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Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, May 2018

Over the past week at The Dynasty Guru, we examined infieldoutfield, and pitching prospects with increasing and decreasing fantasy value. As the culmination of the monthly review and update, we shall revisit the 2018 Top 200 Fantasy Prospects, published in March.

Fantasy value is ever-changing. Like the stock market, there are stable assets and volatile, high-risk / high-reward assets. When it comes to prospects, value swings are common and often drastic, and the astute fantasy owner must quickly adapt. Although it is only one month into the season, there is already plenty of movement in the Top 200.

Top 200 Prospects, May 2018

RankPlayerPositionAge2018 LevelETAMarch RankChange
1Ronald Acuna ATLOF20.39AAA/MLB201810
2Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. TOR3B19.14AA201920
3Shohei Ohtani LAARHP/DH23.84MLB201830
4Eloy Jimenez CHWOF21.45AA201840
5Gleyber Torres NYY2B/SS21.40AAA/MLB201861
6Victor Robles WASOF20.97AAA20185-1
7Brendan Rodgers COLSS/2B21.75AA201981
8Nick Senzel CIN3B/2B22.86AAA201891
9Fernando Tatis Jr. SDSS19.24AA20197-2
10Kyle Tucker HOUOF21.31AAA2018111
11Walker Buehler LADRHP23.78AAA/MLB2018154
12Bo Bichette TORSS20.18AA201910-2
13Michael Kopech CHWRHP22.02AAA2018130
14Juan Soto WASOF19.54A/A+20203925
15Forrest Whitley HOURHP20.65SUS201912-3
16Alex Reyes STLRHP23.69MLB DL2018182
17Scott Kingery PHIIF/OF24.03MLB201816-1
18Miguel Andujar NYY3B23.18MLB20185840
19Willy Adames TBSS22.68AAA2018245
20Mike Soroka ATLRHP20.76AAA/MLB20184323
21Mitch Keller PITRHP22.09AA201920-1
22Royce Lewis MINSS18.93A2021231
23Sixto Sanchez PHIRHP19.78A+202019-4
24Franklin Barreto OAK2B/SS22.20AAA/MLB20183713
25Austin Hays BALOF22.84AA201817-8
26Keston Hiura MILDH21.77A+201925-1
27Luis Robert CHWOF20.76A+ DL202022-5
28Brendan McKay TB1B/LHP22.39A2019335
29Taylor Trammell CINOF20.65A+2020389
30Alex Verdugo LADOF21.98AAA/MLB2018355
31Francisco Mejia CLEC/OF22.53AAA201821-10
32Yordan Alvarez HOUOF20.86AA20195523
33Jesus Sanchez TBOF20.59A+20204411
34Austin Riley ATL3B21.10AA20195622
35Willie Calhoun TEXOF23.51AAA201826-9
36MacKenzie Gore SDLHP19.21A202131-5
37Kyle Wright ATLRHP22.60AA201934-3
38Jo Adell LAAOF19.08A2021468
39Jack Flaherty STLRHP22.56MLB20184910
40Justus Sheffield NYYLHP21.99AA/AAA20185111
41Jesus Luzardo OAKLHP20.61A+/AA201912887
42Brent Honeywell TBRHP23.11TJ20195311
43Hunter Greene CINRHP18.76A202132-11
44Luiz Gohara ATLLHP21.77AA/AAA201827-17
45Monte Harrison MIAOF22.74AA2019505
46Michel Baez SDRHP22.30A+2019471
47A.J. Puk OAKLHP23.04TJ201930-17
48Christin Stewart DETOF24.41AAA20189749
49Estevan Florial NYYOF20.45A+202040-9
50Jorge Mateo OAKSS22.88AAA201828-22
51Ryan McMahon COL1B/2B23.40AAA/MLB201829-22
52Luis Urias SD2B/SS20.93AAA2018608
