The Top 500 Dynasty Baseball Players for OBP Leagues, February 2018

Tom Trudeau · February 23, 2018

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Everybody – RANKS, RANKS, RANKS-RANKS-RANKS! Today we go 500 deep, on base flavored. The Dynasty Guru, Bret Sayre, posts his Top 500 later this month so don’t forget to … hey, where are you going? Get back here! Bret may be the dynasty guru, but I am at least a dynasty guru.

I highly recommend comparing these ranks to Bret’s next week, if only to note where the biggest risers are in the OBP format. So much of the dynasty analysis available to us is for standard formats, which is tough for those of us who love to learn from talented dynasty players, but also represents an opportunity to identify under and overvalued assets.

Right off the top you’ll notice that my top 10 features two players who can’t drink legally in the United States slotted ahead of proven young stars such as Mookie Betts, Corey Seager and Manny Machado. As I stated in my piece, “Tank to Win: My Rotowire Dynasty Invitation Draft,” not all top overall dynasty prospects are created equally. Acuna is differentiated, even among special prospects, and he just happens to be coming of age along with another differentiated OBP prospect in Vladimir Guerrero Jr. In my opinion, Acuna is the best dynasty prospect to come along since the two players at the top of this list.

See the complete 2018 Baseball Rankings

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Here they are, folks. Enjoy!

