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The Dynasty Guru’s Top 125 Outfielders, #41-70

It’s been a slow off-season. Like, a really slow off-season. With the hot stove frigid, fantasy baseball players haven’t had many ways to quench their thirst, unless they’ve thrown themselves head-first into football, basketball, or hockey. January and February can be some of the darkest months of the year (figuratively and literally), but fear not, restless readers. The Dynasty Guru is here to the rescue.

While you were celebrating the holidays and ushering in the New Year, our brave group of writers has been ranking, debating, re-ranking, re-debating, and re-re-ranking over 600 players for dynasty leagues. The fruits of our efforts will be filling January, February, and even some of March with the deepest, most thoroughly and painstakingly selected dynasty baseball rankings on the internet. We have top-50s, top-125s, top-200s, top-500s (of course!), and even ultra-deep prospect rankings.

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Without further ado, it’s time to continue our 2018 consensus rankings by looking at the league’s 41-70 outfielders in dynasty leagues, kicking it off with one of the best teenage hitters in the minor leagues.


41) Juan Soto, Washington Nationals (Age: 19, Previous Ranking: NR)

Soto has as many tools as Tim Taylor, but like his fictional counterpart faced unfortunate injuries. 2017 was looking to be the 18-year-old’s breakout season, but ankle and hamate injuries kept him grounded. If he had played the whole season, Soto could’ve been 30 spots higher. The kid is loaded, incredibly advanced for his age, and looks to keep the Nationals’ outfield star-studded long after Harper departs. (Brady Childs)

42) Willie Calhoun, Texas Rangers (Age: 23, Previous Ranking: 26th at 2B)

We don’t rank DH’s, and he had to go somewhere. The Dodgers faced a similar issue with Calhoun and sent him to Texas. The good news is that Calhoun is considered as safe a bet to hit as far as any prospect can be considered “safe”. The dude’s got power to boot and is Major League ready, so enjoy him playing him at a position while you can. (Brady Childs)

43) Austin Hays, Baltimore Orioles (Age: 22, Previous Ranking: NR)

*Chocolate Rain voice* “Austin Haaaays”

Hays blew past the minors, only needing 716 PAs before getting the call. His .329/.365/.593 line across High-A and Double-A has filled many readers with hopes of a future all-star outfielder, right there at your fingertips. Hold your horses, kiddo. Hays is a fine player, but there’s a chance he could get tweened out of a role. The lack of a strong carrying tool might not be an issue for fantasy players, but this type of profile can struggle to find room in a major league lineup. Hays is slated to be the opening day right fielder and will be given a chance to fail. Just don’t expect the minor league numbers to match the Major League production. (Brady Childs)

 44) Ryan Braun, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 33, Previous Ranking: 13)

The 34-year-old (oh goodness does that make me feel old) might be leaving his peak days behind him. The only other years he failed to post a wRC+ over 130 was in 2014 (113) and 2008 (129!). Braun’s been fighting injuries for the past several years, but if it’s beginning to affect his production, this could be the crumbling of the Statue of David Ryan. He still stole 12 bases in 425 PAs last year, but if he’s battling chronic leg injuries, perhaps he’ll quit being so aggressive. He hit below .270 for only the second time in his career and he’s four years older than the last time he hit this kind of slump. Maybe it was just a nagging injury he played through in an attempt to lead Milwaukee to the playoffs and he’ll be back to hitting .290 with 30 homers, but this could also be the beginning of the end of a great career. (Brady Childs)

45) Steven Souza Jr., Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 28, Previous Ranking: 65)

I’ve never been a Steven Souza stan, but I’ll give credit where credit’s due. Two factors collided that allowed him to have his career year: a chance at 600 PAs and an extra shade of power combined to give him 30 home runs. He was 16/20 in stolen bases too, another career high. He’s never learned how to hit Major League pitching the way he toyed with younger pitchers in Hagerstown or approximately aged talent in Harrisburg, and won’t do so unless he cuts down on the 30% whiff rates. Souza turns 29 in April, so we’re likely looking at his peak here. It might not stay for long. (Brady Childs)