53Tyler O'Neill STLOF22.88AAA20187017
54Jake Bauers TB1B22.59AAA20186511
55Dustin Fowler OAKOF23.36AAA20187823
56Austin Meadows PITOF23.01AAA201842-14
57Nick Gordon MINSS/2B22.54AA20197417
58Anthony Alford TOROF23.80A+/AAA201845-13
59Jahmai Jones LAA2B20.76A+2020645
60Joey Lucchesi SDLHP24.92MLB201814484
61Ian Anderson ATLRHP20.02A+2020610
62Corbin Burnes MILRHP23.54AAA2018620
63Julio Pablo Martinez TEXOF22.13EXT2020--
64Kolby Allard ATLLHP20.74AAA2018662
65Triston McKenzie CLERHP20.77A+ DL201936-29
66Brandon Marsh LAAOF20.39A202111145
67Peter Alonso NYM1B23.42AA201911750
68Josh Naylor SD1B20.88AA2019173105
69Griffin Canning LAARHP21.99A+/AA2019--
70Garrett Hampson COL2B/SS23.58AA201915282
71Cal Quantrill SDRHP23.24AA2019710
72Stephen Gonsalves MINLHP23.83AA/AAA20189523
73Franklin Perez DETRHP20.42AA DL201948-25
74Shane Bieber CLERHP22.94AA/AAA2018176102
75Fernando Romero MINRHP23.37AAA/MLB201810025
76Alec Hansen CHWRHP23.58AA201952-24
77Alex Faedo DETRHP22.49A+201972-5
78Carter Kieboom WASSS20.68A+202075-3
79Yusniel Diaz LADOF21.59AA2019845
80Jose Siri CINOF22.79AA2018800
81Heliot Ramos SFOF18.67A202159-22
82Colton Welker COL3B20.47A+202010220
83Jon Duplantier ARIRHP23.83AA201973-10
84Albert Abreu NYYRHP22.62A+201883-1
85Dylan Cease CHWRHP22.36A+202010318
86Adrian Morejon SDLHP19.20A+202067-19
87Chance Adams NYYRHP23.74AAA201868-19
88Ryan Mountcastle BALSS/3B21.22AA DL201985-3
89Chris Shaw SFOF24.04AAA2018934
90Cristian Pache ATLOF19.47A+2020988
91Leody Taveras TEXOF19.67A+202054-37
92Shed Long CIN2B22.71AA201813846
93Brett Phillips MILOF23.94AAA/MLB2018996
94Blake Rutherford CHWOF21.02A+202012531
95Corey Ray MILOF23.63AA2019961
96Kyle Lewis SEAOF22.82EXT201963-33
97Seuly Matias KCOF19.68A2021--
98Max Fried ATLLHP24.31AA/AAA201886-12
99Matt Manning DETRHP20.28A202082-17
100Keibert Ruiz LADC19.80AA20191011
101Michael Chavis BOS3B22.74SUS201957-44
102Andres Gimenez NYMSS19.68A+202015553
103Danny Jansen TORC23.06AAA201812421
104Anderson Espinoza SDRHP20.16A+20201040
105Jorge Guzman MIARHP22.28A+20201050
106Shane Baz PITRHP18.89EXT20211060
107Adbert Alzolay CHCRHP23.19AAA201812720
108Wander Javier MINSS19.36EXT20211080
109J.D. Davis HOU3B/1B25.03AAA/MLB201816354
110Isan Diaz MIA2B21.95AA201989-21
111Bobby Bradley CLE1B21.94AA201976-35
112Austin Beck OAKOF19.46A20211120
113Zack Collins CHWC23.26AA20191130
114Sandy Alcantara MIARHP22.67AAA20181140
115Nate Pearson TORRHP21.72A+ DL20201150
116Dane Dunning CHWRHP23.38A+/AA201914024
117Jeren Kendall LADOF22.26A+20201225
118Chance Sisco BALC23.21MLB201891-27
119Ronald Guzman TEX1B23.55AAA/MLB2018116-3
120Daulton Varsho ARIC21.85A+202017959
121Jeter Downs CINSS/2B19.78A2021--
122Nick Pratto KC1B19.59A2021118-4
123Beau Burrows DETRHP21.64AA201913916
124Jason Groome BOSLHP19.71A DL202081-43
125Mitchell White LADRHP23.36AA2019120-5
126Adonis Medina PHIRHP21.39A+201914115
