Dynasty DynamicsThe Dynasty Guru Experts League

TDGX2 Draft Recap

The following is an overview of The Dynasty Guru Experts League (Volume II) initial draft. This is a 20 team, 5×5 league that utilizes OPS and SV+HLD instead of AVG and SV. We thought it might be good to put our money where our mouth is and have a league that can serve as a sort of avatar for our readers’ most common set-up (even if 20 teams is a little deep).

This is, obviously, a dynasty league. So in order to effectively and fairly determine draft order, we dusted off the Invisible Hand method. The TL;DR version is that our guys bid a certain number of keepers in order to secure specific draft slots. For example, Brady Childs has the first overall pick, but he has to cut 29 (!) guys from his roster next offseason.

We’ve previously covered in-depth strategy for the first and second rounds- take a look here. Rather than put ourselves (and y’all) through all that for 38 more rounds, we thought it would be interesting to do a wrap-up analysis. Each owner has written up which of their picks they’re most happy with, which one they’re least happy with, and which pick someone else made that they like the most.

Without further ado, let’s dive in!

Brady Childs

Best pick I made- Nick Senzel, 3B, CIN (5.1, 81)
I’m wary to call someone a “steal” in the fifth round, but Senzel was one of my top targets heading into the draft. The best case scenario that I laid out for myself was to take Robles, Torres, and Senzel, and I was able to snag all of them. Senzel has everything you want in a dynasty prospect: youth, excellent minor league track record, proximity to the majors, the ability to hit for average, hit for power, and to stick at his position. It’s not hard to envision Senzel being a top five 3B for the next decade.

Worst pick I made – SP Zack Greinke, SP, ARI (6.20, 120)
Greinke had fallen far past where I thought his true value pegged him. What I didn’t take into account was the current strategy of my team: Forrest Whitley was RIGHT THERE to be taken and I whiffed. There’s no doubt in my mind that Greinke will be great for me this year, but I don’t need an ace this year. I needed talent with a longer window of upside.

Best pick someone else madeJesse Winker, OF, CIN (11.2, 202) (made by Ryne Alber)
A litany of names bounced around in my head while I was on the clock for my eleventh round pick. Winker was the runner-up behind A.J. Puk and Dylan Bundy (who I sniped from Ben Diamond because he had run his mouth off air during podcast recording about how much he liked him.) Karma came back to bite me because two picks later, Ryne picked Winker. Throughout the minors, Winker has shown more hit tool than power, despite showing plus raw power in batting practice. During his debut, he hit seven homers in 137 plate appearances. Over the past year and a half, we’ve seen a multitude of players with similar profiles get called up, hit for mysterious power, and keep these gains. I have no empirical evidence that Winker will do the same, but I have reason to believe the power is legit, at least until MLB stops (allegedly) juicing the ball.

Mike Tanner

Best pick I made- Josh Hader, SP, MIL (13.12, 252)
If Hader were still in the minors, his talent would have gotten him drafted four-to-six rounds earlier than where I grabbed him. I do believe he will start for the Brewers in 2019, but he may just be more valuable as a long reliever with a low 2-ERA and a ridiculous 12 strikeout-per-nine in a league that awards saves and holds.

Worst pick I made- Keone Kela, RP, TEX (21.2, 402)
This is nothing to do with the player, a 24-year-old flamethrower, and everything to do with misreading the room. I studied Kela more as the pick approached, and I determined I would have a closer in 2018 and years to come. But with several established closers still on the board and a draft room that didn’t value relief pitching, I could have probably still landed Kela 8-12 rounds later.

Best pick someone else made- Edwin Encarnacion, 1B, CLE (5.18, 98) (made by Jake Deveraux)
It is pretty clear that Jake came to the draft with a clear strategy, and while many tried to draft to compete now and build a roster that wouldn’t be a complete mess later, Jake drafted to win in 2018 and sprinkled in a few nice prospects here and there. I would be surprised if he wasn’t the favorite to win in 2018 and 2019.

Ian Hudson

Best pick I made- Roberto Osuna, RP, TOR (6.6, 106)
This is a full dynasty league that counts saves and holds. Roberto Osuna could be producing in one of those two categories for the next two decades (shouts to Fernando Rodney, still with a job at 41). He’s 23 and already the second-best reliever in the game. He’s very young and very good, is what I’m saying.