46) Bradley Zimmer, Cleveland Indians (Age: 24, Previous Ranking: 51)

Who’s Tyler Naquin? That name isn’t familiar at all… Zimmer’s been a toolshed for a lot of his career, possessing raw power, speed, and great athleticism. His first showing in the Majors wasn’t great, hitting .241 without much power, but his defense will keep him in the lineup and the steals will provide value over a full season, allowing you to start him, hope he cuts down on the strikeouts, and grow into his role as a potential All-Star leadoff man. (Brady Childs)

47) Marwin Gonzalez, Houston Astros (Age: 29, Previous Ranking: NR)

Marwin is an… interesting case. Before this season, he was known as the guy who broke up Yu Darvish’s perfect game, but the 28-year-old quietly grew into a productive utility player before exploding last year. Hitting .303/.377/.530 and leading the team in RBI, Gonzalez was a key cog in the Astros’ World Series run. Gonzalez isn’t a guy that’s going to carry your team, but he’s a well-rounded contributor that should serve as a solid OF3 for the next couple of years. It helps that he’s surrounded by so much talent and has positional flexibility that not only increases in value in fantasy but ensures he’ll stay in the Astros’ lineup. (Brady Childs)

48) Adam Jones, Baltimore Orioles (Age: 31, Previous Ranking: 19)

Jones has been one of the most consistent players in baseball going on a decade now, but he’ll be 32 this season. When the bat speed goes, so does Jones’ fantasy value. Aside from 2015-16, he’s flirted around the .280 mark and has hung around 25-30 homers since 2011, but the speed has been gone for three years. When the bat speed goes south as well, Jones will be unrosterable. We don’t know how long it’ll be until that happens, but Jones could fall quickly. (Brady Childs)

49) Jay Bruce, New York Mets (Age: 30, Previous Ranking: 43)

Bruce just signed a sweetheart deal to return to Queens. His re-signing will, uh… clogs things up a bit. The Mets have five outfielders and only three spots to play them. This isn’t Terry’s team anymore, so there’s no guarantee for a Proven Veteran like Bruce to get playing time. Optimally, Bruce would be deployed as a platoon OF/1B, but the Mets signed the left-handed Adrian Gonzalez, presumably with a promise of playing time with Dom Smith waiting in the wings. Meanwhile, Nimmo and Lagares are slated to be a centerfield platoon. Conforto is the best outfielder they have and needs a place to play! If A-Gon’s done or his back locks up, Bruce could slide over to 1B if they don’t trust Dom. Maybe Callaway values Conforto’s bat so much that he’ll run him out as the regular center fielder? This is all to say that Bruce on this roster *could* be a risky proposition for playing time. For the most part, he’s still Jay Bruce (given 150 games): a .250 average, league average walk rate, and 30 bombs. (Brady Childs)

50) Jesse Winker, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 23, Previous Ranking: 74)

In his first taste of big league action, Winker raked with power not seen since his time in Bakersfield in 2014 (despite what many people will tell you, Bakersfield is not located in California, but on the Moon.) Seven HRs in 137 PA’s, a .231 ISO, and a .298/.375/.529 slash line. This is a little past Voros’ Law territory, but not so far that we can’t cast doubt upon this hot streak of his. However, this isn’t the first time we’ve seen this happen recently. With speculation that the MLB ball is juiced, this toolset of plus hit and plus raw power could finally actualize in the big leagues. If Winker is suddenly a 30 home run guy, it wouldn’t be surprising. And if he is, we might have a fantasy star on our hands. (Brady Childs)

51) Estevan Florial, New York Yankees (Age: 20, Previous Ranking: NR)

