil Reyes, and Manuel Margot for plate appearances in 2019.  He’ll need to get more out of his speed on defense to secure playing time in 2019. (Jordan Rosenblum)

82) Cristian Pache, Atlanta Braves (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

Pache is a consensus top-100 prospect, and usually top 60. His power took a big step forward this year at 19 years old, jumping from an .062 isolated power in Low-A to a .146 isolated power in High-A. He has been getting high marks for his raw power for years, but only in 2018 did his in-game power begin to catch up a bit. His High-A performance was above average with a 109 wRC+, a solid age-relative-to-league performance. He maintains a very strong defensive reputation, with most expecting him to be a well above average center fielder. He’s also got elite speed, though it’s concerning from a fantasy perspective he only stole seven bases in nearly 500 plate appearances this year. With moderate power, mediocre plate discipline, and limited aggression on the base paths, his likely outcome is more solid third outfielder than superstar. He’s young enough to exceed this expectation. (Jordan Rosenblum)

83) Ramon Laureano, Oakland Athletics (Age: 25, Previous Rank: NR)

Laureano had a loud MLB debut at age 24, going off for a 129 wRC+, five home runs, seven stolen bases, and 2+ WAR—remarkably all in 176 plate appearances. He posted a .288/.358/.474 triple slash and his expected statistics were similar. His minor league performance was excellent in 2018 after a down 2017. At the end of 2016, he cracked the back-end of a few top 100 lists. He fell off the map in 2017, to a significant extent thanks to an uncharacteristically low BABIP in Double-A. The Athletics acquired him for pennies on the dollar, and losing faith in him after 2017 has proven to be premature. He’s got the centerfield job locked up in 2019, and should be good to for 15-20 home runs and stolen bases apiece, with around a .260 average and .330 OBP. This is Buxton-esque production at a much later ADP. (Jordan Rosenblum)

84) Dustin Fowler, Oakland Athletics (Age: 24, Previous Rank: 88)

Entering 2018, Fowler was looking like the Athletics full-time center fielder of the future, the space Laureano occupies now. Although he’s been surpassed by Laureano, there’s still room for him in the Athletics outfield if he performs. Nick Martini is their current starting left fielder. If the Athletics prefer their martini shaken and not stirred, they may opt for Fowler—the arbitrarily chosen shaken martini in this metaphor. He’s got a very fantasy-friendly game, especially in batting average formats. He’s an aggressive hitter with low walk rates, but projects for a solid average, and could easily threaten a 20-20 season with 600 plate appearances. His peak major league equivalency for his career minor league performance* is around .275/.310/.470, with 20 home runs and 20 stolen bases. His expected statistics also suggest he was a bit unlucky in 2018, though still below average. He’s a nice post-hype sleeper entering 2019. (Jordan Rosenblum)

85) Ryan Braun, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 34, Previous Rank: 44)

Ryan Braun’s past four wOBAs give the impression of a declining veteran: from 2015 to 2018, his wOBA went from .367 to .383 to .348 to .332. Open and shut case, right? Wrong! His expected wOBA for the past four years tell a more hopeful story: from 2015 to 2018, his xWOBA went from .370 to .360 to .351 to .350. Further, his exit velocity on fly balls and liners has actually improved over one mile per hour since 2015, sitting at 97.4 miles per hour in 2018—good for 10th in the league amongst qualified hitters! To boot, Braun is still super aggressive on the base paths. The BAT projects him for a strong .271/.335/.476 triple slash, with 20 homers and 14 stolen bases in 2019. Braun is somehow an excellent post-post-post hype value entering 2019. (Jordan Rosenblum)

86) Daz Cameron, Detroit Tigers (Age: 22, Previous Rank: NR)

Last year, Daz Cameron put up a solid but unspectacular age-relative-to-league 127 wRC+ in Low-A. He improved his stock a great deal in 2018 at age 21, not only reaching Double-A but thriving there, and later succeeding in the Arizona Fall League. He also struggled in Triple-A this year and was slightly above average in High-A. Overall, his performance was a step forward and earned him inclusion at the backend of a few top 100 lists. His peak major league equivalency for his career minor league performance* suggests a league average hitter with a fantasy-friendly game: around .250/.330/.400, with 15 home runs and 20 stolen bases in a full season’s plate appearances. He’ll likely begin the year in Triple-A, and with a solid performance, he could earn some playing time this year with the lowly Tigers. (Jordan Rosenblum)