Worst pick I made- Corey Dickerson, OF, PIT (15.3, 283)
At the time of the pick (late January), I was taking my favorite team’s all-star, a guy who put up a first-half wRC+ of 135 and who was a steal in the 15th round. But now I’m stuck with a guy who can’t lay off of pitches outside of the zone and was so bad over the second half (85 wRC+) that he was designated for assignment (according to the official story, anyway).

Best pick someone else made- Lucas Giolito, SP, CHW (9.4, 164) (made by Keaton O. DeRocher)
Color me a believer in Keaton’s #analysis at The Triple Play: Chicago White Sox but I think he’s figured it out and will start delivering on his sky-high expectations. That represents pretty good value in the ninth round.

Keaton O. DeRocher

Best pick I made- Joe Panik, 2B, SF (19.4, 364)

He’s as safe as safe can be. He’s not going to wow you in any particular category, but he isn’t going to hurt you in any either. He’ll contribute to OBP in a major way and he’ll drop in on every other category. For this late, he was a great value pick.

Worst pick I made- Bradley Zimmer, OF, CLE (7.4, 124)

I wrote about Zimmer in the Triple Play for Cleveland and he has the potential to be a very solid player, but he has a lot of work to do before he gets there. For the number of things that have to go right, this was a reach.

Best pick someone else made- Eddie Rosario, OF, MIN (9.3, 163) (made by Ian Hudson)

I’m surprised Rosario was still on the board in the 9th. He’s 26 and really improved his batted ball profile last year. He kept hitting the ball hard but had a huge uptick in fly ball rate, which lead to a bunch of homers. I think he keeps trending up.

Jesse Roche

Best pick I made- Brent Rooker, OF, MIN (25.5, 485) and Jose Siri, OF, CIN (26.16, 516)
Two picks for the price of one write up! Rooker and Siri rank back-to-back, 79 and 80, in my top 200 fantasy prospects. During the draft, they fell to 133rd and 146th of prospects selected. Both carry immense upside. Rooker hit 41 home runs between college and his debut, including 11 home runs in just 40 games in the pitcher-friendly Florida State League. With his huge power does come contact concerns, but he is a potential elite power hitter. Siri, meanwhile, is tooled up with an athletic, lean build, plus bat speed, tremendous raw power, and great speed. Last year, he went 20/40, outperforming stud prospect Taylor Trammell. As with Rooker, Siri also has plenty of contact concerns, but the 20/20 or more upside is extremely tantalizing. Also, I love my Michael Conforto pick (4.16, 76) if he fully recovers.

Worst pick I made- Lance McCuller Jr., SP, HOU (5.5, 85)
McCullers is a stud, but he lacks a third pitch and, as such, he rarely throws deep in games. I selected McCullers based on his track record, youth, and potential upside, but his risk is too extreme to justify such a selection, especially with Syndergaard already onboard. Also, I hate my Michael Conforto pick (4.16, 76) if he does not fully recover.

Best pick someone else made- Marcell Ozuna, OF, STL, (3.18, 58) (made by Jake Devereaux)
A 27-year-old outfielder who slashed .312/.376/.548 with 37 home runs fell all the way to 58th overall. Incredible. I understand the concerns over whether or not he can replicate his performance, but I buy it.

Kazuto Yamazaki

Best pick I made- David Price, SP, BOS (11.6, 206)
Even on the wrong side of 30 and coming off of a series of arm injuries, David Price has a Cy Young-caliber track record. The risk is unfathomable for sure, but this pick will be the steal of the century if he regains his pre-injury abilities and settles in as an adequate SP2 for the next several years.

Worst pick I made- Brett Phillips, OF, MIL (14.15, 275)
At the time of the pick, Phillips seemed to have a good shot at one of Milwaukee’s outfield positions and the upside to crack the 20/20 mark. Roughly 20 minutes after I made the pick, the Brew Crew landed Christian Yelich, and shortly after that, they inked another first-division outfielder in Lorenzo Cain. All of a sudden, Phillips went from a potential starter to maybe 5th outfielder. Such is life. Not that it was a horrible pick per se, but it was a punch to the gut.