127Joey Wentz ATLLHP20.59A+202014215
128Lazaro Armenteros OAKOF18.96EXT20211357
129Andrew Knizner STLC23.26AA201916637
130Yu-Cheng Chang CLESS/3B22.72AAA201814717
131Pavin Smith ARI1B22.26A+201977-54
132Josh Lowe TBOF20.27A+202016937
133D.J. Peters LADOF22.41AA201916734
134Dylan Cozens OF PHIOF23.94AAA201819965
135Daz Cameron DETOF21.31A+2020110-25
136Brent Rooker MINOF23.52AA201979-57
137Khalil Lee KCOF19.87A+202017841
138Erick Fedde WASRHP25.20AAA20181435
139Yadier Alvarez LADRHP22.17AA201988-51
140J.B. Bukauskas HOURHP21.58A DL202094-46
141Domingo Acevedo NYYRHP24.17AA2018121-20
142Daniel Johnson WASOF22.83AA20191453
143Alex Kirilloff MINOF20.50A202015916
144Max Schrock STL2B23.57AAA2018--
145Esteury Ruiz SD2B/3B19.23A2021--
146Kevin Maitan LAASS18.24EXT2021107-39
147Jordan Hicks STLRHP21.67MLB2018--
148Wander Franco TBSS17.19EXT20221480
149Jeisson Rosario SDOF18.54A2021--
150Adam Haseley PHIOF22.07A+202092-58
151Carson Kelly STLC23.82AAA2018123-28
152Cole Tucker PITSS21.85AA2019130-22
153Jhailyn Ortiz PHIOF19.47A2020126-27
154Touki Toussaint ATLRHP21.88AA20191584
155Brusdar Graterol MINRHP19.70A202119843
156Domingo German NYYRHP25.76MLB2018--
157James Kaprielian OAKRHP24.18A+ DL20191570
158Tony Santillan CINRHP21.06A+2020--
159Jalen Beeks BOSLHP24.83AAA2018--
160Luis Ortiz MILRHP22.63AA2019153-7
161Dennis Santana LADRHP22.07AA2018--
162Akil Baddoo MINOF19.73A2021161-1
163Sean Murphy OAKC23.58AA2019--
164Evan White SEA1B22.03A+2019137-27
165Austin Allen SDC24.31AA2019--
166Christian Arroyo TB3B22.94AAA2018132-34
167Isaac Paredes DETSS19.22A+2020--
168Tyler Stephenson CINC21.73A+2020--
169Bubba Thompson TEXOF19.91EXT2021160-9
170Jonathan Loaisiga NYYRHP23.52A+/AA2019--
171Corbin Martin HOURHP22.36A+/AA2019--
172Bryse Wilson ATLRHP20.38A+2020--
173Hunter Harvey BALRHP23.41AA2018171-2
174Connor Wong LADC21.97A+2020--
175Nick Solak TB2B/OF23.33AA201918611
176Edwin Rios LAD1B/3B24.05EXT20191804
177Hudson Potts SD3B19.53A+2020--
178Jaime Barria LAARHP21.81AAA/MLB2018--
179Lucas Erceg MIL3B23.02AA2019164-15
180Dakota Hudson STLRHP23.65AAA20181822
181Sheldon Neuse OAK3B23.41AAA2019136-45
182T.J. Zeuch TORRHP22.77A+20191831
183Logan Allen SDLHP20.96AA20191918
184Adolis Garcia STLOF25.18AAA20191851
185Cedric Mullins BALOF23.60AA20191938
186Roman Quinn PHIOF24.98AAA2018--
187Micker Adolfo CHWOF21.66A+2018--
188Franmil Reyes SDOF22.84AAA2018--
189David Paulino HOURHP24.26AAA20181923
190Myles Straw HOUOF23.56AA2019--
191Darick Hall PHI1B22.79A+2020--
192LaMonte Wade MINOF24.35AA2019--
193M.J. Melendez KCC19.44A2022--
194Mauricio Dubon MILSS/2B23.80AAA2018--
195Brandon Lowe TB2B/OF23.84AA2019--
196Sean Reid-Foley TORRHP22.69AA2019--
197Kyle Muller ATLLHP20.59A2020--
198Rylan Bannon LAD3B/2B22.04A+2020--
199Austin Slater SFOF25.40AAA/MLB2018--
200Riley Pint COLRHP20.51A2020129-71

