2017 Dynasty Basketball RankingsbasketballUncategorized

The Top 200 Dynasty Basketball Rankings, October 2017

Everybody – RANKS, RANKS, RANKS-RANKS-RANKS! RANKS, RANKS, RANKS-RANKS-RANKS!

These are my 2017-2018 dynasty rankings for 9 category leagues. I tried to call out when note-worthy tweaks are in order between formats (e.g. H2H vs. roto and 8-cat vs. 9-cat). If you don’t own KAT or Giannis, they’re guys I would be pleased to “buy high” on. It would be really hard to overpay and it may be that the volume and name-value of a package such as LeBron and Cousins is enough to get it done.

If you aren’t using advanced stats yet to supplement your dynasty game, I highly recommend looking at Pelton’s Rookie WARP projections, 538.com’s CARMELO projections and familiarizing yourself with rate stats like assist rate, steal rate and block rate. For example, Nikola Jokic had a superstar-level WARP projection when he fell to the second round a couple of years ago. It’s true that so too did Dante Exum, but Jokic was free and had predictable star upside.

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Rank Player Comment
1 Karl-Anthony Towns No warts, but Giannis wins on upside.
2 Giannis Antetokounmpo If you own LeBron and Cousins types, package them up for Giannis.
3 Kevin Durant Foot injury looms, but unmatched efficiency plus volume trumps some of the younger guys.
4 Nikola Jokic If you aren’t using advanced stats (CARMELO, Pelton WARP) to find undervalued rookies, you may never find the next Jokic.
5 Anthony Davis If you like to live dangerously, he’s worthy of the third spot on this list.
6 Kawhi Leonard Jack of all trades saw an uptick in volume in San Antonio.
7 Stephen Curry Seems to have gotten a handle on his ankle issues.
8 James Harden An ideal lead player for 8-category leagues and punt FG% teams.
9 Russell Westbrook The other ideal lead player for 8-category leagues and punt FG% teams.
10 Kristaps Porzingis The Unicorn should see an uptick in volume and efficiency with Melo gone.
11 Kyrie Irving Will Hayward neuter his usage?
12 Myles Turner An ideal target for rebuilders; name recognition does not match actual production and fantasy upside.
13 DeMarcus Cousins
14 Jimmy Butler
15 Lonzo Ball When draft pedigree agrees this strongly with advanced stats, the results are Anthony Davis and KAT.
16 Markelle Fultz Behind Ball due to lesser WARP projection.
17 Rudy Gobert Punt FT king now has keys to the car in Utah (as much as a D-first center can, though).
18 Chris Paul The best win-now value in 9-category dynasty.
19 LeBron James The best win-now value in 8-category dynasty.
20 John Wall Proven, durable, in-prime. Can be as high as 10 for 8 category leagues.
21 Damian Lillard
22 Draymond Green Few bigs can control dimes, steals and blocks the way Dray does.
23 Paul George You’re splitting hairs between PG and the ten guys ahead of him.
24 Otto Porter Young enough to take a leap forward with his usage; elite efficiency reminds me of early Kawhi days.
25 Kemba Walker Not only did he maintain his efficiency gains from the previous year, he actually improved it even more.
26 C.J. McCollum
27 Ben Simmons An ideal target for rebuilding teams; without the injury I would prefer to Fultz.
28 Bradley Beal I’d be more aggressive were it not for a lengthy track record of durability issues.
29 D’Angelo Russell Like him more in 8-cat leagues, but obviously still optimistic about him as a long-term starter with All-Star upside.
30 Aaron Gordon Should be available for less than this rank.
31 Gordon Hayward Steady, in-prime producer.
32 Devin Booker Top four CARMELO comps: Beal, ‘Melo, KD and Kobe.
33 Hassan Whiteside Must-have for punt FT squads.
34 Andre Drummond Another must-have for punt FT squads.
35 Kyle Lowry Move him if you doubt your ability to win-now.
36 Blake Griffin Unique stats for a big with his playmaking ability.
37 Klay Thompson Unsexy, but you know what you’re getting.
38 Gary Harris Made a big leap with more usage and efficiency. Just turned 23 in September.
39 Mike Conley See Thompson, Klay. Possible durability starts to fade now that he’s into his 30’s.