Best pick someone else made- J.D. Davis, 3B, HOU (35.5, 685) (made by Jesse Roche)
Despite being relatively old for a prospect, the 24-year-old has put up well-above-average numbers at every stop in the minors. In his cameo in the major leagues last season (68 PA), Davis showed the ability to annihilate baseballs. His average exit velocity of 97.7 miles-per-hour on fly balls and line drives was good for eighth best among all hitters with at least 30 batted balls tracked.

Patrick Magnus

Best pick I made- Kyle Schwarber, OF, CHC (5.7, 87)
I was a bit torn when this pick came around. I’d been researching quite a few players, and was jostling my queue around. This big boy has shown glimpses of why there once was so much hype, including a dominant second-half showing in 2017. Schwarber felt like the best dominant power/obp option left on the board, and so I scooped up the beefy boy I thought I knew.

Worst pick I made- Parker Bridwell, RP, LAA (32.14, 634)
I legitimately have no recollection of making this pick, nor why it was made.

Best pick someone else made- Rhys Hoskins, 1B, PHI (2.12, 32) (made by Nick Doran)
Two picks before I was going to grab him. If Matt Olson ever breaks up with me, Rhys Hoskins will be there to console me.

Jonathan Merkel

Best pick I made- Mark Vientos, SS, NYM (37.8, 728)

I love digging deep, and this draft really tested me. At this stage, I was looking for one more bat to stash. There did not appear to be much offensive firepower or upside left on the board in the 37th round of our draft, so I did a little digging into 2017 draftees and discovered Mark Vientos. He’s absolutely a late-round flier, but his projectable offensive upside made me feel great about adding him to my minor league roster. He’s younger than most, plays for the Mets and has a long development curve, so there are warts on his profile. Still, it was nice to pull a high-upside, young infielder in a draft where the top-tier rookies went 20 or 30 rounds earlier.

Worst pick I made- Brian Anderson, (22.13, 433)
I really like Anderson as a player. More than that, I love his opportunity with Miami. I think he’s going to play a lot this year, and could surprise some people. Still, he doesn’t have a lot of power and most signs point to him being an average offensive player. That’s not too exciting. I took him here because I do think he’ll be a valuable bench piece this season, and I was feeling a little thin on offense at this stage in the draft. I’d imagine I could probably have passed on him for about four more rounds and taken a higher-upside pitcher like Ian Anderson, Justus Sheffield, or Lucas Sims with this pick. If anything, those guys would probably serve as more attractive trade chips than Anderson ever will.

Best pick someone else made- Entire Pitching Staff (made by Ryne Alber)

I found myself cursing Ryne and Nick Doran’s name the most often throughout the draft. While Nick had the most obscenities thrown his way from a single pick-Rhys Hoskins was supposed to be on my team!-Ryne was extremely obnoxious throughout the draft by drafting a lot of the pitchers I was targeting. Julio Urias (14.9, 269), Joe Musgrove (20.9, 389), German Marquez (23.12, 452), Sean Manaea (16.9, 309) and Michael Feliz (38.9, 749) were all guys I waited just a little too long to snag, and all of them ended up on his team. There are question marks with each of them, but in this format, they look like a solid foundation for a long-term staff.

Nick Doran

Best pick I made- Tyler Chatwood, SP, CHC (22.12, 432)
He has a career 5.25 ERA at home and a career 3.31 ERA on the road. This year he is leaving Coors Field and going to Wrigley Field. That relocation is going to help him a LOT and the loaded Cubs’ offense will translate to boatloads of wins to go with the improved ERA.

Worst pick I made- Evan Gattis (10.12, 192)
I made this pick live on the TDG Podcast on the day we were discussing our Top 40 Catcher Prospect Rankings. I thought it would be cool to have the crew help me decide which catcher to pick live on the air, but in retrospect, I could have waited a few more rounds to take my catcher. There were several good options still available and I bet Gattis (or an equivalent talent) would still have been on the board in the 15th round or even later.

Best pick someone else made- Johnny Cueto, SP, SF (11.18, 218) (made by Jake Devereaux)
Cueto has been an underappreciated pitcher for his entire career. In fact, he’s been one of the top five pitchers in baseball over that period, especially when you factor in that he was pitching in the hitters’ paradise of the Reds’ Great American Ball Park. Cueto should have won the Cy Young Award in both 2012 and 2014. His performance took a big step backward last year, that was likely due to a blister problem that is unlikely to repeat.  This year he should bounce back to being the perennial top 10 pitcher he has been for a decade. Massive steal this late in the draft.