Rank	Player	Pos	Team	Opening Day Age
1	Mike Trout	CF	LAA	26.6
2	Bryce Harper	RF	WAS	25.4
3	Carlos Correa	SS	HOU	23.5
4	Kris Bryant	3B	CHC	26.2
5	Francisco Lindor	SS	CLE	24.4
6	Trea Turner	SS	WAS	24.7
7	Jose Altuve	2B	HOU	27.9
8	Nolan Arenado	3B	COL	27
9	Ronald Acuna	CF	ATL	20.3
10	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3B	TOR	19
11	Corey Seager	SS	LAD	23.9
12	Manny Machado	3B	BAL	25.7
13	Cody Bellinger	1B	LAD	22.7
14	Mookie Betts	RF	BOS	25.5
15	Paul Goldschmidt	1B	ARI	30.5
16	Giancarlo Stanton	RF	NYY	28.4
17	Aaron Judge	RF	NYY	25.9
18	Byron Buxton	CF	MIN	24.3
19	Anthony Rizzo	1B	CHC	28.6
20	Freddie Freeman	1B	ATL	28.5
21	Gary Sanchez	C	NYY	25.3
22	Rhys Hoskins	LF	PHI	25
23	Joey Gallo	3B	TEX	24.4
24	Clayton Kershaw	SP	LAD	30
25	Chris Sale	SP	BOS	29
26	Jose Ramirez	3B	CLE	25.5
27	Victor Robles	RF	WAS	20.9
28	George Springer	CF	HOU	28.5
29	Alex Bregman	3B	HOU	24
30	Andrew Benintendi	LF	BOS	23.7
31	Anthony Rendon	3B	WAS	27.8
32	Miguel Sano	3B	MIN	24.9
33	Yoan Moncada	2B	CHW	22.8
34	Christian Yelich	CF	MIL	26.3
35	Rafael Devers	3B	BOS	21.4
36	J.D. Martinez	RF	ARI	30.6
37	Josh Donaldson	3B	TOR	32.3
38	Joey Votto	1B	CIN	34.5
39	Fernando Tatis	SS	SD	19.2
40	Noah Syndergaard	SP	NYM	25.6
41	Charlie Blackmon	CF	COL	31.7
42	Max Scherzer	SP	WAS	33.7
43	Corey Kluber	SP	CLE	32
44	Stephen Strasburg	SP	WAS	29.7
45	Brendan Rodgers	SS	COL	21.6
46	Ozzie Albies	2B	ATL	21.2
47	Nick Senzel	3B	CIN	22.7
48	Eloy Jimenez	RF	CHW	21.3
49	Marcell Ozuna	OF	STL	27.4
50	Willson Contreras	C	CHC	25.9
51	Luis Severino	SP	NYY	24.1
52	Xander Bogaerts	SS	BOS	25.5
53	Michael Conforto	LF	NYM	25.1
54	Gleyber Torres	SS	NYY	21.3
55	Justin Upton	LF	LAA	30.6
56	Dee Gordon	2B	SEA	29.9
57	Billy Hamilton	CF	CIN	27.6
58	Buster Posey	C	SF	31
59	Carlos Martinez	SP	STL	26.5
60	Wil Myers	1B	SD	27.3
61	Ian Happ	CF	CHC	23.6
62	Trevor Story	SS	COL	25.4
63	Brian Dozier	2B	MIN	30.9
64	Nomar Mazara	RF	TEX	22.9
65	Luis Castillo	SP	CIN	25.3
66	Bradley Zimmer	CF	CLE	25.3
67	Yasiel Puig	RF	LAD	27.3
68	A.J. Pollock	OF	ARI	30.3
69	Shohei Ohtani	SP	LAA	23.7
70	James Paxton	SP	SEA	29.4
71	Craig Kimbrel	RP	BOS	29.8
72	Jacob deGrom	SP	NYM	29.8
73	Chris Archer	SP	TB	29.5
74	Aaron Nola	SP	PHI	24.8
75	Jake Lamb	3B	ARI	27.5
76	Starling Marte	LF	PIT	29.5
77	Andrew McCutchen	CF	SF	31.5
78	Kyle Seager	3B	SEA	30.4
79	Madison Bumgarner	SP	SF	28.7
80	Carlos Carrasco	SP	CLE	31
81	Robbie Ray	SP	ARI	26.5
82	Nick Castellanos	3B	DET	26.1
83	Tommy Pham	LF	STL	30.1
84	Kenley Jansen	RP	LAD	30.5
85	Rougned Odor	2B	TEX	24.1
86	Willie Calhoun	LF	TEX	23.4
87	Greg Bird	1B	NYY	25.4
88	Khris Davis	LF	OAK	30.3
89	Jose Abreu	1B	CHW	31.2
90	Eric Hosmer	1B	KC	28.4
91	Lewis Brinson	CF	MIA	23.9
92	Kyle Tucker	CF	HOU	21.2
93	Bo Bichette	SS	TOR	20.1
94	Jorge Mateo	SS	OAK	22.8
95	Lance McCullers	SP	HOU	24.5
96	Yu Darvish	SP	FA	31.6
97	Zack Greinke	SP	ARI	34.4
98	Jameson Taillon	SP	PIT	26.4
99	Jose Quintana	SP	CHC	29.2
100	Ryan Braun	LF	MIL	34.4
101	Francisco Mejia	C	CLE	22.4
102	Royce Lewis	SS	MIN	18.8
103	Matt Olson	1B	OAK	24
104	Justin Turner	3B	LAD	33.3
105	Robinson Cano	2B	SEA	35.4
106	Yoenis Cespedes	LF	NYM	32.4
107	Dallas Keuchel	SP	HOU	30.2
108	Luis Robert	CF	CHW	20.7
109	Juan Soto	RF	WAS	19.4
110	Nelson Cruz	DH	SEA	37.7
111	Aroldis Chapman	RP	NYY	30.1
112	Kyle Schwarber	LF	CHC	25.1
113	Elvis Andrus	SS	TEX	29.6
114	Jonathan Schoop	2B	BAL	26.4
115	Daniel Murphy	2B	WAS	33
116	Jean Segura	SS	SEA	28
117	Jose Berrios	SP	MIN	23.8
118	Alex Reyes	SP	STL	23.6
119	Manuel Margot	CF	SD	23.5
120	Javier Baez	2B	CHC	25.3
121	Amed Rosario	SS	NYM	22.4
122	Carlos Santana	1B	PHI	32
123	Forrest Whitley	SP	HOU	20.5
124	Brent Honeywell	SP	TB	23
125	Michael Kopech	SP	CHW	21.9
126	Walker Buehler	RP	LAD	23.7