Like Soto above, Florial’s got The Tools. He’s got light tower raw power, speed, a projectable body, and youth. Florial entered A-ball at 19 and demolished it (.297/.373/.483), earning him a call-up to High-A. He didn’t stop there, hitting .303/.368/.461 in 87 PA’s to finish the season. Florial’s problem is one many players his age can relate to: professional pitching is really hard to hit. Florial struck out at a 31.9% clip in Low-A and 27.6% rate in High-A. Don’t be fooled by the walk rates, his recognition still has ways to go, but if things go alright, he’s easily rosterable in 12 team leagues due to his speed and power. If it goes great? He could be a superstar in every league. (Brady Childs)

52) Corey Dickerson, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 28, Previous Ranking: 29)

There were questions about whether Dickerson would continue to hit outfield of Coors. He’s no longer hitting .300, but the dude can still go. Dickerson has hit 51 homers since joining Tampa. Tampa’s lineup is… stripped to put it kindly, but Dickerson will only be turning 29 this year and he’ll be facing the Orioles a lot! (Brady Childs)

53) Trey Mancini, Baltimore Orioles (Age: 26, Previous Ranking: NR)

MAMA MANCINI THE MEATBALL LOVER’S MEATBALL

Mama Mancini should be proud. Her little meatball has grown into the prototypical Baltimore corner masher that Dan Duquette fetishizes. He doesn’t belong in the outfield, so enjoy any semblance of production he can give you while the Orioles’ misappropriated roster allows him to. The dude has flashed some previously unseen power, knocking 24 homers in 586 PA’s. Mancini needed power if he was going to be worth a major league roster spot and because of the current environment the game is currently played in, I’m buying every virtually every power outburst until balls stop flying out of the park. But if the average or power goes, there’s not much of a player here. (Brady Childs)

54) Leody Taveras, Texas Rangers (Age: 19, Previous Ranking: NR)

Taveras is a powderkeg of tools that haven’t actualized yet, but the wiry teenager took his aggressive assignment to Hickory head on, hitting .249/.312/.360. The Rangers have been doing this with their top prospects for a very long time, so don’t be dismayed by the numbers. The switch-hitter will get another chance to prove his worth at Hickory, hopefully actualizing the raw power, speed, and hitting ability that he possesses. Taveras could make this ranking look foolish by June of this year. (Brady Childs)

55) Mitch Haniger, Seattle Mariners (Age: 27, Previous Ranking: NR)

A popular sleeper last season after a standout performance in Triple-A, Haniger made a lot of believers look awfully smart. If you couldn’t tell by his astronomical rise to 55th on this outfield year’s list after missing the cut in 2017, the former Diamondback had the breakout many foresaw. While an injury prevented him from reaching the 100-game plateau, he showed intriguing pop in the spacious Safeco by banging 16 home runs in just 96 games. Slashing .282/.352/.491 and chipping in five steals for good measure, Haniger hit like he belonged in the big leagues. He may not have such pretty ratios in 2018, but a full season of at-bats will bump his counting stats; take advantage of last year’s injury-shortened campaign and jump on the bandwagon while there’s still space. (Ben Diamond)

56) Kevin Kiermaier, Tampa Bay Rays (Age: 26, Previous Ranking: 90)

Kiermaier is well known for his extraordinary defense in centerfield but is often overlooked as a fantasy asset. In a 98-game, injury-shortened 2017 season, Kiermaier put forth a surprisingly strong combination of power and speed, hitting 15 home runs and swiping 16 bags. That is a 162-game pace of 24 dingers and 26 stolen bases! I don’t see him consistently hitting 24 home runs in the future because of an inflated 16.7% HR/FB rate last year (compared to his career mark of 11.9%), but he is still capable of having a couple 20 dinger seasons in the future. Injuries have been an issue for Kiermaier, who has played an average of 101.5 games per year over the past two years, but they can mostly be attributed to freak incidents. Batting near the top of the trade-decimated Rays lineup, “The Outlaw” is not going to contribute much in the realm of RBI, but a yearly .260/18/20 line could be attainable for the 27-year-old barring injuries. (Eddie Grella)