Tom Werner

Best pick I made- Akil Baddoo, OF, MIN (26.11, 511)
Since most owners dove into the healthy 28-and-under MLB pool, I decided to go a different avenue, reaching for high-level prospects and nabbing falling veterans. While the saying is to never scout the stat line, it’s tough not to get excited by Baddoo’s .323/.436/.527 production with 9 SB and more walks than strikeouts in 53 games. He’s a long ways off, but I love procuring power/speed combo players with an idea at the plate late in drafts. Honorable Mentions – Tommy Pham (4.11, 71), Ryan Braun (11.10, 210).

Worst pick I made- Evan Longoria, 3B, SF (14.11, 271)
Have you ever tasted pure cocoa powder? That ingredient makes food delicious but tastes bitter and unpleasant on its own. Longoria is my cocoa powder. I had a need at 3B but I didn’t like making this pick as a standalone, even though his 20 HR production and durability adds value to my team’s recipe. The move to San Francisco certainly doesn’t make me feel better about my choice either. Honorable Mentions – neglecting my MLB pitching staff in lieu of hitting and prospects (two MLB pitchers selected in the first 27 rounds), Yasmany Tomas, (22.11, 431), Asdrubal Cabrera (25.10, 490).

Best pick someone else made- Lorenzo Cain (9.11, 171) (made by EJ Fagan)
Lorenzo Cain was the 45th OF picked in this draft, and that is insane. Like many free agents in early drafts, Cain likely dropped due to uncertainty surrounding his future lineup mates and home park. EJ struck gold here with Cain landing in a primo spot in Milwaukee. You don’t often find this level of five-category goodness this late in 20-team drafts. Honorable Mentions – Marcell Ozuna (3.18, 58) and Jose Abreu (4.3, 63) by Jake Devereaux, Aaron Nola (4.10, 70) by EJ Fagan (best snipe award), Esteury Ruiz (25.19, 499) by Bret Sayre.

EJ Fagan

Best pick I made- Luis Castillo, SP, CIN (6.10, 110)
I love Luis Castillo. By the time the Reds shut him down in September, Castillo was looking like an elite starting pitcher. Statcast put a crazy .253 xwOBA on his debut. He’s the perfect complement to Aaron Nola – young, riskier, and a potential ace.

Worst pick I made- Jorge Alfaro, C, PHI (14.10, 270)
In the middle rounds, I was concerned about the catching position. A few owners had grabbed multiple catchers, causing me to be concerned that I would be stuck below a tier. I considered Yadier Molina, but instead went with the (relatively low-ceiling) young guy in Alfaro. Yadier Molina ended up going 10 (!) rounds later. I reached.

Best pick someone else made- Brendan Rodgers, SS, COL (6.1, 101)
Jim got tons of value with Brendan Rodgers with the first pick of the 6th round. Other prospects in his tier went way earlier, including Gleyber Torres and Fernando Tatis Jr. in the 3rd round, Francisco Mejia in the 4th, and Nick Senzel in the 5th, all of whom I’d rank significantly behind Rodgers.

Ryne Alber

Best pick I made- Jesse Winker, OF, CIN (11.2, 202)
Winker is the pick that begot the most vitriol from my fellow writers during our (very entertaining) draft chat on Slack. He has all the attributes you look for in a sleeper: former top prospect who still is young, great ballpark, performed well in a small sample, and most importantly, has the opportunity for a full season’s worth of at-bats. I love Winker’s approach and am hoping that he is similar to other players who haven’t shown much power until they reached the majors. Even if the ‘juice ball’ goes away, I like Winker’s floor for someone who hasn’t turned 25 yet.

Worst pick I made- Chris Iannetta, C, COL (19.12, 372)
So, not only did I probably reach several rounds for Iannetta, but he also made my fourth catcher selected in my first 19 picks. I fell in love with Iannetta’s home ballpark and got outside of myself because I didn’t realize until midway through the draft that it was an OBP league, so Iannetta’s walk-rate made me plant my flag down hard on him, and after I took Chance Sisco the round before, I panicked and thought he might get taken if I didn’t pop him with my next pick. In reality, I probably could have waited a good 10-15 rounds and he still might have been there.