127	Edwin Encarnacion	DH	CLE	35.2
128	Alex Wood	SP	LAD	27.2
129	Justin Smoak	1B	TOR	31.3
130	Edwin Diaz	RP	SEA	24
131	Corey Knebel	RP	MIL	26.3
132	Masahiro Tanaka	SP	NYY	29.4
133	Mike Moustakas	3B	KC	29.5
134	Marcus Stroman	SP	TOR	26.9
135	Gregory Polanco	RF	PIT	26.5
136	Chris Taylor	CF	LAD	27.6
137	David Dahl	LF	COL	24
138	Luke Weaver	SP	STL	24.6
139	Gerrit Cole	SP	HOU	27.6
140	Justin Verlander	SP	HOU	35.1
141	Jon Gray	SP	COL	26.4
142	Kevin Kiermaier	CF	TB	27.9
143	Adam Eaton	CF	WAS	29.3
144	Felipe Rivero	RP	PIT	26.7
145	Garrett Richards	SP	LAA	29.8
146	Sonny Gray	SP	NYY	28.4
147	Blake Snell	SP	TB	25.3
148	Willy Adames	SS	TB	22.6
149	Roberto Osuna	RP	TOR	23.1
150	Mitch Keller	SP	PIT	22
151	Taylor Trammell	LF	CIN	20.5
152	Keston Hiura	2B	MIL	21.7
153	Estevan Florial	CF	NYY	20.3
154	Leody Taveras	CF	TEX	19.6
155	Addison Russell	SS	CHC	24.2
156	Luiz Gohara	SP	ATL	21.7
157	Jon Lester	SP	CHC	34.2
158	David Price	SP	BOS	32.6
159	Ender Inciarte	CF	ATL	27.4
160	Matt Chapman	3B	OAK	24.9
161	Domingo Santana	RF	MIL	25.6
162	Travis Shaw	3B	MIL	28
163	Jesse Winker	RF	CIN	24.6
164	Danny Duffy	SP	KC	29.3
165	Josh Bell	1B	PIT	25.6
166	Adrian Beltre	3B	TEX	39
167	Matt Carpenter	1B	STL	32.3
168	Lorenzo Cain	CF	KC	32
169	Odubel Herrera	CF	PHI	26.2
170	J.T. Realmuto	C	MIA	27
171	Ryan McMahon	1B	COL	23.3
172	Adam Jones	CF	BAL	32.7
173	Jay Bruce	RF	NYM	31
174	Eugenio Suarez	3B	CIN	26.7
175	Miguel Cabrera	1B	DET	34.9
176	Maikel Franco	3B	PHI	25.6
177	Zack Godley	SP	ARI	27.9
178	Michael Fulmer	SP	DET	25
179	Jake Arrieta	SP	CHC	32.1
180	Salvador Perez	C	KC	27.9
181	Kyle Hendricks	SP	CHC	28.3
182	J.P. Crawford	3B	PHI	23.2
183	Steven Souza Jr.	RF	TB	28.9
184	Clint Frazier	LF	NYY	23.6
185	Austin Barnes	C	LAD	28.2
186	Scott Kingery	2B	PHI	23.9
187	Whit Merrifield	2B	KC	29.2
188	Justin Bour	1B	MIA	29.8
189	Trey Mancini	LF	BAL	26
190	Raisel Iglesias	RP	CIN	28.2
191	A.J. Puk	SP	OAK	22.9
192	Carter Kieboom	SS	WAS	20.6
193	Bobby Bradley	1B	CLE	21.8
194	Zack Collins	C	CHW	20.4
195	Dansby Swanson	SS	ATL	24.1
196	Jackie Bradley Jr.	CF	BOS	27.9
197	Ken Giles	RP	HOU	27.5
198	Taijuan Walker	SP	ARI	25.6
199	Didi Gregorius	SS	NYY	28.1
200	Tim Anderson	SS	CHW	24.8
201	Orlando Arcia	SS	MIL	23.6
202	Gio Gonzalez	SP	WAS	32.5
203	Franklin Barreto	SS	OAK	22.1
204	Alex Verdugo	CF	LAD	21.9
205	Anthony Alford	LF	TOR	23.7
206	Aaron Hicks	CF	NYY	28.5
207	Monte Harrison	CF	MIA	22.6
208	Ian Desmond	1B	COL	32.5
209	DJ LeMahieu	2B	COL	29.7
210	Joc Pederson	CF	LAD	25.9
211	Michael Wacha	SP	STL	26.7
212	Brad Hand	RP	SD	28
213	Sixto Sanchez	SP	PHI	19.7
214	MacKenzie Gore	SP	SD	19.1
215	Luis Urias	SS	SD	20.8
216	Austin Riley	3B	ATL	21
217	Jhailyn Ortiz	RF	PHI	19.4
218	Dexter Fowler	CF	STL	32
219	Brandon Belt	1B	SF	29.9
220	Marcus Semien	SS	OAK	27.5
221	Jonathan Villar	2B	MIL	26.9
222	Paul DeJong	SS	STL	24.7
223	Sean Manaea	SP	OAK	26.2
224	Scott Schebler	RF	CIN	27.5
225	Heliot Ramos	CF	SF	18.6
226	Evan Longoria	3B	SF	32.5
227	Jesus Sanchez	LF	TB	20.5
228	Dinelson Lamet	SP	SD	25.7
229	Mitch Haniger	RF	SEA	27.3
230	Trevor Bauer	SP	CLE	27.2
231	Cody Allen	RP	CLE	29.4
232	Aaron Sanchez	SP	TOR	25.7
233	Stephen Piscotty	RF	OAK	27.2
234	Andrelton Simmons	SS	LAA	28.6
235	Eric Thames	1B	MIL	31.4
236	Jake Bauers	LF	TB	22.5
237	Raimel Tapia	RF	COL	24.1
238	Austin Meadows	CF	PIT	22.9
239	Mike Zunino	C	SEA	27
240	Triston McKenzie	SP	CLE	20.7
241	Nick Williams	RF	PHI	24.6
242	Jedd Gyorko	3B	STL	29.5
243	Ketel Marte	SS	ARI	24.5
244	Avisail Garcia	RF	CHW	26.8
245	Ryan Zimmerman	1B	WAS	33.5
246	Shin-Soo Choo	RF	TEX	35.7
247	Max Kepler	RF	MIN	25.1
248	Danny Salazar	SP	CLE	28.2
249	Carlos Rodon	SP	CHW	25.3
250	Hunter Greene	SP	CIN	18.6
251	Raul Mondesi	2B	KC	22.7