40 Marcus Smart Another target if you’re in a rebuild; high floor due to the steals.
41 Ricky Rubio I like him more in H2H leagues where you can deploy his extreme skill set to win five categories.
42 Kevin Love Ideal big as part of a punt FG / punt block strategy.
43 Joel Embiid At this price, I’m probably not getting Embiid. Tantalizing talent with Greg Oden in his range of outcomes.
44 Nerlens Noel I’m getting bad vibes from him, but few bigs can control blocks, boards and steals like Noel.
45 Isaiah Thomas I believe we’ve seen the best from Thomas already.
46 Josh Jackson My third favorite rookie, but the gap is razor thin between him and Tatum in terms of long-term upside.
47 Andrew Wiggins I still really like Wiggins, but he might be Rudy Gay without the steals and blocks, which caps his fantasy upside.
48 DeAndre Jordan Fade in roto leagues; dominant punt FT own.
49 Victor Oladipo Oladipo may have maxed out, but he’s in line for an uptick in usage in Indiana.
50 Marc Gasol Still a sweet big for contenders. Skill set should age well, but don’t sit on him if you can’t win now.
51 Eric Bledsoe The first of three solid, mid-20’s guards with some warts.
52 DeMar DeRozan I’d sell to someone who might not notice the meh steals and threes.
53 Jrue Holiday Some may have soured on him; good target for a contender’s first round pick.
54 Jamal Murray Sketchy defensive stats and efficiency, but he came on late and won’t turn 21 until February, 2018.
55 Khris Middleton Not a brand name, but proven fantasy contributor, including sweet steals.
56 Brook Lopez Rare FT touch from a big. I’d sell before another foot injury pops up.
57 Jabari Parker Should steadily increase in value as he recovers from his injury.
58 Robert Covington Tough to get a read on his playing time, but holy steals, threes and blocks!
59 Jayson Tatum Where will the usage come from in Boston? Still… draft talent in dynasty.
60 Malcolm Brogdon Somewhat sketched out by 2nd round pedigree, but he’s legit.
61 Marquese Chriss Impressive debut for a teenager, but still a wide range of outcomes for Chriss (e.g. CARMELO comps include Giannis and Johan Petro).
62 Jonathan Isaac An advanced-stats darling; I saw him slip to nine in a rookie draft, which is a mistake IMO.
63 Tobias Harris Boring, steady, mid-20’s contributor.
64 Al Horford Never really relied on athleticism or quickness to put up fantasy points, so the hope is he ages well.
65 Serge Ibaka Arrow is pointing down; good time to get out for Iblocka.
66 Carmelo Anthony Plenty of warts, but still too much offensive volume to fade further for me.
67 Paul Millsap Tough to get this much now-help for as cheap as Millsap could be in dynasty. All-around stats can help almost any fantasy team.
68 Dennis Smith Jr. Nice combination of upside and opportunity in Dallas.
69 Nikola Vucevic Vuc-types are getting phased out of the NBA, but he and BroLo still produce fantasy stats.
70 DeAaron Fox I wish he had a better steal rate, but he’s a very good prospect with a chance to play a lot right away.
71 Brandon Ingram Were I not influenced by my peers I would rank lower. Lakers are huge on him and they know him best, but I see a ton of risk.
72 Thon Maker Steal rate sucks and assist rate sucks, but easy to dream on him being a more skilled Serge Ibacka (the good version).
73 Zach Lavine Advanced stats think he is a brutal defender, but his scoring should keep him on the court on a stripped down Bulls team.
74 Dragan Bender May need to strike superstar from his range of outcomes after his rookie year dud, but there’s still All-Star potential.
75 Buddy Hield I’m not really a “splits” guy, but his 2nd half splits were undeniably impressive. Advanced age for a sophomore means we should not consider his upside as high as the next second year player.
76 Elfrid Payton Conservative ranking, because I worry about a guard who can’t shoot maintaing full-starter minutes. A legit defensive ace though, which helps his playing time.
77 Avery Bradley He is what he is; maybe usage ticks up somewhat in Detroit.