Best pick someone else made- Wilmer Font, RP, LAD (38.13, 753) (made by Jonathan Merkel)
I have been a fan of Font’s since he was a relief prospect with the Rangers nearly a decade ago. Still considered a “prospect,” the 27-year-old is buried behind several other starters on the Dodgers staff right now. But if you look at the numbers he put up in AAA last year, there is just no way they can keep him buried down there another year. I am betting that he gets the chance to start for either the Dodgers or someone else via a trade. In fantasy, always bet on talent, and I think Font has it in spades. I was hoping to nab him with one of my final picks and Merkel sniped me at the last second. Great pick to close out the draft.

Joseph Pytleski

(as portrayed by Ian Hudson because Joseph didn’t submit his write up to me)

Best pick I made- Jimmy Nelson, SP, MIL (15.9, 289)
I (meaning Ian, because Joseph didn’t submit his write up to me) think that Nelson is an absolute steal this late in the draft. While that injury recover is absolutely a concern with him, he was lights-out when he was on the field. That kind of dominance, even if it’s only for part of the coming year, is hard to find this late in the draft. His value only increases when one remembers this is a dynasty league.

Worst pick I made- Brett Gardner, OF, NYY (15.13, 293)
I (meaning Ian, because Joseph didn’t submit his write up to me) would rather have drafted Blake Parker, and Patrick had no recollection of that pick. Or any number of other guys after him- I’d have rather taken a flier on Shin-soo Choo for cryin’ out loud.

Best pick someone else made- Wander Samuel Franco, SS, TPA (20.18, 398) (made by Ian Hudson)
The top international signee of last year, the Rays smartly snagged him just like Ian smartly snagged him in the 20th round. This part is absolutely written by me, Joseph, and not Ian Hudson. I only submitted this part of my write-up. Also Ian is great and fun and funny and cool and rad and handsome.

Mitch Bannon

Best pick I made- Luiz Gohara, SP, ATL (9.14, 174)
21 Years Old. Left-handed. Throws 97+ MPH. Did I mention he is 21 years old? Luiz Gohara is just one of the many brilliant prospect arms in the Atlanta Braves system, but in Fantasy Baseball he stands head and shoulders above all others. Gohara got a taste of the big leagues last season and struggled, but his peripherals showed he was the same pitcher who had dominated the minor leagues. If you happen to have been in any MiLB fantasy baseball leagues last season, Gohara almost certainly would have won you every league, pitching a beautiful 2.62 ERA and 10.7 K/9 across 123.2 IP. Though nagging preseason injuries and a tough competition for the final few Braves rotation spots could trouble Gohara’s immediate value, I am confident he has top 20 pitcher potential.

Worst pick I made- Jake Lamb, 3B, ARI (6.7, 107)
Unless you drafted Grienke, Godley or Tajuan Walker, humidors suck. Normally a mid-20s player coming off a  .367 OBP, 30 HR season with great counting stats would be in contention for my Best Pick of the Draft, but the context of Lamb’s stats have changed since draft day. Credible research has shown that the inclusion of a humidor at Chase field could reduce total home runs by somewhere between 25-50%, a scary thought for anyone drafting Diamondback hitters. If I could do this pick over I likely would knock Lamb down a couple rounds or two, but if this truly happens to be my Worst pick I’m confident it won’t be too disastrous.

Best pick someone else made- Anthony Alford, OF, TOR (13.1, 241) (made by Brady Childs)
Though Alford may get thrown back into the draft pool next season due to Brady’s bold Invisible Hand strategy, he was still a great pick. Alford was one of the few players I went into this draft certain I wanted to acquire, and one of the even fewer I didn’t end up with. A 23-year-old with 5 HR and 18 SB in less than 300 plate appearances, not to mention a .400+ OBP, doesn’t come around every day. Alford has the praise of nearly every scout and broadcaster affiliated with the Blue Jays and may even get to show what he can do in the big leagues this season.

Eddie Grella

Best pick I made- Carlos Rodon, SP, CHW (13.15, 255)

Rodon hasn’t shown he can be a consistent fantasy asset yet, but at the 255th pick I was extremely happy to be able to take a 25-year-old potential front line starter. Rodon is a lefty who sits in the mid 90s with a devastating slider and an inconsistent changeup (that has the potential to be solid pitch if he can control it more). He has already shown the ability to rack up the strikeouts by averaging over 9 K/9 in each of his first seasons, so if he can limit some of the walks and improve his changeup, he can be a true ace. Obviously these are big ifs, and he has also struggled with injuries recently, but in the 13th round I was excited to take on the risks and welcome Rodon to my team.