252	Kenta Maeda	SP	LAD	30
253	Jimmy Nelson	SP	MIL	28.8
254	Keibert Ruiz	C	LAD	19.7
255	Tyler Glasnow	SP	PIT	24.6
256	Brett Gardner	LF	NYY	34.6
257	Dylan Bundy	SP	BAL	25.4
258	Jordon Adell	LF	LAA	19
259	Kevin Gausman	SP	BAL	27.2
260	Jacob Faria	SP	TB	24.7
261	Eduardo Nunez	3B	BOS	30.8
262	Adam Duvall	LF	CIN	29.6
263	Mike Clevinger	SP	CLE	27.3
264	Evan Gattis	C	HOU	31.6
265	Chris Davis	1B	BAL	32
266	Josh Reddick	RF	HOU	31.1
267	Neil Walker	2B	MIL	32.5
268	Corey Dickerson	LF	TB	28.9
269	Michel Baez	SP	SD	22.2
270	Alec Hansen	SP	CHW	23.5
271	Kolby Allard	SP	ATL	20.6
272	Cole Tucker	SS	PIT	21.7
273	Cristian Pache	CF	ATL	19.4
274	Yulieski Gurriel	1B	HOU	33.8
275	Miguel Andujar	3B	NYY	23.1
276	Tyler O’Neill	LF	STL	22.8
277	Kyle Lewis	CF	SEA	22.7
278	Jahmai Jones	CF	LAA	20.6
279	Wander Javier	SS	MIN	19.2
280	Johnny Cueto	SP	SF	32.1
281	Kyle Wright	SP	ATL	22.5
282	Nick Gordon	SS	MIN	22.4
283	Jason Groome	SP	BOS	19.6
284	Andrew Miller	RP	CLE	32.9
285	Wade Davis	RP	COL	32.6
286	Yadier Alvarez	SP	LAD	22.1
287	Jose Peraza	2B	CIN	23.9
288	Adrian Morejon	SP	SD	19.1
289	Ian Kinsler	2B	LAA	35.8
290	Michael Brantley	LF	CLE	30.9
291	Archie Bradley	RP	ARI	25.6
292	Tim Beckham	SS	BAL	28.2
293	Todd Frazier	3B	NYY	32.1
294	Hanley Ramirez	DH	BOS	34.3
295	Zach Britton	RP	BAL	30.3
296	Jorge Polanco	SS	MIN	24.7
297	David Peralta	RF	ARI	30.6
298	Kole Calhoun	RF	LAA	30.5
299	Brent Rooker	LF	MIN	23.4
300	Isan Diaz	2B	MIA	21.8
301	Yordan Alvarez	LF	HOU	20.8
302	Delino DeShields	LF	TEX	25.6
303	Charlie Morton	SP	HOU	34.4
304	Eduardo Rodriguez	SP	BOS	25
305	Derek Fisher	LF	HOU	24.6
306	Yasmani Grandal	C	LAD	29.4
307	Jason Kipnis	2B	CLE	31
308	Brandon Marsh	RF	LAA	20.3
309	Francis Martes	RP	HOU	22.3
310	Kolten Wong	2B	STL	27.5
311	Brandon Morrow	RP	CHC	33.7
312	Jeurys Familia	RP	NYM	28.5
313	Rich Hill	SP	LAD	38
314	Jeff Samardzija	SP	SF	33.2
315	Mark Melancon	RP	SF	32.8
316	Franklin Perez	SP	DET	20.3
317	Eddie Rosario	LF	MIN	26.5
318	Logan Morrison	1B	TB	30.6
319	Kevin Pillar	CF	TOR	29.2
320	Freudis Nova	SS	HOU	18.2
321	Brett Phillips	CF	MIL	23.8
322	Luis Garcia	2B	WAS	17.9
323	Gabriel Arias	SS	SD	18.1
324	Ryan Vilade	SS	COL	19.1
325	Shane Baz	SP	PIT	18.8
326	Austin Beck	CF	OAK	19.4
327	Yasel Antuna	SS	WAS	18.4
328	Joey Wentz	SP	ATL	20.5
329	Zack Cozart	SS	LAA	32.6
330	Lance Lynn	SP	STL	30.9
331	Justus Sheffield	SP	NYY	21.9
332	Jorge Soler	RF	KC	26.1
333	Aaron Altherr	LF	PHI	27.2
334	Lucas Duda	1B	TB	32.1
335	Corey Ray	CF	MIL	23.5
336	Jose Martinez	LF	STL	29.7
337	Anderson Espinoza	SP	SD	20.1
338	Albert Abreu	SP	NYY	22.5
339	Julio Urias	SP	LAD	21.6
340	Vince Velasquez	SP	PHI	25.8
341	J.A. Happ	SP	TOR	35.4
342	Jordan Montgomery	SP	NYY	25.3
343	Jake Burger	3B	CHW	22
344	Michael Taylor	CF	WAS	27
345	Lucas Giolito	SP	CHW	23.7
346	Mallex Smith	CF	TB	24.9
347	Brendan McKay	1B	TB	22.3
348	Garrett Whitley	LF	TB	21
349	Yusniel Diaz	RF	LAD	21.5
350	Drew Pomeranz	SP	BOS	29.3
351	Marco Estrada	SP	TOR	34.7
352	Shedric Long	2B	CIN	22.6
353	DJ Peters	CF	LAD	22.3
354	Colton Welker	3B	COL	20.5
355	Dustin Pedroia	2B	BOS	34.6
356	Yonder Alonso	1B	CLE	31
357	Alex Colome	RP	TB	29.2
358	Sean Doolittle	RP	WAS	31.5
359	Kelvin Herrera	RP	KC	28.2
360	Blake Treinen	RP	OAK	29.7
361	Josh Naylor	1B	SD	20.8
362	Magneuris Sierra	RF	MIA	22
363	Akil Baddoo	CF	MIN	19.6
364	Michael Soroka	SP	ATL	20.6
365	Greg Holland	RP	FA	32.4
366	Corbin Burnes	SP	MIL	23.4
367	J.B. Bukauskas	SP	HOU	21.5
368	Ryan Mountcastle	SS	BAL	21.1
369	Jurickson Profar	LF	TEX	25.1
370	Alex Jackson	C	ATL	22.3
371	Rick Porcello	SP	BOS	29.3
372	Michael Chavis	3B	BOS	22.6
373	Austin Hays	RF	BAL	22.7
374	Anthony DeSclafani	SP	CIN	27.9
375	Tanner Roark	SP	WAS	31.5
376	Tyler Chatwood	SP	CHC	28.3