87) Lewis Brinson, Miami Marlins (Age: 25, Previous Rank: 36)

Brinson entered 2018 a consensus top prospect after tearing up the minors for three seasons prior. In 2018, he slashed .199/.240/.338, making him probably the worst hitter in the league to receive over 400 plate appearances. Despite the failed season, there were some silver linings. He averaged a strong 93.7 miles per hour on fly balls and liners, showing good raw power even though it did not manifest in a strong performance. His sprint speed ranked 28th overall and his defense was pretty average, earning him a longer playing time leash. The biggest silver lining though is his career performance before 2018. His peak major league equivalency for his career minor league performance* is .257/.325/.474 with 27 homers and 20 stolen bases in a full season. His star has dimmed, but he’s had success in the recent enough past to justify another chance in 2019. (Jordan Rosenblum)

88) Matt Kemp, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 34, Previous Rank: NR)

Kemp, 34 in September, has preserved his hitting skills into his older years. His wOBAs and expected wOBAs have consistently fallen in the .330 to .350 range for three seasons in a row. The Dodgers shipped him to the Reds anyway, though, as his outfield defense has become a huge liability, as was his $21.5 million contract expiring in 2019. He’ll have to battle for playing time with Jesse Winker, Scott Schebler, and Nick Senzel in 2019. There are only two outfield spots available for these three. If he can find at-bats, expect another strong offensive performance, around .270/.320/.480 with 20 to 25 homers in a full season’s plate appearances. After 2019, his best bet is to sign with an American League team where he can serve as a designated hitter. (Jordan Rosenblum)

89) Seuly Matias, Kansas City Royals (Age: 20, Previous Rank: NR)

A 19-year-old putting up a .365 isolated power and a 163 wRC+ in a full season in the South Atlantic League (Low-A) is mighty rare and impressive, even if he also struck out 37 percent of the time. The player I’m describing went on to hit 81 home runs, with a 116 average wRC+ in his first two full seasons in the majors at age 23 and 24, still while striking out over 35 percent of the time. I’m not talking about Seuly Matias, of course; I’m talking about Joey Gallo. Matias posted a Gallo-esque line in his age-19 season in the South Atlantic League in 2018, with 35 percent strikeouts, a .320 isolated power, and a 138 wRC+. Also like Gallo, he receives top scouting grades for his power. Contact will never be a strength for Matias, and his power isn’t quite Gallo-ian considering it came a hitters’ park, but 30+ homer seasons are a reasonable expectation for his MLB future. (Jordan Rosenblum)

90) Kevin Kiermaier, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 29, Previous Rank: 56)

Kevin Kiermaier took a step back offensively this season; his wRC+ fell from 112 in 2017 to 78 in 2018. He was also once again one of the top defensive centerfielders in baseball. His expected statistics suggest he was a bit lucky in 2017 and a bit unlucky in 2018. His exit velocities and plate discipline remained stable in 2018 compared to 2017, suggesting his underlying skills are similar to previous years. He’s only 29 in 2019, and should rebound to a near league average hitter. He continues to be good for around 15 homers and stolen bases a piece in a full season, with a slash around .255/.315/.400. His elite defense should ensure he continues to receive playing time on an increasingly stacked Rays squad—unless he really struggles mightily with the bat. (Jordan Rosenblum)

91) Delino DeShields, Texas Rangers (Age: 26, Previous Rank: 69)

A trendy pick for stolen bases going into 2018, DeShields’ season was doomed from the start when he broke his hamate bone in the second game of the season. A broken finger, along with neck and migraine issues as the season progressed did not help matters. A slash line of .216/.310/.281 with 2 HRs and 22 RBI, was salvaged only slightly by his 20 stolen bases and a .300 batting average in September that was hopefully a sign of better health. DeShields was outside of the top 300 hitters in hard-hit rates, exit velocities, and barrels. You’re not buying him for the power, but the hope is that if he returns to at least a .250 average then he can contribute in the SB and Runs categories as a bounce back this year. Fortunately, DeShields appears to have an everyday role thanks to his excellent defense, but if he struggles early again this season, it’ll be time to cut bait on him in dynasty formats. (Bob Osgood)