Worst pick I made- Mallex Smith, OF, TPA (17.15, 335)

I cringe every time I see that I took Mallex Smith in the 17th round. I took him because I was in desperate need of speed on my team. Seeing that Eduardo Nunez was (and still is) the only player on my team with a 20+ steal season in their career I compulsively sped right into a speed trap here and took Smith. He isn’t that bad, but at this point in his career he’s a large risk in terms of playing time, and realistically only contributes in steals in the new look (bad look) Rays offense. I definitely could have waited many rounds to take Mallex.

Best pick someone else made- Luis Castillo (6.10, 110) (made by EJ Fagan)

I wanted Castillo really badly with my next pick, and I was not happy when I saw he was taken. Castillo has a nice mix of serious heat and stuff and pitched really well for the Reds last year against extremely good hitting teams. He’s also still 25-years-old and has the potential to be an ace for many years.

Ben Diamond/Adam Lawler

Best pick I made- Manuel Margot, OF, SD (6.5, 105)
We took him an entire pick ahead of where he was rated in our top 500. Talk about value! Let’s imagine a world where Margot hit 2 more HR and 3 more SB during his first full season.  Those are reasonable increases for a progressing player. Right?  Well, then Margot is a 15/20 guy. You know how many other MLB players did that in 2017?  Twelve.

Worst pick I made- Ryan Schimpf, 3B, ATL (40.5, 785)
Our little passion pick. Cut by the Rays. He’s fine. We’re fine. Everything’s Fine.

Best pick someone else made- Yasmani Grandal, C, LAD (13.6, 246) (made by Kazuto Yamazaki)
I spent at least a few rounds trying to convince my partner in crime that the Yasmanian Devil was the way to go, but he was snatched up first. Drafted after catchers such as a lottery ticket Alex Jackson and the soon-to-be DH in Evan Gattis, Grandal has easy top-5 upside at the position. Sure, he might not be getting a full share of playing time with Austin Barnes also present, but in a dynasty league I’m willing to take the dive and enjoy the long-term payoff. -Ben

Patrick Brennan

Best pick I made- Jon Lester, SP, CHC (12.04, 224)
If last year was just an outlier compared to the rest of Jon Lester’s recent seasons, then there’s a chance that sixth pitcher I drafted could end up as my best. And I am fairly confident that he is. A surge in BABIP, a noticeable dip in LOB%, and a slight jump in HR/FB hurt Lester in 2017. The xwOBA also points in his favor, coming in at a .300 mark compared to his .326 wOBA.
Worst pick I made- Whit Merrifield, 2B, KC (6.04, 104)
Not going to lie, my Royals bias probably stepped in a bit and convinced me to take Whit Merrifield in the sixth round. If I get 2017 results, awesome. If there’s some regression, then not awesome. And the projections point to regression, as they aren’t buying the small little power surge from him (Steamer projects 12 home runs). At least I have some confidence that this pick doesn’t totally blow up, with the high-floor type of profile that Merrifield has.

Best pick someone else made- Sixto Sanchez, SP, PHI (12.05, 225) (made by Ben Diamond and Adam Lawler)
With me picking right before Ben and Adam at 12.04, I was debating over this one more than any other pick in the draft, trying to decide between Jon Lester and Sixto Sanchez. It ended up being an extremely close decision, but I took Jon Lester hoping that Sixto Sanchez would somehow fall to the next round. Ben and Adam ultimately sniped me though, grabbing one of my favorite pitching prospects with the next pick.

Jake Devereaux

Best pick I made- Yoenis Cespedes, OF, NYM (9.18, 178)
Early on I had identified outfield as a place I wanted to hit early and often. Having just recently finished a 24 team draft before entering this league, I knew just how quickly it thins out. I made the choice to select Andrew McCutchen instead of Cespedes at the end the 7th round viewing him as the safer play in an OBP league. I then chose to back him up with future stud Juan Soto at the beginning of the 8th. I was thinking that there was no way Cespedes would make it back to me and he did. A guy I was considering taking in the 7th round fell to the end of the 9th. I now have the best outfield in the league.