57) Monte Harrison, Miami Marlins (Age: 22, Previous Ranking: NR)

One of the four prospects recently traded for Christian Yelich, Harrison has been shooting up rankings lists after an impressive 2017 season in A-Ball The intriguing 22-year-old slashed .272/.350/.481 with 21 home runs and 27 steals in 122 games last year. He then proceeded to build more hype by torching the Arizona Fall League with five home runs and five swiped bags in just 13 games. Harrison’s toolset of power and speed oozes fantasy gold. The question is whether or not he will be able to hit for a serviceable average, as he has had issues with strikeouts (27% strikeout rate in 2017) so far in his minor league career and scouts have said his swing is long. Regardless, Harrison projects as a strong fantasy contributor in power and speed and should be a prospect of interest for dynasty players. (Eddie Grella)

58) Luis Robert, Chicago White Sox (Age: 20, Previous Ranking: NR)

This toolsy Cuban outfield prospect was signed by the White Sox last May for a signing bonus of $26 million. Robert has yet to make his highly anticipated U.S. debut, but tore up the Dominican Summer League last year as a 19-year-old, slashing .310/.491/.536 with three homers and 12 steals in 28 games. There is a lot to like about Robert’s future for White Sox fans and dynasty players: he is a true five-tool player who could provide fantasy owners with 20/20 production for many years. As good as Robert has been, it is important to remember that he has not played in the U.S. and is probably at least a couple of years away from MLB action. While there are some risks involved with young players like Robert, I see him rising to the top 10 on many prospect lists as soon as next year and should be one of the first couple players selected in first-year dynasty drafts this winter. (Eddie Grella)

59) Aaron Hicks, New York Yankees (Age: 27, Previous Ranking: 80)

Aaron Hicks could be a player carrying fantasy teams to the playoffs this year, or he could be on your team’s bench from April onwards. There’s a lot to like about Hicks; he’s coming off his best season yet, smacking 15 home runs and slashing .266/.372/.475 in a little over half a season. He’s also penciled in as the Yankees starting centerfielder this year and could enjoy high levels of production in a loaded lineup; with a chance of him snagging the leadoff spot, he’s a sleeper to lead the league in runs. On top of that, his lefty power stroke plays very well in Yankee Stadium.

However, with all this upside comes a lot of risk. Will we see the pre-injury 2017 Aaron Hicks that absolutely crushed baseballs to a .913 OPS or will post-injury A-A Ron’s struggles and .715 OPS carry over into 2018? To spice things up even more, Jacoby Ellsbury and Clint Frazier are both still around and eager to take Hicks’ job away. If all goes well, Hicks could easily eclipse the 20 home run mark this year and put up great run and RBI totals while adding double-digit steals to the mix. But, the risk inherited with him will be something dynasty owners must consider in their valuations. (Eddie Grella)

60) Max Kepler, Minnesota Twins (Age: 24, Previous Ranking: 63)

Max Kepler’s parents were both professional ballet dancers, and while it’s very hard to imagine their 6’4” son dancing in Swan Lake, he certainly looks at home on the baseball field. The 25-year-old German has nearly two full years of MLB experience under his belt and has shown his ability to hit for power by notching 17 and 19 home runs in these seasons. But, the rest of Kepler’s offensive production has been lacking in his brief career. Kepler has the potential of a perennial .270/25/10 hitter, but any improvements from his current .240/18/6 production are reliant on him figuring out how to hit lefties. Kepler slashed .152/.213/.240 against lefties last year and needs to correct these struggles to fulfill his potential. (Eddie Grella)

61)  Adam Duvall, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 29, Previous Ranking: NR)