78 LaMarcus Aldridge His redraft value is probably 50% higher than his dynasty value.
79 Clint Capela Advanced stats and efficiency stats like him, but what holds me back is that guys like him tend to play sub-30 minutes per game.
80 Jaylen Brown I may regret this rank, because it’s mostly draft pedigree and “eye test” kind of rank; not super impressive production (even age-adjusted) and the C’s are crowded on the wings.
81 Nicolas Batum Have seen rebuilders cash out for rookies I’ve ranked much lower than he is; in other words, he’s not this expensive.
82 Dennis Schroder Opportunity and youth may outpace fantasy value, which makes him an unusual young-guy-sell candidate.
83 Gorgui Dieng Like other efficient bigs, modern game and roster construction limits his playing time.
84 Rondae Hollis-Jefferson If he can crack 30 mpg, then he can skyrocket up these ranks thanks to his steals, blocks and boards.
85 Jeff Teague Discount version of Jrue and Bledsoe?
86 Taurean Prince Similar to RHJ above.
87 Kris Dunn Keep the faith! Steal rate is the bombbbbb, y’all!
88 Justise Winslow Decent chance his owner has soured on him.
89 Donovan Mitchell Good steal rate, took a ton of 3’s in college, good landing spot, solid pedigree. That’s why I’m in on him ahead of some guys drafted higher in real life.
90 Jae Crowder Steady fantasy role player doesn’t need the ball to put up fantasy stats.
91 Seth Curry He’s a dud on D, but if you flirt with 50/40/90, you play.
92 Dario Saric Diverse offensive skillset should earn him more PT than Holmes, I would guess.
93 Richaun Holmes If he can get anywhere close to 30 mpg he can beat this rank, but that’s no guarantee.
94 Steven Adams Does enough on D and in the pick and roll to stay on the court without the ability to space.
95 Danilo Gallinari When he’s healthy, Gallo can put up top 30 stats.
96 Trevor Ariza Reliable 3-and-D wing.
97 Jonas Valanciunas Discount RoLo / Vucevic.
98 Julius Randle Intriguing playmaking ability, but needs to start making more threes, else he’s a tweener.
99 Caris LeVert All-around skillset, but can he carve out playing time with the new wings the Nets have acquired?
100 Derrick Favors Quite the fall from Favors, who was a desirable commodity a year ago.
101 Frank Ntilikina
102 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
103 Rudy Gay
104 Cody Zeller
105 Willie Cauley-Stein
106 Harrison Barnes
107 Lucas Nogueira
108 Greg Monroe
109 Goran Dragic
110 George Hill
111 Jusuf Nurkic
112 Zach Collins
113 Dewayne Dedmon
114 Skal Labissiere
115 John Collins
116 Willy Hernangomez
117 Ante Zizic
118 Rodney Hood
119 Moe Harkless
120 Tim Hardaway Jr
121 Rajon Rondo
122 Nikola Mirotic
123 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
124 Kyle Anderson
125 Enes Kanter
126 Dwight Howard
127 Lou Williams
128 Tyus Jones
129 Tyler Johnson
130 Evan Fournier
131 Denzel Valentine
132 Marvin Williams
133 Ivica Zubac
134 Stanley Johnson
135 Pau Gasol
136 Kelly Olynyk
137 Patrick Beverley
138 Josh Richardson
139 Kelly Oubre
140 Danny Green
141 Thaddeus Young
142 James Johnson
143 Dwyane Wade
144 Tristan Thompson
145 Kent Bazemore
146 Markieff Morris
147 Eric Gordon
148 Tyreke Evans
149 Allen Crabbe
150 Marcin Gortat
151 TJ Warren
152 Terrence Ross
153 Jeremy Lin
154 Lauri Markkanen
155 Harry Giles
156 Terrance Ferguson
157 Caleb Swanigan
158 Bam Adebayo
159 Malik Monk
160 Larry Nance
161 Reggie Jackson
162 Frank Kaminsky
163 Mason Plumlee
164 Jarrett Allen
165 Justin Patton
166 OG Anunoby
167 Luke Kennard
168 Sam Dekker
169 Alex Len
170 Andre Iguodala
171 Dirk Nowitzki
172 Ryan Anderson
173 Andre Roberson
174 Terry Rozier
175 Darren Collison
176 Wesley Matthews
177 Dejounte Murray
178 Georgios Papagiannis
179 Delon Wright
180 Jordan Bell
181 Jordan Clarkson
182 Robin Lopez
183 DJ Wilson
184 Norman Powell
185 Patty Mills
186 Glenn Robinson III
187 JJ Redick
188 Mario Hezonja
189 Montrezl Harrell
190 Cristiano Felicio
191 DeMarre Carroll
192 JR Smith
193 Derrick White
194 Dwight Powell
195 Ersan Ilyasova
196 Justin Anderson
197 Bobby Portis
198 Cameron Payne
199 Justin Jackson
200 TJ Leaf