Worst pick I made-Blake Swihart, C, BOS (24.3, 463)
I have irrational love for Swihart, a player who used to be hailed as the next Buster Posey. This league is deep enough that after missing out on the game-changing catchers I was left with some undesirable options. I don’t like to stash minor league catchers because the development curve takes so long. I jumped the gun on an unproven player here when I might have been able to pick him up 10 rounds later. I don’t think anyone else believes.

Best pick someone else madeJose Quintana, SP, CHC (5.16, 96) (made by Ben Diamond and Adam Lawler)
Ben and Adam were able to snag Quintana at the end of the 9th round as the 22nd pitcher off the board. Quintana enjoyed the best K-BB rate of his career last year and has proven ultra-durable over his career. He will enter next year at 29 playing for the best team he has ever been a part of. I had Quintana in my top 10 pitchers; this was an absolute game-changing steal.

Bret Sayre

Best pick I made- Amed Rosario, SS, NYM (8.2, 142)
I’ll be honest, I have no idea why he wasn’t taken 3-4 rounds earlier. He is a future five-category contributor at shortstop and despite the fact that I had taken two already, I couldn’t pass up the chance to add another to the gallery.

Worst pick I made- Koda Glover, RP, WAS (28.2, 542)
The cop-out is to say that it was the Jake Burger pick (Round 17), since he blew out his Achilles and just became a far riskier and further away prospect than I anticipated when I made the pick. However, the real answer is Koda. There were far better options available in the draft pool, and I probably prefer the next 7-8 players I took to Glover. He’s a big-upside potential closer, but it probably won’t be with Washington and it probably won’t be soon.

Best pick someone else made- Kolten Wong, 2B, STL (20.19, 399) (made by Mike Tanner)
No one talks about him, and I’m not really sure why, but there’s no reason why a 27-year-old middle infielder with a first-round draft pedigree coming off a season where he had a .788 OPS should have been avaialble in Round 20. Yet, Kolten Wong was. And Mike Tanner took him. And I should have.

Jim Melichar

Best pick I made-Chase Anderson, SP, MIL (12.1, 221)
ChACE, as we like to refer to him around my Brewer-friend text strands, was fantastic last year. Yup, he got hurt, but damn that change piece looked every bit as dominant as it had for years before he found himself some fastball velocity to go with it. After 220 players were off the board I felt like I cemented a really solid #2 into my rotation.

Worst pick I made- Matt Harvey, SP, NYM (26.1, 501)
Dude, it was Matt Harvey. I’m not even going to bother looking up the round or expounding on this.[Ed. Note- thanks for that, I love extra work ‘cause you’re proving a point] I currently own Matt Harvey and he likely will never pitch again after 2019. I made the pick because I’m always wrong about someone. Might as well be Harvey, who I think is an affable guy and was a great story before TOS.

Best pick someone else made- Jose Siri, OF, CIN (26.16, 516) (made by Jesse Roche)
I love the upside with his bat and I’d honestly forgotten a lot of names (I was going off gut and not really a pre-defined list of any sort). Don’t worry though, I was able to grab Matt Harvey 4 picks later (eyeroll).

The Author

Ian Hudson

Ian Hudson

Ian is an editor for The Dynasty Guru and a bowtie enthusiast. If you guessed one of those things about him you could probably guess the other.

He's also an attorney in Tampa, Florida.

Go Rays.


  1. Confused
    March 7, 2018 at 7:04 pm

    Brady childs gives up 2/3 of his team in the offseason, but regrets taking greinke and instead wishes he went with a prospect? You’re planning for the future when you have 1/3 of a team?

    • March 8, 2018 at 9:49 am

      Going all in for this year was a strategy I considered, but with this being a dynasty league and site, I opted to chase for the best mix of high upside/close proximity talent I could. If I can only keep 11 guys, I want them all to be stars for a long time. I’m confident Greinke will be great for me this year, but I’m less sure for the near future due to his age. In hindsight, it’s great that I didn’t pick Honeywell (less so Whitley), but those two dudes at the time provided a potential longer window of excellence.

  2. Ari
    March 13, 2018 at 11:06 am

    Will you be posting the full draft results?

    • March 13, 2018 at 11:53 am

      Great call- I don’t know why I didn’t think to do that sooner, haha. Full draft results here!

Previous post

Dismissing Concerns about Ohtani

Next post

2018 Top 180 Fantasy Pitching Prospects, Part 3