377	Yasmany Tomas	LF	ARI	27.4
378	Yu-Cheng Chang	SS	CLE	22.6
379	Nick Pratto	1B	KC	19.5
380	Alex Cobb	SP	TB	30.5
381	Jharel Cotton	SP	OAK	26.2
382	Patrick Corbin	SP	ARI	28.7
383	Dan Straily	SP	MIA	29.3
384	Miles Mikolas	SP	STL	29.6
385	Jorge Bonifacio	RF	KC	24.8
386	Brian Anderson	3B	MIA	24.9
387	Cole Hamels	SP	TEX	34.3
388	Josh Harrison	2B	PIT	30.7
389	Kevin Maitan	SS	ATL	18.1
390	Kendrys Morales	DH	TOR	34.8
391	Matt Harvey	SP	NYM	29
392	Jason Heyward	RF	CHC	28.6
393	Mitch Moreland	1B	BOS	32.6
394	Troy Tulowitzki	SS	TOR	33.5
395	Brad Miller	2B	TB	28.4
396	Brandon Woodruff	SP	MIL	25.1
397	Jon Duplantier	SP	ARI	23.7
398	Scooter Gennett	2B	CIN	27.9
399	Chase Anderson	SP	MIL	30.3
400	Brad Peacock	SP	HOU	30.2
401	Steven Matz	SP	NYM	26.8
402	Julio Teheran	SP	ATL	27.2
403	Cal Quantrill	SP	SD	23.1
404	Teoscar Hernandez	LF	TOR	25.5
405	Marwin Gonzalez	LF	HOU	29
406	Mark Trumbo	DH	BAL	32.2
407	Cesar Hernandez	2B	PHI	27.8
408	Wilmer Flores	3B	NYM	26.6
409	Wilson Ramos	C	TB	30.6
410	Dominic Smith	1B	NYM	22.8
411	Felix Hernandez	SP	SEA	32
412	Jose Siri	CF	CIN	22.7
413	Brandon Crawford	SS	SF	31.2
414	Sean Newcomb	SP	ATL	24.8
415	Dellin Betances	RP	NYY	30
416	Hector Neris	RP	PHI	28.8
417	Christin Stewart	LF	DET	24.3
418	Andres Gimenez	SS	NYM	19.6
419	Tyler Anderson	SP	COL	28.2
420	Arodys Vizcaino	RP	ATL	27.4
421	Pavin Smith	1B	ARI	22.1
422	Jake Odorizzi	SP	TB	28
423	Ian Anderson	SP	ATL	19.9
424	Keon Broxton	CF	MIL	27.9
425	Mike Montgomery	RP	CHC	28.7
426	Logan Forsythe	2B	LAD	31.2
427	Randal Grichuk	LF	STL	26.6
428	Tyler Mahle	SP	CIN	23.5
429	Blake Rutherford	CF	CHW	20.9
430	Esteury Ruiz	2B	SD	19.1
431	Matt Manning	SP	DET	20.2
432	Chance Adams	SP	NYY	23.6
433	Jesus Luzardo	SP	OAK	20.5
434	Andrew Heaney	SP	LAA	26.8
435	Stephen Gonsalves	SP	MIN	23.7
436	Alex Faedo	SP	DET	22.4
437	Tyler Skaggs	SP	LAA	26.7
438	Garrett Hampson	2B	COL	23.5
439	Joe Panik	2B	SF	27.4
440	Joe Ross	SP	WAS	24.9
441	Ervin Santana	SP	MIN	35.3
442	Nolan Jones	3B	CLE	19.9
443	Asdrubal Cabrera	SS	NYM	32.4
444	Cam Bedrosian	RP	LAA	26.5
445	Ronald Guzman	1B	TEX	23.4
446	Harrison Bader	CF	STL	23.8
447	Wilmer Difo	SS	WAS	26
448	Joe Musgrove	RP	PIT	25.3
449	Luis Perdomo	SP	SD	24.9
450	Yadier Molina	C	STL	35.7
451	Jack Flaherty	SP	STL	22.5
452	James Kaprielian	SP	OAK	24.1
453	Jorge Guzman	SP	NYY	22.1
454	Russell Martin	C	TOR	35.1
455	AJ Reed	1B	HOU	24.9
456	Yandy Diaz	3B	CLE	26.6
457	Adam Haseley	CF	PHI	22
458	Lucas Erceg	3B	MIL	22.9
459	Jeisson Rosario	CF	SD	18.4
460	A.J. Minter	RP	ATL	24.6
461	Ke’Bryan Hayes	3B	PIT	21.2
462	Pete Alonso	1B	NYM	23.3
463	Will Benson	RF	CLE	19.8
464	Hyun-Jin Ryu	SP	LAD	31
465	Max Fried	RP	ATL	24.2
466	Nick Pivetta	SP	PHI	25.1
467	Brian McCann	C	HOU	34.1
468	Robinson Chirinos	C	TEX	33.8
469	Tyler Flowers	C	ATL	32.2
470	Welington Castillo	C	CHW	30.9
471	Jed Lowrie	2B	OAK	33.9
472	Mickey Moniak	CF	PHI	19.9
473	Chance Sisco	C	BAL	23.1
474	Tristen Lutz	CF	MIL	19.6
475	Mychal Givens	RP	BAL	27.9
476	Lazaro Armenteros	LF	OAK	18.9
477	Bubba Thompson	CF	TEX	19.8
478	Tirso Ornelas	OF	SD	18
479	Nate Pearson	RP	TOR	21.6
480	Keone Kela	RP	TEX	25
481	Starlin Castro	2B	MIA	28
482	Jeimer Candelario	3B	DET	24.3
483	Josh Hader	RP	MIL	24
484	Dustin Fowler	RF	OAK	23.2
485	Jorge Alfaro	C	PHI	24.8
486	Jonathan Lucroy	C	COL	31.8
487	Seth Romero	SP	WAS	21.9
488	Reynaldo Lopez	SP	CHW	24.2
489	Khalil Lee	OF	KC	19.8
490	Evan White	1B	SEA	21.9
491	Zack Wheeler	SP	NYM	27.8
492	Daulton Varsho	C	ARI	21.7
493	Hunter Harvey	SP	BAL	23.3
494	Jeren Kendall	CF	LAD	22.1
495	Danny Jansen	C	TOR	23
496	Ben Zobrist	2B	CHC	36.8
497	Wander Franco	SS	TB	21.5
498	Daz Cameron	CF	DET	21.2
499	Jeter Downs	SS	CIN	19.7
500	Erick Fedde	SP	WAS	25.1