If there’s one thing to say about Adam Duvall as a baseball player, it’s that the man can hit dingers. He has yet to have an MLB season where he hits less than 31 home runs, and his minor league statistics also support the cause. Duvall is entering his age-29 season and can be expected to produce at .245/30/100 levels for the somewhat-distant future. The batting average is not ideal, but he makes up for it with his power totals. Often overlooked, Duvall’s consistent, low-risk output of home runs and RBI are extremely valuable from a fantasy perspective. (Eddie Grella)

62) Avisail Garcia, Chicago White Sox (Age: 25, Previous Ranking: 104)

Will his .390 BABIP come back down to earth or will this other-worldly batting luck turn into the Mac and Me sequel we’ve all been eagerly awaiting? (Eddie Grella)

63) Clint Frazier, New York Yankees (Age: 22, Previous Ranking: 57)

Although Frazier’s debut last year was a mixed bag, it seems like he will be a good major league player… at some point. He has good athleticism, power, and a fun, exciting character that most people love (outside of the New York media). Frazier’s hit tool may not be very strong, but he has the chance to become a power-hitting corner outfielder. He burst onto the scene last year after being called up, igniting the Yankees lineup in the two-hole and showing off his skillset. Then he struggled for a bit, strained his oblique, and was set aside for next year. The problem is that “Red Thunder” is now blocked from playing time in left and right field by the likes of Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Judge, and Brett Gardner. Frazier won’t see much playing time this year barring a trade, but there is still a lot to like about the 23-year-old’s future. (Eddie Grella)

64) Ian Desmond, Colorado Rockies (Age: 32, Previous Ranking: NR)

Ian Desmond is 32 and coming off an ugly season filled with injuries and dismal production, but there is strong potential for him to bounce back to his usual 20/20 ways. He is coming into this season healthy and will likely have the starting first base or left field job for the Rockies. The speed was still there last year, as he swiped 15 bags in 95 games. His .274 average last year was also above his career .267 mark. His main issue was that he only hit 7 home runs in 95 games. This can be partially attributed to his uncharacteristically high 3.02 GB/FB ratio. In his career, Desmond had never had a GB/FB ratio greater than 2.06 before last year and averaged 1.68 GB/FB. If Desmond hits closer to his typical number of fly balls in 2018, his power should return, especially at Coors Field. Plus, he gets to hit in the meaty Rockies lineup which will supply him with bountiful runs and RBI. Desmond is a strong bounce-back candidate this year. (Eddie Grella)

65) Alex Verdugo, Los Angeles Dodgers (Age: 21, Previous Ranking: NR)

Verdugo hit .314 as a 21-year-old in Triple-A last year and everything points towards him hitting for a high average in the MLB as well… his hit tool is unquestionably strong. He has a very patient plate approach, seen by the fact that he walked more than he struck out last year, and his smooth lefty swing is a thing of beauty. He does not have a role on the Dodgers right now, but if Logan Forsythe or Chris Taylor get injured or struggle, Verdugo will likely take over in centerfield. The one area of his game that is strongly lacking is power. He only hit six home runs last year but could wind up hitting for decent power at the MLB level if he can improve his batted ball profile ratio. Verdugo is entering his age-22 season and projects to hit for a high average for a long time, making him valuable whether the power is added or not. (Eddie Grella)

66) Heliot Ramos, San Francisco Giants (Age: 18, Previous Ranking: NR)

The Giants drafted Ramos out of Puerto Rico with the 18th pick in the 2017 draft, and he has been steadily climbing up prospect and dynasty rankings ever since. Considering the way he obliterated the Arizona League last year, it’s no wonder why. In 36 games, the youngster slashed .348/.404/.645 with 23 extra base hits, including six homers and 10 stolen bases. His impressive combination of speed and raw power has dynasty owners drooling over his potential future production. At just 18 years old, Ramos still has a long road ahead of him before he makes it to the majors, but his raw talent and solid approach show the makings of a potential star. (Eddie Grella)

67) Taylor Trammell, Cincinnati Reds (Age: 20, Previous Ranking: NR)