Notable Changes

Graduates

With over 130 at-bats in the majors, the following prospects exceeded MLB rookie limits.

  • Lewis Brinson, OF, Miami Marlins
  • J.P. Crawford, SS, Philadelphia Phillies
  • Jesse Winker, OF, Cincinnati Reds
  • Jorge Alfaro, C, Philadelphia Phillies
  • Brian Anderson, 3B, Miami Marlins
  • Colin Moran, 3B, Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Franchy Cordero, OF, San Diego Padres
  • Harrison Bader, OF, St. Louis Cardinals

Projected June Graduates

Based on projected playing time, the following prospects likely will exceed MLB rookie limits by June.

  • Shohei Ohtani, RHP/DH, Los Angeles Angels
  • Walker Buehler, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Scott Kingery, 2B, Philadelphia Phillies
  • Jack Flaherty, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals
  • Miguel Andujar, 3B, New York Yankees
  • Chance Sisco, C, Baltimore Orioles
  • Brett Phillips, OF, Milwaukee Brewers
  • Joey Lucchesi, LHP, San Diego Padres

Honorable Mentions

Numerous prospects were in consideration for inclusion in the top 200, including each of the following prospects.

  • Catcher: Tom Murphy, Colorado Rockies; Ronaldo Hernandez, Tampa Bay Rays
  • First Base: Daniel Vogelbach, Seattle Mariners; Cavan Biggio, Toronto Blue Jays
  • Second Base: Kevin Kramer, Pittsburgh Pirates; Eguy Rosario, San Diego Padres
  • Third Base: Jake Burger, Chicago White Sox; Nolan Jones, Cleveland Indians
  • Shortstop: Jasrado Chisholm, Arizona Diamondbacks; Kevin Smith, Toronto Blue Jays
  • Outfield: Cal Mitchell, Pittsburgh Pirates; Marcus Wilson, Arizona Diamondbacks; Justin Williams, Tampa Bay Rays; Forrest Wall, Colorado Rockies; Conner Capel, Cleveland Indians; Luis Alexander Basabe, Chicago White Sox
  • Pitcher: Braxton Garrett, Miami Marlins; Trevor Stephan, New York Yankees; Enyel De Los Santos, Philadelphia Phillies; Tyler Beede, San Francisco Giants; Eric Lauer, San Diego Padres; Franklyn Kilome, Philadelphia Phillies; David Peterson, New York Mets; A.J. Minter, Atlanta Braves; Zac Lowther, Baltimore Orioles; Hans Crouse, Texas Rangers; Aaron Civale, Cleveland Indians; Chris Paddack, San Diego Padres; Keury Mella, Cincinnati Reds; Caleb Ferguson, Los Angeles Dodgers

Notable Additions

 The following prospects have entered the top 150 after being unranked in the initial top 200.

  • Julio Pablo Martinez, OF, Texas Rangers
  • Griffin Canning, RHP, Los Angeles Angels
  • Seuly Matias, OF, Kansas City Royals
  • Jeter Downs, SS/2B, Cincinnati Reds
  • Max Schrock, 2B, St. Louis Cardinals
  • Esteury Ruiz, 2B/3B, San Diego Padres
  • Jordan Hicks, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals
  • Jeisson Rosario, OF, San Diego Padres

Notable Drop Outs

 Other than the graduates (above), the following prospects in the top 175 fell completely out of the top 200 due to under-performance or injury.

  • Mickey Moniak, OF, Philadelphia Phillies
  • Starling Heredia, OF, Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Tristen Lutz, OF, Milwaukee Brewers
  • Nolan Jones, 3B, Cleveland Indians
  • Seth Romero, LHP, Washington Nationals
  • Ryan Vilade, SS, Colorado Rockies
  • Braxton Garrett, LHP, Miami Marlins
  • Aramis Ademan, SS, Chicago Cubs
  • Garrett Whitley, OF, Tampa Bay Rays
  • Freicer Perez, RHP, New York Yankees
  • Franklyn Kilome, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies
  • Marcus Wilson, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks
  • David Peterson, RHP, New York Mets

Please feel free to post comments, questions, or your own observations!