The Author

Tom Trudeau

47 Comments

JT

February 23, 2018 at 8:32 am

Is Devon Travis a non-starter now?
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 23, 2018 at 9:14 am
  
  I think he’s toast. I owned him last year, so I’m aware of what he can do when he is healthy and gets hot, but I don’t think his knees will allow him to play baseball enough.
Sam

February 23, 2018 at 8:54 am

Tom, you seem like a nice person but this list is pretty bad. Way too many young pups who haven’t done anything. Jorge Mateo in the top 100? Good lord.
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 23, 2018 at 9:24 am
  
  Sam – your criticism is not unfamiliar as I am often the high guy on a lot of younger / unproven players in our internal consensus rankings, too. Here’s what I’d say in bullet point form.
  
  – Last year I couldn’t believe that people wanted to rank Posey and Lucroy ahead of Gary Sanchez. I was told Lucroy was proven and Sanchez was risky. Ditto Trea Turner (his BABIP will regress!) who I wanted to rank ahead of Dozier and Cano last year.
  – There’s risk associated with unproven players, but if you wait until the special kids are proven to be both better and younger, it’s too late, in my experience.
  – To be frank, this is the philosophy I employ when I compete against other industry and TDG writers… and I win, often by a lot, very frequently. (See, I am not that nice after all!)
  
  As for Mateo, specifically – Billy Hamilton is a mediocre or poor real life baseball player who finished 40th overall on the ESPN player rater last year despite missing games and providing value in only two categories. If Mateo becomes a regular, which I believe he will be by end of the year, he’s that as an infielder (only he can actually hit and take a walk). I’ll grant you he is unlikely to be Billy Hamilton-fast.
  - Jack Cecil
    
    February 23, 2018 at 5:33 pm
    
    In the office we used a frame by frame timer on an inside the park homer of Mateos from the year prior, It was 13.7 which would be the fastest inside the park home run ever recorded when compared to statcast data. So it’s very fair to view him as a source of monstrous steal totals in the future, and if you believe he’s making the majors he’ll likely be more impactful than Hamilton already is with the bat. Pair all of that with him being an infielder and his rank doesn’t seem strange at all.
  - Curious
    
    February 25, 2018 at 12:23 pm
    
    Are your “expert” league results posted anywhere? You say you win often (and I don’t doubt that you do), so I’m curious if you have all your results anywhere.
    - Tom Trudeau
      
      February 25, 2018 at 1:12 pm
      
      In nine seasons across two industry leagues I’ve finished first four times, second twice and third once. Just joined a new third one (RDI) this offseason. They’re just regular Cbs leagues so I don’t think you can view results without being in the league.
Sam

February 23, 2018 at 8:56 am

Also, if this is OBP based how the hell is Odor at 85?
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 23, 2018 at 9:26 am
  
  I still have Odor as a (back end) top 50 OBP bat for 2018. Top 50 bats who are as young as Odor is belong in my top 100 dynasty ranks. I totally understand if philosophically you can’t deal with that OBP, but he just had a nightmare season and finished 30/15. I could be convinced he belongs further back on this list if you think he’s more 2017 than 2015/2016 Odor. He’s tough to carry if you don’t have other OBP hogs to prop him up.
mtneer99

February 23, 2018 at 9:04 am

keepers Hader #483 Vizcaino #420 Matz #401 >> drops #290 Brantley #336 Martinez #287 Peraza . I agree with 80% of my roster ranks, but those 6 I’ve got issues with.
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 23, 2018 at 9:33 am
  
  My conviction wanes the deeper the list goes.
  – Hader went 340th(ish) in the Rotowire Dynasty Invitational I participated in, so you’re not alone in that particular opinion. What am I missing? Why should I care about a reliever who slumped in the minors are a starter?
  – Vizcaino I don’t think is long for the role, personally.
  – Matz… surely you can’t blame a dynasty owner for moving on. It’s likely due to the health issues, but I think the talent-when-healthy is overstated. Perhaps like Devon Travis, the arm?
  – I have a life long shoulder injury, so perhaps I should know better than to trust Brantley to stay healthy at all, but I think his talent when healthy has been forgotten too quickly.
  – Jose Martinez was an absolute monster last year when he got a chance to play. Is he a platoon bat? Probably. But also there’s a decent chance he can pop and become this year’s Pham. Bret will be over 100 spots lower on him later this week.
  – I don’t really want to defend Peraza. I own zero shares, but I can’t write off a guy with 47 steals in 800 PA personally.
  - mtneer99
    
    February 23, 2018 at 10:17 am
    
    Thanks I enjoyed your comments, my counter on Peraza is .621 OPS that’s a horrible red flag for me regardless of SBs. It’s more personal faith in Hader’s starter potential, and Matz injury rebound.
    I can’t keep Martinez’s platoon bat, and I’ve lost all hope in Brantley.
Patty

February 23, 2018 at 9:36 am

Acuna and Vlad over Seager, Machado, Betts, Goldschmidt!!!
- Patty
  
  February 23, 2018 at 9:43 am
  
  and the “!!!” weren’t meant to mean, “wow that’s great!” They were more of a, “this can’t be real!”
  