92) Victor Victor Mesa, Miami Marlins (Age: 23, Previous Rank: NR)

Mesa is the son of Cuban baseball legend Victor Mesa and is not to be confused with his younger brother Victor Mesa, Jr., who also signed with the Marlins this winter. Victor Victor received the largest bonus of the international class at $5.25 million. He had an excellent hit/speed combination in Cuba, totaling 40 stolen bases in his 20-year-old season, and hit over .350 in both his 19 and 20-year-old seasons. Knowing how that will translate to the American game is anyone’s guess. Early reviews indicate that Victor Victor may be a better real-life prospect than fantasy, as his Speed/Field/Arm tools are all in the 60-65 range, according to both MLB.com and FanGraphs. His proximity to the majors has moved him into the top half of the first round in many First-Year Player Drafts, but the upside may not be as high as some other options. (Bob Osgood)

93) Monte Harrison, Miami Marlins (Age: 23, Previous Rank: 57)

Harrison was drafted in the second round in 2014 and has shown an increasing power and speed combination over the past three seasons, as he’s moved up through the Brewers and, now, Marlins organizations. Coming over in the Christian Yelich trade last winter, Harrison’s move to Double-A was an adjustment, highlighted by an eye-popping 37% K-rate, totaling 215 strikeouts last season. Focusing on the positives, his 19 HRs, 28 SBs, and 85 runs show a very unique skill set, and with a .368 average on balls in play, when Harrison does put the ball in play he hits it very hard. Fangraphs rates Harrison as a 70-grade arm, and future grade of 60 in the field. If he can harness that hit tool, he could be a high ceiling player in the big leagues, and contribute in at least four fantasy categories, with BA/OBP to be determined. (Bob Osgood)

94) Brandon Marsh, Los Angeles Angels (Age: 21, Previous Rank: NR)

A second-round pick out of high school in 2016, Marsh’s tools are raw but project out very well in the long term, with FanGraphs future grades ranging from 50-60 across the board. At 6’4”, 210, Marsh is considered an excellent athlete who has rotated between all three outfield positions. 2018 saw him spend more than half of his games in center field, but that position appears to be blocked for the foreseeable future in Los Angeles at the major league level. Marsh spent last season playing 34 games at Low-A, and 93 at High-A. He seemed to adjust well between the two levels, specifically in that his walk rate only dropped from 13.6% to 12.2%, and K-rate had a slight increase from 26% to 27.7%. The hope for Marsh will be to see an uptick in power in 2019 from his 10 combined HRs and .408 slugging last year, to go along with his speed, and begin to show his five-category potential down the line. (Bob Osgood)

95) Steven Souza Jr., Arizona Diamondbacks (Age: 29, Previous Ranking: 45)

Coming off a career year in 2017, and following an early spring training trade from Tampa to Arizona, Souza’s 2018 season did not go according to plan. Things got off to a rocky start when he injured his right pectoral in spring training, then came back too early in May, and was not able to truly start his season until July. The 30-home run power that was displayed the prior year never emerged and Souza finished the season with a .220 BA, 5 home runs, 29 RBI, and a paltry .678 OPS in 72 games. Entering 2019, Souza’s average draft position is outside of the top 300 in re-draft leagues, and the demand is likely even lower in dynasty leagues, as he will turn 30 in April.

The hate, hate, hate has gone too far. Souza’s K rate has always been poor (27.6% in 2018), and he may not ever contribute in the batting average category. However, there is reason to believe injuries were the main culprit of last year’s struggles, there is little to no competition for playing time in the Arizona outfield, and Souza is likely to hit in the middle of the lineup. While he is unlikely to reach the 30 HR and 16 SBs of 2017, I expect a bounce-back season of 20 and 12 to be well within reach with everyday at-bats. (Bob Osgood)

96) Eric Thames, Milwaukee Brewers, (Age: 32, Previous Rank: 68)