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The Author

Jesse Roche

Jesse Roche

Jesse is an attorney, currently residing in Greensboro. An avid fantasy baseball player, Jesse has experience in a diverse range of leagues, including head-to-head, rotisserie, points, and simulation. Jesse is a five-time website-wide champion at Benchwarmer Baseball and a repeat champion of a dynasty league with John Sickels at Minor League Ball. With a specific interest in baseball prospects, Jesse plans to provide in-depth analysis of up-and-coming stars accessible to all league sizes and types.

18 Comments

  1. […] 2018 Baseball Prospect Rankings: TheDynastyGuru.com updates their rankings of the top 200 fantasy prospects. […]

  2. Tony
    May 8, 2018 at 8:00 am

    Nice list. Juan Soto will be a top 5 prospect by seasons end if he keeps this up!

    How do you see Yordan Alvarez fitting on an already stacked Houston team? Especially when you consider Tucker will be up too.

    Any reason why you have Luis Urias so low? He probably has one of the best bats in the minors and profiles very similarly to Ozzie Albies…..with similar power (Albies is not a 40 homerun hitter) and a better average/on base.

    • May 8, 2018 at 9:44 am

      Yordan Alvarez is surprisingly athletic given his size (already listed at 6’5″ 225 at just 20 years old) and can competently play left field. The Astros actually have a lot of current questions in both their OF and at 1B (where Alvarez can also play and likely will be his position long-term). Other than Springer, Reddick is only signed through 2020 and Marisnick/Fisher inspire no confidence. However, Tucker likely will occupy one spot and an OF of Springer, Tucker, and Alvarez does not provide ideal range.

      Instead, I anticipate Alvarez entering the picture at 1B as soon as 2019. Gurriel is a free agent after 2020 (like Reddick) and is already 34, while Gattis and Marwin Gonzalez are free agents after this year. It makes sense to push Gurriel to DH to keep him fresh.

      In this updated top 200, I moved Urias up 8 spots from 60 to 52. Thus far, he is performing well in Triple-A. Even though his hit tool is excellent (my fantasy grade is 65), his power is extremely limited (40). Players like Urias are finding a lot of success lately in the majors getting to far more power than anyone imagined or predicted. It is far too optimistic to believe he will run into 15+ home run power for the first time ever in the majors. It could happen, but I would not bet on it. Further, I do not believe Albies is a good comparison for anyone (I believe Kiley McDaniel said he is incredibly unique). With that said, an elite hit tool, modest power, and no speed does not make for a great fantasy player, and his ranking reflects that. In non-fantasy rankings, I would expect Urias to rank quite highly.

      Thanks for the comment/questions!

  3. May 8, 2018 at 11:18 am

    After getting hit by a comebacker in his season debut on Monday, Nate Pearson suffered a non-displaced fracture of the ulna bone in his pitching arm and will be re-evaluated in four to six weeks. This injury is not quite as concerning as the dreaded “forearm soreness” suffered by McKenzie and Hansen, but it will cause Pearson to fall a bit.

  4. May 8, 2018 at 3:46 pm

    In further injury news, Mauricio Dubon tore his ACL on Saturday and is out for the year. Obviously, this injury drops Dubon from the Top 200.

    Cal Mitchell, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates replaces Dubon in the Top 200 at #200. All other prospects behind Dubon move up 1 spot.

  5. May 8, 2018 at 6:55 pm

    I’m a huge fan of Brent Honeywell, but am scratching my head as to how he’s rising while recovering from surgery that will sideline him all year.

    • May 8, 2018 at 7:03 pm

      His current ranking represents a self-correction. I was too reactionary to his injury and dropped him farther than I should have.

  6. Steve
    May 8, 2018 at 8:42 pm

    No Freddy Peralta in the top 200? Has had some great outings even in the PCL and has had great K numbers. Is that an oversight or is it because you don’t see him as a starter? Still seems he should be ranked over other guys.

    • May 8, 2018 at 9:04 pm

      I like Freddy Peralta and he has been strong in an extremely difficult pitching environment (Triple-A Colorado Springs). My issue with him is his poor command and control (regularly 11+% walk percentage), wild delivery, and small size (5’11”). I do not buy him as a starter, though he could follow Hader in the multi-inning relief role.