Trammell is another intriguing power-speed prospect. Drafted by the Reds as a competitive balance pick in 2016, Trammell’s tools have stood out over his first two minor league seasons. In his first full season last year, Taylor slashed .281/.368/.450 with 13 home runs and 41 stolen bases in 129 games. Oh, and this was as a 19-year-old in A-Ball. Now 20, Trammell is looking to build off last season and continue to improve all around. The hit tool is a bit questionable, but his patient approach (12.4 BB% in 2017) should make up for it in OBP leagues. Only the future can tell us exactly who Trammell will become as a baseball player, but there are currently many positive signs of future dynasty greatness.  (Eddie Grella)

68) Eric Thames, Milwaukee Brewers (Age: 31, Previous Ranking: NR)

Eric Thames was a huge question mark coming into the 2017 season. After hitting 124 home runs in three seasons in the Korean Baseball Organization, Thames returned to the MLB and people had no idea how his stats would translate. Well, now that he has played a full season, we have a decent idea of Thames’ future production levels. While not at his KBO levels, the power is definitely real; Thames hit 31 home runs last year in 138 games. His .247 average was considerably lower than his inflated Korean numbers and it appears that he will not be a high-average hitter in the MLB. However, it is important to consider his 13.6 BB%, which makes him more valuable in OBP leagues. Moving on to speed, his random 40 steal season in Korea seems like a fluke after he stole four bases last year, and it is unreasonable to expect any more than 5-10 steals from Thames in any future seasons. Thames broke out last year as a 30-year-old, so he is quite a bit older than most breakout players, but the power is legit and Thames can be counted on as a considerable power source in dynasty leagues. (Eddie Grella)

69) Delino DeShields Jr., Texas Rangers (Age: 25, Previous Ranking: 86)

DeShields is a 25-year-old speedster who can greatly help dynasty teams in the stolen base department. Steals are becoming more valuable than ever in fantasy baseball as they continue to fade in quantity across major league baseball. DeShields won’t provide considerable value in any categories outside of steals and OBP, but his status as a young player who can steal 25-plus bases a year gives him some fantasy utility. (Eddie Grella)

70) Nick Williams, Philadelphia Phillies (Age: 23, Previous Ranking: 49)

Nick Williams had a solid MLB debut last year, hitting .288 with 12 home runs and 55 RBI in a little over half a season in the big leagues. The hype surrounding Williams peaked before the 2016 season, but after a poor showing in Triple-A that year, he was written off by many. However, it appears that Williams found his previous success last year. He hit 27 home runs in total and proved he could hit high-level pitching. As far as the future is concerned, Williams is just 24 years old and seems like he will be a fixture in the Phillies outfield for many years. I do foresee significant regression in his batting average from last season since he strikes out around 28% of the time and had a .375 BABIP in 2017. Regardless, Williams can be expected to provide dynasty teams with 20-plus home runs each year. (Eddie Grella)

The Author

Ben Diamond

Ben Diamond

Ben is an annoyingly enthusiastic fantasy baseball player and Yankees fan, and he writes about those passions at Baseball Prospectus and The Dynasty Guru. There's a 95% chance he's ranting about Michael Pineda right now.

6 Comments

  1. […] 2018 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: TheDynastyGuru.com continues their rankings of the top 125 outfielders with #41-70. […]

  2. Quinn
    February 12, 2018 at 8:44 am — Reply

    Where would Marwin rank in you SS rankings?

    • Quinn
      February 12, 2018 at 8:45 am — Reply

      your*

  3. ???
    February 12, 2018 at 9:02 am — Reply

    #55 is missing

    • February 12, 2018 at 12:12 pm — Reply

      Good catch! That’s Mr. Mitch Haniger’s spot; he should be listed now.

  4. Jake
    February 18, 2018 at 2:07 pm — Reply

    Just a thought, where is Ramiel Tapia on this list? I feel like with his contact rates and in Coors he could be better than some of these prospects. I don’t believe I saw him in the top 125 even.

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