  I think we all know the scouting reports on these young guys….but history is littered with busts- BJ Upton, Jason Heyword, Jesus Montero, Domonic Brown, Matt Wieters, Jay Bruce, Delmon Young.
  
  You may be thinking that these busts were never supposed to be as good as Acuna and Vlad….but they were, it’s astonishing how good their scouting reports were and how they did not even come close to that.
  
  Taking a Vlad or Acuna over Seager, Machado, Betts, Goldschmidt is very risky, and frankly what is the reward? That they MAY become as good as one of those guys? common lol
  - Tom Trudeau
    
    February 23, 2018 at 11:28 am
    
    It’s a perfectly reasonable opinion, but as I stated in this piece, I disagree that *these* top prospects are indistinguishable from the disappointments of yesteryear. Go ahead and look at the performance of those guys when they were Vlad Jr’s and Acuna’s age. The closest was probably Heyward and he still falls short.
    
    I also disagree with the “you’re only hoping X becomes Y!” If Vlad becomes Goldschmidt in terms of performance, then he’s Goldschmidt only 12 years younger. That’s much more valuable than the 30.5 year old version of Goldy.
    
    As good as Seager, Machado and Betts are, they don’t have Vlad’s (.400 OBP) or Acuna’s upside (speed). The closest is Betts, but he doesn’t hit the ball as hard as I need to see from a player to consider them a true superduperstar.
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 23, 2018 at 9:43 am
  
  Hopefully people won’t be yelling that at me for years to come!
  
  Is anyone in a dynasty league where Acuna or Vlad can be had for Goldy? Machado / Betts / Seager I’d believe, but the answer is no in my experience for Acuna and Vlad is more 50/50.
  - Patty
    
    February 23, 2018 at 9:51 am
    
    You mean that in your experience, you would not be able to trade for Acuna or Vlad if you were to offer Machado/Betts/Seager?
    - Tom Trudeau
      
      February 23, 2018 at 10:26 am
      
      Right. For example, I offered two of Sale / Kluber for Acuna in TDGX and was rejected, no counter or willingness to discuss. I offered MadBum and Kluber + for Vlad and was rejected in industry Devil’s Rejects.
      
      They’re godfather offer types-only at this point, basically.
  - Kyle
    
    February 28, 2018 at 9:16 am
    
    Actually trying to work on a deal now. I have Goldy and was trying to work this trade: Goldy and Dee Gordon for Devers, Severino, and Torres. He was on the fence but he also has vlad and seems more open to switching Vlad for Devers in that deal. What do you think I should offer?
    - Tom Trudeau
      
      February 28, 2018 at 9:26 am
      
      I’m much higher on Vlad than Goldy, so if you can swap him in that specific trade seems sensible to me although I don’t know your league’s format. Goldy should have many really good years left, but it’s possible the run of f’awesome years is over with humidor + age taking away some steals. The steals could really crash at any moment without notice.
      - Kyle
        
        March 2, 2018 at 10:20 pm
        
        Just got Vlad amd severino for Goldy. Dynasty with obp format. Feel pretty good about it.
- mtneer99
  
  February 23, 2018 at 10:23 am
  
  yikes!! somehow I missed hell froze over LOL
Steve

February 23, 2018 at 10:10 am

You’d really decline a Machado for Vlad Jr offer straight up if Machado’s owner proposed it to you right now?

I own Vlad Jr and I’m not saying you’re wrong (time will tell, and I hope you’re right)… this definitely makes me re-think his value to my team though.
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 23, 2018 at 10:27 am
  
  If I were a contender, I would probably prefer Machado one for one, but I think Vlad is the better dynasty asset for OBP.
Friday February 23, 2018 - Fantasy Baseball Links - FantasyRundown.com

February 23, 2018 at 10:30 am

[…] 2018 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: TheDynastyGuru.com ranks the top 500 overall players for OBP keeper/dynasty leagues. […]
Fenam

February 23, 2018 at 11:12 am

Tom, I really appreciate the website and all the rankings. I especially appreciate how you all tend to go out on a limb with your rankings. Then, back it up with sound reasoning even though they are opinions.

If I want watered down industry average rankings, I’ll go to fantasypros. I find your site to have the most value though. It helped me net Acuna and Devers last season.

You can count on me to continue donating. Cheers!
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 23, 2018 at 11:20 am
  
  That’s nice of you to say and thank you for the generosity. We do this for the love of the game and to engage with other dynasty nerds!
g2-bb45d87d2cd68ed0853b5dc63355e66e

February 23, 2018 at 1:48 pm

Love it
Cyclops

February 23, 2018 at 2:16 pm

Love the site and your rankings. I’m drafting minor leaguers this weekend and I expect he’ll go early. I just want to confirm your Hays ranking is correct as posted as he looks to be about your 105th ranked prospect. Roche and Sayer have him much higher. I’m more than happy to pass on him, just want to ensure I’m reading you correctly on him.
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 23, 2018 at 3:30 pm
  
  I don’t like him, generally, but surely Bret and Roche would fade him for OBP lesgues. He doesn’t walk. That’s a big deal.
- Jesse Roche
  
  February 23, 2018 at 3:50 pm
  
  I love Austin Hays, but in OBP-leagues, he should drop. He only had a 4.3% walk rate last year. For context, only 7 qualifying hitters walked less in the majors last year. As Bret notes in his rankings, Hays possess Adam Jones upside without the stolen bases. I personally would rank Hays higher than Tom in OBP-leagues; right around Adam Jones actually.
  