Is your player missing? It might be an omission – so let me know!

The Author

Tom Trudeau

Tom Trudeau

27 Comments

  1. John
    September 30, 2017 at 7:19 am

    Name I think merit late rank consideration – Deyonta Davis, Noah Vonleh, Guerschon Yabusele, Zhou Qi, Jonah Bolden

    • Tom Trudeau
      October 3, 2017 at 10:28 am

      Wilson Chandler, Cheick Diallo and Kyle Kuzma probably belong at the back of this list

  2. mattmaison
    October 3, 2017 at 10:16 am

    No Wilson Chandler?

    • October 3, 2017 at 10:43 am

      Deserves to squeeze in at the back end, but I think this is his last year of relevance.

  3. Justin
    October 5, 2017 at 2:27 pm

    Where would you put Jahlil Okafor?

    • October 5, 2017 at 2:33 pm

      The last 50 names can be re-arranged and there’s another dozen names that can fit in like Okafor and Joe Ingles.

  4. Zac Hollister
    October 7, 2017 at 11:57 am

    If not for the injury this year, where would Alan Williams have landed on this list?

    • October 7, 2017 at 2:59 pm

      For sure because unlike TLC, he has *elite* block/steal rate (plus more viable opportunity). Chandler and even Len probably aren’t the future at C and Bender is a ways away.

  5. Zac Hollister
    October 7, 2017 at 11:59 am

    Also curious about what you think of Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot…

    • October 7, 2017 at 2:57 pm

      Great guy to monitor. Could easily have slid into the 200, but meh block/steal rate make him just a follow for me.

  6. Damon Donoho
    October 8, 2017 at 6:06 pm

    What are your thoughts on Lucas Nogueira?? You have him ranked at 107, but others are saying he is droppable? I drafted him, but wondering what your thought process is for this season and moving forward??

    • October 8, 2017 at 9:07 pm

      The good: Unmatched steals/blocks/boards ability and a FA next year. The bad: He has his work cut out for him to make an impact this year. Obviously, I recommend the stash and patience.

  7. Jeff White
    October 9, 2017 at 6:45 pm

    What would you pay fo rentals dropped in a 20 team dynasty like Melo, Bron. Also, how about rookie PG’s like Ball/Fultz/DSJ etc
    Is it tier pricing or? Most of the rookie PG’s go for big money here like $35+

    $200 to spend with $100 FAAB throughout the season (pointless really)

    It’s hard when I’m keeping $104 already and want to target 2 elite rookies in the draft.

    • October 9, 2017 at 7:18 pm

      It’s tough to give good advice without knowing your keeper system (e.g. Do you keep someone next year for their auction value?). Also, auction value are completely skewed by inflation so it’s almost impossible to suggest a $ value without knowing who was kept and for what.