Eric Thames, the man voted most likely to be confused with a brick sh*thouse, is back for another season in Milwaukee. Here’s to hoping Sang Namja can stay healthy in 2019. Thames followed up his breakout 2017 return to the states with an injury-stunted 2018. Aside from the injuries, Thames did exactly what owners expected. He hit the ball hard (.259 ISO) over fences (16 HR) and walked a fair amount (10.4 BB%) in limited action (278 PA). That’s a solid half-season’s worth of production. The good news is that Thames showed he’s still a stud slugger. The bad news is that Milwaukee is getting better, and he will likely find himself squeezed for playing time. There’s still value to be had with Thames but this point it’s best to draft him as a complement to, and not a cornerstone of, your dynasty. (Jonathan Merkel)

97) Adam Jones, Free Agent, (Age: 33, Previous Rank: 48)

Adam Jones has been roaming centerfield at Camden since 2008. Entering 2019, Jones finds himself looking for a new ballpark and team. The free-agent has been good for fantasy owners throughout his career. Year after year, Jones put up numbers in the 86/26/84/9 neighborhood with slashes resembling his .278/.318/.456 career marks. Last year was the first time Jones, in spite of generous playing time, failed to break the 20 homer barrier since 2010. He also finished with his lowest ISO since his first year in Baltimore. This is worrisome. If he lands in a good situation he could provide some nice depth and value. But time fears no man, and it appears that time is working against this storied, former O. (Jonathan Merkel)

98) Julio Pablo Martinez, Texas Rangers, (Age: 22, Previous Rank: N/A)

Rangers outfielder Julio Pablo Martinez signed this March for $2.8 million. Prior to his defection from Cuba, he hit .333/.469/.498 with 24 stolen bases at just 20 years old in Serie Nacional. Despite a nearly two-year developmental delay in the Can-Am League, he made quick work of the Dominican Summer League (.409/.606/.682). Consequently, the Rangers brought him stateside, where he struggled over his first 9 games (4-for-32), before finishing strong (.272/.357/.465) and showing well in the Arizona Fall League (.327/.397/.519). Notably, the same patient, disciplined approach Martinez displayed in Serie Nacional translated across all competitions. In addition, he suffered less swing-and-miss (11.3% swinging strikes) and hit for more power (13% HR/FB) than expected. All told, Martinez is a potential five-category contributor with promising hitting ability, power potential, and patience. (Jesse Roche)

99) Enrique Hernandez, Los Angeles Dodgers, (Age: 27, Previous Rank: N/A)

Kiké Hernandez continued to prove himself as a valuable utility man for the Dodgers in 2018. He logged over 10 games at all three outfield positions, second base, and shortstop. Best of all, Hernandez slugged 20 homers for the first time in his career while posting an ISO of .214 and a .342 wOBA. That’s pretty good. What’s not good for Hernandez is the shift, and the life of a utility man. Kiké batted .188 in 68 “against the shift” at bats. As for his utility role? Sometimes being a jack-of-all-trades is a benefit. Not for Hernandez. Or at least not for dynasty owners. While he appeared in 145 games, he can’t be relied upon for everyday at-bats. Nor is he guaranteed any spot or security within a batting lineup. I’d be excited for him to earn an everyday job, but it’s hard to imagine happening. He’s a better real-life player than dynasty asset. (Jonathan Merkel)

100) Cedric Mullins, Baltimore Orioles, (Age: 24, Previous Rank: NR)

Mullins is an interesting player. He’s definitely going to steal bases and at times he’s shown flashes of an ability to hit for average. The flip side of that coin though is his hitting hasn’t been consistent so it’s tough to gauge if he will ever be more than just steals. I believe Michael Scott said it best:

(Keaton O. DeRocher)

Where They’d Rank**

Dee Gordon- 85, behind Kristain Robinson

Trey Mancini- 86, behind Dee Gordon

Jose Martinez- 88, behind Franchy Cordero

Brian Anderson- 94, behind Daz Cameron


*Clay Davenport translates minor league statistics to peak MLB performance, adjusting minor league statistics downward for league difficulty and upward for aging (these are known as peak Davenport translations).

**numbers reflect a list that includes all eligible outfielders

The Author

Ian Hudson

Ian Hudson

Ian is an editor for The Dynasty Guru and a bowtie enthusiast. If you guessed one of those things about him you could probably guess the other.

He's also an attorney in Tampa, Florida.

Go Rays.

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