  I recently selected Hays at 165 overall in an OBP dynasty draft (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-1m_XF-AhUwFg-O3FzxVsfyAxgSeU3OlNU5egC5hVe0/edit?ts=5a5a9f66#gid=0). Of course, I selected him partially to emphasis my love of him among our fellow writers, but I still value him highly, even in OBP.
Christopher Riley

February 23, 2018 at 3:42 pm

No Foltynewicz but guys like Nick Pivetta and James Kaprelian in there? I can see that a lot of work and thought went into this, and it is a great resource overall. Thanks TT!
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 23, 2018 at 4:39 pm
  
  I stand by that. It’s also consistent with the industry startup (RDI) I participated in where folty went around pick 600.
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 23, 2018 at 5:14 pm
  
  Really like kaprelian, though. Health risk? So is every arm! He’s the cheapest maybe ace I know of.
royalrushmore

February 23, 2018 at 4:48 pm

You have Wander Franco’s age way off. He’s 16.
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 23, 2018 at 5:13 pm
  
  Thanks I’ll try to fix ASAP!
Tom Trudeau

February 23, 2018 at 6:54 pm

If you’re looking for Seuly Matias, he’s an omission and I’d slot him in the 350-400 range.
Steve

February 23, 2018 at 8:41 pm

Is Daniel Murphy’s low rating more due to his knee concerns this year or that he may not sign with the Nats after this year? If the latter hasn’t he proven he’s still an elite hitter at this point? I don’t see him signing into a bad situation
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 23, 2018 at 8:48 pm
  
  I don’t consider low 100’s a low ranking. That’s pretty darn high for a 33-year-old who doesn’t run at all anymore.
  I do think our staff rankings were too high on him. Why is he not even higher? It’s mostly age / lack of steals. Not too worried about his FA status nor his ability to be a really good hitter in the next year or two.
  I don’t expect him to do what he did last year. By day I work for mlb and get to chat with Tango and Mike Petriello about Statcast and Murphy is in for some negative regression.
  
  For that matter, so is Altuve. “He had a career year.” – Petriello, yesterday. I asked him about the massive discrepancy between his xwoba and wOBA. Tango’s latest tweaks xwoba don’t explain that difference… they think it’s luck.
  
  Wow, what an entirely unsolicited tangent! Sorry… couldn’t help it.
Steve

February 23, 2018 at 9:17 pm

Thanks for the reply. Am new to this site and love it so far. Going to donate since it’s important to support great content!

If you guys rank relief pitchers it would be great if you could do a list that includes Holds. I’m in a very deep league with Holds and an IP limit of 1450 so it’s a bit tough to judge. We can only keep 9 and I’m drafting last since I won last year. Keeping Machado/Judge/Gordon/Edwin/Happ/D Murphy/Thor/Robbie Ray/K Jansen but also have Andrew Miller and Arch Bradley who I plan to cut. Loved having Miller last year just don’t see how I can keep him over those guys, but I feel one of my first snake picks (16th/17th) needs to be an elite k/9 setup man and a 2nd closer. Closers go off the board like crazy with our draft starting in the 10th round and the elite guys kept

Sorry for the long post! But yea a RP list with saves and Holds as two individual categories in mind would be cool. And I feel more Roro leagues should use Holds. Adds layer of difficulty since you can’t just nab closers when guys get hurt or lose their jobs
Daro

February 28, 2018 at 3:37 pm

I just traded Domingo Santana for Victor Robles 🙂
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 28, 2018 at 3:43 pm
  
  Well congratulations to you! That’s quite a get, although others like Santana more than I do. I’m worried about his lack of defensive value cutting into PT. Would like him more in the AL.
Jeff

March 3, 2018 at 11:49 am

What are your thoughts on Chris Owings? I was surprised to see that a 34-year-old Jed Lowrie (who went undrafted in my 690-deep OBP dynasty draft this year) made the list but Owings did not. Humidor? Or are you just out on Owings?
- Tom Trudeau
  
  March 6, 2018 at 10:42 pm
  
  I think it’s reasonable criticism and I don’t remember if I consciously omitted him or not, but he probably belongs somewhere at the end of the 400’s with those wheels. On the other hand, I do think this is the last year that he’s relevant and I think it’s fair to say I am out on him. Fast players can beat their xStats, but he hit the ball like Erick Aybar, the park change is very real.
Robert Brady

March 20, 2018 at 10:27 pm

Would you trade Vlad Jr. for Adam Eaton Jr. and pick 1/1 in a 20 team dynasty league H2H points league? Contending this year and Eaton would slot as a reserve OF. Not sure about the strength of the draft (we draft the week after the real draft happens). League uses LF, CF, RF designation. 17 minor slots. I have strong pitching.

Rizzo/Hosmer @ 1B
Machado at 3B
J Upton @ LF
Blackmon @ CF
Harper @ RF

Have Rodgers in minors slot and floated the idea of Rodgers for Eaton & 1/1 and this was the proposal sent to me.
- Tom Trudeau
  
  March 21, 2018 at 6:18 am
  
  Strongly prefer Vlad there.
- Daro
  
  March 21, 2018 at 6:32 am
  
  Dont do it