      • Jeff White
        October 10, 2017 at 10:06 am

        D Russell $30
        Myles Turner $35
        CJ Mac $
        Yogi $ 1
        Zizic $1
        Zubac $ 14
        Bryce Johnson $
        Prince $12
        Those are my keepers for Context.

        Players like KAT $55 AD $70 Westbrook $70
        Harden $65 Curry $69

        • October 10, 2017 at 12:07 pm

          Sounds like more of a redraft question since we’re talking single year value.

          If you’re looking for someone that can return positive value next year, I’d target Jonathan Isaac, Lucas Nogz, Dragan Bender and Tyus Jones. The last few should come very cheaply relative to their upside, but are basically stashes unless an injury strikes.

  8. October 10, 2017 at 6:01 am

    How about Juancho? Noticed he was #100 back in April and now he’s dropped all the way out.

    • October 10, 2017 at 7:21 am

      I like Juan a lot- he’s an omission! I’d put him in the 100-120 range again this year.

  9. Chris
    October 10, 2017 at 6:32 am

    Malik Monk?

    • Chris
      October 10, 2017 at 6:34 am

      NM. Found him at 159. Thought he would be much closer to Mitchell.

  10. Zac
    October 10, 2017 at 9:33 am

    Here’s another one for you… Patrick McCaw. I realize he’s buried on that team, but he sure has looked good and is young. Made the cut on past lists and has seemingly just gotten better since… dominated summer league. Is it just a depth chart thing, or draft pedigree? I certainly like him in dynasty more than JR Smith (Wade destroys his value) at this point for example, and some others towards the back end of your list.

    Plenty of guys on the list have bad depth chart issues and need time (Nogueira & Zizic for example) so is there something else I’m missing with McCaw?

    Also, I’m with the other Wilson Chandler supporters… He’s got way more than just this year! Maybe on a different team, but dude can seriously play, scores, versatile, great for todays game and is only 30. He should have easily made the cut. I think Swanigan, Monk, and Crabbe will climb this list quickly.

    • October 10, 2017 at 12:05 pm

      McCaw was a 2nd round pick (poor pedigree), wasn’t a highly regarded prospect statistically, played poorly last year per minute, doesn’t have good steals/blocks potential, has terrible situation, has a terrible CARMELO forecast. He hasn’t even had a good preseason. He’s someone I would monitor, but I don’t think a stash pays dividends ever.

  11. Johnny Tuttle
    October 11, 2017 at 1:07 pm

    I’m surprised at the helium for Dragan Bender.

    For my last man in a 17 team dynasty, take him or Oubre, Zizic, JaMychael Green, or JJ Redick? Most of my team is win now, and I won last year. Still, I start 10 nightly and could afford to bury Bender alongside my Jaylen Brown while I typically use 15.

    I’m nervous taking a Redick, Holiday or Green to let a Zizic or Bender slip by.

  12. John
    October 12, 2017 at 8:24 am

    What are your thoughts on Tyler Ulis? He was nasty at the end of the season, but I don’t see him getting love on any lists this year. Why? 34 points, 9 assists in one game….20 and 10 in another…..

    Thanks!

  13. Christopher Scheer
    October 14, 2017 at 2:55 am

    Why are you so low on Nurkic?

    • October 14, 2017 at 5:40 am

      I am probably too low on him here. Historically I’ve worried that he’s a double percentage assasin playing in a small ball world, so where’s the meaningful minutes going to come from? But if he’s taking 3’s and playing 30 mpg, then he belongs inside the top 100 at least with his fantasy upside (steals, blocks!).

  14. October 15, 2017 at 10:26 am

    whats up man got a draft today

    14 teamer where we keep 4, my keepers are Durant, Jokic, Myles Turner and Middleton

    i pick 2nd and ended up getting a few 1st rounders from trades last year so i have pick 2 threw 6

    heres the top options available
    Conley. Dragic, Nurkic, Teague, G Harris, A Gordan, Avery Bradley, Ariza, C Anthony, Ball, Smith Jr

    Was thinking Conley, Dragic. Nurkic, Aaron G and one of the rookies

    which route would you go?

    thanks

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