      • Steve
        May 8, 2018 at 9:27 pm

        Fair enough. Fantasy-wise I’d still rather own him than Sheldon Neuse who looks terrible this year after one good season in AA. (I own them both in a deep prospect league where Holds is a cat so even high upside RP is fine with me). Thanks for the great list though. Going to go add Loaisiga and Austin Allen

  7. NameLeftBlank
    May 8, 2018 at 11:36 pm

    Framill Reyes?

    • May 9, 2018 at 7:34 am

      Franmil Reyes is a big (6’5″ and 240 pounds) and powerful corner outfielder for the Padres. Last year, he led Double-A Texas League in home runs (25), while hitting .258/.322/.464 (I was actually able to witness one of those home runs live last year). Despite his performance, he was eligible for the Rule-5 Draft and no team selected him. This year, Reyes moved to Triple-A, where he is presently the hottest hitter in the Minors. Over the last 8 games, he is 20 for 30 with 4 doubles and 8 home runs, raising his season line to .353/.435/.748 and 13 home runs. Meanwhile, at just 22 years old, he is one of the youngest players in Triple-A Pacific Coast League. On the downside, and the reason most overlook Reyes, he is a poor fielder and below-average athlete. However, his plus power, improving hit tool, and eye-popping performance at the highest level in the Minors elevate him into the Top 200.

  8. May 9, 2018 at 12:13 pm

    Upon request, and moving forward, I will provide the approximate ranking of each graduate:

    Lewis Brinson, OF, Miami Marlins: hit tool decreases from 50 to 45, dropping him from 14 to 39 (between Adell and Flaherty)
    J.P. Crawford, SS, Philadelphia Phillies: hit tool decreases from 60 to 55, dropping him from 41 to 65 (between Allard and McKenzie)
    Jesse Winker, OF, Cincinnati Reds: risk decreases, moving him from 69 to 37 (between Gore and Wright)
    Brian Anderson, 3B, Miami Marlins: value is static (approx 133)
    Colin Moran, 3B, Pittsburgh Pirates: value is static (approx 134)
    Franchy Cordero, OF, San Diego Padres: power tool increases from 50 to 55 and risk decreases, moving him from 146 to 66 (between McKenzie and Marsh)
    Harrison Bader, OF, St. Louis Cardinals: value is static (approx 131)

  9. Erli
    May 14, 2018 at 7:08 pm

    You forgot to put Jorge Alfaro in the graduates list

    • May 14, 2018 at 7:33 pm

      Correct! Fixed.

  10. May 18, 2018 at 3:43 pm

    Leody Taveras fell from 37 spots from 54 in March to 91 in May. Here is why:

    In March, I was on the fence about his fantasy game power (40/45). After two months of reflection, including a month of performance, I am no longer buying 45 fantasy game power (15-20 HR) as he has displayed very little power thus far, hits tons of grounders, has a 5-6% HR/FB rate, and more recent reports from FG and others give him max 45 game power. He is still an excellent real-life prospect due to superb range and defense in CF, an above-average future hit tool, and plus speed. I am not as enamored with such a prospect in fantasy.

    Part of the reason for this updated ranking is to correct some slight missteps with the March ranking. Taveras was one of several. I do not anticipate nearly as much movement in the June update.

    Finally, please note tiers at 1-16, 17-48, 49-96, 97-144, 145-192, and 193-200. This last tier actually includes tons of players, and I just choose my favorite 8.

  11. Tim
    May 20, 2018 at 9:59 pm

    Thoughts on Mason Martin of the Pirates? Didn’t make the 200, or even the considerations list, but I am kind of excited about this kid.

    • May 21, 2018 at 8:48 am

      Mason Martin is still quite far from cracking the Top 200. Although he had a strong April (.262/.361/.476) in Low-A, it came with 30 strikeouts in just 24 games. He is also a below-average athlete with very little projection, standing at a listed 6’0″ and 201 pounds. Limited to first base, he has been pretty atrocious defensively thus far, though some can be forgiven as he is just 18 years old in Low-A. Meanwhile, in May, Martin has struggled, with just 2 hits in his last 29 at-bats. As a first base prospect with even less defensive projection than others due to his height, his bat will need to carry him, and a 33.3% strikeout rate and 15.9% swinging strikes will not cut it. Of course, he is one of the youngest players in the South Atlantic League so we can provide him some slack. However, he is far away with high risk and limited upside.

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